INVESTOR PRESENTATION. March 2019

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Transcription:

INVESTOR PRESENTATION March 2019

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS Some of the statements in this presentation constitute forward-looking statements about Sunoco LP ( SUN, we, our, and us ) that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, without limitation, the expected future performance of SUN (including expected results of operations and financial guidance), and SUN s future financial condition, operating results, strategy and plans. These forward-looking statements generally can be identified by use of phrases such as believe, plan, expect, anticipate, intend, forecast or other similar words or phrases in conjunction with a discussion of future operating or financial performance. Descriptions of SUN s and its affiliates objectives, goals, targets, plans, strategies, costs, anticipated capital expenditures, expected cost savings, potential acquisitions and related financial projections are also forward-looking statements. These statements represent present expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are not guarantees. Such statements speak only as of the date they are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statement. We caution that forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties and are qualified by important factors that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any such forward-looking statements. For a discussion of these factors and other risks and uncertainties, please refer to SUN s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC ), including those contained in SUN s 2018 Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q which are available at the SEC s website at www.sec.gov. This presentation includes certain non-gaap financial measures as defined under SEC Regulation G. A reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is provided in this presentation. Adjusted EBITDA is defined as earnings before net interest expense, income taxes, depreciation, amortization and accretion expense, allocated non-cash compensation expense, unrealized gains and losses on commodity derivatives and inventory fair value adjustments, and certain other operating expenses reflected in net income that we do not believe are indicative of ongoing core operations, such as gain or loss on disposal of assets and non-cash impairment charges. We define distributable cash flow, as adjusted, as Adjusted EBITDA less cash interest expense, including the accrual of interest expense related to our long-term debt which is paid on a semi-annual basis, current income tax expense, maintenance capital expenditures and other non-cash adjustments. Scott Grischow Vice President - Treasury & Investor Relations (214) 840-5660 scott.grischow@sunoco.com Investor Relations Contact Information Derek Rabe, CFA Manager - Investor Relations, Strategy & Growth (214) 840-5553 derek.rabe@sunoco.com 2

OVERVIEW OF SUNOCO LP SUN is one of the nation's largest wholesale distributors of motor fuels Refining Storage & Transportation Wholesale Distribution Retail SUN distributes more than 10 fuel brands across 30 states throughout the East Coast, Midwest, South Central and Southeast regions of the continental United States and Hawaii Expansive fuel distribution network: ~7,300 third-party dealers, distributors and commission agents ~2,700 commercial customers 75 company-operated sites Growing product terminal asset base: 13 product terminals in diversified geographies (AL, AR, HI, NY, TX) Wholesale Customer Terminal Transmix/Terminals 3

KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS Significant Economies of Scale in an Attractive Sector Portfolio of Stable Income Streams COMPELLING INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY Consistent Income from Stable Unit Distributions Value Creation Through Appreciation in Unit Price Runway of Diversified Growth Disciplined Financial Strategy 4

SIGNIFICANT ECONOMIES OF SCALE TO THRIVE IN AN ATTRACTIVE FUEL DISTRIBUTION AND LOGISTICS SECTOR U.S. Motor Fuel Volumes Remain Robust 2016 through 2018 U.S. gasoline demand was highest on record at 9.3 million barrels per day with consumption levels expected to increase slightly in 2019 (1) Diesel fuel consumption is expected to rise by 1% in both 2019 and 2020 (1) Sector fragmentation will provide opportunities for consolidation Wholesale Fuel Margins Remain Strong and Stable Fuel distribution and retail companies are employing more sophisticated pricing strategies to optimize gross profit Higher premium and diesel fuel penetration increases average margins Large integrated oil companies have reduced their downstream presence Growing domestic refining production provides for improved fuel supply conditions Economies of scale, brand power and multi-channel strategy allow SUN to capitalize on opportunities within the wholesale fuel distribution and logistics sector (1) Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration 5

PROVEN RUNWAY OF DIVERSIFIED GROWTH Grow Core Fuel Logistics and Distribution Business Consolidation opportunities in a highly fragmented sector The sector trades at reasonable acquisition multiples Leverage scale to quickly realize material synergies Utilize multi-channel strategy to optimize returns Further Expand Midstream Business Addition of traditional midstream assets to drive further income diversity Capitalize on current large fuel distribution business to realize synergies through acquisition of logistics assets (e.g. product terminals) Manage Organic Growth Leverage Sunoco brand as well as other major fuel brands to sign up new customers Explore organic midstream projects connected to fuel distribution footprint Continue to execute growth strategy while maintaining coverage and leverage targets 6

DISCIPLINED FINANCIAL STRATEGY Maintain Disciplined Leverage Profile Distribution Coverage Balanced Financing Strategy Disciplined Capital and Expense Model Liquidity Long-Term Target ~4.5x 4.75x Leverage Ratio Target ~1.2x Distribution Coverage Invest in Projects That Support Leverage and Coverage Targets Maintain Cost Efficient Model Through Growth Maintain Credit Facility Availability and Secured Capacity Manage leverage within the target range on a go forward basis Expect to maintain current distribution level Use excess cash to fund equity portion of growth capital budget and acquisition opportunities Projects evaluated using a ~50/50 capital structure Will optimize capital structure on a case-by-case basis and to account for current market conditions Expect modest increases in expenses and capital with future bolt-on acquisitions Monitor credit facility capacity and access to capital markets Up to $750 million of additional liquidity through credit facility accordion Reduced reliance on secured debt provides greater financing flexibility 7

BALANCED PORTFOLIO OF STABLE INCOME STREAMS Fuel Income Rental Income Other Income Diversified Channels of Distribution Drive Strong and Stable Fuel Margins Distribution channel options in numerous geographies result in opportunities for maximizing gross margin dollars 7-Eleven: 15-year take or pay fuel supply agreement Distributors Dealers Commission agents Commercial accounts Retail Other fuel sales Control of Real Estate Yields Long-Term, Ratable Source of Income Own or control ~940 locations and leases to third-party operators generating a stable income stream of ~$140 million per year Other Services and Operations Contribute Additional Stable Income Streams Includes merchandise income, credit card processing, franchise revenue and terminal operations Variability in credit card processing income will track retail pump prices with a corresponding change in other operating expenses Diversified income stream with no more than approximately 15% of gross margin coming from any single fuel distribution channel, rental income or other income 8

RECENT ACQUISITIONS April August October December December Wholesale fuels business and terminals located in New York ~200 million gallons of fuel annually Three terminals with 17 tanks Wholesale fuels business located in Texas and Oklahoma ~115 million gallons of fuel annually Wholesale fuels business located in Central and East Texas ~95 million gallons of fuel annually Includes ~160 sites and 100 commercial accounts Refined products terminalling business located in North Texas and Arkansas ~77,500 barrels per day of total throughput and ~1.3 million barrels of storage capacity Two terminals with 21 tanks Wholesale fuels business primarily located in New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia ~180 million gallons of fuel annually Ability to leverage terminals for incremental gallons of annual throughput Acquisition Takeaways Utilize scale to quickly realize synergies with fuel distribution and terminal acquisitions Synergized multiples for fuel distribution acquisitions in mid-single digit range Accretive to Distributable Cash Flow per unit in year one Acquired terminal sites provide further portfolio diversification and income stability 9

2019 BUSINESS OUTLOOK AND GUIDANCE Fuel Volumes and Margins Operating Expenses Capital Expenditures Expect 2019 Fuel Volume to be 8.0-8.2 Billion Gallons with Annual Margins Between 9.5-10.5 CPG Balance margin and volume to optimize long-term gross margin dollars 7-Eleven take or pay fuel supply agreement will generate a minimum gross margin dollar contribution regardless of volume Acquisitions have, and will, add volume to base business; however, gross margin optimization efforts can reduce volume ultimately resulting in higher CPG and gross profit dollars Expect Total 2019 Operating Expenses to be Approximately Flat to 2018 Guidance Outlook includes incremental expenses from completed acquisitions Rent expense variability will occur with cost escalation tracking with inflation 2019 Growth Capital ~$90+ Million 2019 Maintenance Capital ~$45 Million ~$50 million of 2019 growth capital is committed Additional growth capital will be allocated to renewing and obtaining customers and will be evaluated on a project by project basis Organic growth projects will add nearterm EBITDA Maintenance capital is related to general upkeep for hard assets (e.g. terminals, processing plants, sites and controlled real estate) Expect 2019 Adjusted EBITDA to be between $610 - $650 million (1) (1) Includes impact of completed acquisitions 10

APPENDIX

CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND LIQUIDITY ($ in millions) Maturity Rate 12/31/2018 $1.5B Revolving Credit Facility 7/27/2023 L + 200 bps $700 4.875% Senior Notes due 2023 1/15/2023 4.875% 1,000 5.500% Senior Notes due 2026 2/15/2026 5.500% 800 5.875% Senior Notes due 2028 3/15/2028 5.875% 400 Sale Leaseback Obligations 107 Other Long-Term Debt 1 Total Debt $3,008 Market Capitalization as of 3/4/2019 $2,480 Total Capitalization $5,488 Cash and Cash Equivalents $56 Total Net Debt $2,952 Credit Ratings and Statistics Corporate Family Rating Outlook Senior Unsecured Ba3 / BB- Stable / Stable B1 / BB- Total Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA 4.16x Available Liquidity $792 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 No Near-Term Maturities $792 $700 $1,000 $1,200 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Thereafter Revolving Credit Facility (Undrawn) Revolving Credit Facility Senior Notes 12

Q4 2018 HIGHLIGHTS: CONTINUED STRENGTH IN BUSINESS AND FINANCIAL RESULTS Consolidated Q4 2018 Adjusted EBITDA of $180 million Leverage of 4.16x compared to 5.58x a year ago and 4.27x in Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Distributable Cash Flow, as adjusted, of $114 million Coverage of 1.33x compared to 1.03x a year ago and 1.73x in Q3 2018 Trailing twelve months coverage of 1.32x compared to 1.15x a year ago and 1.24x in Q3 2018 13

Q4 2018 RECONCILIATION Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to net income and Adjusted EBITDA to Distributable Cash Flow, as adjusted Segment Adjusted EBITDA Fuel distribution and marketing $159 All other 21 Total 180 Depreciation, amortization and accretion (50) Interest expense, net (39) Non-cash compensation expense (2) Loss on disposal of assets and impairment charges (22) Unrealized loss on commodity derivatives (5) Inventory adjustments (135) Other non-cash adjustments (4) Income (loss) before income tax (expense) benefit (77) Income tax (expense) benefit 5 Net income (loss) and comprehensive income (loss) $ (72) ($ in millions) Adjusted EBITDA $ 180 Cash interest expense 39 Current income tax expense 11 Maintenance capital expenditures 15 Distributable Cash Flow 115 Transaction-related expenses (1) Distributable Cash Flow, as adjusted $ 114 14