Roadshow Presentation London, March 15-16, Lothar Lanz, CFO & COO Daniel Fard-Yazdani, Deputy Head of IR

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Transcription:

Roadshow Presentation London, March 15-16, 2012 Lothar Lanz, CFO & COO Daniel Fard-Yazdani, Deputy Head of IR

Disclaimer This document, which has been issued by Axel Springer Aktiengesellschaft (the "Company"), comprises the written materials/slides for a presentation of the management. Whilst all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information and facts stated herein are accurate and that the opinions and expectations contained herein are fair and reasonable no representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of the Company, any of its directors, or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this document and no liability is accepted for any such information or opinions. This document contains forward looking statements which involves risks and uncertainties. These forward looking statements speak only as of the date of this document and are based on numerous assumptions which may or may not prove to be correct. The actual performance and results of the business of the Company could differ materially from the performance and results discussed in this document. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements or other information contained herein whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. This document does not constitute or form any part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any shares in the Company, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision in relation thereto. 2

Axel Springer: Successful transition to digital Axel Springer in 2004 Axel Springer in 2011 Our Vision Digital 2% Digital 31% 1) Europe s leading integrated multimedia company Print 98% Print 69% 50% digital 50% print Strong brands Digital activities represent 31% 1) of revenues and 27% of EBITDA in 2011 1) Pro forma for acquisitions 3

Axel Springer with highest reach among Europe s top media companies European media peers (in m unique visitors) 1. Axel Springer AG 63.7 2. 3. 4. BBC Sites Schibsted Hubert Burda Media 33.4 32.1 34.8 5. 6. 7. 8. ProSiebenSat1 Sites RTL Group Sites Gruner+Jahr Sites Groupe Lagardere 26.9 26.4 23.4 21.8 9. 10. Vivendi Holtzbrinck 13.0 17.2 Source: comscore top 100 properties, December 2011 4

FY 2011: digital advertising revenues higher than German print advertising revenues Advertising revenues in m Advertising revenues in % of group revenues 900 800 700 600 688 679 643 791 26% 23% 25% 500 400 559 19% 20% 300 337 13% 200 100 0 2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011 Newspapers & magazines Digital Newspapers & magazines Digital 5

Germany represents a unique newspaper market Key themes in German market BILD vs TV shows 2), reach in m Strong circulation revenues in Germany Higher proportion of total revenues than in other countries More resilient than in the UK and the US Potential for regular cover price increases Higher share of younger readers 12.1 I m a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here! 7.4 Les restos du coeur 12.5 American Idol 23.9 7.7 Coronation Street 11.4 No free sheets Strong position of BILD with 80% 1) market share BILD 2.3 L Equipe 3.7 WSJ The Sun 1) Including Berlin newsstand newspaper B.Z.; market share based on paid circulation of newsstand newspapers 2) UK: TV reach for Coronation Street, BARB (Broadcasters Audience Research Board) week ending Jan 29 th 2012; average reach of Sun between Jan-Jun 2011 NRS (National Readership Survey); USA: MRI Spring 2011, Nielsen Television - TV Ratings for Primetime Jan 2011 Nov 2011, American Idol Wednesday; France: Daily newspapers: EPIQ-Study 2010/2011, TV: Viewers 4J.+ Mediametrie 2011 Mediamat annuel; Germany: Average (2011) for I m a celebrity..., Viewers age 14+, AGF/GFK-TV Panel, ma 2012 Pressemedien I (Germany+EU) 6 6

Axel Springer is Germany s leading print publisher German newspaper market Print category Axel Springer core brands Axel Springer market share 1) 1.9% Newsstand papers No. 1 80% 7.4% 19.3% National Sunday newspapers No. 1 84% 71.4% National quality papers No. 3 17% Regional subscription papers 2) No. 1 87% No. 2 34% Regional subscription papers Newsstand papers National Sunday papers National quality papers Magazines No. 3 13% 1) Based on paid circulation IVW I-IV 2011 2) Figures based on regional markets accordingly (Hamburg (according to market share): N 2 Bergedorfer Zeitung, N 3 Harburger Anzeigen und Nachrichten, Berlin (according to circulation): N 1 Berliner Zeitung, N 3 Tagesspiegel) 7 7

Strong platform for international expansion share of international revenues at 33% Ringier Axel Springer Media Individual countries Digital Czech Republic Poland Switzerland Spain France Slovakia Serbia Hungary 1) Combining reach of No. 1 tabloid positions in all JV countries Goal: Further growth and digitization in CEE Russia India Country-by-country approach Strong media portfolios and market positions in each country International roll-out of successful digital business models (partly without physical presence) Making use of network effects and economies of scale 1) Filing of cartel authorization withdrawn in May 2011, further options regarding new filing currently under evaluation. 8

Digital strategy along core competencies Core Competencies Content portals Audience Advertisers Classifieds / Marketplaces Performance marketing Cross-synergies between core competencies increase revenues and profitability 9

Execution of digital strategy: Add-on acquisitions as well as organic expansion Content portals Classifieds / Marketplaces Acquisition in 8/11 - Secures No. 1 market position in combination with sofeminin.co.uk Launch in 07/11 as satellite of BILD.de Classifieds/ Marketplaces Classifieds / Marketplaces Acquisition in 6/11 - Minority stake in leading South-East Asian real estate portal Acquisition in 10/11 - A-Gites (holiday home rentals) Acquisition in 9/11 - No. 2 position in French car classifieds market Acquisition in 12/11 - Majority interest in Visual Meta (platforms for online stores) Performance marketing Classifieds / Marketplaces Acquisition in 6/11 - Secures No. 1 market position in combination with existing zanox business in Benelux; plus expansion in Turkey, Poland, Switzerland and Brasil Acquisition of kaufda in 03/11 expansion in France under bonial -brand 10

Premium content initiative Successful on different channels Top selling Apps 2011 1 2 5 12 Source: Apple App Store - Germany, top grossing ipad apps 2011 (over all categories) 11

Growth initiative in the online classifieds business with strategic partnership Transaction structure 70% 30% Axel Springer Digital Classifieds Consolidation of the online classifieds business within a new, independent company Classifieds / Marketplaces Enterprise value of 1.25bn Axel Springer will be the majority shareholder, with a 70% stake General Atlantic to be partner in the new company with a 30% interest Objective: international growth 12

Sale of 30% stake in Digital Classifieds: Axel Springer receives 375m in the next years Deduction Enterprise value Loans of AS AG to JV HoldCo Equity value Direct and indirect payment from GA to AS (30% of 1.25bn) Repayment of the GA-part of the loans assumed by AS (30% of 460m) Purchase price payment in cash by GA (30% of 790m) 1.25bn - 460m = 790m 375m - 138m = 237m Contribution of the three classifieds businesses into the JV HoldCo by AS AS provides 460m loans to JV HoldCo at attractive interest conditions for AS by conversion of receivables 13

Financial performance

FY 2011: Axel Springer with EBITDA on all-time high Revenues (in m) EBITDA (in m) 2,894 3,185 511 593 17.6% 18.6% 2010 2011 2010 2011 Digital Print EBITDA margin EBITDA 15

Increasing EBITDA contribution from international and digital business EBITDA (in m) Newspapers National Magazines National Print International Digital Media EBITDA -margin 28% 27% 20% 25% 24% 13% 16% 11% 21% 22% 3% 7% 4% 15% 16% 1) 7% 6% 9% 12% 16% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 364 349 244 296 283 158 74 89 55 101 103 11 28 12 61 74 1) 14 21 43 86 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1) Excluding dividend payment from P7S1 ( 23m) 16

Operating segments show strong margins (in m) Newspapers National Magazines National Print International Digital Media 2011 2010 yoy 2011 2010 yoy 2011 2010 yoy 2011 2010 yoy Revenues 1.164,9 1.194,2-2.4% 468.1 486.1-3.7% 473.5 400.9 +18.1% 962.1 711.8 +35.2% Circulation 617.6 616.7 +0.1% 315.8 325.7-3.0% 271.0 231.9 +16.9% - - - Advertising 515.0 544.7-5.5% 128.4 134.1-4.2% 172.3 147.0 +17.2% 791.2 559.0 +41.5% Other 32.4 32.8-1.3% 23.9 26.3-9.3% 30.2 22.1 +37.0% 170.9 152.9 +11.8% EBITDA 282.7 296.0-4.5% 103.2 101.0 +2.2% 73.8 61.5 +20.0% 158.1 85.8 +84.2% Margin 24.3% 24.8% 22.0% 20.8% 15.6% 15.3% 16.4% 12.1% 17

Net income increases in 2011 in m 2011 2010 343.3 Net income 289.4 274.1 274.1 289.4 283.2 Non recurring-effects 1) 12.2-17.1 Effects of purchase price allocations 54.7 33.6 Taxes attributable to these effects -13.1-7.3 Adjusted net income 343.3 283.2 Thereof attributable to non-controlling interests 44.3 27.4 Adjusted net income attributable to shareholders of Axel Springer AG 299.0 255.8 2010 2011 2010 2011 Adjusted for significant non-operating items Weighted average number of shares outstanding (in m) 2) Adjusted eps (in ) 98.5 3.03 98.5 2.60 1) Previous year: Non-recurring effects and other non-operating effects. 2) Based on weighted average number of shares outstanding in 2011. 18

Comfortable financial situation Net finanical debt / liquidity 1) (in m) Attractive refinancing secured 79.6 12/31/10 12/31/11 Current credit line 1.5bn secured until 2012 1.0bn thereof extended until 2013 Margin between 15bp and 32.5bp -472.8 Bonded loan Targets Volume 300m Maturity of 4/6 years Secure additional attractive financing conditions 1) Excl. pension liabilities (12/31/10: - 389m; 12/31/11: - 327m) and treasury shares (12/31/10: 0.6m shares; 12/31/11: 0.3m shares) 19

Free cash flow / dividend Free cash flow (in m) Dividend volume (in m) 299.3 293.9 Dividend 1) ( /share) 0.40 0.48 0.57 1.17 1.33 1.47 1.47 1.60 1.70 157 168 107 122 131 131 37 45 52 2010 2011 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2) 1) Based on new number of shares after 3 for 1 share split in June 2011 2) Dividend proposal for business year 2011, subject to approval by AGM 2012 20

Outlook 2012 REVENUES Single digit increase yoy REVENUES EBITDA GROUP Circulation Advertising Other < 2011 > 2011 > 2011 SEGMENTS Newspaper National Magazines National Print International 2011 < 2011 < 2011 < 2011 < 2011 < 2011 EBITDA Slight increase yoy Digital Media Services / Holding > 2011 > 2011 < 2011 < 2011 21

Backup - Financials FY 2011

Axel Springer with EBITDA on all time high in m Revenues Circulation Advertising Other EBITDA Margin 2011 3,184.9 1,204.5 1,606.8 373.5 593.4 18.6% 2010 2,893.9 1,174.3 1,384.8 334.8 510.6 17.6% yoy +10.1% +2.6% +16.0% +11.6% +16.2% +1.0pp Revenues up 10.1% yoy, adjusted for consolidation effects +3.9% Circulation revenues up, adjusted slightly down by -0.6% Advertising growth driven by digital media, adjusted for consolidation effects up by 6.6% EBITDA on all-time high and EBITDA margin up from 17.6% to 18.6% 23

Continued cost discipline across the group in m Personnel Purchased goods and services Other operating Total Costs 2011 851.6 1,055.7 783.9 2,691.1 2010 792.9 950.6 773.9 2,517.4 yoy +7.4% +11.1% +1.3% +6.9% Total costs up by 173.8m, mainly due to consolidation effects and below revenue development Adjusted for consolidation effects, total costs up by 3.3% mainly due to organic revenue growth of digital media and increased paper costs Increase in personnel costs mainly driven by build-up in digital Purchased goods and services costs up mainly due to growth in digital businesses and higher paper prices 24

Newspapers National: EBITDA margin at 24.3% in m Revenues Circulation Advertising 2011 1,164.9 617.6 515.0 2010 1,194.2 616.7 544.7 yoy -2.4% +0.1% -5.5% Circulation revenues stable, supported by BILD copy price increase in May 2011 Advertising revenues down yoy in line with expectations Other EBITDA 32.4 282.7 32.8 296.0-1.3% -4.5% EBITDA down yoy in line with expectations, but EBITDA margin still strong at 24.3% Margin 24.3% 24.8% -0.5pp 25

Magazines National EBITDA on all-time high in m Revenues Circulation Advertising 2011 468.1 315.8 128.4 2010 486.1 325.7 134.1 yoy -3.7% -3.0% -4.2% Total revenues down by 3.7%, adjusted for portfolio changes down by 1.8% Circulation revenues down by 3.0%, adjusted down by 1.1% Other EBITDA Margin 23.9 103.2 22.0% 26.3 101.0 20.8% -9.3% +2.2% +1.2pp Advertising revenues down by 4.2%, adjusted down by 2.9% Strong EBITDA margin of 22.0% 26

Print International: Higher revenues and EBITDA increase in m Revenues Circulation Advertising 2011 473.5 271.0 172.3 2010 400.9 231.9 147.0 yoy +18.1% +16.9% +17.2% yoy adjusted 1) -4.2% -4.0% -6.0% Revenues growing by 18.1%, adjusted for consolidation effects down by 2.6% Advertising markets developed less favorably in H2/11 Other EBITDA Margin 30.2 73.8 15.6% 22.1 61.5 15.3% +37.0% +20.0% +0.2pp +5.6% -20.1% - EBITDA improved considerably, margin slightly up EBITDA increase mainly due to the CEE JV consolidation 1) Adjusted for consolidation and foreign exchange effects 27

Digital Media: Strong and profitable growth in m 2011 2010 yoy Revenue growth of 35.2% in 2011 Revenues Advertising Other 962.1 791.2 170.9 711.8 559.0 152.9 +35.2% +41.5% +11.8% Organic growth of 20.6% in 2011 (based on pro forma revenues of 994.2m in 2011 versus 824.7m in 2010) EBITDA Margin 158.1 16.4% 85.8 12.1% +84.2% +4.4pp Pro forma revenues Digital Media at 30.9% of pro forma total revenues (2010: 27.4%) EBITDA up by 84.2%, margin up from 12.1% to 16.4% 28

Investor Relations contacts Claudia Thomé Head of Investor Relations Phone: +49 30 2591 77421 Mobile: +49 160 90445035 claudia.thome@axelspringer.de Daniel Fard-Yazdani Deputy Head of Investor Relations Phone: +49 30 2591 77425 Mobile: +49 151 52844459 daniel.fard-yazdani@axelspringer.de Axel Springer AG Axel-Springer-Str. 65 10888 Berlin Germany Fax: +49 30 2591 77422 29