Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P.

Similar documents
Enbridge Inc. Equity Research Earnings Update. Q1 In Line But Reducing '08 Slightly On Project Timing and Financing Needs

TransCanada Corp. Stock Price Performance. Source: Reuters All figures in Canadian dollars, unless otherwise stated

Manulife Financial Corp.

Safeway Inc. In The Sweet Spot. Stock Price Performance. Source: Reuters All figures in US dollars, unless otherwise stated.

International Paper Co.

Elbit Systems Ltd. Stock Price Performance. Source: Reuters All figures in US dollars, unless otherwise stated

Q4/16 Results Support Our Thesis

Mentor Corporation. Stock Price Performance. Source: Reuters All figures in US dollars, unless otherwise stated

Thinking Through A Possible Bump In Capital Gains Tax Rates

CIBC WM INCOME TRUST BENCHMARK INDEX METHODOLOGY

Solid Q4 As EBITDA Ahead; But Corus Is A Transition Story & Our Focus Remains On F'17

Company Rating:. U~date Sectorwighting: Enbridge Inc. OEB Refuses to BO OS^ Allowed ROE

BEP Investor Day Reinforces Our Outlook

FIRST GLANCE COMMENT. Enbridge Inc. (TSX: ENB; 36.69; NYSE: ENB) Q1/07 Results Generally In Line. Sector Perform Average Risk. Impact Neutral.

AutoZone, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY UPDATE OUTPERFORM. Quick Read: Sales a Bit Soft, But Results Solid. September 22, 2016

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. Quick Read: Weather Likely Weighed Upon Sales a Bit

Action Notes. Enbridge Inc. (ENB-T, ENB-N) C$ Impact Neutral.

Kinder Just "Trusted" Terasen: Who's Next?

Jefferies Group Another Hack Attack

Weyerhaeuser Co. Stock Price Performance. Source: Reuters All figures in US dollars, unless otherwise stated

Stryker Corp. Post-4Q15 Thoughts

The Medicines Company Model Update; Busy Catalyst Calendar Ahead

Metro Monitor June 19, 2006

Canadian. An Island of Stability by Benjamin Tal. Economics & Strategy. January 28, 2008

VIX to Fall; Stocks to Rise; Small to Outperform

Retirement: Ready or Not? Benjamin Tal. F o r e c a s t

SodaStream Follow-Up: 1Q Results Better Than Expected; Guidance Raised; Wal-Mart!!!

American Tower Corp. AMT 3Q16 Results: Solid Quarter with a Beat and Raise on EBITDA

Consumer Watch Canada

BTO: Q2/15 Earnings Preview

SodaStream Follow-Up: Very Strong 4Q Results Reflect Broad-Based Growth; Estimates Raised

Technical Analysis: Market Insight

Household Credit Analysis December 2, 2014

MARKET STRUCTURE BRIEFING NOTES August 31, 2010

Recession Not Damaging Job Quality by Benjamin Tal

In the News: Wearables Early Signs of Motion Sensor Migration

Our Picks % Toronto (TSX) % Dow Jones (US) %

Verizon EQUITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY UPDATE PERFORM. VZ 3Q16 First Look: Mixed Results, Positive Guidance Maintained.

Daily Chip Clips EQUITY RESEARCH INDUSTRY UPDATE. May 23, 2016 TECHNOLOGY/SEMICONDUCTORS & COMPONENTS

CDN Portfolio Matrix - September 2018

Household Credit Analysis

Verizon EQUITY RESEARCH COMPANY UPDATE PERFORM. Verizon to Acquire Fleetmatics; Smart/Accretive Acquisition. August 1, 2016 COMMUNICATION AND CLOUD

Daily Chip Clips EQUITY RESEARCH INDUSTRY UPDATE. August 14, 2015 TECHNOLOGY/SEMICONDUCTORS & COMPONENTS

Trailing PE Forward PE Buy 13 Analysts. 1-Year Return: -10.6% 5-Year Return: -9.1%

Canadian Equity Strategy

In Focus June 20, 2013

Private Client Investing

52-Week High Trailing PE Week Low Forward PE Buy 16 Analysts. 1-Year Return: -14.9% 5-Year Return: 15.

Trailing PE 9.2. Forward PE 8.5. Hold 15 Analysts. 1-Year Return: -10.8% 5-Year Return: 20.4%

Record Low Costs At Santander Lead To Q1 Earnings Beat

Index Return Monitor. April 13, The 1st Quarter Roller-Coaster Ride

STEC Inc. Bringing Out the Big Gun--2H Contract Ups Visibility, Ests, PT, Everything

Trailing PE Forward PE Hold 11 Analysts. 1-Year Return: -1.1% 5-Year Return: 31.1%

The Reasons Why OSK Holds the Title of Top Pick

City of London Investment Group*

Weekly Market Insight

Trailing PE Forward PE Buy 27 Analysts. 1-Year Return: -16.3% 5-Year Return: 22.0%

52-Week High Trailing PE Week Low Forward PE Hold 14 Analysts. 1-Year Return: 8.7% 5-Year Return: 43.

Comcast EQUITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY UPDATE OUTPERFORM. Comcast 2Q16 Follow-Up: Raising Price Target to $74, 8x 2017E EBITDA.

EQUITY RESEARCH. OSFI releases draft of revisions to B-20 mortgage guidelines. For Required Non-U.S. Analyst and Conflicts Disclosures, see page 3.

Index Return Monitor. January 11, 2017

Asset Allocation Guide

Special Edition Picture of the Week #2: Assessing Exposure to Brexit and Domestic Opportunities 19% 15% 4% 2% OC AWI DOOR MHK MAS WHR

Q4 Preview & Transfer of Coverage: Growth Potential and Attractive Valuation Supports Strong Buy

Equity Research. CenterPoint Energy, Inc. CNP: Utilities Save The Day In 15A & 16E Silent On Strategic Review Until 2H. Outperform.

Coway ( KS) Good start to China water-purifier market entry. Korea Research KRW121,000 KRW103,000. Event. Impact. Action and recommendation

TC PipeLines, L.P. (TCP-NYSE)

Trailing PE 4.8. Forward PE 8.6. Buy 2 Analysts. 1-Year Return: -10.6% 5-Year Return: 61.4%

Verizon EQUITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY UPDATE PERFORM. VZ 3Q16 Follow-Up: EPS Beat Despite Soft Wireless Subscriber Momentum.

Trailing PE 4.0. Forward PE Buy 26 Analysts. 1-Year Return: -16.6% 5-Year Return: -60.3%

Asset Management. 2Q16 update focus on net flows, expenses and margins

Dollarama Inc. Q4 F2017 Results. A straight-forward beat and other notable business updates HIGHLIGHTS. The NBF Daily Bulletin.

Trailing PE Forward PE Buy 14 Analysts. 1-Year Return: 17.8% 5-Year Return: --

Crescent Point Energy Corp. (CPG): Growth and Yield in Oil

Trailing PE -- Forward PE -- Hold 12 Analysts. 1-Year Return: -42.0% 5-Year Return: -74.6%

Midcoast Energy Partners, L.P. Investment Community Presentation. March 2014

Teck Resources Limited (TCK.B C$24.41, TSX) Focus on balance sheet safety; reiterating Buy rating and C$35 target

Market Maps. April 2016 Bob Dickey, Technical Analyst. RBC Capital Markets, LLC / Portfolio Advisory Group U.S. Equities.

Trailing PE Forward PE Buy 11 Analysts. 1-Year Return: 3.0% 5-Year Return: -19.7%

Trailing PE Forward PE Buy 17 Analysts. 1-Year Return: -34.2% 5-Year Return: -71.7%

The Psychology of Investing

General Meeting Assemblée générale

Trailing PE Forward PE Buy 2 Analysts. 1-Year Return: -25.2% 5-Year Return: -22.0%

Market Maps. Bob Dickey, Technical Analyst. June 2016

Trailing PE 8.4. Forward PE Buy 13 Analysts. 1-Year Return: 40.6% 5-Year Return: 152.2%

Market Maps. Bob Dickey, Technical Analyst. October 2016

MCE Deepwater Development 2015

Trailing PE Forward PE Buy 16 Analysts. 1-Year Return: 21.5% 5-Year Return: -64.5%

52-Week High Trailing PE Week Low Forward PE 8.6. Buy 9 Analysts. 1-Year Return: -1.2% 5-Year Return: 21.1%

52-Week High Trailing PE Week Low Forward PE -- Buy 2 Analysts. 1-Year Return: -52.8% 5-Year Return: -79.1%

US Economics. RBC Capital Markets, LLC Jacob Oubina Director, Senior US Economist (212) ; ECONOMICS I RESEARCH

CIBC Balanced Index Fund. Annual Management Report of Fund Performance

NuStar Energy, L.P. NEUTRAL ZACKS CONSENSUS ESTIMATES (NS-NYSE) SUMMARY

Equity Research. Verizon Communications Inc. VZ: Resuming Equity Research Coverage At Outperform. Outperform. October 14, 2016

New merchandise to prop up results

Title: Keyera Corp. - KEY (T) Cdn$42.98 Price: Cdn$42.98 StockRating: Outperform TargetPrice: Cdn$53.00 Headline: August 6, Keyera Corp.

RATINGS REVISION COMMENT

Trailing PE Forward PE Buy 13 Analysts. 1-Year Return: 5.0% 5-Year Return: 115.5%

Trailing PE -- Forward PE -- Buy 1 Analyst. 1-Year Return: -40.2% 5-Year Return: -93.3%

Savaria Corporation. Q2/17 Results. Span contribution begins; guidance revised (unsurprisingly) upwards HIGHLIGHTS. The NBF Daily Bulletin

Transcription:

Equity Research Earnings Update April 30, 2007 Stock Rating: Sector Performer Sector Weighting: Market Weight 12-18 mo. Price Target $60.00 EEP-NYSE (4/27/07) $61.19 Key Indices: None 3-5-Yr. EPS Gr. Rate (E) 6.0% 52-week Range $42.00-$61.82 Shares Outstanding 83.9M Float 49.9M Shrs Avg. Daily Trading Vol. 125,789 Market Capitalization $5,133.8M Dividend/Div Yield $3.70 / 6.0% Fiscal Year Ends December Book Value $23.65 per Shr 2007 ROE (E) 11.0% LT Debt $2,234.0M Preferred Nil Common Equity $1,984.6M Convertible Available No Earnings Per Share Prev Current 2006 $2.86A 2007 $2.70E $2.60E 2008 $3.15E P/E 2006 21.4x 2007 22.7x 23.5x 2008 19.4x Pipelines, Utilities, & Power Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P. Q1 Results Lower Than Expected But Target Up On Outlook Enbridge Energy Partners reported Q1'07 EPU of $0.61 vs. our estimate of $0.67. We are reducing our 2007 EPU estimate of $2.70 to $2.60. However, we maintain our 2008 estimate of $3.15 and raise our target price to $60 from $55 due to recent success in financing growth and value expansion. Two problems created earnings downside in the quarter. A gas processing plant had operational issues, and measurement losses were larger than anticipated. Management noted that both issues are largely under control and should not pose longer-term problems. The quarterly report reinforces our positive outlook for growth. Guidance for EBITDA from gas pipeline expansion continues to include a major improvement in the back half of the year. A solid performance in the back half of 2007 would likely kick off a multi-year period of growth at EEP. In valuing EEP, we rely on an adjusted EV/EBITDA multiple, taking into account capital employed in projects under construction. Our new $60 target price is based on a 2008E EV/EBITDA range of 12x 13x. We recommend owning EEP units, while it undertakes its profitable expansion. Stock Price Performance Distribution Per Unit 2002 $3.60 2003 $3.70 2004 $3.70 2005 $3.70 2006 $3.70 2007E $3.70 Company Description EEP owns the U.S. portion of a major crude pipeline from Western Canada, and natural gas assets in the U.S. mid-continent region. This MLP is considered foreign income in Canada. www.enbridgepartners.com Matthew Akman 1 (416) 956-6169 Matthew.Akman@cibc.ca Gilbert Chan, CFA (416) 594-7462 Gilbert.Chan@cibc.ca Alda Pavao, CFA 1 (416) 956-3229 Alda.Pavao@cibc.ca Source: Reuters All figures in US dollars, unless otherwise stated. 07-75461 2007 CIBC World Markets does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. See "Important Disclosures" section at the end of this report for important required disclosures, including potential conflicts of interest. See "Price Target Calculation" and "Key Risks to Price Target" sections at the end of this report, where applicable. Find CIBC research on Bloomberg, Reuters, firstcall.com CIBC World Markets Inc., P.O. Box 500, 161 Bay Street, BCE Place, Toronto, Canada M5J 2S8 (416) 594-7000 and cibcwm.com CIBC World Markets Corp., 300 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10017-6204 (212) 667-7000 (800) 999-6726

Investment Summary Enbridge Energy Partners reported Q1'07 EPU of $0.61 vs. our estimate of $0.67. We are reducing our 2007 EPU estimate of $2.70 to $2.60. However, we are maintaining our 2008 estimate of $3.15. We are also raising our target price to $60 from $55 due to recent success in financing growth and continued valuation expansion among energy infrastructure companies. The Q1 result was messy and weaker than we anticipated. In fact, had it not been for the sale of natural gas from storage, earnings per unit would have only been $0.46. Two problems created negative earnings impacts in the quarter: One of the gas processing plants, namely Zyback, had operational problems that curtailed the production of natural gas liquids. Management noted that contracts are largely structured on a fee basis related to volumes. Extensive work was done on the plant and it is running normally at this time. Unusually high gas measurement losses also occurred during the quarter. We believe this operational issue, and the issue related to Zyback, are attributable to unusually rapid growth in the basin and in the company. We are hopeful and expect Enbridge management to focus on operational issues now and that problems will be temporary. Nevertheless, we see costs related to these problems ongoing in Q2; therefore, we are our reducing that quarterly estimate from $0.68 to $0.62. Near-term problems aside, business fundamentals continue improving on a sustainable basis as gas processing and oil pipeline volumes increased materially: Volume flows on the Lakehead oil pipeline system in Q1 07 were about 1.58 million barrels per day vs. about 1.51 million barrels per day in Q1 06. Volume flows on the gas midstream assets were about 2.04 bcf/day vs. about 1.76 bcf/day in the same quarter last year. The quarterly report reinforces our positive outlook for growth. Guidance for EBITDA from gas pipeline expansion continues to include a major improvement in the back half of the year. The East Texas extension and expansion has achieved 550 MMcf/day of volume commitments for an average six-year term, and it should contribute over $50 million of EBITDA mostly later this year. A solid performance in the back half of 2007 would likely kick off a multi-year period of growth at EEP. New oil pipelines appear on track. The Southern Access project should begin delivering cash flow next year. We believe EBITDA could grow from about $550 million in 2007 to $700 million in 2008. As a result, our forecasts suggest the cash distribution could move up to $4.00/unit (see attached summary model). Beyond 2008 we see further growth now from Southern Access and the Alberta Clipper project. Assuming the company can raise equity at or near the current unit price, projects like Alberta Clipper should be materially accretive to cash flow per unit. As discussed in previous research, we see the potential for distributable cash flow per unit to rise well above $4.50 by 2009/10. 2

Valuing EEP units is challenging now because of the major capital spending program under way. The company will spend almost $3 billion in the next two years on pipelines that will not be in full service until 2010. Therefore, unadjusted EV/EBITDA multiples will tend to overstate valuation on the company. We therefore rely primarily on an adjusted EV/EBITDA multiple in our valuation. Our models adjust for capital employed in projects under construction. Our new $60 target price is based on a 2008E EV/EBITDA range of 12x 13x. While the units have traded at a lower range, we believe valuation multiples will be sustainable, as cash flow accretion from new projects becomes more visible. We recommend owning EEP units while it undertakes this expansion process. Exhibit 1. Consolidated Earnings And Distribution Forecasts (US$ mln. unless otherwise stated) Years Ending December 31 2006 Q1/07 Q2/07E Q3/07E Q4/07E 2007E 2008E Lakehead Deliveries (billion bbl miles) 386.9 100.9 105.1 106.4 108.1 420.5 446.0 Average revenue per 1,000 bbl miles $1.072 $1.104 $1.104 $1.104 $1.104 $1.104 $1.100 Operating revenue $414.5 $111.3 $116.1 $117.5 $119.2 $464.1 $490.6 Power expense $101.0 $24.2 $26.3 $28.7 $25.9 $105.1 $111.5 -per 1,000 bbl mile $0.261 $0.240 $0.250 $0.270 $0.240 $0.250 $0.250 Lakehead OM&A $114.7 $29.0 $29.6 $30.0 30.4 $119.0 $125.0 Lakehead EBITDA $198.9 $58.1 $60.2 $58.7 $62.9 $240.0 $254.1 Other Oil Pipelines and S. Access EBITDA $65.0 $14.0 $16.8 $17.1 $17.1 $65.0 $139.8 Gas Transmission $35.0 $8.0 $9.0 $11.0 $12.0 $40.0 $113.2 Gas G&P $179.1 $23.9 $40.0 $60.0 $70.7 $194.6 $203.1 Marketing ($8.1) $14.8 $0.6 $1.0 ($12.4) $4.0 $0.0 Corporate ($2.8) ($0.5) ($0.8) ($1.1) ($1.8) ($4.2) ($9.0) Total Gas EBITDA $203.2 $46.2 $48.8 $70.9 $68.5 $234.4 $307.3 Total EBITDA $467.1 $118.3 $125.8 $146.7 $148.5 $539.4 $701.2 Depreciation $136.0 $36.5 $40.0 $50.0 $48.5 $175.0 $202.2 Operating income $331.0 $81.8 $85.8 $96.7 $100.0 $364.4 $499.0 Investment & other income $8.5 ($1.1) $1.0 $1.0 $2.6 $3.5 $3.5 Interest expense ($110.5) ($25.3) ($27.6) ($31.0) ($34.6) ($118.5) ($158.3) Minority interest $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $1.0 $1.0 Net Income - Enbridge Energy Partnership $229.0 $55.4 $59.2 $66.7 $68.0 $250.3 $345.2 Depreciation $136.0 $175.0 $202.2 Maintenance capital ($45.0) ($60.0) ($70.0) Other $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 Available cash $320.0 $365.3 $477.3 Payout ratio on all units 89% 93% 89% Cash payout ratio to EEP units 69.2% 63.2% 55.7% Cash Distribution to Partners 221.4 231.0 265.9 Common unitholders $194.9 $200.5 $222.8 General partner $26.4 $30.5 $43.2 Units outstanding at EEP 52.7 54.2 54.2 54.2 54.2 54.2 55.7 Pay-In-Kind Units 17.6 23.6 29.7 29.7 35.7 29.7 39.2 Average total units outstanding 70.2 77.8 83.9 83.9 89.9 83.9 94.9 Earnings per unit $2.86 $0.61 $0.62 $0.70 $0.67 $2.60 $3.15 Quarterly distribution per unit $0.925 $0.925 $0.925 $0.925 $0.925 $0.925 $1.000 Annual distribution per unit $3.70 $3.70 $4.00 Source: Company reports and CIBC World Markets Inc. 3

Price Target Calculation Our $60 target price is based on a 2008E EV/EBITDA range of 12x 13x. Our target price implies a cash distribution yield of 6.7%. Our target yield is found within EEP s historical yield range of 6.0% 10.5%, but at the low end due to our forecast growth. Key Risks To Price Target Enbridge Energy Partners could fall short of our 2007/08 earnings and distributions forecasts (and fail to meet our target price) for various reasons, including (but not limited to) the impact of lower than expected oil sands volumes, increased pipeline competition, and unplanned operational issues. Given MLPs yield-oriented nature, EEP is sensitive to significant rises in interest rates. If current U.S. treasury yields continue to rise, EEP units could be negatively impacted as relative yields fall. However, anticipated distribution growth could offset some of the negative implications of rising interest rates long-term. 4

Our EPS estimates are shown below: 1 Qtr. 2 Qtr. 3 Qtr. 4 Qtr. Yearly 2006 Current $0.71A $0.93A $0.70A $0.52A $2.86A 2007 Prior $0.67E $0.68E $0.70E $0.65E $2.70E 2007 Current $0.61A $0.62E $0.70E $0.67E $2.60E 2008 Current -- -- -- -- $3.15E 5

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES: Analyst Certification: Each CIBC World Markets research analyst named on the front page of this research report, or at the beginning of any subsection hereof, hereby certifies that (i) the recommendations and opinions expressed herein accurately reflect such research analyst's personal views about the company and securities that are the subject of this report and all other companies and securities mentioned in this report that are covered by such research analyst and (ii) no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by such research analyst in this report. Potential Conflicts of Interest: Equity research analysts employed by CIBC World Markets are compensated from revenues generated by various CIBC World Markets businesses, including the CIBC World Markets Investment Banking Department within the Corporate and Leveraged Finance Division. Research analysts do not receive compensation based upon revenues from specific investment banking transactions. CIBC World Markets generally prohibits any research analyst and any member of his or her household from executing trades in the securities of a company that such research analyst covers. Additionally, CIBC World Markets generally prohibits any research analyst from serving as an officer, director or advisory board member of a company that such analyst covers. In addition to 1% ownership positions in covered companies that are required to be specifically disclosed in this report, CIBC World Markets may have a long position of less than 1% or a short position or deal as principal in the securities discussed herein, related securities or in options, futures or other derivative instruments based thereon. Recipients of this report are advised that any or all of the foregoing arrangements, as well as more specific disclosures set forth below, may at times give rise to potential conflicts of interest. Important Disclosure Footnotes for Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P. (EEP) 6

CIBC World Markets Price Chart HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE OF CIBC WORLD MARKETS' RECOMMENDATIONS FOR ENBRIDGE ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P. (EEP) Date Change Type Closing Price Rating Price Target Coverage 01/31/2005 54.82 SP 55.00 Matthew Akman 07/31/2005 56.60 SP 57.00 Matthew Akman 10/27/2005 49.88 SP 52.00 Matthew Akman 05/01/2006 44.20 SP 46.00 Matthew Akman 08/01/2006 48.56 SP 48.00 Matthew Akman 09/18/2006 46.63 SP 50.00 Matthew Akman 10/30/2006 49.74 SP 54.00 Matthew Akman 01/30/2007 52.85 SP 55.00 Matthew Akman 7

CIBC World Markets' Stock Rating System Abbreviation Rating Description Stock Ratings SO Sector Outperformer Stock is expected to outperform the sector during the next 12-18 months. SP Sector Performer Stock is expected to perform in line with the sector during the next 12-18 months. SU Sector Underperformer Stock is expected to underperform the sector during the next 12-18 months. NR Not Rated CIBC World Markets does not maintain an investment recommendation on the stock. R Restricted CIBC World Markets is restricted*** from rating the stock. Sector Weightings** O Overweight Sector is expected to outperform the broader market averages. M Market Weight Sector is expected to equal the performance of the broader market averages. U Underweight Sector is expected to underperform the broader market averages. NA None Sector rating is not applicable. **Broader market averages refer to the S&P 500 in the U.S. and the S&P/TSX Composite in Canada. "Speculative" indicates that an investment in this security involves a high amount of risk due to volatility and/or liquidity issues. ***Restricted due to a potential conflict of interest. Ratings Distribution*: CIBC World Markets' Coverage Universe (as of 29 Apr 2007) Count Percent Inv. Banking Relationships Count Percent Sector Outperformer (Buy) 353 39.4% Sector Outperformer (Buy) 174 49.3% Sector Performer (Hold/Neutral) 446 49.7% Sector Performer (Hold/Neutral) 221 49.6% Sector Underperformer (Sell) 69 7.7% Sector Underperformer (Sell) 28 40.6% Restricted 15 1.7% Restricted 15 100.0% Ratings Distribution: Pipelines, Utilities, & Power Coverage Universe (as of 29 Apr 2007) Count Percent Inv. Banking Relationships Count Percent Sector Outperformer (Buy) 2 20.0% Sector Outperformer (Buy) 2 100.0% Sector Performer (Hold/Neutral) 4 40.0% Sector Performer (Hold/Neutral) 3 75.0% Sector Underperformer (Sell) 3 30.0% Sector Underperformer (Sell) 0 0.0% Restricted 1 10.0% Restricted 1 100.0% Pipelines, Utilities, & Power Sector includes the following tickers: ACO.X, CU, EEP, EMA, ENB, FTS, RRI, SE, TA, TRP. *Although the investment recommendations within the three-tiered, relative stock rating system utilized by CIBC World Markets do not correlate to buy, hold and sell recommendations, for the purposes of complying with NYSE and NASD rules, CIBC World Markets has assigned buy ratings to securities rated Sector Outperformer, hold ratings to securities rated Sector Performer, and sell ratings to securities rated Sector Underperformer without taking into consideration the analyst's sector weighting. Important disclosures required by IDA Policy 11, including potential conflicts of interest information, our system for rating investment opportunities and our dissemination policy can be obtained by visiting CIBC World Markets on the web at http://research.cibcwm.com/res/policies/policies.html or by writing to CIBC World Markets Inc., BCE Place, 161 Bay Street, 4th Floor, Toronto, Ontario M5J 2S8, Attention: Research Disclosures Request. 8

Legal Disclaimer This report is issued and approved for distribution by (i) in the United States, CIBC World Markets Corp., a member of the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE"), NASD and SIPC, (ii) in Canada, CIBC World Markets Inc., a member of the Investment Dealers Association ("IDA"), the Toronto Stock Exchange, the TSX Venture Exchange and CIPF, (iii) in the United Kingdom, CIBC World Markets plc, which is regulated by the Financial Services Authority ("FSA"), and (iv) in Australia, CIBC World Markets Australia Limited, a member of the Australian Stock Exchange and regulated by the ASIC (collectively, "CIBC World Markets"). This report is provided, for informational purposes only, to institutional investor clients of CIBC World Markets in the United States and Canada and retail clients of CIBC World Markets in Canada, and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities discussed herein in any jurisdiction where such offer or solicitation would be prohibited. This document and any of the products and information contained herein are not intended for the use of private investors in the United Kingdom. Such investors will not be able to enter into agreements or purchase products mentioned herein from CIBC World Markets plc. The comments and views expressed in this document are meant for the general interests of clients of CIBC World Markets Australia Limited. The securities mentioned in this report may not be suitable for all types of investors. This report does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or specific needs of any particular client of CIBC World Markets. Recipients should consider this report as only a single factor in making an investment decision and should not rely solely on investment recommendations contained herein, if any, as a substitution for the exercise of independent judgment of the merits and risks of investments. The analyst writing the report is not a person or company with actual, implied or apparent authority to act on behalf of any issuer mentioned in the report. Before making an investment decision with respect to any security recommended in this report, the recipient should consider whether such recommendation is appropriate given the recipient's particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances. CIBC World Markets suggests that, prior to acting on any of the recommendations herein, Canadian retail clients of CIBC World Markets contact one of our client advisers in your jurisdiction to discuss your particular circumstances. Non-client recipients of this report who are not institutional investor clients of CIBC World Markets should consult with an independent financial advisor prior to making any investment decision based on this report or for any necessary explanation of its contents. CIBC World Markets will not treat non-client recipients as its clients solely by virtue of their receiving this report. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding future performance of any security mentioned in this report. The price of the securities mentioned in this report and the income they produce may fluctuate and/or be adversely affected by exchange rates, and investors may realize losses on investments in such securities, including the loss of investment principal. CIBC World Markets accepts no liability for any loss arising from the use of information contained in this report, except to the extent that liability may arise under specific statutes or regulations applicable to CIBC World Markets. Information, opinions and statistical data contained in this report were obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but CIBC World Markets does not represent that any such information, opinion or statistical data is accurate or complete (with the exception of information contained in the Important Disclosures section of this report provided by CIBC World Markets or individual research analysts), and they should not be relied upon as such. All estimates, opinions and recommendations expressed herein constitute judgments as of the date of this report and are subject to change without notice. Nothing in this report constitutes legal, accounting or tax advice. Since the levels and bases of taxation can change, any reference in this report to the impact of taxation should not be construed as offering tax advice on the tax consequences of investments. As with any investment having potential tax implications, clients should consult with their own independent tax adviser. This report may provide addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to, Internet web sites. CIBC World Markets has not reviewed the linked Internet web site of any third party and takes no responsibility for the contents thereof. Each such address or hyperlink is provided solely for the recipient's convenience and information, and the content of linked thirdparty web sites is not in any way incorporated into this document. Recipients who choose to access such third-party web sites or follow such hyperlinks do so at their own risk. Although each company issuing this report is a wholly owned subsidiary of Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce ("CIBC"), each is solely responsible for its contractual obligations and commitments, and any securities products offered or recommended to or purchased or sold in any client accounts (i) will not be insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation ("FDIC"), the Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation or other similar deposit insurance, (ii) will not be deposits or other obligations of CIBC, (iii) will not be endorsed or guaranteed by CIBC, and (iv) will be subject to investment risks, including possible loss of the principal invested. The CIBC trademark is used under license. 2007 CIBC World Markets Corp. and CIBC World Markets Inc. All rights reserved. Unauthorized use, distribution, duplication or disclosure without the prior written permission of CIBC World Markets is prohibited by law and may result in prosecution. 9