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Transcription:

Financial Results Q1 2016 Investor Presentation 0

Key Highlights Consolidated PBT is down 9% YoY to Rs 13.9 Bn. PAT is Rs 9.0 Bn, down 9% YoY PBT is down primarily due to exceptional capital gains of Rs 2.2 Bn in Q1 15. Excluding capital gains, PBT has increased by 3% and PAT by 4% over Q1 15 Net interest income has increased by 6% to Rs 20.2 Bn Average balance sheet has grown by 15% over Q1 15 Average domestic current deposits are up 23% YoY with average domestic loan growth of 7.5% Significant expansion in PIB volumes - up 63% YoY Consequently margins are down by only 36 bps from 4.0% in Q1 15 to 3.6% in Q1 16, despite a 226 bps reduction in average interest rates. Non markup income at Rs 6.5 Bn, down 16% YoY Excluding capital gains, non mark up income is up by 12% YoY Fees and commissions have grown by 25% to Rs 4.3 Bn. Main contributors were fees related to debit and credit cards which have doubled over Q1 15. Home remittances income also exhibited substantial growth. Capital gains of Rs 0.4 Bn in Q1 16 are Rs 1.9 Bn lower YoY. This is primarily due to one-off capital gain on sale of government bonds in Q1 15 (impact Rs 1.3 Bn). Equity capital gains are also lower by Rs 0.6 Bn YoY as the stock market has remained rangebound. 1

Key Highlights Administrative expenses are up 15% (Rs 1.6 Bn) YoY to Rs 12.1 Bn, but down 6% QoQ The rise is primarily due to higher marketing expense, as a result of HBL s sponsorship of the Pakistan Super League, increase in the branch network and certain timing differences On a normalized basis, the growth in admin. expenses were contained to 8.1%. Consequently, the cost to income ratio has increased from 39.1% in Q1 15 to 45.3% in Q1 16, however, down from 45.7% in Q4 15 Provisions Provisions have reduced by 36% to Rs 0.5 Bn for Q1 16, despite additional subjective provisioning based on the Bank s conservative view on certain borrowers. Gross NPLs have increased by Rs. 1.8 Bn in Q1 16, primarily due to increase in overseas NPLs As a result, asset quality ratio has deteriorated from 10.9% in Dec 15 to 12.0% in Mar 16 primarily due to reduction in loans. The coverage ratio in Mar 16 is 88.5%. 2

Key Highlights In Mar 16, the Balance Sheet has remained flat to Dec 15 peak levels of Rs 2.2 trillion Deposits have reduced by 2% to Rs 1.59 trillion, due to 19% reduction in term deposits Domestic current deposits have increased from Rs 470 Bn in Dec 15 to Rs 472 Bn in Mar 16, current account mix now at 35.9% (Dec 15: 34.4%) Domestic average current deposits are Rs 81 Bn (23%) higher YoY Consequently, the cost of domestic deposits reduced by 157 bps to 2.8% in Q1 16 Domestic CASA ratio has improved to 89.0% in Mar 16 (Dec 15: 85.6%) Net advances reduced by Rs 50 Bn(8%) to Rs 588 Bn in Mar 16 Domestic advances have reduced by Rs 43Bn (9%) primarily due to reduction in commodity, corporate and retail loans International advances have reduced by Rs 7Bn (5%) as compared to Dec 15, primarily due to reduction in the UAE loan book 3

Balance Sheet PKR Bln Dec'15 Mar'16 Var% Cash & Bank Balances 207.7 196.8-5% Lending to Financial Institutions 18.4 11.5-37% Investments 1,270.8 1,329.2 5% Performing Advances 629.8 578.6-8% Non Performing advances - net of provision 7.6 9.0 19% Others 84.1 82.6-2% Total Assets 2,218.4 2,207.8 0% Deposits - Domestic 1,367.2 1,313.7-4% Deposits - International 267.8 281.2 5% Total Deposits 1,634.9 1,594.9-2% Borrowings 314.3 324.3 3% Subordinated loan 10.0 10.0 0% Others 76.5 88.2 15% Total Liabilities 2,035.8 2,017.4-1% Shareholders' equity 158.4 162.1 2% Non - controlling interest 1.7 1.7-1% Surplus on revaluation of assets - net of tax 22.6 26.7 18% Total Liabilities & Equity 2,218.4 2,207.8 0% 4

PKR Bln % coverage ratio Net Advances Loan portfolio composition by line of business International Advances Location wise Others 13.6% International 25.8% Corporate 45.0% Mauritius 2.5% Bangladesh 3.9% UAE 38.0% Others 5.3% Consumer 5.4% Net loans: PKR588Bn Bahrain 10.0% Oman 6.3% Net loans: PKR152Bn Agriculture 5.2% Commercial 6.5% Retail 6.8% Singapore 5.7% United Kingdom 20.2% Coverage ratio Asset quality 100 90 80 70 85% 83% 84% 83% 90% 89% 100% 95% 90% 85% 13.6% 13.9% 12.7% 12.0% 10.9% 12.0% 60 80% 50 75% 40 30 70 60 78 80 80 77 79 65 67 66 69 70 70% 65% 20 60% 10 55% - Dec'11 Dec'12 Dec'13 Dec'14 Dec'15 Mar 16 NPL Provision Held Coverage 50% Dec'11 Dec'12 Dec'13 Dec'14 Dec'15 Mar'16 5

Deposits Growth in Period End Deposits Growth in Average Deposits PKR Bln Dec'15 Mar'16 Var% PKR Bln Q1'15 Q1'16 Var% Q4'15 Var% Current 469.7 472.0 0% Current 353.1 434.3 23% 412.4 5% Saving 701.0 697.6 0% Saving 638.1 702.8 10% 687.7 2% Term 196.5 144.2-27% Term 226.2 165.5-27% 183.0-10% Domestic 1,367.2 1,313.7-4% Domestic 1,217.5 1,302.5 7% 1,283.2 2% International 267.8 281.2 5% International 250.2 271.1 8% 262.8 3% Group 1,634.9 1,594.9-2% Group 1,467.7 1,573.5 7% 1,545.9 2% CASA Ratio 82.5% 85.4% 2.9% Cost of deposits 3.8% 2.5% -1.3% 2.6% -0.1% Deposits Composition Growth in current deposits PKR Bln 600 603 31.0% 33.0% 26.7% 21.9% 17.5% 14.6% 522 42.3% 41.0% 43.9% 43.9% 45.8% 47.6% 316 411 26.7% 26.0% 29.4% 34.2% 36.7% 37.8% 249 Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Mar 16 Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Mar 16 Current Saving Term 6

Income Statement PKR Bn Q1'16 (Actual) Q1'15 (Actual) Var% Interest Income 35.705 36.829-3% Interest expensed (15.520) (17.749) 13% Net Interest Income 20.184 19.079 6% Capital Gain 0.364 2.233-84% NFI Ex Capital Gain 6.168 5.524 12% Non Interest Income 6.532 7.757-16% Gross Revenue 26.716 26.837 0% Admin Expenses (12.106) (10.485) -15% Operating Expenses (12.376) (10.793) -15% Pre Provision Operating Profit 14.340 16.044-11% Provisions (0.487) (0.762) 36% Profit Before Tax 13.853 15.282-9% Tax (4.819) (5.348) 10% Profit After Tax 9.035 9.935-9% 7

Non Fund Income PKR Mln Q1'16 (Actual) Q1'15 (Actual) Var% Fee, commission and brokerage income 4,281 3,412 25% Gain on sale of securities 364 2,233-84% Share of profit of associates and joint venture 736 812-9% Dividend income 390 390 0% Income from dealing in foreign currencies 389 705-45% Other income 371 205 81% Total non interest income 6,532 7,757-16% 8

Key Ratios Ratios Dec'15 Mar'16 Advances : Deposits 43.2% 41.0% Asset Quality 10.9% 12.0% Coverage 90.1% 88.5% Capital Adequacy 17.0% 17.0% Ratios Q1'15 Q1'16 Yield on advances 9.2% 7.9% Cost of deposits 3.8% 2.5% Net Interest Margin 4.0% 3.7% NCL ratio 0.3% 0.3% Return on average assets 2.1% 1.6% Return on shareholders' equity* 26.7% 22.3% Cost : Income ratio 39.1% 45.3% NFI : Gross revenue 28.9% 24.4% *excluding surplus on revaluation 9

No. of ATMs Non Branch Channels 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500-503 Number of ATMs 734 1,283 350 1,947 1,582 1,983 821 832 543 97 933 1,039 1,126 1,151 41 637 462 Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Mar 16 ATM Transactions Particulars Q1'15 Q1'16 Var % No. of ATMs 1,706 1,983 16.2% No. of Transactions (in million) 11.76 16.51 40.4% Total Cash withdrawal (PKR million) 104,938 152,025 44.9% Average transaction size (PKR) 8,923 9,208 3.2% On-site Off-site Average monthly no. of transactions per ATM 574 694 20.9% Internet Banking Phone Banking Particulars Q1'15 Q1'16 Var % Particulars Q1'15 Q1'16 Var % No. of Users 103,000 191,180 85.6% Total No. of transactions (in million) 225,487 347,494 54.1% Total transaction amount (PKR million) 4,606 7,790 69.1% Average transaction size 20,428 22,418 9.7% No. of Users (in million) 4.202 5.686 35.3% Total No. of financial transactions (excl. IVR) 7,553 12,411 64.3% Total transaction amount (PKR million) 166 313 88.6% Average transaction size 21,999 25,220 14.6% 10