AmRest Holdings SE. Q Presentation for Investors November 15th, 2013

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Transcription:

AmRest Holdings SE Q3 2013 Presentation for Investors November 15th, 2013

Teleconference Details AmRest Q3 2013 results are included in the Q3 2013 Financial Report which is available to download from Investor Relations section at: http://www.amrest.eu The recording of this Teleconference will be available at our website within 24 hours The AmRest participants: Henry McGovern Mark Chandler Wojciech Mroczyński Mateusz Gzyl Maciej Mausch Chairman of the Supervisory Board Management Board Member, Chief Financial Officer Management Board Member, Chief Strategy Officer Group Consolidation Manager IR, M&A Manager 2

Executive Summary Q3 2013 All 4 divisions contributing strong topline growth Close to 100 stores opened in the past 12 months Positive trends in profitability in both Core and Incubator businesses Signing of a new Club Deal 3

Our Restaurants Total: 719 * * 4

New Restaurant Openings 72 stores opened YTD (37 CEE, 7 Russia, 26 TAG, 1 KFC Spain, 1 Stubb s) 29 openings since the last call (18 CEE, 1 Russia, 9 TAG, 1 KFC Spain) Solid pipeline for 2013 with ca. 100 stores to be opened in total 5

Continued growth in the number of restaurants # of Restaurants 577 11 662 145 11 719 167 1 Stubb s [+23%] 122 & [1] 334 301 247 191 223 202 166 127 12 21 27 4 8 13 24 360 310 239 35 348 370 37 36 39 53 61 64 77 79 77 70 71 68 72 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-11-15 Countries of operation include Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Russia, Serbia, Bulgaria, Spain, Croatia, France, Germany, China, India and USA Data doesn t include Applebee s restaurants sold in 2012 to Apple American Group II, LLC [1] Including franchisee operated stores 6

Financial Highlights Q3 2013 Third Quarter Net Sales grew in 2013 by 15.5% Sales increased across all business segments Q3 Adjusted EBITDA fell by PLN 0.8m or 1% to PLN 88m Core markets all above last year Loss of PLN 8.5m in New Markets division Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders at PLN 7.6m Net Debt to EBITDA at the end of September is at 2.98x New bank facility signed September 10th Average maturity 4 years 7

2013 YTD Financials by Segments (PLN 000) +7.0% 1 093 037 1 169 892 +6.1% Sales EBITDA Margin 2012 2013 227 222 +25.4% 285 034 394 640 418 710 6 7 8 5 2 3 4 2012 2013 2012 2013 11.4% CEE 10.4% 12.5% Russia 11.2% 21.3% Spain 20.2% 602 +>100% 97 063 2012 2013 - New Markets - 8

Q3 2013 Financials Key Figures Thousand PLN Q2 2012 [1] Q3 2012 [1] Q4 2012 [1] Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 TTM [2] Sales 567 875 602 735 637 852 609 116 665 151 696 432 2 608 551 Sales growth [3] 4.2% 13.0% 5.9% 11.8% 17.1% 15.5% 12.6% EBITDA 68 767 81 870 147 026 52 099 54 756 77 786 331 667 EBITDA (%) 12.1% 13.6% 23.1% 8.6% 8.2% 11.2% 12.7% EBIT 23 118 38 416 87 489 5 031 2 433 30 752 125 705 EBIT (%) 4.1% 6.4% 13.7% 0.8% 0.4% 4.4% 4.8% Profit for the period [4] 9 674 25 950 47 202-7 496-13 215 7 608 34 099 Profit for the period% 1.6% 4.3% 7.4% - - 1.1% 1.3% Net debt 806 177 756 299 596 654 663 304 785 082 819 653 819 653 Net debt/ebitda 2.4 2.2 2.0 2.3 2.9 3.0 3.0 [1] Restated due to the reclassification of G&A costs connected to discontinued operations presented in line with 2012 FS; [2] Trailing 12 months; [3] The growth vs. corresponding period in the previous year; [4] Attributable to AmRest shareholders and adjusted for the Put Option valuation. Seasonality of sales: The seasonality of sales and inventories of the AmRest Group is not significant which is typical for the whole restaurant industry. On Central and East European markets. restaurants have lower sales in the first half of the year which is mainly the result of a smaller number of days of sale in February and lower number of customers in the restaurants. The United States market is characterized by stronger first half versus second half sales performance. After a period of lower sales in the summer months and a slight revival related to the Christmas season, the first half of the year is a period of increased activity in connection with the use of holiday vouchers promotional coupons and a high number of holidays. 9

Outlook Positive trends expected to continue in the current quarter La Tagliatella s international test is to continue Close to 100 openings making 2013 a record development year 10

IR contact: Maciej Mausch maciej.mausch@amrest.eu mobile +48 519 19 12 64 tel. +48 71 386 12 64 11

Backup slides

AmRest Strategy Scope Leverage our WJM culture, international capability, and superior brand portfolio to grow scalable, highly profitable restaurants globally. Our unique value proposition Through our WJM culture we will deliver delicious taste and exceptional service at affordable prices. 13

AmRest Growth Agenda Deliver 20/20+ Growth EXPAND OUR CORE DEVELOP NEW GROWTH DRIVERS CE Russia Spain La Tagliatella International M&A Performance Drivers Achieve full market penetration Extend reach in dayparts & formats Establish BK and Starbucks Leverage central kitchen concept Reduce build cost Raise margins Launch La Tagliatella globally Build factory and support infrastrcuture Develop franchise network Acquire KFC globally Optimize and expand portfolio with strategic brands & markets

Brand Portfolio #1 in Chicken 15,000 restaurants in over 109 countries #1 and the fastest growing QSR brand in the Emerging Markets Over 700 restaurants added in 2011 #1 CDR in the World Over 13,000 restaurants in over 100 countries #1 Coffee in the World 19 000 stores in over 60 countries #2 in #1 QSR category in the World Burgers. Over 12,000 restaurants in 80 countries Unique proven restaurant concept, unmatched business model, over 160 restaurants in 6 countries. Established, highly profitable, western concepts present in major Chinese cities. Unique western concept based on the authentic cowboy cuisine, present in Shanghai 15

Long Runway For Growth Population (m) Nominal GDP per Capita ($) # of KFC Stores Australia 23 65,908 610 Canada 34 50,596 700 US 312 48,409 4,750 UK 63 38,739 752 Total DM Benchmarks 431 48,091 6,812 Poland 38 13,450 177 Czech 11 20,416 63 Hungary 10 13,986 26 Total CEE 59 14,792 266 Russia 143 12,991 173 Bulgaria 7 7,284 18 Serbia 7 6,086 4 Slovenia 2 24,183 Croatia 4 14,197 4 Total REM 164 12,601 199 KFCs per 1M people 4,0 5,3 2,1 3,9 1,2 2,2 0,6 0,0 0,2 1,1 15,2 12,0 15,8 Spain: Potential to reach 200 stores International: Early stage; significant growth opportunity still being evaluated Early Stage; significant growth opportunities still being evaluated 20,4 27,1 Long-term potential for doubling the current number of KFCs in CEE and REM markets Note: Number of KFC restaurants shown for REM is total country. AmRest operates 62 of these. Store count as of Q1 2013; macro data from EIU 2011. 16

Spain / Tagliatella Snapshot Spain 85 65 +15 100 73 +20 120 85 +16 136 89 146 94 26 30 32 32 31 20 27 35 47 52 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-11-15 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-11-15 Equity Franchise International Significant international opportunity... Currently 3 equity and 4 franchise stores in France, 5 equity and 1 franchise stores in the US, 2 equity stores in India, 3 equity stores in China and Germany, 17

Guidance next 3 years Sales growth Organic growth 20% CAGR Potential M&A activity EBITDA 15% margin CAPEX Average capex per store below PLN 3 million 80 restaurants p.a + PLN 50 million maintenance capex NET Debt Bank covenants at 3.5x EBITDA Target of 2.5-3.0x EBITDA 18 11/15/201 3

EAT Factsheet Ticker EAT (AmRest) Listing WSE Free Float 27.04% Analyst Coverage Number of Employees Number of Shares Number of Restaurants Unicredit, Wood&Co, Trigon, Raiffeisen Centrobank AG, KBC Securities, IPOPEMA, ERSTE, DM PKO BP, DM Banku BPS 18,400 21.2 million 719 [1] [1] Including 99 restaurants operated by franchisees 19

2013 YTD Segment reporting 2013 YTD 2012 YTD share in sales margin share in sales margin Sales 1 970 699 1 715 501 Poland 805 605 40.9% 761 004 44.4% Czech Republic 255 377 13.0% 242 352 14.1% Other CEE 108 910 5.5% 89 681 5.2% Total CEE 1 169 892 59.4% 1 093 037 63.7% Russia 285 034 14.5% 227 222 13.2% Spain 418 710 21.2% 394 640 23.0% New Markets 97 063 4.9% 602 0.0% EBITDA 184 641 9.4% 218 990 12.8% Poland 87 889 10.9% 89 643 11.8% Czech Republic 30 362 11.9% 32 092 13.2% Other CEE 3 017 2.8% 3 315 3.7% Total CEE 121 268 10.4% 125 050 11.4% Russia 32 061 11.2% 28 354 12.5% Spain 84 437 20.2% 84 107 21.3% New Markets -41 316 - -11 215 - Unallocated -11 809 - -7 306 - Adjusted EBITDA [1] 208 389 10,6% 232 867 13,6% Poland 94 607 11,7% 96 300 12,7% Czech Republic 32 824 12,9% 31 838 13,1% Other CEE 3 835 3,5% 5 232 5,8% Total CEE 131 266 11,2% 133 370 12,2% Russia 34 839 12,2% 31 832 14,0% Spain 85 913 20,5% 84 107 21,3% New Markets -31 820 - -9 136 - Unallocated -11 809 - -7 306 - EBIT 38 216 1.9% 88 174 5.1% Poland 27 873 3.5% 34 024 4.5% Czech Republic 9 851 3.9% 8 674 3.6% Other CEE -4 755-4.4% -3 479-3.9% Total CEE 32 969 2.8% 39 219 3.6% Russia 15 195 5.3% 13 310 5.9% Spain 52 448 12.5% 54 194 13.7% New Markets -50 587 - -11 219 - Unallocated -11 809 - -7 306-20 11/15/201 3 [1] EBITDA adjusted for new openings expenses (Start-up costs) and M&A expenses all material expenses connected with successful acquisition covering professional services (legal, financial, other) directly connected with transaction.

Q3 2013 Segment reporting Q3 2013 Q3 2012 share in sales margin share in sales margin Sales 696 432 602 735 Poland 285 160 42.9% 268 598 44.6% Czech Republic 90 823 13.7% 83 774 13.9% Other CEE 39 098 5.9% 33 139 5.5% Total CEE 415 081 62.4% 385 511 64.0% Russia 98 379 14.8% 80 021 13.3% Spain 147 390 22.2% 136 896 22.7% New Markets 35 582 5.3% 307 0.1% EBITDA 77 786 11.2% 81 870 13.6% Poland 36 508 12.8% 34 861 13.0% Czech Republic 13 393 14.7% 10 858 13.0% Other CEE 939 2.4% 2 417 7.3% Total CEE 50 840 12.2% 48 136 12.5% Russia 11 307 11.5% 10 195 12.7% Spain 32 622 22.1% 27 738 20.3% New Markets -13 325 - -1 795 - Unallocated -3 658 - -2 404 - Adj. EBITDA [1] 87 611 12.6% 88 445 14.7% Poland 39 381 13.8% 36 903 13.7% Czech Republic 14 427 15.9% 11 528 13.8% Other CEE 1 146 2.9% 3 330 10.0% Total CEE 54 954 13.2% 51 761 13.4% Russia 12 131 12.3% 11 795 14.7% Spain 33 589 22.8% 27 738 20.3% New Markets -8 445 - -445 - Unallocated -4 618 - -2 404 - EBIT 30 752 4.4% 38 416 6.4% Poland 18 824 6.6% 16 396 6.1% Czech Republic 6 598 7.3% 4 102 4.9% Other CEE -976-2.5% 111 0.3% Total CEE 24 446 5.9% 20 609 5.3% Rosja 5 712 5.8% 4 776 6.0% Spain 20 934 14.2% 17 254 12.6% New Markets -11 280 - -1 796 - Unallocated -3 658 - -2 403-21 11/15/201 3 [1] EBITDA adjusted for new openings expenses (Start-up costs) and M&A expenses all material expenses connected with successful acquisition covering professional services (legal, financial, other) directly connected with transaction.

Q3 2013 Consolidated P&L Thousand PLN Q3 2013 % of sales Q3 2012 % of sales Restaurant sales 650 513 562 474 Franchise and other sales 45 919 40 261 Total sales 696 432 602 735 Company operated restaurant expenses: Food and material -212 664-30,5% -179 885-29,8% Payroll and employee benefits -138 153-19,8% -116 062-19,3% Royalties -32 942-4,7% -30 605-5,1% Occupancy and other operating expenses -203 733-29,3% -173 410-28,8% Franchise and other expenses -32 365-4,6% -29 179-4,8% General and administrative (G&A) expenses -49 609-7,1% -39 494-6,6% Impairment losses 469 0,1% -1 0,0% Other income 3 317 0,5% 4 317 0,7% Profit/(loss) from operations 30 752 4,4% 38 416 6,4% EBITDA 77 786 11,2% 81 870 13,6% Finance costs -15 332-2,2% -11 283-1,9% Income/(Cost) from put option valuation 0 0,0% -3 411-0,6% Finance income -5 215-0,7% 1 038 0,2% Income/(loss) from associates 46 0,0% 7 0,0% Income tax expense -2 727-0,4% -5 582-0,9% Profit for the period from continuing operations 7 524 1,1% 19 185 3,2% Loss on discontinued operations 0 0,0% 6 765 1,1% Profit for the period 7 524 1,1% 25 950 4,3% Attributable to: 0,0% 0,0% Non controlling interest -84 0,0% 1 643 0,3% Equity holders of the parent 7 608 1,1% 24 307 4,0% 22

EBITDA and Net profit reconciliation Thousand PLN Q3 2013 % of sales Q3 2012 % of sales Q on Q change % of change Restaurant sales 650 513 93.4% 562 474 93.3% 88 039 15.7% Franchise and other sales 45 919 6.6% 40 261 6.7% 5 658 14.1% Total sales 696 432 602 735 93 697 15.5% Net Profit for the period 7 524 1.1% 25 950 4.3% -18 426-71.0% + Income / (cost) from put option 0 0.0% 3 411 0.6% -3 411-100.0% Adjusted Net Profit for the period 7 524 1.1% 29 361 4.9% -21 837-74.4% + Finance costs 15 332 2.2% 11 283 1.9% 4 049 35.9% - Finance income 5 215 0.7% -1 038-0.2% 6 253-602.4% - Income/(loss) from associates -46 0.0% -7 0.0% -39 557.1% + Income tax expense 2 727 0.4% 5 582 0.9% -2 855-51.1% - Gain on discontinued operations 0 0.0% -6 765-1.1% 6 765-100.0% + Depreciation and Amortisation 47 503 6.8% 43 453 7.2% 4 050 9.3% + Impairment losses -469-0.1% 1 0.0% -470 - EBITDA 77 786 11.2% 81 870 13.6% -4 084-5.0% + Start-up expenses* 9 779 1.4% 6 544 1.1% 3 235 49.4% + M&A related expenses** 46 0.0% - 0.0% 46 n/a + / - Indirect taxes adjustments*** 0 0.0% - 0.0% - n/a Adjusted EBITDA 87 611 12.6% 88 414 14.7% -803-0.9% * Start-Up expenses all material operating expenses incurred in connection with new stores opening prior the opening. ** M&A expenses all material expenses connected with successful acquisition covering professional services (legal, financial, other) directly connected with transaction. *** Indirect taxes - all material adjustments for indirect taxes reported in given period but concerning prior reporting periods resulting from tax fillings adjustments. Indirect taxes are mainly VAT, land tax and other EBITDA level taxes. 23 11/15/201 3

AmRest Portfolio Countries Brands 2006-12-31 2007-12-31 2008-12-31 2009-12-31 2010-12-31 2011-12-31 2012-12-31 2013-11-15 Poland 131 139 158 188 206 256 279 300 KFC 79 85 94 110 121 150 163 177 BK 4 9 17 19 27 28 28 SBX 3 9 21 32 35 PH 52 50 55 58 57 58 56 60 Czech 43 44 62 67 75 73 83 87 KFC 43 44 53 55 58 56 62 63 BK 1 2 5 5 7 7 SBX 8 10 12 12 14 17 Hungary 17 22 22 22 21 29 34 37 KFC 5 13 15 17 16 21 25 26 SBX 3 6 7 9 PH 12 9 7 5 2 2 2 2 Russia 40 54 51 50 55 66 72 KFC 22 37 37 39 44 56 62 PH 18 17 14 11 11 10 10 Bulgaria 1 4 4 5 5 6 5 KFC 1 2 2 2 2 4 4 BK 2 2 3 3 2 1 Serbia 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 KFC 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 Croatia 1 2 4 KFC 1 2 4 Spain 152 168 177 TAGE 35 47 52 TAGF 85 89 94 KFC 32 32 31 France 2 5 7 TAGE 1 3 TAGF 2 4 4 Germany 2 3 TAGE 2 3 China 12 15 Blue Frog 10 10 Kabb 1 1 Stubb's 1 TAGE 1 3 USA 1 6 TAGE 1 5 TAGF 1 India 2 TAGE 2 Total Amrest 191 246 301 334 360 577 662 719 24