Agenda. 1. Highlights FY 2013 Results. 2. Financials. 3. Conclusion

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Transcription:

1 March 2014

Legal Disclaimer Information in this presentation may involve guidance, expectations, beliefs, plans, intentions or strategies regarding the future. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. All forward-looking statements included in this release are based on information available to Dufry AG (the Company ) as of the date of this release, and we assume no duty to update any such forward-looking statements. Factors that could affect the Company s forward-looking statements include, among other things: global GDP trends, competition in the markets in which the Company operates, unfavorable changes in airline passenger traffic, unfavorable changes in taxation and restrictions on the duty-free sale in countries where the company operates. 2

Agenda 1. Highlights FY 2013 Results 2. Financials 3. Conclusion 3

1. Highlights FY 2013 Results 4

Key Figures FY 2013 Results (CHF million) 1,200 900 600 300 0 Turnover EBITDA 1,021 931 847 883 793 790 724736 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 (CHF million) 300 200 168 133 140 122 125 114 98 100 85 2012 2013 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Turnover grew by 13% to CHF 3,572 million Organic growth of 3.0% Acquisitions of 11.1% Gross margin of 59.0% 90 basis points of improvement in like-for-like retail EBITDA of CHF 511 million EBITDA margin reached 14.3% Net cash flow generated from operations increased by 14% to CHF 435 million Free cash flow of CHF 295 million Turnover Growth Components 9M'13 Q4'13 FY'13 Like for Like 1.8% 4.5% 2.4% New Concessions, net 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% Organic Growth 2.4% 4.8% 3.0% Acquisitions 11.6% 9.5% 11.1% Growth at Constant FX 14.0% 14.3% 14.1% FX effect -0.3% -2.5% -0.8% Reported Growth 13.7% 11.8% 13.3% EBITDA Growth and Margin 2013 / 2012 9M Q4 FY EBITDA growth '13/'12 7.3% 9.4% 7.8% EBITDA margin 14.4% 14.2% 14.3% 5

Highlights FY 2013 (1/2) Expansion in Brazil on track São Paulo Terminal 2 expansion Arrival shop opened in August, 2013 Departure shop opened in March 2014 New Terminal 3: Plans for opening in May, 2014 Brasília, Natal and Viracopos Expand into new channels, e.g. border shops duty free Launch duty paid opportunity Bring Hudson concept to Brazil Dufry Shopping in Brasília with its first mega store concept Increase in Duty Free allowance in Brazil Process progressing 6

Highlights FY 2013 (2/2) Expansion in Asia ongoing Operations opened in Indonesia, Sri Lanka and Kazakhstan Further openings to come in Taiwan, China and South Korea in H1 2014 Refurbish and expand operations at airports in Athens, Thessaloniki, Rhodes and Crete in H1, 2014 Hudson International expansion Integration of Hellenic Duty Free largely completed ahead of schedule Acquisition of the remaining 49% of the business Transaction will provide additional synergies Further streamlining the Group s logistics More efficiencies on the purchasing processes Reduced financing costs due to new term loan at group level substituting local financing Pro Forma Cash EPS 2013 with 100% HDFS at CHF 7.15 New Logistics/Procurement organization Trading update 7

Performance by Region FY 2013 EMEA & Asia America I Turnover growth 50% 48% 46% 44% 49% 45% 47% Turnover growth 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 8% 42% 40% CHF EUR based on local currencies 0% -2% 0% -1% CHF USD based on local currencies America II United States & Canada 8% 6% 6% 11% 10% 10% Turnover growth 4% 2% 0% -2% Turnover growth 9% 8% 7% 6% 8% -4% -6% -4% -5% CHF USD based on local currencies 5% 4% CHF USD 8

Dufry s Global Strategy United States & Canada Turnover: CHF 876.1 million Retail Space: 61,895 sqm America I Turnover: CHF 768.5 million Retail Space: 60,641 sqm EMEA & Asia Turnover: CHF 1,174.1 million Retail Space: 70,009 sqm America II Turnover: CHF 692.2 million Retail Space: 16,151 sqm Dufry Growth Strategy 1. Duty Free: EMEA & Asia, America II and alternative channels 2. Hudson News International 3. Expansion in duty paid general and specialty in locations where we are operating 9

Like for-like Growth International PAX Growth in 2013 Evolution of the Int l PAX Forecasts 2014 2015 2016 14% EUROPE 5.0% 1.9% 2.5% 11% AFRICA 5.3% 2.9% 3.0% 8% ASIA/ PACIFIC 7.6% 7.2% 6.6% 5% 2% -1% 3.6% -0.8% 8.6% 10.4% 4.1% 4.1% World Average 5.2% MIDDLE EAST 12.9% 10.4% 9.4% LATIN AMERICA 4.6% 5.6% 5.3% NORTH AMERICA 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% WORLD 5.4% 4.2% 4.3% Source: ACI Source: Air4casts (26/01/2014) Historic & Forecast GDP and Passengers Growth 200 180 CAGR = 5.1% (03-12) 160 140 120 CAGR = 3.9% (03-12) 100 80 PAX GDP 10

New projects / Expansions in 2013 Additional Signed Retail Space: 24,000sqm Selected Signed Projects sqm # of shops EMEA & Asia 5,116 EMEA & Asia DF shop at Kinmen Wind Lion Plaza, Taiw an 2,200 1 America I America II 1,765 DF shops at Lagos Airport, Nigeria 800 2 DF shop at Busan Gimhae Airport, South Korea 378 1 13,322 America I DF w alk-through shop at San Juan Airport, Puerto Rico 805 1 United States & Canada 3,379 0 2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 to be opened in 2014 to be opened in 2015 America II DF w alk-through shops at Guarulhos Airport Terminal 3, Brazil 5,619 2 Brand boutiques DF shops at Guarulhos Airport Terminal 3, Brazil 1,408 15 Project Pipeline: 46,000 sqm EMEA & Asia 51% America I 10% America II 7% Hudson New s shop at Guarulhos Airport Terminal 3, Brazil 220 1 DF and DP shops at Brasilia Airport, Brazil 3,383 8 DF shops at Viracopos Airport, Brazil 686 2 DF and DP shops at Natal Airport, Brazil 1,179 4 United States & Canada Hudson and brand boutiques at Ronald Reagan Washington Airport, USA 594 6 Hudson stores at New York Port Authority, USA 382 10 Hudson and brand boutiques at Dallas Airport, USA 379 4 United States & Canada 32% Hudson and specialized shops at Los Angeles Airport, USA 264 7 11

Dufry s Segmentation Dufry by Product Category 2013 Dufry by Region 2013 Electronics 3% Literature and Publications 6% Tobacco goods 8% Other 4% Perfumes and cosmetics 28% EMEA & Asia 33% America I 22% Wine and Spirits 16% Luxury goods 17% Dufry by Channel 2013 Confectionary and Food 18% United States & Canada 25% Global Distribution Centers 1% America II 19% Dufry by Sector 2013 Airports 86% Duty-free 67% Border, downtown and hotels shops 6% Cruise Liners & Seaports 4% Railway Stations & Other 4% Duty-paid 33% 12

2. Financials 13

2013 Turnover Growth Components 2013 Growth Components 2013 FY '13 Q4 '13 Like for Like 2.4% 4.5% -0.8% 14% 12% New Concessions 0.6% 0.3% 10% Reported Organic Growth 3.0% 4.8% Acquisitions 11.1% 9.5% 11.1% 13.3% 8% 6% Growth at constant FX 14.1% 14.3% 3.1% -2.5% 4% FX effect -0.8% -2.5% Reported Growth 13.3% 11.8% 2.4% 3.0% 2% 0% Turnover Growth by Region Turnover by Currency 2013 PF 1 Region Turnover FY 2013 (CHF million) Turnover Growth (Constant FX) Turnover Growth (as Reported) EMEA & Asia 1,174.1 48% 49% America I 768.5 0% -1% America II 692.2-4% -5% United States & Canada 876.1 10% 8% USD 68% Other 10% Dufry Group 3,571.7 14% 13% EUR 22% 1 Pro-Forma includes turnover from HDFS from Jan to Dec 14

Foreign Exchange Development CHF / USD Development CHF / EUR Development 1.000 1.300 0.96 0.950 0.900 0.93 0.92 0.90 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.90 1.250 1.200 1.21 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.20 1.20 1.21 0.850 1.150 0.800 1.100 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014 * 2014 average until 21/02/2014 * 2014 average until 21/02/2014 FX Rate Development in 2013-5% 0% 5% Q1 1.0% 1.7% 1.2% USD/CHF Q2 Q3-3.2% -2.1% 0.6% 1.0% 2.5% 2.5% EUR/CHF Q4-3.0% -2.1% 1.8% Weighted average 15

Income Statement (CHF million) 2011 % 2012 % 2013 % Turnover 2,637.7 100.0% 3,153.6 100.0% 3,571.7 100.0% Gross profit 1,535.3 58.2% 1,856.6 58.9% 2,105.7 59.0% Concession fees (544.2) 20.6% (645.7) 20.5% (771.8) 21.6% Personnel expenses (402.6) 15.3% (474.4) 15.0% (538.1) 15.1% Other expenses (217.6) 8.2% (262.2) 8.3% (284.7) 8.0% EBITDA (1) 370.9 14.1% 474.3 15.0% 511.1 14.3% Depreciation (58.8) 2.2% (65.1) 2.1% (71.1) 2.0% Amortisation (72.7) 2.8% (103.2) 3.3% (121.8) 3.4% Other operational result (26.9) (30.1) (37.4) EBIT 212.5 8.1% 275.9 8.7% 280.8 7.9% Financial result (49.4) (78.5) (100.0) EBT 163.1 6.2% 197.4 6.3% 180.8 5.1% Income tax (28.2) (39.1) (33.2) As % of EBT 17.3% 19.8% 18.4% Net Earnings 134.9 5.1% 158.3 5.0% 147.6 4.1% Attributable to: Minority interest 23.0 35.8 54.6 Equity holders of the parent 111.9 4.2% 122.5 3.9% 93.0 2.6% Pro Forma net earnings to equity holders incl. 100% of HDFS 119.8 5.7% Note: (1) EBITDA before other operational result 16

Earnings Per Share Cash Earnings Per Share - Quarter Cash Earnings Per Share Year 3.00 2.81 8.00 7.48 7.15 2.13 2.25 6.00 6.31 (CHF) 2.00 1.00 1.72 0.82 0.99 1.43 1.64 (CHF) 4.00 2.00 0.00 Q1 '12 Q2 '12 Q3 '12 Q4 '12 Q1 '13 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 0.00 2012 2013 2013 PF 1 Note 1 Pro Forma Cash EPS with 100% HDFS Cash EPS Excluding Other Op. Results 10.00 8.58 8.00 7.06 7.16 7.30 7.57 6.09 CHF 6.00 4.50 5.07 5.08 4.71 4.00 2.00 0.00 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 17

Summary Balance Sheet - 31 December 2013 Summarized Balance Sheet (CHF million) 31.12.2012 31.12.2013 Variation PP&E 260 314 54 Intangible assets 2,033 2,734 701 Other non current assets 37 62 26 Net Working Capital 233 290 57 Other current assets 129 160 31 Equity 1,352 1,267-84 Net Debt 951 1,753 802 Non current liabilities 70 68-2 Deferred tax liabilities, net 11 107 96 Other current liabilities 307 364 57 Intangible Assets 31/12/2013 Intangible Assets Related to Acquisitions Acquisitions made in Aug/11 29% Hellenic DF Acquisition 26% Brasif Acquisition 13% Concession rights finite 56% Brands 7% Concession rights indefinite 2% Hudson Acquisition 11% Other 14% Dufry Acquisition 7% Goodwill 35% 18

Cash Flow Statement In millions CHF 2013 2012 EBITDA before other operational result 511.1 474.3 Changes in net w orking capital (25.4) (21.4) Taxes paid, other operational items (50.6) (70.4) Cash Flow from operating activities 435.1 382.5 Capex (140.3) (111.8) Free Cash Flow 294.8 270.7 Interest paid, net (90.0) (59.7) Other (88.1) (76.2) Cash Flow before transactions 116.7 134.8 Acquisitions / Business combinations / Transactions (943.0) 248.1 Change in Net Debt (826.1) 382.9 Currency translation 23.9 27.4 Change in Net Debt, incl. translation effect (802.2) 410.3 Net Debt at the begining of the period 951.1 1,361.4 at the end of the period 1,753.3 951.1 Capex Evolution Core Net Working Capital Evolution 1 Capex (CHF million) 240 200 160 120 80 40 3.2% 2.9% 68 68 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 98 92 112 3.9% 140 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% Capex (as % of Turnover) NWC (CHF million) 400 320 240 160 80 10.4% 203 6.4% 5.9% 153 153 6.4% 183 7.4% 233 8.0% 290 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% NWC (as % of Turnover) 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Capex Capex as % of Turnover 0.0% 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Core Net Working Capital NWC as % of Turnover 1 Inventories + Trade and credit card receivables - Trade payables 2 Based on PF LTM turnover adjusted for acquisitions 2-4.0% 19

Free Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Generation Free Cash Flow Yield and Margin Free Cash Flow (CHF million) 500 400 300 200 100 0-100 167% 76% 4% -30% 7% 10% 9% 327 295 271 245 229 118 123 67-44 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 200% 0% -200% -400% -600% -800% -1000% Free Cash Flow growth (as % of Turnover) Free Cash Flow Margin (as a % of Turnover) 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% 17% 13% 8% 9% 10% 6% 4% 8% -7% 14% 9% 9% 9% 8% 5% 6% 6% -5% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% Free Cash Flow Yield (as % of assets) Free Cash Flow Free Cash Flow growth Free Cash Flow margin Free Cash Flow Yield 1 2 Notes 1 as a percentage of turnover 2 as a percentage of Total Assets net of deferred tax assets, cash and cash equivalents and trade payables) 20

Financing and Covenants Debt Maturity 700 600 500 (CHF million) 400 300 200 100 267 267 355 650 613 444 Term Loan (EUR 500 million) Amortizing loan (USD 1 billion) RCF (CHF 650 million - undrawn) USD Bond (USD 500 million) 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 49% buyout of HDFS for EUR 328 million paid through a combination of cash and shares Cash portion of EUR 175 million Equity issued: EUR 153 million (1.23 million shares) to Folli Follie Group New EUR 500 million term loan Finance the EUR 175 million cash portion of the acquisition consideration Repay HDFS local bank financing in Greece of EUR 335 million New facility due in 2018 Change from the Greek local debt to generate reduction in yearly financing costs of CHF10 million on a comparable basis 21

Financing and Covenants Net Debt Evolution Covenant Evolution (CHF million) 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 1,361 1,227 276 951 1,753 (Net Debt/Adjusted EBITDA) 4.50 4.00 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 3.90 3.75 3.50 3.67 3.60 3.34 3.10 2.92 2.38 3.25 4.25 4.00 3.50 3.67 3.30 3.10 2.37 3.75 3.50 600 Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Reported Net Debt Pro-Forma adj. for Capital Increase Actual Threshold Debt by Currency - 31 Dec 2013 CHF 8% USD 58% EUR 34% 22

Equity 160 Dufry Share Price Daily Average Trading Volume in CHF 30.0 25.2 25.0 (CHF, USD) 140 120 (CHF millions) 20.0 15.0 10.0 9.3 11.3 15.6 17.3 100 Market Cap: CHF 4,400 million USD 4,900 million 80 Jan/12 Apr/12 Jul/12 Oct/12 Jan/13 Apr/13 Jul/13 Oct/13 Jan/14 5.0 0.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Note: Until 05/03/2014 Share Price (CHF) SPI (rebased to DUFN in Jan/12) Note: (1) Since April 2010 including trading volumes of Dufry AG BDR. Note: 2014 until 05/03/2014 Shareholder Structure Free Float 77.8% Shareholder Group including Travel Retail Investments and Hudson Media 22.2% 23

3. Conclusion 24

Outlook Focus on execution in 2014 Projects in Brazil T3 expansion project as well as other duty free and duty paid spaces scheduled for May 2014 Border shops duty free Asia expansion: New areas recently announced to be opened in the first half of 2014 Expansion projects in Greece Second phase of the Hudson roll-out internationally Logistics/Procurement project: Implementation on track Fundamentals for the travel retail industry continue solid International passengers to grow 5.4% 25

Thank You! Bali Ngurah Rai International Airport, Indonesia 26