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Transcription:

04/ 08 / 2010 Specific financial information Q2 10 (based on FSF recommendations for financial transparency) We stand by you

Contents Unhedged CDOs exposed to the US residential mortgage sector CDOs of RMBS' (trading): cumulative loss rates Protection purchased to hedge s to CDOs and other assets Protection purchased to hedge s to CDOs and other assets: valuation method Exposure to counterparty risk on monoline insurers: hedging of CDOs and other assets Exposure to CMBS Exposure to US residential mortgage market: residential loans and RMBS Exposure to residential mortgage markets in Spain and the UK Commercial conduits Exotic credit derivatives Portfolio of assets bought back from SGAM Exposure to LBO financing 55

Unhedged CDOs exposed to the US residential mortgage sector CDO Super senior & senior tranches L&R Portfolios Trading Portfolios Gross at 31/12/09 4,686 1,456 Gross at 31/03/10 5,634 1,538 Gross at 30/06/10 (2) 6,167 4,213 As the s classified as AFS (gross s of EUR 119m) have been fully written down in the cost of risk, they are no longer included in the reporting. Underlying high grade / mezzanine (4) high grade / mezzanine (4) Attachment point at 31/03/10 11% 9% Attachment point at 30/06/10 (3) 11% 10% At 30/06/10 % of underlying subprime assets 43% 65% o.w. 2004 and earlier 5% 17% o.w. 2005 26% 43% o.w. 2006 8% 2% o.w. 2007 4% 3% % of Mid-prime and Alt-A underlying assets 14% 7% % of Prime underlying assets 16% 10% % of other underlying assets 26% 18% Total impairments & write-downs (Flow in Q2 10) Total provisions for credit risk (Flow in Q2 10) -2,057-2,343 (o.w. 0 in Q2 10) (o.w. -14 in Q2 10) -1,511* (o.w. -88* in Q2 10) % of total CDO write-downs at 30/06/10 58% 56% Net at 30/06/10 2,599 1,869 Exposure at closing price (2) For the L&R portfolio, the increase in outstandings vs. 31/03/10 is mainly due to the foreign exchange effect. For the Trading portfolio, in addition to the foreign exchange effect, the increase is mainly the result of the inclusion of six CDOs following the commutation of protection acquired from a monoline insurer. (3) The change in attachment points results: - upwards: from early redemptions at par value - downwards: from defaults of some underlying assets (4) 29% of the gross classified as L&R and 59% of the gross classified as trading relates to mezzanine underlying assets. * Specific provision booked for the portfolios of US RMBS CDOs classified as L&R. 56

CDOs of RMBS' (trading): cumulative loss rates Cumulative loss rates* for subprimes (calculated based on the initial nominal value) 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 10 6.1% 16.5% 39.6% 49.5% Q2 10 6.1% 16.5% 39.6% 49.5% Impact of change in cumulative losses (*) including liquidity writedown on NBI Alignment with the ABX for 2006 and 2007 vintages +10% cumulative losses for each year of production -289 The effective prime and midprime/alt-a cumulative loss assumptions represent an average of 40% and 79% respectively of the assumptions applied for subprimes 100% write-down of CDO-type underlying assets 57

Protection purchased to hedge s to CDOs and other assets From monoline insurers Jun 30th 10 Protection purchased from monolines (a) Gross notional amount of hedged instruments Gross notional amount of protection purchased Fair value of hedged instruments Fair value of protection before value adjustments against CDOs (US residential mortgage market) 1,869 1,869 781 1,088 against CDOs (excl. US residential mortgage market) 2,279 2,279 1,908 371 against corporate credits (CLOs) 8,167 8,167 7,939 228 against structured and infrastructure finance 1,277 1,410 1,144 221 Other replacement risks 586 O.w. Dont EUR 0,8 bn 0.8bn EUR de of underlying sous-jacent subprime assets (vintages: (Prêts originés 2007: en 8%, 2007 2006: : 8%, 32%, 20062005 : 32%, and 2005 before: et années 60%) antérieures : 60%) (a) Au T2-10, 1,1 bn EUR de protections acquises auprès d'un assureur monoline ont été commutées (a) In Q2 10, EUR 1.1bn of protection acquired from a monoline insurer was commuted Total 2,494 From other counterparties Fair value of protection purchased from other large financial institutions (multiline insurers and international banks): EUR 205m mainly corresponding to corporate bonds and hedges of CDOs of structured RMBS until the end of 2005. Other replacement risks (CDPCs): net residual : EUR 0.2bn Fair value of protection before adjustments: EUR 0.4bn for a nominal amount of EUR 3.3bn Value adjustments for credit risk: EUR 122m Purchase of hedge covering 39% of the underlying 58

Protection purchased to hedge s to CDOs and other assets: valuation method CDOs on the US residential mortgage market Application of the same methodologies and criteria as those used to value unhedged CDOs Corporate loan CLOs Rating of tranches hedged by monolines: 12% AAA 69% AA 19% A Distribution of underlying assets by rating: 4% BBB and above 21% BB 62% B 13% CCC and below Cumulative loss rate over 5 years applied to underlying assets: Rated on the most negative events observed over the last 30 years According to underlying asset ratings: 5% for BBB 17% for BB 31% for B 51% for CCC 100% below Weighted loss rate scenario for underlying assets: 25% after considering the maturity of assets at risk Weighted attachment point: 32% (39% after deduction of the cash available in the CLO) Weighted write-down scenario of the SG portfolio: around 3% Other assets (CDOs excluding US residential mortgage market, infrastructure finance and other structured assets) Application of methods similar to those used for CLOs Liquidity add-on for all hedged assets, reflecting the changes in the indices or spreads 59

Exposure to counterparty risk on monoline insurers (a) Hedging of CDOs and other assets In EUR bn Dec 31st 09 Mar 31st 10 Jun 30th 10 Fair value of protection before value adjustments 3.9 3.3 2.5 CC 21% AA 11% BB 6% Nominal amount of hedges purchased* -0.7-0.8-0.5 Fair value of protection net of hedges and before value adjustments 3.2 2.5 2.0 B 62% Value adjustments for credit risk on monolines (booked under protection) -2.3-1.8-1.4 Residual to counterparty risk on monolines 0.9 0.8 0.7 CC 11% D 0% AA 12% BB 10% Total fair value hedging rate 77% 77% 74% B 67% (a) Excluding defaulting counterparties: ACA from end-2007, Bluepoint at September 30th 2008 * The nominal amount of hedges purchased from bank counterparties had a EUR +157m Marked-to-Market impact at June 30th 2010, which has been neutralised since 2008 in the income statement. The rating used is the lowest issued by Moody s or S&P (at June 30th 2010) AA: Assured Guaranty BB: Radian, Syncora Capital Assurance B: MBIA CC: Ambac, CIFG, FGIC 60

Exposure to CMBS (a) Mar 31st 2010 Jun 30th 2010 Q2 10 Gross (2) Net Net Banking Net % net %AAA* % AA & A* Cost of Risk Equity Amount Income 'Held for Trading' portfolio 61 84 278 30% 0% 16% 27 - - 'Available For Sale' portfolio 148 153 277 55% 27% 44% - - 13 'Loans & Receivables' portfolio 7,170 7,756 8,292 94% 70% 24% 100 - - 'Held To Maturity' portfolio 49 48 51 95% 36% 46% - - - TOTAL 7,428 8,042 8,898 90% 66% 25% 126-13 Geographic breakdown * Sector breakdown * Europe 19% Asia 1% Warehouses 0% Healthcare 1% Others 16% Office 33% Mixed use 5% (a): Excluding exotic credit derivative portfolio presented below * As a % of remaining capital United States 80% Residential 15% Retail 30% Net of hedging and impairments (2) Remaining capital of assets before hedging 61

Exposure to US residential mortgage market: residential loans and RMBS Societe Generale has no residential mortgage loan origination activity in the US US RMBS (a) Mar 31st 2010 Gross (2) Net Net Banking Net % net %AAA* % AA & A* Amount Income Cost of Risk Equity 'Held for Trading' portfolio - 76 23 34 69% 5% 3% - 10 - - 'Available For Sale' portfolio 345 309 720 43% 3% 12% 7 4-68 'Loans & Receivables' portfolio 584 617 726 85% 9% 14% 4 - - (a) Excluding exotic credit derivative portfolio presented below * As a % of remaining capital Net of hedging and impairments (2) Remaining capital of assets before hedging Jun 30th 2010 TOTAL 853 949 1,480 64% 6% 13% - 4-68 Q2 10 Breakdown of subprime assets by vintage* Breakdown of RMBS portfolio by type* 2005 and before 24% 2006 59% 2007 17% Alt A 18% Subprime 24% Midprime 1% Prime 57% NB: Societe Generale has a portfolio of mid-prime loans purchased from an originator who defaulted (EUR 242m in the banking book net of writedowns) 62

Exposure to residential mortgage markets in Spain and the UK Societe Generale has no origination activity in Spain or the UK Spain RMBS (a) Mar 31st 2010 Jun 30th 2010 Q2 10 Gross (2) Net Net Banking Net % net %AAA* % AA & A* Amount Income Cost of Risk Equity 'Held for Trading' portfolio 3 2 24 10% 41% 6% - - - 'Available For Sale' portfolio 131 106 168 63% 42% 53% 1 - - 21 'Loans & Receivables' portfolio 257 251 297 84% 33% 67% 4 - - 'Held To Maturity' portfolio 6 6 6 100% 1% 99% - - - TOTAL 397 364 495 74% 36% 60% 4 - - 21 UK RMBS (a) Mar 31st 2010 Jun 30th 2010 Q2 10 Gross (2) Net Net Banking Net % net %AAA* % AA & A* Amount Income Cost of Risk Equity 'Held for Trading' portfolio 22 37 73 50% 0% 79% 14 - - 'Available For Sale' portfolio 66 79 136 58% 41% 41% - - 9 'Loans & Receivables' portfolio 113 108 125 87% 88% 12% - 2 - - 'Held To Maturity' portfolio 11 11 11 99% 5% 95% - - - TOTAL 211 235 345 68% 48% 40% 12-9 (a) Excluding exotic credit derivative portfolio presented below * As a % of remaining capital Net of hedging and impairments (2) Remaining capital of assets before hedging 63

Commercial conduits (1/2) Description of 4 commercial conduits sponsored by Societe Generale by type of asset ANTALIS (France) BARTON (United States) ACE AUSTRALIA (Australia) HOMES (Australia) Asset total Auto loans Trade receivables Consumer loans Equipment loans Other loans RMBS 3,233 Europe 14% 81% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 5,191 Nationality of assets US - 97% Switzerland - 3% Breakdown of assets CMBS (AAA) 22% 14% 49% 8% 6% 0% 0% 824 Australia 0% 0% 0% 0% 8% 92% (2) 0% 868 Australia 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% (3) 0% Contractual maturity of assets 0-6 months 6-12 months > 12 months Amount of CP issued Rating of CP issued 81% 0% 19% 3,275 P-1 / A-1 14% 31% 54% 5,203 P-1 / A-1 0% 0% 100% 753 P-1 / A-1+ 0% 0% 100% 872 P-1 / A-1+ TOTAL 10,116 16% 33% 25% 4% 4% 16% 2% 33% 16% 50% 10,103 - () Conduit country of issuance 38% France, 20% Italy, 14% Germany, 17% UK, 5% Spain, 3% Singapore, 3% Others 40% France, 20% Italy, 11% Germany, 16% UK, 5% Spain, 3% Singapore, 1% Netherlands, 3% Others (2) 94% AAA - 6% AA (3) (2) 96% 94% AAA --6% 4% AA AA (3) 96% AAA - 4% AA NB: the RMBS of conduits are rated, while the other underlying assets are retail assets with no external rating. 64

Commercial conduits (2/2) Societe Generale s at June 30th 2010 as a sponsor of these conduits Available liquidity line granted by Societe Generale Letter of credit granted by Societe Generale Commercial paper held by Societe Generale ANTALIS (France) 4,632 271 0 BARTON (United States) ACE AUSTRALIA (Australia) HOMES (Australia) 7,430 815 0 780 21 0 903 22 0 TOTAL 13,745 1,129 0 Conduits sponsored by a third-party Total available liquidity lines: EUR 0.4bn through 5 conduits No Commercial Papers purchased No liquidity lines granted by Societe Generale were drawn down in Q2 10 65

Exotic credit derivatives Business portfolio linked to client-driven activity Securities indexed on ABS credit portfolios marketed to investors Hedging of credit protection generated in SG s accounts by the purchase of the underlying ABS portfolio and the sale of indices Dynamic hedge management based on changes in credit spreads by adjusting the portfolio of ABS held, positions on indices and the marketed securities Net position as 5-yr equivalent: EUR -36m EUR 1.0bn of securities disposed of in Q2 10 Partial inclusion of monoline hedges (46%) following the fall in the monolines' credit ratings (stable vs. Q1 10) 38% of residual portfolio made up of A-rated securities and above Net as 5-yr risk equivalent (in EUR m) Mar 31st 2010 Jun 30th 2010 US ABS' -1,232 262 RMBS' -24 69 o.w. Prime 170 25 o.w. Midprime 498 149 o.w. Subprime -693-105 CMBS' (2) -1,299 66 Others 91 127 European ABS' -313-298 RMBS' (3) -205-200 o.w. UK -110-92 o.w. Spain -55-54 o.w. others -39-53 CMBS' (4) -87-77 Others -21-21 Total -1,545-36 Net corresponding to delta of a hedged underlying portfolio of EUR 0.9bn, o.w. EUR 0.2bn Prime, EUR 0.5bn Midprime and EUR 0.2bn Subprime (2) Net corresponding to delta of a hedged underlying portfolio of EUR 1.8bn (3) Net corresponding to delta of a hedged underlying portfolio of EUR 45m (4) Net corresponding to delta of a hedged underlying portfolio of EUR 13m 66

Portfolio of assets bought back from SGAM Excluding RMBS in the UK and Spain, and CMBS included in the aforementioned s Banking and Corporate bonds Mar 31st 2010 'Held for Trading' portfolio Amount % net 421 422 429 98% 0% 0% Other RMBS 58 52 86 61% 18% 9% Other ABS 11 10 34 28% 0% 19% CDO 68 68 162 42% 0% 28% CLO 206 215 311 69% 7% 26% Other 15 16 31 52% 0% 19% Total 779 783 1,052 74% 4% 23% Mar 31st 10 Banking and Corporate bonds Net Net Ne t 'Loans & Receivables' portfolio Ne t Amount Jun 30th 2010 Gross (2) Jun 30th 2010 Gross (2) % net %AAA* % AA & A* %AAA* % AA & A* 43 40 48 82% 0% 49% Other RMBS 148 140 161 87% 57% 43% Other ABS 102 92 109 84% 36% 60% CDO 56 50 82 61% 0% 0% CLO 132 126 155 81% 18% 47% Total 481 448 555 81% 29% 41% Mar 31st 10 Net 'Available For Sale' portfolio Amount % net 208 191 234 82% 59% 28% 159 145 181 80% 22% 55% 193 171 253 68% 4% 67% 316 297 369 80% 11% 67% 20 20 25 78% 0% 0% 896 824 1,062 78% 21% 55% Mar 31st 10 Net Net 'Held To Maturity' portfolio Net Amount Jun 30th 2010 Gross (2) Jun 30th 2010 Gross (2) % net %AAA* %AAA* % AA & A* % AA & A* 28 27 27 98% 40% 17% 60 52 52 99% 16% 84% 50 50 55 91% 0% 0% 56 51 52 99% 8% 66% 194 180 187 96% 12% 44% * As a % of remaining capital Net of hedging and impairments (2) Remaining capital of assets before hedging 67

Exposure to LBO financing (total final take and for sale) (1/2) Corporate and Investment Banking * Commitments net of specific provisions French Networks In EUR bn Mar 31st 10 Jun 30th 10 Mar 31st 10 Jun 30th 10 Final take Number of accounts 122 118 61 60 Commitments* 3.4 3.2 1.7 1.7 Units for sale Number of accounts 0 0 1 2 Commitments* 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total 3.4 3.2 1.7 1.7 Corporate and Investment Banking Portfolio-based provision for final take at June 30th 2010: EUR 145m Specific provisions for LBO accounts: EUR 148m 68

Exposure to LBO financing (total final take and for sale) (2/2) EUR 5.0bn Sector breakdown Geographic breakdown Transport 3% Energy 1% Intermediate goods 17% Utilities 3% Others 3% Construction 1% Telecoms 14% Italy 3% Other EU countries 6% Spain 6% Asia 2% Manufacturing 12% Food & agriculture 5% Services 26% Distribution 15% Germany 5% United Kingdom 9% United States 12% France 57% 69

04/ 08 / 2010 Investor Relations Tel.: +33 (0) 1 42 14 47 72 E-mail: investor.relations@socgen.com - Internet: www.investor.socgen.com We stand by you