Merrill Lynch Global Metals & Mining Conference. Presented by Cynthia Carroll, Chief Executive 12 May 2009

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Transcription:

Merrill Lynch Global Metals & Mining Conference Presented by Cynthia Carroll, Chief Executive 12 May 2009

Agenda 1 Our Strategic Focus 2 Market Environment 3 Taking Rapid and Decisive Action 4 Pursuing Strategic Growth Options 5 The Investment Case 2

Our Strategic Focus

Our Strategic Focus Enhancing our position of owning and operating a world class asset portfolio in the most attractive mining markets Focusing our portfolio on attractive markets, where we have an advantaged position Building profitable and material positions in copper, seaborne iron ore and export coal Capitalising on our unique position in platinum and diamonds Securing long life and cost advantaged assets Developing strong growth opportunities and project pipeline Delivering operational excellence through asset optimisation and supply chain Operating as One Anglo, with strong performance culture and streamlined management model Embedding our commitment to safety, sustainability, environment and community Being a partner and employer of choice 4

Delivering our strategy Portfolio Focus Delivering on our focused programme of non-core asset disposals: AngloGold Ashanti ($1.8 bn) China Shenhua Energy ($704 m) Tarmac Iberia ($186 m) Targeting acquisitions that enhance our unique portfolio: Iron Ore: Minas-Rio Platinum: increased ownership to close to 80% Copper: Michiquillay and Pebble Advantaged Assets Majority of our assets are in Q1 and Q2 positions on the cost curve Average project life of 40 years, more than double the industry average We hold leading positions in platinum and diamonds Our approved project pipeline totals $16 billion, with substantial opportunities beyond 5

Delivering our strategy Stakeholder Engagement Strengthening relationships with host governments Continuing to deliver on BEE in South Africa Secured new order mining rights in South Africa Gained recognition from communities and governments in 2008: Best corporate grantmaker in SA for 8 th consecutive year. Helped to launch 228 small enterprises in SA employing over 13,000 people worldwide. Top national environmental prize in Brazil Chilean Bicentenary Seal for community engagement UK Wildlife Trust biodiversity award Social Commitment Improved safety record: Fatalities reduced by 33% in 2008 vs. 2007 LTIFR improved by 17% Embedding Zero Harm culture 1.3 million hours LTI free in Anglo Ferrous Brazil 40 million hours fatality free at Union mine At the Barro Alto Project, 8.2 million hours without LTIs More than 20 operations achieved zero LTIs in 2008 Pioneering HIV/AIDS programme 6

Market Environment

Demand is likely to remain weak in the near term and timing for recovery remains uncertain Demand for Key Commodities 2008-2009 Change (%) Chinese Steel Inventories kt 0% (2%) -5% -10% -15% (7%) (8%) (6%) (8%) (11%) Copper Nickel Zinc Iron ore Export HCC Export Thermal (9%) Platinum Monthly y-o-y change % Chinese Electricity Consumption 35% Bn kwh, monthly y-o-y change (%) 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% - Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 (5%) (10%) Source: Global Insight, Bloomberg, MySteel, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, CRU, Goldman Sachs 8

Key industry themes different from last year May 2008 Maximising output Increased infrastructure constraints Increased competition for assets Increased project development constraints Reduced access to capital/liquidity May 2009 Managing costs and production Efficiency focus at existing infrastructure Limited competition for assets Reduction in project development Very limited access to capital/liquidity Fundamentals of our industry remain solid 99

Anglo has taken necessary actions to be well positioned through the cycle Long life, cost advantaged assets largely in Q1 and Q2 of cost curve Strong, well funded organic growth pipeline Unique portfolio in precious, bulks and base Strengthened financial position Internal focus on improving performance, returns and operational excellence 10

Taking Rapid and Decisive Action

Early decisive steps taken Conserving cash 2009 capex plans reduced by >50% to $4.5 bn including $1.3 bn SIB Capex Cutting production Reduced platinum output (target 2.4 m oz) Halted metallurgical coal production growth Cut diamond production by 40% (annualised) Driving efficiency 19,000 headcount reduction in 2009 across all businesses and geographies $m 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 SIB Capex 130% 100% 50% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009e SIB Capex SIB Capex as % of Depreciation Metallurgical Coal Production 2006 2007 2008 2009 2009e % Depreciation 12

Balance sheet strengthened Robust position secured to carry through the downturn, without compromising future growth options Dividend suspended ($1.6 billion p.a.) AGA divestment ($1.8 billion) $2 billion Bond issue April 2009 $1.7 billion Convertible Bond issue April 2009 13

Progressive improvement at Anglo Platinum 2008: Initial changes implemented 2009: Next stage of restructuring Fundamental reshaping of the platinum business Major overhaul of the senior management team Significant operational and cultural transformation Production target of 2.4 million ounces delivered in 2008 Step change in safety performance achieved LTIFR improved by 14% Number of fatalities reduced by 32% Optimising structure of Rustenburg and Amandelbult mines into five mines and two mines respectively Reduction in workforce of 10,000 by year end More than 40% complete by end of 1Q 09 Output reduced at high cost mines 50% output reduction at Mogalakwena Bleskop on care and maintenance Decreasing operating costs in real terms Q1 cash operating costs down by 7% Reduced capex by >50% Tonnes / employee improved by 26% 14

Diamonds: Significant action taken Took decisive action to eliminate high cost, small scale operations with limited life Cut production by over 40% for 2009 Debswana - 50-day production holiday and some plants closed DBCM - production holidays and all operations running at reduced production levels De Beers Canada - summer production holidays and reduced production Namdeb -12 week production holiday and some mining areas closed Major cost reduction programme under way Capex reduction of 70% vs 2008 Operating cost reduction of 47% vs 2008 Global headcount reduction of 1,800 Seeing an improving trend in diamond sight sales in 2009 15

Delivering $2bn Asset Optimisation & Procurement Significant initiatives progress being made on Asset Optimisation $1 bn operating profit growth from Asset Optimisation 2009 to 2011 AO embedded throughout organisation AO representatives in all mines with specific targets for every mine and every business unit Examples of value delivery $25m annual benefit from reduced shutdown interval at Sishen Increased Grinding Mill utilisation rate at Los Bronces from 91% to 96%, equating to $20m profit enhancement for 2009 Procurement initiatives on track to deliver benefits of $1 bn by 2011 Over $200m delivered in 2008 Examples of value delivery Conveyor equipment and services: supplier consolidation (over 100 to 6), will deliver a 13% price reduction Temporary labour: supplier consolidation South Africa (41 to 3) and Australia (6 to 1), delivering over 10% reduction in labour cost 16

Pursuing Strategic Growth Options

Strong project pipeline preserved 2010 / 2011 2012 / 2013 2014 and beyond Collahuasi Expansion 1 Los Bronces Barro Alto Twickenham Elders Opencast Elders U/ground Estimated capital expenditure (100% basis): Minas-Rio Phase I Sishen South Cerrejón P40 New Largo Amandelbult Sishen Expan. 2 Heidelberg U/ground Quellaveco Sishen Pellets <$500m $500m - $1bn > $1bn Jacaré Pebble Michiquillay Copper Thermal Coal Nickel Platinum Iron ore One of the largest industry growth pipelines *Selected future approved and unapproved projects, dates show first production 18

Major projects well timed to enter production Los Bronces expansion World class Tier 1 copper project 300 250 World s 6th largest copper mine 200 173,000 tpa first production 150 in 2011 100 50 1st quartile cash costs of $0.69/lb 0 Net C1 Cash Cost (c/lb) Los Bronces El Soldado Mantos Blancos Mantoverde Collahuasi 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Cumulative Production (%) Barro Alto project Large scale, low cost, long life nickel project 2nd quartile cash costs of $3.20/lb Production of 36,000 tpa first production in 2011 At full production in 2012, it will more than double our current Ni production Net C1 Cash Cost ($/lb) 20 15 10 5 0-5 -10 Barro Alto Loma de Niquel Codemin 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Cumulative Production (%) 19

Positioning for growth Minas Rio Transforming Anglo s position in iron ore World class deposit Major producer of high quality iron ore: 68% Fe content Resources of 3.9 bn tonnes Encouraging drilling results: potential to significantly increase resource Phase 1 production expected to commence in Q2 2012, with design capacity of 26.5 mtpa Potential to expand production to 80 mtpa Integrated logistics: 525 km pipeline to port of Açu 20

Positioning for growth Minas Rio 10% Minas-Rio a Tier 1 iron ore asset Iron ore quality by region 8% Australia - high quality China 1 Africa Dotted bubble indicates processed ore Bubble size indicates an average production of 50 Mtpa Alumina + silica content (%) 6% 4% Australia - medium quality India Sishen Thabazimbi CIS North America Brazil 2% Minas-Rio Phase1 Amapá Minas-Rio expansion 0% 55% 57% 59% 61% 63% 65% 67% 69% 71% 73% Grade (%) Notes: 1. Chinese production (rich ore equivalent) inferred from a small sample of mines. Source: CRU 21

The Investment Case

Investment of choice Focused on delivering substantial value throughout the cycle, leveraging our world class asset base and building our $50bn growth pipeline A unique world-class portfolio of precious, bulks and base metals well positioned at lower end of cost curve in attractive markets Major restructuring initiatives at Anglo Platinum and De Beers $2 billion Asset Optimisation and Procurement programmes Balance sheet: no further refinancing required over the medium term Three major projects under development well timed to enter production from 2011 23

Question and Answer session