Bradken Limited 2014 Half Year Results

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Transcription:

Presenters BRIAN HODGES Managing Director STEVE PERRY Chief Financial Officer Bradken Limited 2014 Half Year Results Tuesday, 11 th February 2014

2014 Half Year Results 1. Key Outcomes Brian Hodges 2. Financial Review Steve Perry 3. Operational Review Brian Hodges 4. Strategy and Outlook Brian Hodges 2

Key Outcomes Solid performance in a challenging market Achieved $86.2 million EBITDA for first half, slightly above guidance Order intake levels have increased from a low point in June 2013 Achieved 32.6% gross margin in the period despite a 17.2% decline in sales revenue and significant pricing pressure by reducing variable cost in line with lower volumes Interim dividend of 15.0 cents unfranked declared, payable on the 21 March 2014 and a DRP operating with a 2.5% discount, which is in the middle of the Board s stated range 3

Sales Analysis Nonresources 19.9% 1H13 Resources 80.1% Nonresources 16.9% 1H14 Resources 83.1% Total Sales by Industry Sector Total sales fell by 17.2% from $680.5 million to $563.6 million The reduction in Non-resources product sales was $40 million due to a non-recurring grain wagon contract A 14% fall in the Resources sector was due to the mining slowdown Capital Products 20.2% Consumable Products 79.8% Capital Products 14.4% Consumable Products 85.6% Resources Sales by Product Category Capital Products sales reduced by 39% or $43.1 million with less sales to mining OEMs Consumable Products sales reduced by 8% or $34.1 million Oil & Gas 9.4% Other Minerals 8.4% Gold 24.9% Copper 16.2% Iron Ore 26.9% Coal 14.2% Oil & Gas 10.7% Other Minerals 10.0% Gold 18.5% Copper 22.1% Iron Ore 25.7% Coal 13.0% Consumable Products Sales by Commodity Sales into Copper, Oil & Gas and Other Minerals sectors all increased Coal fell with mining services activity in Australia well down Mill liners sales in the gold mining sector reduced as products for new mine expansions were put on hold 4

Market Thematics China s fourth quarter growth rate was reported as 7.7% p.a., which bodes well for ongoing resources demand Mine production activity continues to grow, with miners maintaining a focus on extracting efficiencies in both volume and cost savings by seeking lower cost sourcing Subdued OEM activity and constrained spend on capital mining products continues while the energy market appears to be strengthening Global competition becoming more evident and the Australian manufacturing base shrinking in traditional industrial market sectors 5

Bradken Order Intake The Company s order intake has seen an improvement over the last seven month period with the current backlog at around $450 million * This graph excludes order intake for rail products 6

Financial Highlights While sales volumes have declined, Bradken has largely maintained its quality of earnings, allowing cash flow to remain strong A$ Millions 6 Months to: % Change to Dec-13 Dec-12 Dec-12 Sales 563.6 680.5 (17.2%) EBITDA 86.2 105.1 (18.0%) NPAT 38.1 46.7 (18.4%) EBITDA/Sales 15.3% 15.5% EPS (cents) 22.5 27.6 (18.5%) DPS (cents)* 15.0 20.0 (25.0%) Operating Cashflow 67.0 70.8 (5.4%) * The interim dividend is unfranked 7

Revenue / Underlying EBITDA Trends Revenue (A$m) EBITDA (A$m) 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 294 345 359 402 616 593 463 541 533 615 683 768 681 632 564 140.0 120.0 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 120.3 106.0 105.1 108.9 100.1 96.3 90.7 90.1 86.2 78.4 73.6 70.7 55.5 53.6 47.0 100 20.0 0 1H07 2H07 1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 2H11 1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 0.0 1H07 2H07 1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 2H11 1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 Financial Periods Financial Periods 8

Underlying NPAT / EPS Trends NPAT (A$m) EPS (cents) 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 23 26 23 35 35 29 26 45 38 49 43 57 47 49 38 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 33.8 34.3 32.8 33.3 28.3 27.4 27.6 29.2 26.2 24.8 21.5 21.9 22.3 22.5 19.8 0 1H07 2H07 1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 2H11 1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 0 1H07 2H07 1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 2H11 1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 Financial Periods Financial Periods 9

2014 Half Year Results 1. Key Outcomes Brian Hodges 2. Financial Review Steven Perry 3. Operational Review Brian Hodges 4. Strategy and Outlook Brian Hodges 10

Financial Performance A$ Millions 6 Months to: % Change to Dec-13 Dec-12 Dec-12 Sales 563.6 680.5 (17.2%) EBITDA 86.2 105.1 (18.0%) Depreciation 26.1 21.7 (20.3%) Profit from Investments 1.0 4.1 (75.6%) Borrowing costs * 15.4 15.7 1.9% PBT&A 45.6 71.9 (36.6%) Amortisation 6.5 6.1 (6.6%) PBT 39.1 65.8 (40.6%) Tax Expense*** 1.0 19.1 94.8% NPAT 38.1 46.7 (18.4%) EBITDA/Sales 15.3% 15.5% EPS (cents) 22.5 27.6 (18.5%) DPS (cents) ** 15.0 20.0 (25.0%) * Borrowing Costs nett of interest received ** Interim dividend unfranked as outlined in the 2013 full year presentation *** Tax expense low due to one off abnormals including prior year R&D rebates 11

Divisional Sales and Margins A$ Thousands 6 Months to: % Change to Dec-13 Jun-13 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-12 Sales Mining Products 173,951 203,274 209,337 (14.4%) (16.9%) Mineral Processing 116,737 139,977 110,112 (16.6%) 6.0% Rail 109,462 90,655 131,907 20.7% (17.0%) Engineered Products 114,447 143,376 165,917 (20.2%) (31.0%) Other 48,974 55,341 63,243 (11.5%) (22.6%) Total Sales 563,571 632,623 680,516 (10.9%) (17.2%) Gross Margin % to sales % to sales % to sales Mining Products 62,854 36.1% 70,235 34.6% 70,634 33.7% Mineral Processing 42,050 36.0% 53,742 38.4% 40,514 36.8% Rail 27,649 25.3% 20,270 22.4% 17,509 13.3% Engineered Products 40,064 35.0% 50,377 35.1% 58,721 35.4% Other 18,266 37.3% 21,244 38.4% 26,339 41.6% Total Gross Margin 190,883 33.9% 215,868 34.1% 213,717 31.4% 12

Gross Margin Trends 80% of Bradken s costs are variable Gross Margin (%) 40 35 30 29.5 29.1 29.1 31.0 28.0 27.5 31.0 33.7 33.232.3 32.3 32.932.6 29.029.0 30.7 25 20 15 10 5 0 1H07 2H07 1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 2H11 1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 Financial Periods 13

EBITDA Movements A$m 120 105.1 (36.6) 100 80 9.1 5.6 0.3 3.9 (1.2) 86.2 60 40 20 0 Dec-12 Volume Price Cost Mix Overheads One-Offs Dec-13 14

Cash Generation A$ Millions 6 months to: Dec-13 Dec-12 EBITDA 86.2 105.1 Working Capital (5.9) (5.3) Interest & Borrowing Costs (13.1) (14.6) Income tax payments (0.2) (14.4) Operating Cash Flow 67.0 70.8 Net Capex (32.8) (53.9) Investments (ANG) (4.8) 1.5 Free Cash Flow 29.4 18.4 15

Working Capital Movements A$m 300 250 238.6 27.4 (64.9) 248.6 200 27.5 150 100 50 0 Jun-13 Receivables Inventory Payables Dec-13 16

Capital Expenditure Overall capex spend for the period was $32.8 million compared with $53.9 million for the previous corresponding period Major projects include: CMS manufacturing on Xuzhou site in China - $11.3 million New Ground Engaging Tool designs and tooling - $2.7 million Other growth capex - $4.4 million Stay in business capex - $14.4 million (2.6% of sales) Capex spend for the full year is forecast to be $58.0 million with total capex estimated at $25.2 million for the second half 17

Capital Management Key Measures The Company s syndicated debt is currently being refinanced In addition to the $200 million USPP and other bilateral facilities, the renewed facility will allow for $540 million with tenure of 3, 4 and 5 years and will provide significant interest savings beginning in the fourth quarter The refinancing will be completed by the end of March with the book build already completed and substantially oversubscribed 6 Months to: Dec-13 Jun-13 Dec-12 Net Debt (A$m) 438.4 425.3 453.2 Gearing (net debt/net debt plus equity) % 35.7% 35.8% 38.2% Gearing (net debt/ebitda) 2.2 2.0 2.0 Interest Cover (EBITDA/Interest cost) 6.7 6.8 7.4 Working Capital to Sales % 20.5% 18.2% 21.7% 18

Net Debt Movements 500 450 400 350 425.3 86.2 (5.9) (13.3) (32.8) (6.5) (4.8) (30.5) (5.5) 438.4 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Jun-13 EBITDA Working Cap. Interest & Tax Capex Other Prov. Mvts ANG Shares Dividend USD Trans. Dec-13 19

2014 Half Year Results 1. Key Outcomes Brian Hodges 2. Financial Review Steven Perry 3. Operational Review Brian Hodges 4. Strategy and Outlook Brian Hodges 20

Operational Review - Mining Products Sales of $174 million were down 16.9% on the previous corresponding period with all businesses being affected by the market downturn, however margins of 36.1% were up 2.4% Ground Engaging Tools & Buckets sales revenue was down 14% and demand was flat across most regions with significant contraction in the Australian coal market Crawler Systems sales revenue was down 35% due to a significant drop in new equipment sales and corresponding excess inventory in the market place RH400 Crawler Shoe, Oil Sands, Canada Fixed Plant sales revenue in Australia was down 9% with reduced project activity being offset by an increase in base maintenance demand Fixed Plant sales in the Canadian Oil Sands were up 28% due to increased activity in the regional market Cost reduction programs offset pricing pressure and contributed to the stronger margins Activities to develop new markets in Africa and the Americas continued throughout the first half 250 tonne ROM hopper with wear liners 21

Operational Review Mineral Processing Sales of $117 million were up 6% on the previous corresponding period due to higher sales in Australia and Indonesia related to mine production levels, tempered by lower levels of OEM work for new mines Market demand slowed abruptly in the first half for the business with customers destocking, delaying change-outs and cancelling or postponing new projects, reducing the order book Margins remained strong with continued focus on increased use of alloy scrap, benchmarking for best practice between like facilities and capex to reduce costs and increase competitiveness While output was reduced to match demand in the period, it is planned to return Mont Joli to full production by March Bradken s low cost Xuzhou foundry is currently producing 20 heats of mill liners per week (4,000tpa), building competitiveness and leading to downsizing of high cost Australia operations With little indication of OEM work returning in the short term, the business is focused on winning new work at existing sites with both repeat and new business recently won at three sites in Africa and promising new prospects being pursued in the USA, Europe and Central Asia 2014 BRADKEN Grinding Mill Liners, Kansanshi Mine, Zambia Grinding Mill liners, Cadia Mine, Australia 22

Operational Review Rail Overall, sales of $109 million for the first half are on target to achieve the Rail Division s full year forecast 603 rail wagons were manufactured in the Xuzhou manufacturing facility during the first half with a further 650 wagons programmed to be built in the second half Stronger demand for spare parts and maintenance & renewal services was offset to some extent by the lower demand for wagons, improving the margin mix Bradken Coal Wagons Robust systems and procedures introduced into the rail business over the last two years continue to generate greater efficiencies, reduce costs and improve margins With the business now stabilised, focus has moved to diversifying both product and market Coal Wagon Manufacture 23

Operational Review - Engineered Products Sales of US$113 million were down 31% compared with the previous corresponding period, reflecting continued soft capital mining and rail locomotive markets Industrial Products business sales were down 59%, reflecting the continuation of weak demand for capital parts for mobile mining equipment which began in the second half of F13 Energy Business sales were flat compared with the previous Architectural Node during Heat Treatment corresponding period but the settled US federal budget and increasing demand for natural gas pipeline products is expected to drive an improved second half The military market for submarine and surface ship components along with new gas turbine designs is increasing rapidly due to delayed releases and associated pent-up demand Second half sales are overall expected to be stronger on improving order book levels and projected strengthening in the domestic locomotive rail and military markets A new Linatron within the Tacoma Foundry Expansion Non-Destructive Testing of a Pump Housing for a Nuclear Reactor 24

Other Businesses Industrial Business (Australia) The Industrial business sales revenue was down 26% on the previous corresponding period due to a general reduction in activity in the industrial market as well as a reduction in mining OEM activity in Australia Foundry Supplies Business (CMS) Sales were down 27% on the previous corresponding period due to a significant reduction in orders from Australian foundries and steel mills as a result of the depressed market conditions Excellent progress in the reduction of working capital was achieved resulting in an increased cash flow Global expansion initiatives are progressing well in North America and the United Kingdom, are both set to further increase sales revenue in the second half The installation and commissioning of new plant and equipment for CMS in Xuzhou demonstrates a committed focus by management to the growth and future potential of this business 25

People & Safety Global Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate (LTIFR) increased marginally from 4.3 to 4.8, however the severity rate of injury has been halved during the period Total employment continued to be reduced from 5,500 to 5,200 over the half, down from a peak of 6,400 as further adjustments were made due to market conditions Several safety initiatives were introduced during the period: Safety Passport introduced globally DuPont Safety training for supervisors completed throughout all Australian sites Europe Revised global policies released on lifting, hygiene, manual handling and melting practices Independent management system triennial audits were conducted at all major global facilities with continued ISO9001 and ISO14001 certification resulting Annual global 21 Step safety audits were conducted and analysed against previous Australia & New Zealand results 26

2014 Half Year Results 1. Key Outcomes Brian Hodges 2. Financial Review Steven Perry 3. Operational Review Brian Hodges 4. Strategy and Outlook Brian Hodges 27

Underlying Business Strategies Grow core products and services both organically and globally through complementary acquisitions Continue to develop the Bradken culture, technology, product development and manufacturing skills Continue to expand capacity and capability to capitalise on the continued strong growth in resources and energy Business Strategy The creation of differentiated consumable products to the applicable industries and sales of their value to our customers Continue to pursue profit improvement strategies through cost reduction programs, capital expenditure and vertical integration initiatives With mining growth steady, Bradken is actively pursuing opportunities which increase our scale or diversify our consumable product offering provided they fit with our Business Model 28

Mergers & Acquisitions Austin Engineering A non-binding and indicative proposal has been made to the Austin Engineering Board of Directors to acquire all of the ordinary shares in the Company The proposal is to acquire all of the ordinary shares in Austin that Bradken does not currently own via a scrip offer at a fixed exchange ratio of 0.75 Bradken shares for one Austin share This approach was made prior to Austin Engineering s recently announced capital raising and on the basis of a number of assumptions including full year earnings for Austin being in line with consensus forecasts Bradken and Austin have executed a Confidentiality Agreement on acceptable terms and we are waiting on due diligence to commence It should not be construed that a binding agreement will occur 29

Outlook Mine production volume growth continues to expand the consumable product market to which we are largely aligned Mining and capital expenditure, especially for mobile plant looks likely to remain at reduced levels through this period The expanding US economy is supporting growth in energy and capital products and for domestic infrastructure like rail and construction, although this will likely take time to impact on sales revenue. Bradken continues to focus on cash and will reintroduce its dividend reinvestment plan as well as largely restricting capex for stay in business to $25 million in the second half Net debt / EBITDA is expected to return to around 2.0, our long term average and the refinancing will deliver much lower interest costs in the fourth quarter Overall, we see high single digit sales growth for most of the business with no need to increase overheads in the period leading to sound profit conversion Based on all of the above, we forecast around $180 million EBITDA for the full year 30

Thank You