Investor Call Annual Results 2016

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Transcription:

Investor Call Annual Results 2016 April 27th, 2017 Michael Frick Corporate EVP and CFO Philipp Kuckuck VP Corporate Finance 1

Disclaimer This presentation was prepared with reasonable care. However, no responsibility can be assumed for the correctness of the provided information. In addition, this document contains summary information only and does not purport to be comprehensive and is not intended to be (and should not be construed as) the sole basis of any analysis or other evaluation. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, targets, estimates and opinions contained herein. By accepting this presentation you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of the Company and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of the potential future performance of the Company s business. This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information on the business development of MAHLE. These statements are based on assumptions relating to the development of the economies of individual countries, and in particular of the automotive industry, which we have made on the basis of the information available to us and which we consider to be realistic at the time of publication. The estimates given involve a degree of risk, and the actual developments of e.g. sales, results and financial situation may differ from those forecasted. We do not update forward-looking statements retrospectively. Such statements are valid on the date of publication and can be superseded. This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to subscribe for, or purchase any bonds issued by and neither this presentation nor anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. This presentation does not contain or constitute an offer of, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or subscribe for, securities to any person or in any jurisdiction to whom or in which such offer or solicitation is unlawful. The information contained in this presentation is not for publication, release or distribution in the United States, Australia, Canada or Japan and, subject to certain exceptions, the securities referred to herein may not be offered or sold in the United States, Australia, Canada or Japan or to, or for the account or benefit of, any national, resident or citizen of Australia, Canada or Japan. 2

Highlights Successful execution of dual strategy with focus on existing market position and future mobility trends New record sales in 2016, but earnings were burdened by higher R&D expenses and non-recurring effects Numerous product innovations for alternative powertrains well positioned to benefit from growth of e-mobility market MAHLE will be a driver of e-mobility, just as it is already in the conventional market today. Continued alignment of business portfolio through strategic M&A activities 3

Market trends and strategic positioning Increasing diversity of powertrain solutions in a growing market Base Scenario: global light vehicle production (up to 6 tons, in million units) Gasoline will still represent main fuel type in 2030 74 1.3% 21.5% 8.8% 68.4% 93 0.6% 2.6% 104 101 108 1.9% 6.7% 10.2% 6.6% 17.0% 23.8% 20.4% 16.8% 6.0% 12.9% 7.5% 5.4% 10.8% 5.4% 68.9% 68.7% 58.1% 49.9% Electric Vehicle (EV) / Fuel Cell Vehicle (FCV) Full Hybrid Electrified (FHEV) / Plug in Hybrid Electrified (PHEV) Diesel E85/100, Compressed Natural Gas Gasoline Significant global reduction of diesel Further reduction of fuel consumption via high-efficiency engines and increasing electrification Growing powertrain complexity drives demand for integrated system solutions Alternative powertrains need specific thermal management solutions (e.g. for EV and FCV) Potential to increase sales per vehicle, especially with hybrids 2010 2016 2022 2025 2030 4 Source: IHS 02/2016 for 2010/2015, MAHLE research for 2021/2025

Market trends and strategic positioning Future world scenarios influencing our strategic approach Green planet CHIndia Powertrain Mix Well-to-wheel Green zones Statutory regulations Asian growth Localization Price aggressive suppliers Mr. Roboto Autonomous driving Car sharing Connected Cars LV volume reduction Base Scenario 2030 New Order Mega suppliers with strong E/E competence (Tier 0.5) Margin pressure Built to print 5

Market trends and strategic positioning Dual strategy 1 Strengthen our existing market position 2 Shape the future in a changing mobility world HVAC Highly efficient combustion engines Emerging Markets MAHLE Startups Thermal management Commercial Vehicles & Off-Highway Aftermarket Electric drives & Power electronics Electric auxiliaries 6 HVAC: Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning

Market trends and strategic positioning Enhancements of our traditional components are key to e-mobility Conventional Powertrain Components for e-mobility Cooling Module ICE Battery Cooling Plate Mechanic AC Compressor Electric AC Compressor HVAC HVAC + Heating Electric Power Steering Electric Power Steering 7 HVAC: Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning

Market trends and strategic positioning Higher R&D expenditure Integrated R&D drives system solutions R&D expenses (EUR mn) 552 657 336 5.6% 5.7% 5,1% 4.8% 5,2% 5,6% 4,8% 753 5,6% 6.1% 2013 2014 2015 2016 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% Industry wide unique combination of products and continuously increasing cooperation of business units Strengthen existing market position E-Bike Motor R&D expenses % of sales Traction Motor with integrated Electronics Higher R&D mainly for Thermal Management and Mechatronics for alternative powertrains Almost 6,000 researchers with at least one patent registered per day Shape the future in a changing mobility world Electric AC Compressor 8

Market trends and strategic positioning Globally diversified top 10 customers account for around 55% of sales Top 5 European customers MAHLE provides solutions for current and future powertrains and is supplier to all major OEMs worldwide Top 5 North American customers The largest two customers VW and GM are representing around 20% of MAHLE s annual sales Approx. 17% of the automotive sales are related to heavy duty and truck business Top 5 Asian customers E-mobility customers MAHLE was awarded for several contracts with well-known e-mobility customers 9

Market trends and strategic positioning Strategic alignment of business portfolio Recent Acquisitions Recent/Ongoing Divestments NAGARES, Spain Control electronics Focus on core business areas Industrial filtration Sale of non-core business O-Flexx, Germany Thermoelectrics Continuous development of products for future mobility Strengthening system solution products Forging activities Sale of non-core and capital intensive production process Engine development facility, USA Investment Focus: Thermal Management/ Mechatronics/ Electrification Turbochargers Planned sale of turbocharger business BMTS (JV with Bosch) required market position not yet achieved 10

Financial results 2016 Sales up 7% to a new record of 12.3 bn Euro MAHLE Group Key financials 2016 Sales EUR 12,321.8 mn EBITDA EUR 1,079.3 mn EBIT EUR 472.8 mn R&D ratio 6.1% Net income EUR 63.0 mn Equity ratio 33.9% Net debt / EBITDA 1.1x Employees 76,632 Organic sales growth of 3.4%, outperforming last years growth rate and full-year guidance Net income margins under pressure mainly due to non-recurring effects, e.g. impairment of JV Financial ratios within conservative target ranges Successful deleveraging as anticipated despite weaker earnings 11

Financial results 2016 Sales driven by organic growth and M&A Sales (EUR mn) 13.000 12.000 11.000 10.000 9.000 8.000 7.000 6.000 5.000 11,486-104 -0.9% Exchange rate effects +7.3% +528 +4.6% M&A +384 12,322 +3.4% Organic growth 2015 2016 ¹ ¹ Incl. BilRUG effect 2015: The effect from a change in the definition of sales was adjusted for the disclosure of organic growth. This new regulation complies with the requirements of the German Implementation Act (BilRUG) and had an effect of almost EUR 27 million for the 2015 business year. 12

Financial results 2016 MAHLE is present in all global core markets enhancing its well-balanced footprint NORTH AMERICA Sales: EUR 3,267 mn (+12.1%) Employees: 15,578 (+1.9%) Production locations: 29 Development locations: 4 26.5% +1.1pp EUROPE Sales: EUR 6,119 mn (+4.7%) Employees: 34,601 (-1.2%) Production locations: 68 (-6) Development locations: 5 49.7% -1.2pp ASIA / PACIFIC Sales: EUR 2,316 mn (+10.6%) 18.8% AFRICA Sales: EUR 48 mn (+2.9%) 0.4% Employees: 16,061 (+8.7%) Production locations: 54 Development locations: 5 +0.6pp SOUTH AMERICA Sales: EUR 572 mn (-2.2%) 4.6% Employees: 1,054 (+15.3%) Production locations: 2 Development locations: - Employees: 9,338 (-3.2%) Production locations: 13 Development locations: 1-0.5pp Countries with MAHLE production locations Development locations Note: Figures as of Dec 31, 2016, Sales by country of origin, Employees by region, incl. development locations and sales branches 13

Financial results 2016 Balanced BU portfolio Significant growth impulse from Thermal Management and Mechatronics business Sales split by business segments 2016 (2015) Profit Centers 15.3% (14.6%) Aftermarket 7.3% (7.3%) Thermal Management 34.8% (32.7%) Division Mechatronics 3.0% (2.8%) Total: EUR 12.3 bn Engine Systems and Components 21.8% (23.5%) Filtration and Engine Peripherals 17.8% (19.1%) Besides integration of recent acquisitions organic growth in both Thermal Management and Mechatronics of 6-7% MAHLE is the worlds second largest automotive supplier in the area of Thermal Management Automotive sales which relate to light vehicle combustion engine components account for less than 50% of group sales 14

Financial results 2016 EBITDA stable but margins under pressure due to non-recurring effects EBITDA (EUR mn) 1,022 1,093 1,079 EBIT impacted by higher R&D expenses 771 11.1% 10.3% 9.5% 8.8% German GAAP regulates the amortization of goodwill and purchase price allocation amounting to 1.2% of group sales 2013 2014 2015 2016 EBITDA EBITDA margin EBIT (EUR mn) 514 511 473 422 6.1% 5.2% 4.5% 3.8% Net income declined to EUR 63 mn Impairment of JVs Higher tax rate due to higher nondeductible expenses Confirmation of antitrust penalty of EUR 62.1 mn, having no negative earnings effect as enough accruals were built 2013 2014 2015 2016 EBIT EBIT margin 15

Financial results 2016 Equity ratio and net debt within target range Equity (EUR mn) 2,207 36.0% 2,555 2,667 2,722 37.8% 34.0% 33.9% 33% Stable equity position Net debt reduction due to strong cash flow from operations 2013 2014 2015 2016 Equity Equity ratio Net debt* (EUR mn) 1,407 1,226 701 581 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.7 2013 2014 2015 2016 2.0 Commitment to implicit investment grade rating Improved financing profile after successful implementation of new syndicated loan facility at better terms (EUR 1.6 bn; 5 year maturity with options for prolongation) Net debt Net debt / EBITDA * Net debt = liabilities to banks + bonds cash in hand, bank balances and checks 16

Financial results 2016 Strongly improved free cash flow Cash flow development 2016 (EUR mn) Mainly investments in property, plant, and equipment RoW -575.2 Asia/ Pacific Europe 131.3 Cash funds at the beginning of the period Incl. short term liabilities & excl. cash on banking accounts > 3 months +855.7 Cash flow from operating activities Cash flow from investing activities -266.0-47,1 Cash flow from financing activities +15.4 FX and consolidation effects *Calculation: Cash flow from operating activities cash flow from investing activities 161.2 Cash funds at the end of the period Incl. short term liabilities & excl. cash on banking accounts > 3 months North America Improved cash flow from operating activities due to reduced Working Capital Repayment of debt worth EUR 266 mn as anticipated Positive free cash flow* of EUR 280 mn 17

Financial results 2016 Well balanced maturity profile and diversified funding mix with different debt instruments MAHLE has continuously increased and diversified its investor base Liquidity backstops EUR 1,600 mn RCF maturing Jul, 2021 (2022/2023) Refinancing of matured Schuldschein in 2016/2017 with further Schuldschein planned Total financial liabilities: EUR 1,622 mn (incl. liabilities to banks, bonds and certain other liabilities) Other liabilities to banks include ancillary facilities in Mexico and Turkey as well as bilateral loan agreements in Brazil, India and Japan 0 436 605 102 300 500 192 42 109 0 136 15 150 65 74 124 136* 94 29 36 12 3 5 74 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2024 Other liabilities to banks (EUR 436 mn) Bonds (EUR 829 mn) SSD (EUR 357 mn) * EUR 108,7 mn of other liabilities to banks represent short-term drawdowns from RCF maturing in 2021 RCF = Revolving Credit Facility SSD = Schuldscheindarlehen 18

Outlook Global vehicle production expected to grow however uncertainty remains due to political risks Production of Medium and Heavy Duty Vehicles and Buses (>6t) [in thousand pcs.] Production of Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles [in million pcs.] World market Europe North America South America Forecast 2018 96.0 +1.2 % Forecast 2017 94.8 +1.8 % 22.1 +1.0 %² 21.9 +1.7 %1 17.8 +1.4 % 17.5-1.5 % 3.1 +4.9 % +6.7 % Middle East / Africa 1 Forecast 2018 Forecast 2017 Europe North America 2.9 Asia/Pacific World market (incl. Middle East/Africa) 50.3 +0.5 % 50.0 +2.8 % 2.7 +11.7 % 2.4 +4.1 % Comparison Forecast 2017 with Actual 2016 South America Asia/Pacific 3,361-1.3 % 3,404 +4.3 % 660 +3.1 %² 640 +0.5 %1 583 +8.6 % 536 +3.8 % 108 +11.9 % 97 +10.0 % 2,009 2,130-5.7 % +5.3 % ² Comparison Forecast 2018 with Forecast 2017 Source: Includes data provided by IHS, www.ihs.com; Copyright [2017], LV and MHD Production April 4th 2017 19

Appendix Investor Relations contacts Philipp Kuckuck Vice President Corporate Finance Pragstr. 26-46 70376 Stuttgart Germany Verena Sigel Head of Group Financing and Investor Relations Investor Relations: Email: investor.relations@mahle.com Internet: http://www.mahle.com Stefanie Hesse Corporate Finance and Investor Relations 20

Company Overview Group structure reflects diversified product portfolio (As of Dec 31, 2016) BUSINESS UNITS DIVISION Engine Systems and Components Filtration and Engine Peripherals Thermal Management Aftermarket Mechatronics Sales: EUR 2,683 mn Sales: EUR 2,191 mn Sales: EUR 4,293 mn Sales: EUR 899 mn Sales: EUR 374 mn Employees: 28,293 Employees: 10,796 Employees: 22,767 Employees: 1,555 Employees: 3,243 PROFIT CENTERS Sales: EUR 1882 mn Employees: 9,978 Compressors Engineering Services, Motorsports, and Special Applications Large and small Engine Components Industrial Thermal Management Control Units Front-end Modules 21

Company Overview MAHLE strives to be among the top 3 players in its key business areas (Light vehicles 6 tons) Engine Systems and Components Filtration and Engine Peripherals Thermal Management Pistons #1 Oil Filter Module #1 HVAC Module 1) #3 Piston Rings #1 Air Intake Module #1 Radiator / Condenser #2 Bearings #4 Air Cleaner #2 A/C Compressor #5 Camshafts #4 Cylinder Head Cover #1 Engine Cooling Module 2) #2 Valves #6 Oil Coolers #2 Charge Air Cooler #1 Main competitors Federal Mogul, Rheinmetall Automotive, Riken, Daido Mann & Hummel, Denso, Elring Klinger, Sogefi Denso, Valeo, Hanon, Modine, Calsonic Kansei 1) HVAC = Heating, Ventilation, Air Conditioning, 2) w/o inhouse assembly of customers 22 Source: MAHLE Market Share Survey 2016

Company Overview Income statement (key figures) in million EUR ACTUAL ACTUAL 1-12/2015 1-12/2016 in % of sales in million EUR in % of sales CHANGE in million EUR Sales 11,486.1 100.0% 12,321.8 100.0% 835.7 Cost of sales and other income and expenses -10,393.5-90.5% -11,242.4-91.2% -848.9 EBITDA 1,092.6 9.5% 1,079.3 8.8% -13.3 Depreciation / amortization of tangible and intangible assets (incl. goodwill) & longterm loans and securities -581.4-5.1% -606.6-4.9% -25.2 EBIT 511.2 4.5% 472.8 3.8% -38.4 Investment result -80.9-0.7% -148.3-1.2% -67.4 Result from interest (incl. pensions) -121.4-1.1% -96.4-0.8% 25.1 Result from activities 308.9 2.7% 228.1 1.9% -80.8 Taxes on income -155.8-1.4% -132.2-1.1% 23.7 Result after taxes on income 153.0 1.3% 95.9 0.8% -57.2 Other taxes -30.6-0.3% -32.9-0.3% -2.2 Net income 122.4 1.1% 63.0 0.5% -59.4 23

Company Overview Assets ACTUAL 12/31/2015 in million EUR % in million EUR ACTUAL 12/31/2016 % CHANGE in million EUR Intangible assets 771.4 9.8% 630.7 7.9% -140.7 Property, plant, and equipment 2,888.4 36.8% 3,029.0 37.7% 140.7 Financial assets 152.3 1.9% 90.0 1.1% -62.4 Inventories 1,242.3 15.8% 1,268.8 15.8% 26.5 Receivables and other assets 2,239.6 28.5% 2,350.3 29.3% 110.8 Cash and cash equivalents 310.0 4.0% 372.5 4.6% 62.4 Prepaid expenses 23.2 0.3% 20.9 0.3% -2.3 Deferred tax assets 165.9 2.1% 196.2 2.4% 30.2 Plan assets 55.5 0.7% 73.6 0.9% 18.1 Total 7,848.8 100.0% 8,032.1 100.0% 183.3 24

Company Overview Equity and liabilities ACTUAL 12/31/2015 in million EUR % in million EUR ACTUAL 12/31/2016 % CHANGE in million EUR Equity 2,667.3 34.0% 2,721.9 33.9% 54.7 Badwill 1.9 0.0% 1.5 0.0% -0.4 Accruals for pensions and similar obligations 544.0 6.9% 575.3 7.2% 31.4 Other accruals 1,412.9 18.0% 1,462.5 18.2% 49.6 Bonds 829.0 10.6% 829.0 10.3% 0.0 Liabilities to banks 887.3 11.3% 769.3 9.6% -118.0 Trade payables 1,096.5 14.0% 1,256.8 15.6% 160.3 Other liabilities 410.0 5.2% 415.6 5.2% 5.7 Total 7,848.8 100.0% 8,032.1 100.0% 183.3 25

Company Overview Abbreviated cash flow statement [in million EUR] ACTUAL ACTUAL 1-12/2015 1-12/2016 CHANGE Cash funds at beginning of period 421.0 131.3-289.7 Cash flows from operating activities 638.0 855.7 217.6 Cash flows from investing activities -1,223.8-575.2 648.6 Cash flows from financing activities 335.9-266.0-601.9 Total cash flow -249.9 14.5 264.4 Change in cash funds from exchange rate movements and valuation procedures -46.5 18.9 65.4 Change in cash funds from changes in the consolidation group 6.6-3.5-10.2 Cash funds at end of period 131.3 161.2 29.9 26