Q FMG RISING 6 FUND

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Transcription:

Access the World s Fastest Growing Economies Q2 2015 FMG RISING 6 FUND

The Opportunity The FMG Rising 6 Fund offers exposure to the world s most exciting emerging markets; China, India, Russia, the Middle East, Africa and Latin America. The combined regions comprise of a number of opportunities: Sustainable economic growth rates which are significantly greater than developed economies; Nearly 4 bn people which constitutes some 60% of the global population; Covers about half the world s land mass; A majority of the populations are under the age of 25; Fast growing middle class with an increasing appetite for consumer goods. Yet the Rising 6 regions only represents 20% of world s stock market capitalization. Source: The World Bank, CIA World Fact Book, Bloomberg

Geography and Demography Latin America Central & South America including the Caribbean are comprised of 22 nations, almost 13% of the earth s land surface area, and a population of around 600 mn people. The three largest countries are Brazil, Mexico and Colombia. Middle East An economically diverse region that includes the oil-rich GCC economies as well as the developing countries in North Africa. Positive demographics with 50% of the population under the age of 20. Africa 54 countries with a young and fast growing population. Large work force relative to many developed and emerging economies. Median age is 20 compared with 30 in Asia and 40 in Europe. India India has a young population which along with continued urbanization creates increased consumer demand and stable domestic growth. Nearly 50% of India s population is below the age of 25 and 65% is below 35. Russia Russia is the world s largest country geographically covering eleven time zones and it is almost twice the size of the US. 142 mn people live in Russia where almost 11 mn live in Moscow. Russia has the second largest middle class in Europe with 70 mn people. China China s population is over 1.3 bn, the largest of any country in the world. It is forecast that the Chinese middle class may grow to approximately 700 mn people, roughly 50% of the population. Source: The World Bank, CIA World Fact Book

FMG RISING 6 FUND Fundamentals Latin America Tremendous growth Diverse exports Domestic consumption Wealth of natural resources Huge infrastructure development India Stable democracy Young educated population Domestically driven economy Huge growing middle class Urbanization Middle East Positive demographics Young educated population Uncorrelated stock markets Export economy: oil & gas China Stable government Large economic surplus Huge growing middle class Urbanization Africa Young and growing population Incomes improving via new tech Minerals and agricultural focus Overlooked stock markets Russia Stable government Export economy: oil & gas Young educated population Large existing retail market Low total debt/gdp Source: CIA World Factbook, IMF World Economic Database

Economy Russia is the world s 10th largest economy and the 6 th largest in purchasing power parity terms. In 2014 the real GDP growth was 0.6%. Sovereign debt is less than 8% of GDP. Natural resources still account for about half the Federal Budget revenue. India s economic edge is its thriving young population of educated workers benefiting from top notch sectors such as IT, pharmaceuticals, manufacturing and banking. By 2050 India is expected to comprise roughly 40% of global middle class consumption. China has the world s 2 nd largest economy and almost 20% of the global population. China is also expected to be the world s largest car manufacturer within a decade. It is predicted that China will surpass Japan in consumer spending by year end. Africa s economic reforms are taking place pushing growth higher. Over the past two decades economic growth has exceeded population growth resulting in increased wealth creation. Growth is supported by a very favorable demographic profile. Most countries have manageable inflation rates. MENA s sovereign wealth funds are estimated to hold roughly US$ 2 tn in assets. The region s growth rate is surpassed only by Asia and Sub-Sahara Africa. MENA has large F/X reserves and low debt levels which provide support for GCC countries. Being the world s 6 th largest economy, Brazil plays a key role in the economic and political landscape of Latin America. But in addition, countries like Mexico, Chile, Colombia and Peru are growing fast with increasing, attractiveness on the international investment scene. Sources: Bloomberg, CIA World Factbook, IMF World Economic Database

Stock Market 700 600 MSCI Emerging Markets Index MSCI World Index 500 400 300 200 100 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Why Invest in the Rising 6 Stock Markets? Source: Bloomberg The Rising 6 stock markets are fast becoming the driver of global growth. The stock markets of the Rising 6 regions are expected to grow two to three times faster than the markets in the developed world according to IMF estimates. In general investors are still underweight emerging markets. Corporate profits tend to grow faster when economic growth is high. Another benefit for investors is the diversification the Rising 6 markets provide. They tend to perform not in lock step with developed markets and have been successful at decoupling from the greater, longer term woes, of developed countries.

Risks As the middle class keeps expanding, people may require more from their leaders which may lead to frictions between the people and their governments; Corruption and inefficiency are still issues in some emerging markets; Democratic governance continues to gather momentum across emerging markets; There have been more concerted and cohesive regional efforts to counter or resolve conflicts; Political risk in emerging markets as a whole has been declining which sets the stage for long term growth;

Did You Know It is estimated that by 2020 China will be the world s largest car market Brazil is the largest country in South America and the fifth largest nation in the world. Brazil is one of the world s leading producers of hydroelectric power India has a larger film industry than the US and Canada combined Russia is the world s number one exporter of natural gas Africa consists of 54 countries, 26 stock markets, a population exceeding 1bn and a land mass 3x the size of the US Source: The World Bank, CIA World Fact Book, Bloomberg, IMF World Economic Database

FMG Rising 6 Fund The Fund s objective is to capture the mid to long term growth potential using topdown macro analysis and long term quantitative timing models for the six economies identified in the FMG Rising 6 Fund namely; Asia/China, India, Russia, Africa, the Middle East and Latin America. The investment manager applies timing models to determine allocations between the regions. A lower limit of 10% and upper limit of 25% will be utilized for any of the six target areas. The Fund is well diversified geographically and among industry sectors. FMG considers diversification and fund liquidity an integral element of the portfolio management process. The Fund is open to retail investors, daily traded and UCITS compliant, making it an ideal investment for a broad exposure to emerging markets. Regional Exposure China 24% India 19% Cash 17% Russia 13% Africa 9% MENA 9% Mexico 9% Minimum Investment Class I: EUR 1,000,000 Class R: EUR 100 (or the equivalent for either class) Currencies EUR GBP JPY NOK SEK USD Dealing Daily Subscription Fee Up to 5% Annual Management Fee Class I: 1% p.a. Class R: 1.75% p.a. Subscription Notice Period 1 Business Day Redemption Notice Period 1 Business Day Fund Launch January 2011 Share Classes & ISIN Class I USD: LU0574464805 Class I EUR: LU0574464474 Class I GBP: LU0574464557 Class I JPY: LU0574464987 Class I NOK: LU0574464714 Class I SEK: LU0574464631 Class R USD: LU0574464128 Class R EUR: LU0574463666 Class R GBP: LU0574463740 Class R JPY: LU0574464391 Class R NOK: LU0574464045 Class R SEK: LU0574463823 Administrator Apex Fund Services Auditors Deloitte Custodian ING Regulator CSSF (Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier, Luxembourg) Q2 2015 Note that this is a marketing document. For detailed descriptions of the terms and conditions, including investment restrictions, as well as brief descriptions of certain risks associated with investing, please refer to the fund s prospectus and offering memorandum.

Floor 6, Airways House, Gaiety Lane, Sliema, SLM 1549, Malta Tel: +356 2131 4011 - Fax: +356 2014 1203 e-mail: malta@fmgfunds.com www.fmgfunds.com ASIA & LATIN AMERICA Johan Kahm Tel: +46 8 545 06 180 e-mail: johan@fmgfunds.com EUROPE Fredrik Edensvärd Tel: +46 8 545 06 180 e-mail: fredrik@fmgfunds.com MEDITERRANEAN, AFRICA & MIDDLE EAST Erik Nelson Tel: +356 2131 4011 e-mail: erik@fmgfunds.com Disclaimer: This summary is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy. Citizens or residents of the United States may not invest in this Fund. Opinions and estimates constitute the manager s judgment and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investments in Emerging Markets should be considered high risk where a portion or total loss of capital is conceivable. No assurance can be given that the investment objective will be achieved or that an investor will receive a return of all or part of his/her initial capital, and investment results can fluctuate substantially over any given time period. Please refer to the Fund s prospectus which contains brief descriptions of certain risks associated with investing in the fund. FMG funds or funds marketed by FMG are aimed at experienced investors and you have to fit in this category to be able to invest in such funds. Questions should be directed to your local representative or financial advisor. This document may not be reproduced, distributed, or published for any purpose without the prior written consent of the manager.