First Quarter 2017 Earnings Release May 2, 2017

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Transcription:

First Quarter 2017 Earnings Release May 2, 2017 Craig Arnold

Forward-looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Information This presentation or the comments we make on our call today contain forward-looking statements concerning, among other matters, performance of our worldwide end markets, second quarter 2017 net income and operating earnings per share, expected organic revenue, segment margins, tax rate and foreign currency exchange impact; full year 2017 net income and operating earnings per share, segment margins, capital expenditures, cash flow, tax rate, corporate expenses, projected revenue growth, foreign currency exchange impact, share repurchases and the costs and benefits associated with planned restructuring actions. These statements should be used with caution and are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are outside the company s control. The following factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements: unanticipated changes in the markets for the company s business segments; unanticipated downturns in business relationships with customers or their purchases from us; competitive pressures on sales and pricing; unanticipated changes in the cost of material and other production costs, or unexpected costs that cannot be recouped in product pricing; the introduction of competing technologies; unexpected technical or marketing difficulties; unexpected claims, charges, litigation or dispute resolutions; strikes or other labor unrest; the performance of recent acquisitions; unanticipated difficulties integrating acquisitions; new laws and governmental regulations; interest rate changes; stock market and currency fluctuations; war, civil or political unrest or terrorism; and unanticipated deterioration of economic and financial conditions in the United States and around the world. We do not assume any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. This presentation includes certain non-gaap measures as defined by SEC rules. A reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP equivalent is provided in the investor relations section of our website at www.eaton.com. 2

Highlights of Q1 Results Net income and operating earnings per share of $0.96, above midpoint of guidance by $0.11 Sales of $4.8B, up 1%, the first quarter of positive revenue growth since Q4 of 2014 Organic revenue up 2% Forex impact of (1)% Segment operating margins of 14.4% Excluding restructuring costs of $17M, segment operating margins 14.8% Record Q1 operating cash flow of $463M Share repurchases of $255M in quarter Increased dividend in February by 5% to $0.60 per share 3

Comparison to Q1 Guidance Operating EPS Reconciliation vs. Guidance Midpoint of guidance $ 0.85 Higher organic revenue 0.11 Lower negative Forex 0.01 Lower restructuring spending 0.01 Higher corporate expense (0.02) Q1 2017 Operating EPS $ 0.96 4

Financial Summary (M) 1Q 17 1Q 16 V 16 Sales $4,848 $4,813 1% Segment Operating Profit as Reported 699 669 4% Acquisition Integration Charges (1) (1) Segment Operating Profit 700 670 4% Segment Operating Margin 14.4% 13.9% 50 bps Restructuring Costs (17) (59) Segment Operating Margin, excluding restructuring costs 14.8% 15.1% 30 bps Net Income 432 404 7% Sales Growth: Organic 2% Net income per share assuming dilution $0.96 Forex (1)% Operating earnings per share $0.96 Total 1% 5

Electrical Products Segment (M) 1Q 17 1Q 16 V 16 Sales $1,712 $1,680 2% Operating Profit as Reported 297 271 10% Acquisition Integration Charges (1) --- Segment Operating Profit 298 271 10% Operating Margin 17.4% 16.1% 130 bps Restructuring Costs (3) (17) Operating Margin, excluding restructuring costs 17.6% 17.1% 50 bps Sales Growth: Organic 3% Forex (1)% Total 2% Orders up 3%, driven by growth in Americas and EMEA In Americas, residential and lighting orders particularly strong In EMEA, strength in industrial controls 6

Electrical Systems & Services Segment (M) 1Q 17 1Q 16 V 16 Sales $1,333 $1,342 1% Operating Profit as Reported 155 159 3% Acquisition Integration Charges --- (1) Segment Operating Profit 155 160 3% Operating Margin 11.6% 11.9% 30 bps Restructuring Costs (2) (10) Operating Margin, excluding restructuring costs 11.8% 12.7% 90 bps Sales Growth: Organic 0% Forex (1)% Total (1)% Orders flat, with declines in Americas and EMEA offset by strength in APAC Continued weakness in large industrial projects and oil and gas markets negatively impacting margins 7

Hydraulics Segment (M) 1Q 17 1Q 16 V 16 Sales $587 $551 7% Segment Operating Profit 60 41 46% Operating Margin 10.2% 7.4% 280 bps Restructuring Costs (9) (16) Operating Margin, excluding restructuring costs 11.8% 10.3% 150 bps Sales Growth: Organic 9% Forex (2)% Total 7% Orders up 22%, with growth in all geographic regions, particularly APAC Order strength from both OEMs and distribution 8

Aerospace Segment (M) 1Q 17 1Q 16 V 16 Sales $428 $445 4% Segment Operating Profit 79 80 1% Operating Margin 18.5% 18.0% 50 bps Restructuring Costs (1) (4) Operating Margin, excluding restructuring costs 18.7% 18.9% 20 bps Sales Growth: Organic (1)% Forex (3)% Total (4)% Orders up 2% - Strength in commercial transports and aftermarket, military rotorcraft, and business jets - Weakness in military transports and fighters 9

Vehicle Segment (M) 1Q 17 1Q 16 V 16 Sales $788 $795 1% Segment Operating Profit 108 118 8% Operating Margin 13.7% 14.8% 110 bps Restructuring Costs (2) (12) Operating Margin, excluding restructuring costs 14.0% 16.4% 240 bps Sales Growth: Organic (2)% Forex 1% Total (1)% 2017 NAFTA Class 8 truck build forecast flat with 2016 Light vehicle markets outside the U.S. have been slightly stronger than our original expectations 10

For 2017, We Now Expect Organic Revenue Growth of 1% 3% Segment Prior Guidance Current 2017 Organic Growth Change From Prior Guidance at Midpoint Electrical Products 1% - 3% 2% - 4% 1% Electrical S & S (2)% - (4)% 0% - (2)% 2% Hydraulics 0% - 2% 6% - 8% 6% Aerospace 1% - 3% 1% - 3% --- Vehicle 0% - 2% 0% - 2% --- Total 0% 1% - 3% 2% 11

Update on Restructuring Actions 2017 $M Q1 Actual Q1 Plan Q2 Plan 2 nd Half Total Restructuring Costs $20 $26 $40 $40 $100 For FY 2017, total restructuring costs of $100M and incremental annual benefits of $155M remain unchanged 12

Segment Operating Margin Expectations Original 2017 Guidance* Update to 2017 Guidance* Electrical Products 18.3% - 18.9% --- Electrical Systems and Services 13.2% - 13.8% --- Hydraulics 10.9% - 11.5% 11.3% - 11.9% Aerospace 19.1% - 19.7% --- Vehicle 14.8% - 15.4% --- Eaton Consolidated 15.5% - 16.1% --- * includes net impact of restructuring actions in 2017 13

2017 Guidance 2017 Full Year Outlook* $4.45 - $4.75 Operating EPS / Net Income Per Share, up $0.15 from prior guidance Organic Revenue Growth 1% - 3% Forex $(150)M Segment Operating Margins 15.5% - 16.1% Corporate Expenses (interest, pension, other corporate) Flat with 2016, excluding $70M insurance income in Q4 Tax Rate 9.5% - 10.5% Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow $2.6B - $2.8B $2.1B - $2.3B Capex $525M Share Repurchases 2 nd Quarter Outlook ~$750M $1.05 - $1.15 Operating EPS / Net Income Per Share Organic revenues expected to increase 1% - 2% versus Q2 2016 Forex expected to be (1.5)% Segment margins between 15.2% and 15.6%, including restructuring cost Tax rate of 8% - 9% * Does not include any impact related to recently announced JV with Cummins expected to close in Q3 2016 Eaton. All Rights Reserved.. 14

Summary Evidence that a number of end markets are returning to growth Increasing our 2017 organic growth outlook from flat to 1%-3% growth Restructuring program remains on track to deliver $155M of incremental benefits in 2017 Raised full year operating and net income guidance by $0.15 at midpoint to $4.45 - $4.75; at midpoint of new guidance, operating earnings per share grows 9% over 2016 Record cash flow in Q1 Repurchased $255M in shares in Q1 Remain on track for $750M of share repurchases in 2017 Announced joint venture with Cummins for automated transmissions on April 10 th 15

16

APPENDIX

Restructuring Program Cost and Benefits $M 2015 2016 2017 2018 Total Program Cost Benefit Cost Benefit Cost Benefit Cost Benefit Cost Benefit Actual $(129) $78 $(211) $210 Current Plan $(100) $155 --- $75 $(440) $518 Regular Ongoing Restructuring $(60) $30 Total program are costs now estimated at $440M over three years, yielding $518M of cumulative benefits In 2017, restructuring actions expected to deliver $266M incremental profit versus 2016 ($155M incremental expected benefits plus $111M lower costs) In 2018, the program expected to deliver $175M incremental profit versus 2017 ($75M incremental benefits from 2017 actions and $100M lower year-to-year costs) 2016 Eaton. All Rights Reserved.. 18