Agenda. Governance. Operational Management We Compete! Management s Response to Volume Declines. Changing Business

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Transcription:

Agenda Governance Operational Management We Compete! Management s Response to Volume Declines Changing Business Legislation and Postal Regulator 10-Year Review June Financial Update Service Update 1

Legal & Operational Structure Seven Areas Pacific Western Great Lakes Southern Eastern Capital Metro Northeast Legend Capital Metro Eastern Great Lakes Northeast Pacific Southern Southwest Western Northeast 3

Legal & Operational Structure 67 Districts Customer Service Scanning Delivery Performance Op Ex Workhours Overtime Machine Throughput Safety 7 Districts in the Great Lakes Area Employee Retention Etc. 4

A Proactive Management Response to Recession and Secular Declines 5

In Reaction to Volume Declines, Management Reduced Operational Costs Infrastructure Workforce Administration Number % Consolidated mail processing facilities 360 54% Delivery route consolidations 20,000 9% Post offices with reduced retail hours 13,000 36% Work hours (annual) 331M 23% Career employees 204,000 29% Non-career employees 31,000 31% Total employees 173,000 22% Administrative positions 25,000 33% Reduced annual headquarters spending Reduced HQ positions $750M Reduction in contractor expenses Reduced capital expenditures Avg. '07-'09 ~$2.2B $1.2B 55% Avg. '10-'15 ~$1.0B Number of administrative areas 9 to 7 22% Number of districts 80 to 67 16% 6

In Reaction to Volume Declines, Management Reduced Operational Costs Infrastructure Workforce Administration Number % Consolidated mail processing facilities 360 54% Delivery route consolidations 20,000 9% Post offices with reduced retail hours 13,000 36% Work hours (annual) 331M 23% Career employees 204,000 29% Non-career employees 31,000 31% Total employees 173,000 22% Administrative positions 25,000 33% Reduced annual headquarters spending Reduced HQ positions $750M Reduction in contractor expenses Reduced capital expenditures Avg. '07-'09 ~$2.2B $1.2B 55% Avg. '10-'15 ~$1.0B Number of administrative areas 9 to 7 22% Number of districts 80 to 67 16% 6

In Reaction to Volume Declines, Management Reduced Operational Costs Infrastructure Workforce Administration Number % Consolidated mail processing facilities 360 54% Delivery route consolidations 20,000 9% Post offices with reduced retail hours 13,000 36% Work hours (annual) 331M 23% Career employees 204,000 29% Non-career employees 31,000 31% Total employees 173,000 22% Administrative positions 25,000 33% Reduced annual headquarters spending Reduced HQ positions $750M Reduction in contractor expenses Reduced capital expenditures Avg. '07-'09 ~$2.2B $1.2B 55% Avg. '10-'15 ~$1.0B Number of administrative areas 9 to 7 22% Number of districts 80 to 67 16% 6

But We Remain a Very Large Entity (Size and Scale are Core to Who We Are) 156M Delivery Points 640K Employees 31K 224K 300+ Post Offices Vehicles Processing Facilities ~ 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0,,,,, Scanning Events Every Day 7

The Business is Changing 8

The United States Postal Service has been connecting individuals and communities for more than 240 years. We were the original social network! 9

2007 2020 FCM Revenue is Declining but Packages are Growing While the Postal Service has benefited from its efforts to stabilize Standard Mail volume and increase Packaging and Shipping volume, overall contribution and profit will continue to suffer as lost profits from First-Class Mail are not replaced. Revenue Mix by Product 2007 2015 *2020 (Trending) Periodicals & Other 8% International 3% Standard 27% Shipping & Packages 13% First-Class 49% Periodicals & Other 7% International 4% Shipping & Packages Shipping & 22% Packages First-Class First-Class 30% 35% 41% Standard 26% Periodicals & Other International 6% 5% Standard 24% Revenue: $74.9 B $68.9 B ~ $70+ B * Indicative, not a forecast 10

However, the ways we connect, exchange information, and conduct commerce is rapidly changing. 11

Expectations Continue to Evolve Experiences are the new products Instant, universal access is more important than ownership On-demand access to everything... and with the touch of a screen Seamlessly communicate and transact across physical and digital mediums 12

Customer-Centric Transformation Empowering customers to lead productive lives. Providing Americans better ways to connect and communicate. Delivering the human side of communications and commerce. 13

Shifts in Mailing and Shipping Patterns Drives Strategy Focus on Innovation and Investing in Our Business Retaining First-Class Mail Digital Integration of Direct Mail Growing Shipping Business Service & Efficiency are the Keys 14

Headwinds All products are under attack 15

DIGITAL STRATEGY 16

Informed Delivery 17

4 MILLION USERS 18

INFORMED VISIBILITY 19

Legislation & Postal Regulatory Commission (PRC) 10-Year Review 20

Legislative Proposal Key Stakeholder Support Reinstate ½ of Exigent Price Increase (2.15%) Legislative Platform Medicare Integration Postal-specific Economic Assumptions Expanded Product Offerings 21

Objectives for the PRC 10-Year Price Review Maximize incentives to reduce costs and increase efficiency. Create predictability and stability. Maintain high quality service standards. Allow the Postal Service pricing flexibility. Assure adequate revenues, including retained earnings, to maintain financial stability. Reduce the administrative burden and increase transparency. Enhance mail security and deter terrorism. Establish and maintain a just and reasonable schedule for rates and classifications. Allocate the total institutional costs appropriately. 22

June YTD Financials 23

Financial Results June YTD (9 Months) FY FY (Billions) 2017 2016 Revenue (Excluding Temporary Exigent Surcharge) $ 53.1 $ 52.7 Temporary Exigent Surcharge 1-1.1 Total Revenue 53.1 53.8 Controllable Expenses 2, 3 53.2 52.5 Controllable Income (Loss) 1, 2, 3 (0.1) 1.3 Retiree Health Benefits Amortization (0.7) - RHB Normal Cost Actuarial Revaluation 4 (0.4) - Retiree Health Benefits Prefunding - (4.4) Workers' Comp. Fair Value Adj. and Other Non-Cash Adj. 1.9 (1.1) FERS Unfunded Liabilities Amortization 5 (0.7) (0.2) CSRS Unfunded Liabilities Amortization (1.3) - Change in Accounting Estimate 6-1.1 Net Income (Loss) 3 $ (1.3) $ (3.3) 1 - Temporary exigent surcharge expired April 10, 2016. 2 - Before RHB pre-funding/amortization & actuarial revaluation, non-cash adjustments to workers compensation liabilities and FERS and CSRS unfunded liabilities amortization, which are excluded from controllable expenses. 3 - June YTD has one less delivery and retail day compared to SPLY. 4 - Effect of 18% increase in RHB normal cost due to OPM changes to demographic assumptions and lower discount rate. 5 - FERS is an estimate and subject to change once we receive the bill. 6 - FY2016 data on prepaid postage resulted in a $1.1B decrease in the liability for deferred revenue - prepaid postage and a corresponding increase in revenue. 24

Financial Results June YTD (9 Months) FY FY (Billions) 2017 2016 Revenue (Excluding Temporary Exigent Surcharge) $ 53.1 $ 52.7 Temporary Exigent Surcharge 1-1.1 Total Revenue 53.1 53.8 Controllable Expenses 2, 3 53.2 52.5 Controllable Income (Loss) 1, 2, 3 (0.1) 1.3 Retiree Health Benefits Amortization (0.7) - RHB Normal Cost Actuarial Revaluation 4 (0.4) - Retiree Health Benefits Prefunding - (4.4) Workers' Comp. Fair Value Adj. and Other Non-Cash Adj. 1.9 (1.1) FERS Unfunded Liabilities Amortization 5 (0.7) (0.2) CSRS Unfunded Liabilities Amortization (1.3) - Change in Accounting Estimate 6-1.1 Net Income (Loss) 3 $ (1.3) $ (3.3) 1 - Temporary exigent surcharge expired April 10, 2016. 2 - Before RHB pre-funding/amortization & actuarial revaluation, non-cash adjustments to workers compensation liabilities and FERS and CSRS unfunded liabilities amortization, which are excluded from controllable expenses. 3 - June YTD has one less delivery and retail day compared to SPLY. 4 - Effect of 18% increase in RHB normal cost due to OPM changes to demographic assumptions and lower discount rate. 5 - FERS is an estimate and subject to change once we receive the bill. 6 - FY2016 data on prepaid postage resulted in a $1.1B decrease in the liability for deferred revenue - prepaid postage and a corresponding increase in revenue. 24

Pieces - Billions Total Volume: FY2017 June YTD vs. SPLY FY2016 116.9B 2.9B FY2017 114.0B FCM Single-Piece FCM Presort Letters & Other Marketing Mail Other * (incl. Periodicals) Total Shipping & Package International Mail (6.6)% (2.9)% (1.8)% (6.6)% 11.0% 2.3% 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 15.4 14.3 FCM Single-Piece 31.5 30.7 FCM Presort Letters & Other 60.7 59.6 Marketing Mail 4.6 4.3 3.9 4.3 0.8 0.8 Periodicals (includes Other) Total Shipping & Package International Mail June YTD has one less delivery and retail day compared to SPLY. * Other primarily consists of USPS & Free Mail at ~287M pieces for FY2017 YTD. 25

Financial Results June YTD (9 Months) FY FY (Billions) 2017 2016 Revenue (Excluding Temporary Exigent Surcharge) $ 53.1 $ 52.7 Temporary Exigent Surcharge 1-1.1 Total Revenue 53.1 53.8 Controllable Expenses 2, 3 53.2 52.5 Controllable Income (Loss) 1, 2, 3 (0.1) 1.3 Retiree Health Benefits Amortization (0.7) - RHB Normal Cost Actuarial Revaluation 4 (0.4) - Retiree Health Benefits Prefunding - (4.4) Workers' Comp. Fair Value Adj. and Other Non-Cash Adj. 1.9 (1.1) FERS Unfunded Liabilities Amortization 5 (0.7) (0.2) CSRS Unfunded Liabilities Amortization (1.3) - Change in Accounting Estimate 6-1.1 Net Income (Loss) 3 $ (1.3) $ (3.3) 1 - Temporary exigent surcharge expired April 10, 2016. 2 - Before RHB pre-funding/amortization & actuarial revaluation, non-cash adjustments to workers compensation liabilities and FERS and CSRS unfunded liabilities amortization, which are excluded from controllable expenses. 3 - June YTD has one less delivery and retail day compared to SPLY. 4 - Effect of 18% increase in RHB normal cost due to OPM changes to demographic assumptions and lower discount rate. 5 - FERS is an estimate and subject to change once we receive the bill. 6 - FY2016 data on prepaid postage resulted in a $1.1B decrease in the liability for deferred revenue - prepaid postage and a corresponding increase in revenue. 26

Financial Results June YTD (9 Months) FY FY (Billions) 2017 2016 Revenue (Excluding Temporary Exigent Surcharge) $ 53.1 $ 52.7 Temporary Exigent Surcharge 1-1.1 Total Revenue 53.1 53.8 Controllable Expenses 2, 3 53.2 52.5 Controllable Income (Loss) 1, 2, 3 (0.1) 1.3 Retiree Health Benefits Amortization (0.7) - RHB Normal Cost Actuarial Revaluation 4 (0.4) - Retiree Health Benefits Prefunding - (4.4) Workers' Comp. Fair Value Adj. and Other Non-Cash Adj. 1.9 (1.1) FERS Unfunded Liabilities Amortization 5 (0.7) (0.2) CSRS Unfunded Liabilities Amortization (1.3) - Change in Accounting Estimate 6-1.1 Net Income (Loss) 3 $ (1.3) $ (3.3) 1 - Temporary exigent surcharge expired April 10, 2016. 2 - Before RHB pre-funding/amortization & actuarial revaluation, non-cash adjustments to workers compensation liabilities and FERS and CSRS unfunded liabilities amortization, which are excluded from controllable expenses. 3 - June YTD has one less delivery and retail day compared to SPLY. 4 - Effect of 18% increase in RHB normal cost due to OPM changes to demographic assumptions and lower discount rate. 5 - FERS is an estimate and subject to change once we receive the bill. 6 - FY2016 data on prepaid postage resulted in a $1.1B decrease in the liability for deferred revenue - prepaid postage and a corresponding increase in revenue. 26

June YTD (9 Months) FY FY (Billions) 2017 2016 Revenue (Excluding Temporary Exigent Surcharge) $ 53.1 $ 52.7 Temporary Exigent Surcharge 1-1.1 Total Revenue 53.1 53.8 Controllable Expenses 2, 3 53.2 52.5 Controllable Income (Loss) 1, 2, 3 (0.1) 1.3 Retiree Health Benefits Amortization (0.7) - RHB Normal Cost Actuarial Revaluation 4 (0.4) - Retiree Health Benefits Prefunding - (4.4) Workers' Comp. Fair Value Adj. and Other Non-Cash Adj. 1.9 (1.1) FERS Unfunded Liabilities Amortization 5 (0.7) (0.2) CSRS Unfunded Liabilities Amortization (1.3) - Change in Accounting Estimate 6-1.1 Net Income (Loss) 3 $ (1.3) $ (3.3) 1 - Temporary exigent surcharge expired April 10, 2016. 2 - Before RHB pre-funding/amortization & actuarial revaluation, non-cash adjustments to workers compensation liabilities and FERS and CSRS unfunded liabilities amortization, which are excluded from controllable expenses. 3 - June YTD has one less delivery and retail day compared to SPLY. 4 - Effect of 18% increase in RHB normal cost due to OPM changes to demographic assumptions and lower discount rate. 5 - FERS is an estimate and subject to change once we receive the bill. Financial Results 6 - FY2016 data on prepaid postage resulted in a $1.1B decrease in the liability for deferred revenue - prepaid postage and a corresponding increase in revenue. 26

Great Lakes Area Focus Group 27

Composite Results First-Class Composite (Letters & Flats) YTD Q3TD Actual 93.63 94.53 SPLY Var +1.13 +0.16 Marketing Mail/Periodicals Composite YTD Q3TD Actual 91.37 93.02 SPLY Var +2.26 +0.34 Qtr 3 - Highest Quarterly Achievement Periodicals YTD Q3TD Actual 85.12 87.98 SPLY Var +6.18 +4.29 Packages * Constant Improvements 28

Great Lakes Area Focus Group 29