Ending the year on a positive note

Similar documents
FOCUS Bank Tabungan Negara Company Update 21 January 2015

Hunting for values. Source: Mandiri Sekuritas, Companies

FOCUS Pakuwon Jati Company Update 25 March 2014

FOCUS Jaya Real Property Company Update 22 May 2014

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT MARKET FROM THE PRESS. Equity Research 23 February 2015

FOCUS Charoen Pokphand Company Update 03 November 2014

FOCUS London Sumatra Company Update 7 May 2014

FOCUS Wismilak Company Update 11 November 2014

FOCUS ACSET Indonusa Company Update 26 March 2014

FOCUS Ciputra Surya Company Update 04 May 2015

FOCUS Ciputra Development Company Update 23 January 2015

FOCUS Telkom Company Update 30 April 2015

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT CORPORATE. Equity Research 3 December 2014

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT SECTOR. Equity Research 10 September Equity Research 10 September 2014

FOCUS Media Nusantara Citra Company Update 04 May 2015

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT CORPORATE. Equity Research 18 Jul Equity Research 18 Jul 2014

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 29 December 2015

FOCUS Bank Tabungan Negara Company Update 26 July 2016

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT SECTOR. Equity Research 19 September Equity Research 19 September 2014

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 8 Jul Equity Research 8 Jul 2014

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT SECTOR. Equity Research 30 January Equity Research 30 January 2014

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 25 February Equity Research 25 February 2014

Quant Quest 06 February 2017

FOCUS Bank Tabungan Negara Company Update 17 February 2016

FIGURE 1. INDONESIA S 2014 EQUITY OUTLOOK IN MANSEK S VIEW. Dec-11. Apr-12. May-11. Sep-11. Source: Bloomberg, Mandiri Sekuritas

FOCUS Indo Tambang Company Update 16 May 2016

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT SECTOR. Equity Research 27 August Equity Research 27 August 2014

Equity Research 6 January Market Recap Jan 5 th 2016; JCI: 4, (+0.7%); USD/DR: 13,892; Total Value: Rp4.75tn

FOCUS Bank Tabungan Negara Company Update 11 January 2017

Equity Research 10 November Banking: 9M15 Results NPL Yet to Peak Excise tax increase details. Banking: 9M15 Results NPL Yet to Peak

Equity Research 3 April 2014 HIGHLIGHT CORPORATE. Poultry Sector: Waiting for the egg to hatch

FOCUS Bank Tabungan Negara Company Update 14 February 2017

TRIM Technical Call Sep 01, 2014

FOCUS Bank Rakyat Indonesia Company Update 11 January 2017

FOCUS Ciputra Development Company Update 25 January 2016

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 25 March 2015

FOCUS Mitra Adiperkasa Company Update 06 April 2015

Equity Research 14 April Market Recap Apr 13 th 2016; JCI: 4, (+0.49%); USD/IDR: 13,160; Total Value: Rp6.9tn

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 27 Jun Equity Research 27 Jun 2014

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT CORPORATE. Equity Research 30 September 2016

FOCUS Bank Permata Company Update 24 February 2017

FOCUS Plantation Sector Update 26 November 2014

FOCUS Ace Hardware Company Update 07 April 2017

FOCUS Ciputra Surya Initiating Coverage 10 April 2014

FOCUS Pakuwon Jati Transfer of Coverage 02 September 2016

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 29 October 2015

Equity Research 17 January 2017

FOCUS HM. Sampoerna Company Update 24 October 2016

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT CORPORATE. Equity Research 10 January 2017

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 19 August 2016

Equity Research 16 January 2017

Equity Research 7 December Market Recap Dec 6 th 2016; JCI: 5, (+0.09%); USD/IDR: 13,383; Total Value: Rp7.1tn

INCO 4,080 3,905 3,995 4,210 4,270 Bullish BOW Prop. & Constr

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT CORPORATE. Equity Research 6 September 2016

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 17 May 2016

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT CORPORATE. Equity Research 23 January 2017

Equity Research 29 March 2016 THE BOTTOM LINE MARKET OUTLOOK FOR Mar-13 4,545. 3,000 JCI Fcast by Mansek 2,500 Jan-11. Dec-12. Dec-11.

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 5 September 2016

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT SECTOR. Equity Research 24 January 2017

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 8 November 2016

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT CORPORATE. Equity Research 19 October 2016

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT SECTOR. Equity Research 3 August 2016

AALI 23,025 22,075 22,650 24,100 24,650 Bearish Buy Basic Industry

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT SECTOR. Equity Research 21 December 2016

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 16 September 2016

FOCUS Semen Indonesia Company Update 28 May 2018

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 30 January 2017

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 17 October 2016

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 26 January 2017

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT SECTOR. Equity Research 6 December 2016

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 13 January 2017

Equity Strategy Going for growth and low leverage

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT CORPORATE. Equity Research 1 Februay 2017

Equity Research 12 October Modest improvement in equity outlook THE BOTTOM LINE MARKET OUTLOOK FOR Mar-13 4,545 4,500 4,000 3,500

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 18 October 2016

Bank Central Asia. Still the best in class. Exhibit 1 : Financial Highlights. Source : BBCA, Ciptadana Estimates

April 9, Weekly commodity alerts: Burned out

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 16 November 2016

January 15, Seasonal JCI trends. Table 1. JCI QoQ trends: Up in 1Q for the past six years (%)

April 10, Market commentary. Macro update March Consumer Confidence: Pressure ahead of the election

FOCUS BFI Finance Company Update 20 September 2018

The Journal. 12 November Research Team ext. 611

Morning Brief. Indonesian Market Daily. Indonesia Economic Data

January 8, Coal: Lasting resilience

December 20, Automotive 2018 outlook: Pre-election turbocharger. Welcoming strong consumption growth in the coming year

November 22, Tobacco: It s all about the price tag

November 26, DIVA (IPO) Digital business converter and accelerator

February 9, Strategy: Riding the volatility

May 18, Cement: Surprising volume growth in April

INVESTOR DIGEST HIGHLIGHT ECONOMY. Equity Research 2 February 2017

Daily Focus. Indonesia. Tabel 1: 2Q15 GDP growth (%) Aug 06, 2015

Daily Focus. Indonesia. March 6, JSMR Upping the ante on growth

Bank Mandiri. Credit cost continue to normalize. Exhibit 1 : Financial Highlights. Source : BMRI, Ciptadana Estimates

Wika Beton. Exhibit 1 : Financial Highlights. Source : WTON, Ciptadana Estimates

BUY. Lippo Karawaci EQUITY RESEARCH. Stable income through diversified products. TP: Rp880 (+19.7%) LPKR - Results Update - 10 October 2017

March 27, Market commentary. Banks - 1M19 review: In-line results, expected seasonality

BUY (Unchanged) Pembangunan Perumahan (PTPP IJ) Equity Indonesia Construction. Company Update. Solid fundamental with stellar performance

February 22, Telecommunication IC rate cut impact should be fairly limited

Alpha Southeast Asia 2014 Best Research Call FMCG Sector

YTD yield changes (bps) 27-Jan Dec Jan Dec Jan-17

Transcription:

STRATEGY Strategy 18 December THE 2014 BOTTOM LINE Strategy Update 18 December 2014 Mandiri Sekuritas Analyst John Rachmat +6221 5296 9542 john.rachmat@mandirisek.co.id OVERWEIGHT TOP PICKS Last Price 2015F (Rp) PE EPS Gr. BBRI 11,600 9.7 21.3 BBCA 12,975 17.4 17.3 BBTN 1,210 7.8 37.5 SMGR 15,800 14.3 12.9 PGAS 5,850 15.3 4.7 PTPP 3,300 21.2 32.5 CTRS 2,740 8.3 22.5 SCMA 3,405 23.6 35.0 PWON 505 12.1-18.2 As of: 18 December 2014 Ending the year on a positive note Stock markets concerns that the US Federal Reserves might start raising its benchmark Fed Funds Rate earlier than consensus expectation have now been laid to rest. Wednesday s FOMC statement gains more flexibility for the Fed, but retains its dovish stance. Reiterate Overweight rating on Indonesian equities. FIGURE 1. UPDATED MANSEK EQUITY OUTLOOK 7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 3,500 3,000 2,500 Jan-11 JCI May-11 Sep-11 JCI Fcast by Mansek Dec-11 Apr-12 Source: Bloomberg, Mandiri Sekuritas Aug-12 Mar-13 4,545 Dec-12 Apr-13 Oct-13 Aug-13 Apr-14 4,800 Dec-13 Aug-14 5,200 Dec-13 Apr-14 Dec-14 5,200 Oct-14 4,800 Aug-14 Dec-14 Jul-15 6,000 Feb-15 5,100 Apr-15 Aug-15 Dec-15 6,350 Oct-15 5,900 Dec-15 Putting Fed Funds Rate concerns to rest the FOMC changed its phrase about maintaining the Federal Funds Rate near zero for a considerable period into the more hawkish statement that it can be patient in beginning to normalize the stance of monetary policy. However it adds that it viewed that statement as "consistent" with its previous language that it would be a "considerable time" before it hikes rates. During the ensuing press conference, the Fed Chair Janet Yellen emphasized that, This new language does not represent a change in our policy intentions and is fully consistent with our previous guidance. Gaining flexibility, retaining dovish stance. We assess this to mean that the Fed essentially wants greater flexibility, without altering its dovish stance. The more hawkish members of the FOMC, Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota, Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser and Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher, dissented. Plosser said the statement shouldn t say the new forward guidance is consistent with the previous statement, confirming the dovish nature of this latest FOMC statement. Reiterating Overweight rating. We updated our 2014-end JCI target to 5,200 (from 5,350) and replace LSIP with PWON in our Top Picks as we are concerned that declining crude oil price might drag down CPO price. PWON s 2015 prospects are by contrast under appreciated in our view. Please see important disclosure at the back of this report

Reiterating Overweight on Indonesian Equities Year-to-date Mansek Top Picks deliver 22.9% returns (vs JCI s 19.6% returns) and we aim to enhance this by picking a stock that fell steeply during latest bout of Fed Funds Rate jitters, yet offering solid prospects in 2015. PWON fills these criteria and it replaces LSIP in Mansek Top Picks. Revised Top Picks and JCI 2014-End Target We slightly reduce our 2014-end JCI target to 5,200 (from 5,350) to account for the recent weakness caused by global jitters about the possibility that the Fed might start raising its Fed Funds Rate earlier than consensus expectation. Those concerns had been proven baseless by FOMC s latest statement, offering new opportunities which The Bottom Line believes can be better delivered by PWON than LSIP hence the switch in Mansek Top Picks. We also revise slightly the early part of our 2015 JCI projection initially we expect the big rally would start in March 2015. Now we believe it can start earlier, in Feb 2015, with our expectation that the opposition-controlled Parliament s approving 2015 APBN-P (revised state budget). This event would establish once and for all that political risks in Indonesia have subsided decisively, as the opposition control of the Parliament would be proven to be ineffective in hampering Jokowi s infrastructure and other economic development programs. We retain our 2015-end JCI target of 6,350 and reiterate our Overweight rating for Indonesian equities. Two other catalysts would help propel the JCI to this target : (a) we expect the opposition club Koalisi Merah Putih to lose its parliamentary majority by April or May 2015, on the basis that GOLKAR is splitting and Partai Demokrat is moving closer to Jokowi s camp (and there is some chance that PAN might consider crossing the aisle too), and (b) we expect Standard & Poor to raise its outlook for Indonesia s credit rating from Stable at the moment to Positive in April or May 2015. These two development combined would result in investors upgrading their risk perception of Indonesian equities, allowing the JCI to trade at higher valuation multiples. FIGURE 2. MANDIRI SEKURITAS EARNINGS GUIDE Ticker Company's Name Stock Price 18-Dec-14 Starting Stock Price Changes Mkt. Cap (USDmn) PER 2015F (x) 2015 EPS Growth Fcast Target Price BBRI Bank Rakyat Indonesia 11,600 11,075 4.7% 24,199.8 9.7 21.3% 13,000 BBCA Bank Central Asia 12,975 12,925 0.4% 27,052.7 16.8 17.3% 13,500 BBTN Bank Tabungan Negara 1,210 1,125 7.6% 1,081.1 7.8 37.5% 1,300 SMGR Semen Gresik 15,800 15,975-1.1% 8,220.9 14.2 12.9% 18,300 PGAS Perusahaan Gas Negara 5,850 6,050-3.3% 12,439.7 15.0 4.7% 6,650 PTPP Pembangunan Perumahan 3,300 2,865 15.2% 1,401.8 20.4 32.5% 2,800 LSIP London Sumatra Plantations (dropped) 1,925 1,895 1.6% 1,152.1 9.4 38.9% 2,700 CTRS Ciputra Surya 2,740 2,325 17.8% 475.6 8.3 22.5% 3,600 SCMA Surya Citra Media 3,405 3,825-11.0% 4,367.2 23.6 35.0% PWON Pakuwon Jati (addition) 505 2,133.4 12.1-18.2% 540 MANSEK TOP BUY PORTFOLIO 1,228.6 1,000.0 22.86% Jakarta Composite Index 5,113.3 4,254.8 19.63% Source: Mandiri Sekuritas, Bloomberg Please see important disclosure at the back of this report Page 2 of 7

Pakuwon Jati (PWON; BUY; C/P Rp505; T/P Rp540) by Rizky Hidayat Secured projects in the pipeline Pakuwon Permai (PP) boosts NPAT by 16% in FY15F. We penciled in our NPAT number at Rp2.5tn (+66% due to one-time gain of Rp1.2tn from purchase of Pakuwon Permai) and Rp2.0tn (+16%) in FY14F and FY15F for PWON. The main booster will come from recurring income projects under PP. We expect recurring income to grow by 13% and 34% in FY14F and FY15F. We should see a higher boost in FY16F of 36% as Supermal Pakuwon Indah phase 2 and Ascott Surabaya start operations. Surabaya products are selling well. Looking at its recent launches, PWON is doing very well with its Surabaya project. Pakuwon Indah s Anderson Tower was sold with a 60% take-up rate during launching date and we expect marketing sales contribution of Rp450bn in FY14F. Grand Pakuwon also launched its first two clusters, Adelaide and Victoria, in West Surabaya. Out of 300 houses launched, 215 units were sold. The two clusters should contribute c. Rp400bn marketing sales. Based on our channel check with agents, both products are accepted well by the market due to its attractive pricing compared to PWON s existing products. We expect PWON to hit its Rp3tn marketing sales target this year. FY15F looks pretty solid. We expect marketing sales growth of 11% yoy in FY15F with project launches in Kota Kasablanka, Gandaria City, Pakuwon Indah, and Grand Pakuwon. Our marketing sales forecast has not included the TB Simatupang project, which may be launched end of next year. Looking at gross margin, we expect it to be flat around 60%. We expect slight margin correction on lease margin due to the opening of Tunjungan Plaza phase 5. Despite the fuel hike, PWON is confident that it is able to pass on the cost to its ASP and maintain a high 60% margin level on strata sales. Possible NAV booster from TB Simatupang. We like PWON due to its strong branding and high recurring income. We expect recurring income to be 45% of PWON s total revenue in FY15F. We estimate PWON s FY14F net gearing to be at 22.8%, which is a good level of leverage. We saw 13% NAV boost from PP acquisition and we see more potential upside on PWON s NAV from its TB Simatupang project. We have a Buy call on PWON at TP of Rp540. The counter is currently trading at 11.6x FY15F PE and 46% discount to NAV. FIGURE 3. PWON S FORECASTED MARKETING SALES INCLUDING EXISTING PAKUWON INDAH PROJECTS Rpbn 5,000 4,500 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500-954 795 631 706 485 358 946 777 829 654 512 523 152 320-1,101 1,190 1,127 2014F 2015F 2016F Source: Mandiri Sekuritas estimates Kota Kasablanka Gandaria City Tunjungan City Pakuwon City Grand Pakuwon Pakuwon Indah Please see important disclosure at the back of this report Page 3 of 7

FIGURE 4. PWON S RECURRING INCOME GROWTH Rpbn 3,500 60% 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 25% 947 52% 62 1,440 1,563 13% 289 34% 1,892 413 36% 2,554 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% - 2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 0% PWON Pakuwon Permai % YoY Source: The company, Mandiri Sekuritas Estimates FIGURE 5. HIGHLIGHTS OF PAKUWON JATI S ON-GOING PROJECTS Kota Kasablanka Gandaria City Tunjungan City Pakuwon Indah Source: The company Please see important disclosure at the back of this report Page 4 of 7

FIGURE 6. MANDIRI SEKURITAS EARNINGS GUIDE Shares Price Price Mkt Cap Net Profit EPS Growth PER (x) EV/EBITDA P/BV (x) Div.Yield Code Rating (Mn) (Rp) Target (Rp Bn) 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 Mandiri Universe 3,316,531 189,849 222,125 19.5% 16.3% 17.4 15.0 9.9 9.1 3.2 2.8 2.1% 2.3% Banking 836,397 59,980 71,901 5.5% 19.9% 13.9 11.6 N.A. N.A. 2.6 2.2 1.8% 1.9% BBCA Neutral 24,655 12,975 13,500 319,899 16,159 18,950 13.4% 17.3% 19.8 16.9 N.A. N.A. 4.1 3.5 1.0% 1.3% BBNI Neutral 18,649 5,975 5,500 111,426 10,122 11,741 11.8% 16.0% 11.0 9.5 N.A. N.A. 2.0 1.7 2.4% 2.7% BBRI Buy 24,660 11,600 13,000 286,162 23,215 28,163 8.8% 21.3% 12.3 10.2 N.A. N.A. 3.0 2.4 2.2% 2.0% BBTN Buy 10,565 1,210 1,300 12,783 1,188 1,634-24.0% 37.5% 10.8 7.8 N.A. N.A. 1.0 0.9 3.7% 2.3% BDMN Neutral 9,585 4,310 41,310 2,845 3,576-29.6% 25.7% 14.5 11.6 N.A. N.A. 1.3 1.2 2.9% 2.1% BJBR Neutral 9,696 750 850 7,272 1,080 1,200-21.5% 11.1% 6.7 6.1 N.A. N.A. 1.0 0.9 10.4% 6.7% BJTM Neutral 14,769 460 465 6,794 993 1,192 20.4% 20.1% 6.8 5.7 N.A. N.A. 1.1 1.0 9.7% 9.2% BTPN Neutral 5,840 4,050 4,600 23,653 1,943 2,543-8.8% 30.9% 12.2 9.3 N.A. N.A. 2.0 1.6 0.0% 0.0% PNBN Buy 24,088 1,125 1,150 27,099 2,435 2,902 7.7% 19.2% 11.1 9.3 N.A. N.A. 1.3 1.2 0.0% 1.8% Infrastructure 309,332 16,509 18,687 12.5% 13.2% 18.7 16.6 11.3 10.0 3.7 3.2 1.9% 2.1% SMCB Neutral 7,663 2,200 2,700 16,861 1,288 1,454 35.2% 12.9% 13.1 11.6 6.9 6.4 1.7 1.6 1.7% 2.3% INTP Buy 3,681 23,675 2 87,153 5,582 6,235 11.3% 11.7% 15.6 14.0 9.7 8.6 3.2 2.8 1.8% 2.0% SMGR Buy 5,932 15,800 18,300 93,718 5,901 6,660 9.9% 12.9% 15.9 14.1 10.7 9.5 3.9 3.4 2.9% 3.1% ADHI Sell 1,801 2,970 2,300 5,350 317 338-22.0% 6.6% 16.9 15.9 6.9 5.7 3.1 2.7 2.3% 1.8% PTPP Buy 4,842 3,300 2,800 15,980 512 679 21.7% 32.5% 31.2 23.5 11.2 8.6 6.7 5.5 0.8% 1.0% WIKA Neutral 6,106 3,270 2,600 19,965 628 736 10.1% 17.2% 31.8 27.1 17.5 15.3 5.9 5.1 0.9% 0.9% WSKT Neutral 9,632 1,275 850 12,281 418 502 13.5% 20.3% 29.4 24.4 14.4 12.3 4.6 4.0 0.9% 1.0% WTON Neutral 8,715 1,235 900 10,764 299 354 22.9% 18.5% 36.0 30.4 18.4 16.2 5.1 4.6 0.8% 1.0% JSMR Neutral 6,800 6,950 6,200 47,260 1,566 1,731 17.2% 10.5% 30.2 27.3 16.5 15.1 4.6 4.1 1.1% 1.3% Consumer 513,021 18,733 22,832 17.7% 21.9% 27.4 22.5 15.9 13.4 5.9 5.2 1.6% 1.8% AISA Neutral 3,000 2,095 2,500 6,285 365 439 17.8% 11.9% 17.2 15.4 9.8 9.0 2.1 2.0 0.0% 0.0% GGRM Buy 1,924 60,700 68,500 116,792 5,571 6,419 28.7% 15.2% 21.0 18.2 13.3 11.8 3.5 3.1 1.4% 1.9% ICBP Buy 5,831 12,000 13,500 69,972 2,638 3,186 18.7% 20.8% 26.5 22.0 16.1 12.8 4.9 4.4 1.6% 1.9% INDF Buy 8,780 6,450 8,200 56,631 3,919 5,093 56.6% 30.0% 14.5 11.1 8.0 6.4 2.1 1.9 0.0% 0.0% MYOR Neutral 894 21,900 26,500 19,579 441 816-55.8% 85.2% 44.4 24.0 15.5 11.8 4.9 4.2 1.5% 0.7% UNVR Buy 7,630 31,700 34,500 241,871 5,603 6,600 4.7% 17.8% 43.2 36.6 31.5 28.0 53.7 44.0 2.2% 2.3% WIIM Buy 2,100 610 840 1,281 103 148-22.0% 44.0% 12.4 8.6 7.4 5.6 1.6 1.4 2.4% 3.5% DYAN Buy 4,273 143 425 611 92 130 34.4% 41.8% 6.7 4.7 4.2 2.9 0.6 0.5 0.0% 0.0% Healthcare 104,518 3,226 4,026 9.0% 24.8% 32.4 26.0 23.0 18.6 6.4 5.5 1.3% 1.3% KLBF Neutral 46,875 1,775 1,820 83,203 2,129 2,745 10.9% 28.9% 39.1 30.3 26.1 20.6 8.8 7.3 1.0% 1.0% SIDO Buy 15,000 620 800 9,300 428 486 5.5% 13.4% 21.7 19.2 16.8 14.1 3.5 3.1 2.2% 1.8% TSPC Buy 4,500 2,670 12,015 668 796 5.3% 19.1% 18.0 15.1 14.0 12.0 2.9 2.6 2.9% 3.1% Transportation 2,564 155 196 17.2% 26.2% 16.5 13.1 6.2 5.0 2.8 2.4 1.3% 1.8% TAXI Buy 2,146 1,195 1,600 2,564 155 196 17.2% 26.2% 16.5 13.1 6.2 5.0 2.8 2.4 1.3% 1.8% Retail 95,563 3,543 4,584 3.7% 27.8% 26.6 20.8 14.5 11.7 5.4 4.5 1.1% 1.2% ACES Buy 17,200 750 900 12,900 530 613 5.3% 15.7% 24.3 21.0 14.0 11.9 5.6 4.7 1.0% 1.2% ERAA Buy 2,900 1,115 1,440 3,234 274 347-21.5% 26.9% 11.8 9.3 9.9 7.4 1.1 1.0 2.5% 3.2% LPPF Buy 2,917 14,275 16,500 41,640 1,359 1,852 21.7% 36.3% 30.6 22.5 18.9 14.8 147.8 23.6 0.6% 0.9% MAPI Sell 1,660 5,050 8,383 147 278-55.3% 89.4% 57.2 30.2 8.7 7.2 3.3 3.0 0.8% 0.3% MPPA Neutral 5,378 3,195 3,000 17,183 473 574 6.4% 21.3% 36.3 29.9 21.4 16.8 4.7 4.2 0.8% 0.8% RALS Neutral 7,096 730 800 5,180 394 407 0.9% 3.3% 13.1 12.7 7.1 6.8 1.5 1.4 4.1% 4.3% RANC Sell 1,564 375 365 587 13 23-61.2% 76.0% 45.5 25.8 16.6 11.1 1.5 1.4 0.0% 0.0% TELE Buy 5,861 920 1,050 6,457 354 491 5.1% 23.5% 16.2 13.2 12.4 9.7 2.8 2.5 2.2% 2.7% Automotive 300,884 21,245 24,045 7.5% 12.9% 14.0 12.4 12.4 11.5 3.0 2.6 3.1% 3.4% ASII U/R 40,484 7,200 U/R 291,482 20,554 23,053 6.6% 11.9% 14.1 12.6 12.1 11.2 3.1 2.7 3.2% 3.5% IMAS U/R 2,765 3,400 U/R 9,402 691 992 39.6% 39.5% 12.7 9.1 23.0 18.1 1.5 1.3 1.1% 1.8% Heavy Equipment 67,501 6,200 4,764 18.9% -23.2% 10.9 14.2 4.9 5.9 1.7 1.6 2.9% 3.5% HEXA Buy 840 3,535 4,250 2,969 291 434-65.6% 26.4% 11.9 9.7 8.8 6.0 1.2 1.1 8.6% 2.8% UNTR Sell 3,730 17,300 13,950 64,531 5,909 4,329 22.3% -26.7% 10.9 14.9 4.8 6.0 1.7 1.6 2.8% 3.5% Plantation 53,728 4,071 5,118 51.4% 25.7% 13.2 10.5 7.6 6.0 2.5 2.2 2.6% 3.7% AALI Buy 1,575 23,300 30,800 36,692 2,709 3,237 50.4% 19.5% 13.5 11.3 8.3 6.9 3.2 2.7 2.6% 4.0% LSIP Buy 6,823 1,925 2,700 13,134 992 1,378 29.1% 38.9% 13.2 9.5 6.7 4.7 1.8 1.6 2.3% 3.0% SGRO Buy 1,890 2,065 3,050 3,903 370 503 211.6% 36.1% 10.6 7.8 5.7 4.5 1.3 1.2 2.4% 3.3% Property 151,144 14,021 13,614 15.1% -2.9% 10.8 11.1 10.5 8.9 2.3 1.9 1.5% 1.5% APLN Buy 20,500 332 420 6,806 779 1,031-8.6% 32.5% 8.7 6.6 9.4 7.4 1.1 0.9 2.5% 2.3% ASRI Neutral 17,863 535 500 9,557 1,163 1,228 32.6% 5.6% 8.2 7.8 7.5 6.9 1.6 1.4 3.5% 3.7% BKSL Neutral 31,397 106 200 3,328 501 680-20.5% 35.7% 6.6 4.9 8.3 6.8 0.6 0.5 0.0% 0.0% BSDE Buy 18,372 1,840 2,000 33,804 3,530 2,446 31.2% -30.7% 9.6 13.8 14.0 11.5 2.3 2.1 2.0% 2.6% CTRA Neutral 15,166 1,235 880 18,730 1,209 1,519 33.1% 25.7% 15.5 12.3 11.0 8.9 2.6 2.2 1.0% 1.3% CTRS Buy 1,979 2,740 3,600 5,422 533 653 29.0% 22.5% 10.2 8.3 8.1 6.5 2.0 1.7 1.8% 2.3% JRPT Buy 13,750 1,025 1,130 14,094 710 898 29.9% 26.5% 19.8 15.7 16.7 13.3 4.7 3.7 1.3% 0.8% Please see important disclosure at the back of this report Page 5 of 7

Shares Price Price Mkt Cap Net Profit EPS Growth PER (x) EV/EBITDA P/BV (x) Div.Yield Code Rating (Mn) (Rp) Target (Rp Bn) 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 LPCK Buy 696 10,075 12,300 7,012 813 878 40.3% 7.9% 8.6 8.0 6.8 6.1 2.7 2.0 0.0% 0.0% MDLN Neutral 12,533 496 510 6,216 1,201 871-51.0% -27.5% 5.2 7.1 4.7 5.6 1.1 0.9 1.0% 0.0% PWON Buy 48,160 505 540 24,321 2,447 2,002 116.0% -18.2% 9.9 12.1 12.4 9.5 4.0 3.2 0.9% 2.3% SMRA Buy 14,425 1,515 1,550 21,854 1,134 1,408 2.9% 24.2% 19.3 15.5 13.1 10.9 3.6 2.9 1.8% -0.6% Poultry 75,585 3,022 4,550-10.2% 50.6% 25.0 16.6 14.9 10.9 4.2 3.5 1.3% 1.1% CPIN Buy 16,423 3,790 6,000 62,242 2,424 3,548-4.2% 46.4% 25.7 17.5 17.2 12.3 5.3 4.3 1.1% 1.1% JPFA Buy 10,499 935 1,600 9,817 542 806-8.5% 48.6% 18.1 12.2 9.9 7.8 1.9 1.7 2.0% 1.8% MAIN Sell 1,695 2,080 2,100 3,526 56 197-76.9% 252.0% 63.1 17.9 15.5 9.9 2.8 2.4 1.4% 0.3% Energy 247,517 16,290 18,598 N/M 6.3% 14.7 13.9 7.5 6.9 2.2 2.1 3.7% 4.0% ADRO Buy 31,986 1,065 1,450 34,065 3,253 3,306 23.4% 5.3% 10.5 10.3 4.9 4.6 1.0 1.0 3.8% 3.9% BUMI U/R 36,627 53 U/R 1,941-1,735-1,204 90.0% -66.7% -1.5-1.0 8.2 8.7 0.4 0.7 0.0% 0.0% HRUM Neutral 2,699 1,720 2,400 4,644 487 530 20.4% 8.6% 9.5 8.8 4.3 3.7 1.4 1.3 5.8% 6.3% ITMG Neutral 1,130 15,300 25,750 17,288 2,423 2,522-7.8% 7.9% 7.1 6.9 3.3 3.1 1.5 1.5 11.2% 11.7% PTBA Neutral 2,304 13,350 9,700 30,765 1,717 2,159-6.0% 25.8% 17.9 14.3 13.9 10.4 3.8 3.2 2.8% 3.5% MEDC U/R 3,332 3,640 U/R 12,130 253 820 70.7% 242.9% 45.6 13.8 4.4 3.5 1.2 1.1 0.3% 1.5% PGAS Buy 24,240 5,850 6,650 141,813 9,319 9,761-5.0% 8.6% 15.2 14.5 10.5 9.6 4.2 3.8 3.3% 3.4% SOCI Buy 7,059 690 880 4,871 573 705 37.7% 27.5% 8.5 6.9 6.8 5.9 1.5 1.4 2.2% 3.4% Metal 53,517 1,219 3,330 N/M N/M 63.2 17.4 16.6 8.8 1.5 1.5 1.3% 2.6% ANTM U/R 9,538 965 U/R 9,205 119 625-78.8% 619.0% 105.6 14.7 44.6 12.1 0.7 0.7 1.1% 1.1% BRMS U/R 25,570 268 U/R 6,853-897 -128 15.6% 75.0% -5.9-24.4 48.9 39.2 n/a n/a 0.0% 0.0% INCO U/R 9,936 3,770 U/R 37,460 1,997 2,833 335.9% 47.1% 19.5 13.7 9.1 7.0 1.8 1.7 1.5% 3.5% Telecommunicati on 420,506 18,211 21,410 31.6% 17.5% 23.0 19.7 6.8 6.3 3.9 3.5 2.1% 2.7% EXCL Buy 8,524 4,800 6,700 40,955-224 796 N/M N/M -182.7 51.4 8.2 6.8 2.9 2.6-0.1% 0.4% ISAT U/R 5,434 4,165 U/R 22,632 424 1,048 N/M 133.8% 48.4 20.7 3.1 3.5 1.3 1.3 1.6% 2.2% TBIG Buy 4,657 9,750 10,800 46,766 1,514 1,705 21.3% 6.1% 30.9 29.1 22.2 16.8 9.6 7.5 0.0% 0.0% TOWR Buy 10,203 3,955 5,000 40,353 1,153 1,434 584.5% 24.3% 35.0 28.1 14.6 12.4 8.5 6.5 0.0% 0.0% TLKM Neutral 96,010 2,800 2,900 269,801 15,343 16,428 8.0% 7.1% 17.6 16.4 6.1 5.6 4.0 3.7 3.1% 4.0% Media 84,753 3,424 4,468 13.6% 30.5% 24.8 19.0 16.9 12.9 7.1 5.8 1.9% 2.1% SCMA Buy 14,622 3,405 49,787 1,560 2,106 18.0% 35.0% 31.9 23.6 22.8 16.9 14.0 10.3 1.5% 1.6% MNCN Buy 14,099 2,480 3,500 34,967 1,864 2,361 10.2% 26.7% 18.8 14.8 12.5 9.9 4.2 3.6 2.4% 2.7% Source: Bloomberg, Mandiri Sekuritas Please see important disclosure at the back of this report Page 6 of 7

Mandiri Sekuritas A subsidiary of PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk Plaza Mandiri 28 th Floor, Jl. Jend. Gatot Subroto Kav. 36-38, Jakarta 12190, Indonesia General: +62 21 526 3445, Fax : +62 21 527 5711 (Equity Research), +62 21 527 5374 (Equity Sales) RESEARCH John Rachmat Head of Equity Research, Strategy john.rachmat@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9542 Tjandra Lienandjaja Banking tjandra.lienandjaja@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9617 Handoko Wijoyo Construction, Toll Road handoko.wijoyo@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9418 Hariyanto Wijaya, CFA, CPA Plantation, Heavy eq., Energy hariyanto.wijaya@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9553 Herman Koeswanto, CFA Consumer, Poultry herman.koeswanto@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9569 Liliana S Bambang Property, Building Material liliana.bambang@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9465 Ariyanto Kurniawan Telecom, Coal & Metal Mining ariyanto.kurniawan@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9682 Matthew Wibowo Retail matthew.wibowo@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9549 Rizky Hidayat Property, Media rizky.hidayat@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9415 Vanessa Ariati Tanuwijaya Banking, Health Care vanessa.tanuwijaya@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9546 Aldian Taloputra Economist aldian.taloputra@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9572 Leo Putra Rinaldy Economist leo.rinaldy@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9406 Aditya Sastrawinata Research Assistant aditya.sastrawinata@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9543 Wisnu Trihatmojo Research Assistant wisnu.trihatmojo@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9544 Yudha Gautama Research Assistant yudha.gautama@mandirisek.co.id +62 21 5296 9623 INSTITUTIONAL SALES Lokman Lie Co-Head Institutional Equities lokman.lie@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 Silva Halim Co-Head Institutional Equities silva.halim@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 Andrew Handaya Institutional Sales andrew.handaya@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 Cindy Amelia P. Kalangie Institutional Sales cindy.amelia@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 Jane Theodoven Sukardi Institutional Sales jane.sukardi@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 Janefer Amanda Soelaiman Institutional Sales janefer.soelaiman@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 Karmia Tandjung-Nasution Institutional Sales karmia.tandjung@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 Mirna Santikara Salim Institutional Sales santikara.salim@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 Oos Rosadi Institutional Sales oos.rosadi@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 Vera Ongyono Institutional Sales vera.ongyono@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 Yohan Setio, CFA Institutional Sales yohan.setio@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 Zahra Aldila Niode Institutional Sales zahra.niode@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 Kusnadi Widjaja Equity Dealing kusnadi.widjaja@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 Edwin Pradana Setiadi Equity Dealing edwin.setiadi@mandirisek.co.id +6221 527 5375 RETAIL SALES Ridwan Pranata Head Retail Equities ridwan.pranata@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9514 Boy Triyono Jakarta Branch boy.triyono@mandirisek.co.id +6221 5296 9436 Yohanes Triyanto Kelapa Gading Branch yohanes.triyanto@mandirisek.co.id +6221 45845355 Hendra Riady Mangga Dua Branch hendra.riady@mandirisek.co.id +6221 6230 2333 Umar Abdullah Pondok Indah Branch umar.abdullah@mandirisek.co.id +6221 75918400 Indra Mas ari Bandung Branch indra.mas ari@mandirisek.co.id +6222 426-5088 Yuri Ariadi Pontianak Branch yuri.ariadi@mandirisek.co.id +62561 582292 Ruwie Medan Branch ruwie@mandirisek.co.id +6261 457 1116 DISCLAIMER: This report is issued by PT. Mandiri Sekuritas, a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchanges (IDX) and Mandiri Sekuritas is registered and supervised by the Financial Services Authority (OJK). Although the contents of this document may represent the opinion of PT. Mandiri Sekuritas, deriving its judgement from materials and sources believed to be reliable, PT. Mandiri Sekuritas or any other company in the Mandiri Group cannot guarantee its accuracy and completeness. PT. Mandiri Sekuritas or any other company in the Mandiri Group may be involved in transactions contrary to any opinion herein to make markets, or have positions in the securities recommended herein. PT. Mandiri Sekuritas or any other company in the Mandiri Group may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report. For further information please contact our number 62-21- 5263445 or fax 62-21-5275711. ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION: Each contributor to this report hereby certifies that all the views expressed accurately reflect his or her views about the companies, securities and all pertinent variables. It is also certified that the views and recommendations contained in this report are not and will not be influenced by any part or all of his or her compensation.