ALIOR BANK S.A. Q1 17 results presentation

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Transcription:

ALIOR BANK S.A. Q1 17 results presentation May 9, 2017 1

AGENDA 1 Highlights 2 Operational Performance 3 Outlook 4 Appendix 2

HIGHLIGHTS Strong underlying business performance. Revenues up by 50% (yoy). Strong loan growth (2 b PLN net in Q1 17), Considerable fee result improvement (up 50% vs. Q4 16), Bottom line growth excl. synergies and integration cost up by 26% yoy (101 m in Q1 17 vs. 80 m in Q1 16) Profitability driven by good demand from both private individuals and companies, Operational merger with BPH Core completed on March 25 th, 2017. 3

Q1 17 SYNERGIES AND INTEGRATION COST IMPACT Net impact of synergies and integration cost of 27 m (19 m after tax) Alior Q1 17 net profit excl. synergies and integration cost of 101 m vs 80 m in Q1 16 m PLN Q1 17 actual Q2 17 plan Q3 17 plan Q4 17 plan 2017 plan total Synergies 11 38 54 64 167 Integration costs -38-56 -51-50 -195 Net impact pre-tax -27-18 3 14-28 HR optimization on track FTE off payroll Q1 17 actual Q2 17 plan Q3 17 plan Q4 17 plan 2017 plan total HR optimization 365 722 781 532 2 400 4

KEY FINANCIALS M PLN Q1 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 ch. yoy (%) ch. yoy (PLN m) Total revenues 579 1 358 868 50 289 General administrative expenses -277-706 -489 77-213 Net impairment -176-252 -212 20-36 Banking tax -21-43 -50 140-29 Gross profit 106 357 118 11 11 Income tax -26 13-35 34-9 Net profit 80 369 82 3 2 Net profit excluding one-offs 80 111 101 26 21 BN PLN Q1 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 ch. yoy (%) ch. yoy (PLN BN) Loans 32,7 46,3 48,4 47,8 15,7 Deposits 35,8 51,4 50,5 41,1 14,7 Total equity 3,6 6,2 6,3 75,3 2,7 Total assets 42,0 61,2 60,4 43,8 18,4 % (Q1 16, Q1 17 - QTD ; Q4 16 - YTD) Q1 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 ch. yoy (%) ch. yoy (PP) ROE 9,0 12,7 5,3-42 -3,8 ROA 0,8 1,2 0,5-31 -0,2 C/I 47,8 49,1 56,4 18 8,6 CoR -2,0-1,9-1,6-19 0,4 L/D 91,4 90,1 95,8 5 4,4 NPL ratio 9,3 9,8 9,9 6 0,6 NPL coverage ratio 59,8 56,6 56,3-6 -3,5 TCR 13,5 13,6 14,4 7 0,9 Tier 1 10,6 11,3 12,2 15 1,6 5

AGENDA 1 Highlights 2 Operational Performance 3 Outlook 4 Appendix 6

STRONG LOAN BOOK GROWTH ACROSS ALL SEGMENTS Loan book split +48% ; +15,7 in PLN bn +5% ; +2,1 43% Business 32,7 0,3 0,4 5,7 7,7 0,4 0,9 44% 46,3 1,3 0,8 7,5 10,7 1,1 0,8 8,4 45% 48,4 1,7 0,8 8,2 11,3 0,8 0,8 8,7 Other business Factoring Investment loans Working Capital Other retail Mortgage other Mortgage real estate 57% Retail 7,1 10,2 56% 55% 15,5 16,1 Cash Loans Q1 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 2 b PLN net loan growth in Q1 17 7

COMFORTABLE LEVEL OF DEPOSITS REACHES DESIRED MIX OF CURRENT AND TERM ACCOUNTS L/D = 96% Retail +38% ; +8,9 L/D=82% in PLN bn +1% ; -0,2 32,0 32,2 23,3 14,8 14,0 14,3 17,3 18,2 9,0 Q1'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Term, own banking sec., other Current Corporate +46% ; +5,8 L/D=120% 12,5-5% ; -1 19,3 18,3 10,8 10,1 8,8 3,7 8,5 8,2 Q1'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 % Q1 16 Q1 17 Current accounts/total deposits 50 52 8

KEY CREDIT RISK RATIOS NPL total (%) +0,9 pp -0,3 pp Market avg.* 10,0 10,8 10,9 12,4 11,8 12,1-0,1 pp 8,7 11,0 2,9 2,6 2,5 2,5 Q1'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q1'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q1'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Corporate Retail Mortgage Coverage ratio (%) +2 pp -9 pp 57 49 48 65 67 67 49 63 34-1 pp 35 33 48 Q1'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q1'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q1'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Loan portfolio structure (%) Corporate Retail Mortgage Alior 45 37 18 Banking sector* 34 26 40 *Ratios (as of the end of Feb 2017) calculated on the basis of figures on sector receivables published monthly by National Bank of Poland. Sector Corporate line excluding budget entities. Retail means the total retail portfolio mortgages for real estates portfolio. 9

GOOD PROFITABILITY MAINTAINED. Q1 17 NIM REACHES 4,5%. Alior NIM development (%) +0,2 pp NIM 4,3 4,1 4,5 Q1'16 2016 Q1'17 CoR -2,1-1,9-1,6-0,5 pp +0,6 pp NIM - CoR 2,2 2,2 2,8 Q1 16 2016 Q1 17 NII for Q1 16 annualized, divided by average of IEA from 2015 and Q1 16; NIM formula for 2016: NII for 2016 divided by average IEA form 2015 and 2016; NII for Q1 17 annualized, divided by average of IEA from 2016 and Q1 17. 10

FEES AND COMMISSIONS REBOUND UP 50% YOY +57% ; +50 in PLN m 87 91 137 Net F&C +56% ; +77 180 138 215 113 99 75 18 12 21 42 55 24 17 28 31 Q1'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 F&C income fees related to C/A, loans, transfers bancassurance payment and credit cards servicing brokerage fees -51-89 -78 F&C expenses +54% ; +27 11

CAPITAL POSITION SUPPORTS FUTURE LOAN ORIGINATION OBJECTIVES +0,9 pp 13,5% 13,6% 14,4% 10,6% 11,3% 12,2% Q1'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 TCR Tier-1 12

EXTENSIVE FOOTPRINT PROVIDES HIGH POTENTIAL FOR NON-HR SYNERGIES 3rd largest distribution network among Polish banks 2 075 1 079 1 010 928 620 483 464 447 384 368 Bank 1 Bank 2 Alior Bank Bank 3 Bank 4 Bank 5 Bank 6 Bank 7 Bank 8 Bank 9 Data for Banks as at the end of Q4 16, Alior Q1 17. Source: Prnews. Sales outlets Alior Branches Agencies Tesco T-Mobile Total 299 711 71 574 1 655 13

AGENDA 1 Highlights 2 Operational Performance 3 Outlook 4 Appendix 14

2017 OUTLOOK MAINTAINED 2017 Outlook 2017 consensus of PLN ~360 m NIM ~4,5% C/I ~45% ALR standalone C/I ~60% total CoR ~1,9% Loan growth 2017 PLN 6,5 billion net 15

AGENDA 1 Highlights 3 Operational Performance 4 Outlook 5 Appendix 16

POLISH MACRO OUTLOOK GDP growth (% yoy) Inflation (CPI % yoy) Unemployment rate (%) 1,60 1,40 3,30 3,90 2,80 3,60 3,7 0,9 0,0 1,4 13,4 13,4 11,4 9,7 8,3 8,0-0,9-0,6 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F End of period End of period FX rate (EUR/PLN) NBP reference rate (%) WIBOR 3M (%) 4,26 4,26 4,42 4,35 4,25 4,13 4,07 4,15 2,50 2,00 1,50 1,50 1,75 2,71 2,06 1,72 1,73 1,99 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F End of period Source: GUS, National Bank of Poland, Reuters. Forecasts based on Alior Bank internal estimates. End of period End of period 17

POLISH BANKING SECTOR GROWTH OF THE MAIN BALANCE SHEET FIGURES Assets Loans +3,9% 1 569 1 577 1 609 1 600 +6,3% 1 631 1 663 1 670 1 711 1 733 +2,2% +6,3% 1 074 1 090 1 108 1 105 1 097 1 136 1 142 1 163 1 167 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Feb'17 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Feb'17 Equity Deposits 169 166 +5,6% +4,6% 172 174 179 179 182 184 187 +6,6% +7,6% 1 066 1 080 1 111 1 115 1 151 1 168 1 182 1 212 1 239 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Feb'17 Source: PFSA, in PLN bln Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Feb'17 18

ALIOR BANK CONTINUES ITS MARKET SHARE EXPANSION Deposits MARKET SHARE Loans 3,9% 5,1% 5,1% 3,6% 4,9% 5,1% Q1'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q1'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Alior s deposits as well as gross loans according to published financial statements. Non financial loans for sector loans data. Sector loans for Q1 17 as of the end of Feb 17. Deposits QUARTERLY GROWTH (%) Loans Total Retail Corporate ALIOR Market ALIOR Market ALIOR Market DEC 15 7,1 4,9 5,4 4,3 10,2 7,0 MAR 16 6,4-0,1 8,8 2,6 2,1-7,5 JUN 16 6,1 3,2 5,4 2,3 7,4 5,5 SEP 16-1,5 0,8-2,6 0,7 0,5 1,0 DEC 16 37,2 5,2 33,9 3,8 43,1 9,5 MAR 16-1,7-1,3 0,6 1,3-5,3-8,3 Total Retail Corporate ALIOR Market ALIOR Market ALIOR Market DEC 15 5,4 0,4 5,4 1,0 5,6-0,7 MAR 16 6,1 1,3 5,7 0,6 6,6 2,7 JUN 16 4,5 2,2 4,9 2,6 4,1 1,5 SEP 16 3,1 1,0 3,8 0,5 2,1 1,9 DEC 16 31,3 0,7 28,7 1,3 34,8-0,5 MAR 16 4,7 1,1 2,3 0,1 7,6 1,5 19

ALIOR BANK INCOME STATEMENT SNAPSHOT in PLN m Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Interest income 663 694 724 858 893 Interest expense -251-250 -233-259 -253 Net interest income 412 444 491 599 640 Dividend 0 0 0 0 0 Fee and commission income 138 137 135 180 215 Fee and commission expense -51-61 -59-89 -78 Net fee and commission income 87 76 76 92 137 Trading result 58 73 78 111 73 Net gain (realized) on other financial instruments 11 10 0 1 0 Other operating income 15 19 16 63 32 Other operating costs -5-18 -13-16 -15 Net other operating income 11 0 3 47 17 Gain on bargain purchase of core BPH 0 0 0 508 0 General Administrative Expenses -277-287 -297-706 -489 Impairment losses -176-173 -199-252 -212 Banking tax -21-32 -35-43 -50 Gross profit (loss) 106 111 118 357 118 Income tax -26-29 -31 13-35 Net profit from continuing operations 80 82 87 369 82 - attributable to equity holders of the parent 80 82 87 369 82 - attributable to non-controlling interests 0 0 0 0 0 Net profit 80 82 87 369 82 20

ALIOR BANK BALANCE SHEET SNAPSHOT 31 Mar 16 30 Jun 16 30 Sep 16 31 Dec 16 31 Mar 17 Cash and balances with Central Bank 666 726 1 285 1 083 1 781 Financial assets held for trading 360 402 310 420 387 Financial assets available for sale 6 008 8 505 5 394 9 358 6 517 Investment securities held to maturity 2 2 Hedging derivatives 161 54 62 72 61 Receivables from banks 524 1 337 656 1 366 517 Loans and advances to customers 32 738 34 136 35 089 46 278 48 403 Assets pledged as collateral 226 563 1 008 367 493 Property, plant and equipment 224 218 214 486 484 Intangible assets 390 393 405 516 531 Non-current asset held for sale 1 1 1 1 0 Prepayment on account of the purchase of BPH shares 0 0 1 465 0 0 Current income tax receivables 313 344 388 531 565 Current 0 0 0 0 0 Deferred 313 344 388 531 565 Other assets 414 362 318 730 678 TOTAL ASSETS 42 026 47 042 46 597 61 210 60 420 Financial liabilities held for trading 339 299 233 298 294 Financial liabilities measured at amortized cost due to banks 404 1 017 1 163 429 537 Financial liabilities measured at amortized cost due to customers 35 802 37 990 37 432 51 369 50 517 Hedging derivatives 1 0 0 6 12 Provisions 15 12 12 287 268 Other liabilities 895 739 674 1 439 1 271 Income tax liabilities 31 19 26 14 46 - Current 31 19 26 13 45 Subordinated loans 938 1 165 1 164 1 165 1 161 Liabilities, total 38 424 41 240 40 704 55 007 54 107 Equity 3 602 5 801 5 878 6 203 6 313 Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent 3 600 5 800 5 877 6 202 6 312 Share capital 727 1 293 1 293 1 293 1 293 Supplementary capital 2 591 4 172 4 172 4 186 4 186 Revaluation reserve 23-3 -14-72 -44 Other capital 185 184 184 184 184 Foreign currency translation differences 0 0 0 0 0 Undistributed result from previous years -5-7 -7-7 611 Current year profit/loss 80 162 249 618 82 Non-controlling interests 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 42 026 47 042 46 582 61 210 60 420 21

ALIOR BANK SHAREHOLDING Largest free float among Polish financials institutions 25,19% PZU SA 61,74% Free float 4,13% PZU Życie SA & TFI PZU SA* 8,94% Aviva OFE Aviva BZWBK * * on the basis of number of shares registered on Extraordinary GSM which took place on April 21, 2017. 22

ALIOR BANK NEW LOANS SALES IN RETAIL & SME Retail loans (new production per quarter) 2 850 2 705 78 79 2 270 2 273 2 253 2 415 2 010 44 49 55 70 550 591 1 641 46 1 530 529 459 456 481 90 55 556 562 526 1 407 1 697 1 765 1 742 1 865 2 077 2 179 990 949 Other retail Mortgages for real estate Cash loans Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Corporate loans (new production per quarter) 5 365 3 055 2 621 988 581 1 161 1 923 243 737 528 1 053 1 158 1 151 3 444 659 818 2 991 3 007 516 535 3 389 3 571 695 759 773 713 930 910 1 966 1 703 1 758 1 764 1 901 1 595 1 045 2 725 Other corporate Investment loans Working capital facility Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 New production defined as any opening of a new credit account / credit line. Renewals are included in corporate loans sale. Other retail includes: loans for purchase of securities, credit card borrowings loans, other mortgage loans. Other corporate includes: credit card borrowings loans, car loans, other receivables, factoring. Meritum Bank loans sales included as from Q3 15. Q4 16 excluding CoreBPH, Q1 17 including CoreBPH. 23

ALIOR BANK CUSTOMER BASE in ths. 3 084 132 4 115 4 110 188 188 Corporate clients 2 952 3 927 3 922 Retail clients Q1 16 Q4 16 Q1'17 24

9,2 ALIOR BANK & T-MOBILE PARTNERSHIP IN POLAND Revenue growth PLN m +40% 12,8 Q1 16 Q1 17 370 Credit portfolio PLN m +58% 586 Q1 16 Q1 17 Strong profitable growth 40% revenue increase QoQ 58% increase of credit portfolio Joint offers & bundles allowing to benefit from telco-banking synergies (new pre-paid & mix current account bundle) Be mobile new Travel Credit Card offer Continuous innovation Next enhanced functionalities of Mobile application launched in Q1 2017. New Internet Banking platform: Omnichannel and user centered design approach offering coherent experience on desktop, tablet, and mobile banking Two factor authorization assuring highest security standards and comfort (no need to use sms codes) Global search engine can look for anything from operations history to functions you need Group tranfers, allow to make few payments at once with single authorization Other features include: personalized home screen, pre-defined notifications, floating shortcut button and many more. 25

ALIOR BANK HEADCOUNT FTEs evolution -2,2% ; -226 10 245 10 019 4 417 3 792 Outlets 5 828 6 227 Headquaters 2016 1Q'17 26

CONTACT DETAILS Please direct all inquiries to: relacje.inwestorskie@alior.pl +48 22 417 3860 IR unit head: Piotr Bystrzanowski piotr.bystrzanowski@alior.pl 27

DISCLAIMER This document has been prepared by Alior Bank S.A. (the Bank ) solely for use at the Presentation. Any forward looking statements concerning future economic and financial performance of the Company contained in this Presentation are based on Financial Statement of the Bank for Q1 2017. Bank does not accept any responsibility for using any such information. The distribution of this document in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law. This document may not be used for, or in connection with, and does not constitute, any offer to sell, or an invitation to purchase, any securities or other financial instruments of the Bank in any jurisdiction in which such offer or invitation would be unlawful. Persons in possession of this document are required to inform themselves about and to observe any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the securities laws of any such jurisdiction. Information given in this presentation should not be considered as an explicit or implicit statement or the provision of any type submitted by the Bank or persons acting on behalf of the Bank. Furthermore, neither the Bank nor persons acting on behalf of the Bank are under any terms of liability for any damage, which may arise, as a result of negligence or other reasons, in connection with the use of this Presentation or any information contained therein, nor for injury, which may arise in another way in connection with the information forming part of this Presentation. 28