1Q 2018 Results Presentation

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Transcription:

1Q 2018 Results Presentation

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY EUROCASH GROUP ORGANIC WHOLESALE SEGMENT GROWTH BETTER THAN MARKET BACK ON GROWTH TRACK GROSS MARGIN BACK ON TRACK AFTER WEAK 4Q 2017 HO COSTS OPTIMIZATION PROGRAM PLN 14.2M DELIVERED IN 1Q 2018 ONGOING RETAIL INTEGRATION: ACCELERATED EKO REMODELING BURDENS SHORT-TERM RESULTS OF THE GROUP 2

INFLATION Strong food inflation, flat beverages % Inflation YoY in Poland Food inflation by categories 6% 5,6% 20% Large format categories Small format categories 5% 4% 3,4% 3,4% 4,6% 3,9% 15% 10% 12,1% 12,0% 9,0% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2,0% 1,8% 1,9% 2,2% 1,5% 1,1% 0,8% 1,0% 0,9% 1,1% 1Q2017 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q2018 5% 0% -5% 4,2% 4,0% 3,3% 2,8% 2,6% 1,0% 0,8% 0,5% Food average -0,9% -2,4% Source: GUS CPI CPI - food & non-alcoholic beverages CPI - alcoholic beverages & tobacco 2017 (I-XII) 2018 (I-III) Eurocash inflation much below the market: wholesale prices in Delikatesy Centrum: +0.7%, retail prices +1.7% in 1Q 2018 YoY 3

10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% 8,8% 9,4% Discounters FMCG MARKET GROWTH Small Format growing by 3.2% vs. FMCG market growth of 5.8% in LTM Mar 2018 FMCG market growth by channels (YoY) -0,4% 2,0% Hypermarkets 2500+ 4,1% 6,1% Supermarkets 300-2500 LTM Jan 2018 LTM Mar 2018 2,6% 3,2% Small Format - Total 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% Food market growth by small format channels (YoY) 5,6% 6,4% -4,9% -4,7% 1,1% 2,5% 9,4% 9,2% Specialized & Others Small Grocers -40 Convenience 40-100 Small Supermarkets LTM Jan 2018 LTM Mar 2018 100-300 Stable sales increase in small format stores. Small supermarkets below 300 sqm with sales increase at 9.2% YoY, Large format stores as main place of realization of stock up mission which resulted in acceleration of sales in March 2018 (earlier Easter). Source: Nielsen; *LTM Last Twelve Month 4

FMCG MARKET GROWTH Small Format stores with constant sales increase. Easter effect mainly in large format stores. FMCG market growth by channels (YTD, YoY) Food sales dynamic per 1 store (LTM Mar 2018, YoY) 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% 7,5% 9,8% Discounters YTD Feb 2018 YTD Mar 2018 5,1% -1,0% Hypermarkets 2500+ 2,3% 6,5% Supermarkets 300-2500 3,1% 3,0% Small Format - Total 10,0% 8,0% 6,0% 4,0% 2,0% 0,0% 3,6% 2,9% Small Grocers -40 Convenience 40-100 9,4% Small Supermarkets 100-300 5,4% Supermarkets 300-2500 3,3% Hypermarkets 2500+ 7,7% Discounters Small Grocers -40 Convenience 40-100 Small Supermarkets 100-300 Supermarkets 300-2500 Hypermarkets 2500+ Discounters Stable sales increase. Holiday s stock up mission realized in large format stores, which gives less volatility of sales in Small Format stores. Increasing sales per 1 store in the market compensates declining number of stores. Source: Nielsen; *LTM Last Twelve Month 5

EUROCASH GROUP SALES DYNAMIC Organic increase of sales of goods in Eurocash up by 7.5% YoY much more than market with 6.0% in 1Q YoY Dynamics of sales by new segments in 1Q 2018 (incl. IFRS 15 restatement) Dynamics of sales of goods by old segments in 1Q 2018 (excl. IFRS 15 restatement) 12,0% 10,0% 8,0% 7,2% 8.0% incl. Fresh Project 47,5% 7,5% 12,0% 10,0% 8,0% 11.9% incl. Fresh Project 9,4% 47,5% 7,0% 6,0% 6,0% 4,9% 4,0% 3,0% 4,0% 2,7% 2,0% 2,0% 0,0% Wholesale Retail Projects Eurocash Group 0,0% Independent Wholesale Integrated Wholesale Retail Projects Eurocash Group Wholesale segment driven by EC Distribution (+110m) and specialized delivery of Alcohol & Tobacco (+114m), Retail segment driven by Delikatesy Centrum own stores and off-set by EKO stores integration and remodeling, Delikatesy Centrum wholesale LFL at 8.5%, retail LFL at 6.3% YoY. *Changes new vs. old segments: Distribution and Food Service presented in Wholesale, Delikatesy Centrum presented in Retail 6

1Q 2018 FINANCIAL SUMMARY Strong sales increase driven by wholesale segment PLN m 1Q 2017 1Q 2018 % of Sales 1Q 2017 % of Sales 1Q 2018 Y/Y Change Net sales 4 651 5 000 7.5% Net total sales before IFRS 15 5 193 5 541 6.7% Gross profit 531 582 11,4% 11,6% 9.5% EBITDA 37,5 39,6 0,8% 0,8% 5.6% EBIT -7,0-7,1-0,2% -0,1% -1.7% Profit before tax -16,2-17,3-0,3% -0,3% -7.0% Net profit -15,0-18,5-0,3% -0,4% -24% Sales driven mainly by wholesale segment (+268m PLN), Retail segment with healthy LFL and growth in Fresh Project, Gross Margin increase by 0.2 p.p. YoY back on track after weak 4Q 2017, EBITDA driven by wholesale segment (mainly C&C and ECD), partially off-set by Tobacco distribution and EKO integration, Net Profit affected by increased taxes due to change of law (trademarks depreciation discontinued for tax purpose). 7

EBITDA & COSTS DEVELOPMENT 120 1Q 2018 costs evolution 100 80 60 48,5 14,2-22,1-4,1-9,6-10,6 40 20 37,5 39,6 0 EBITDA 1Q 2017 Gross Margin Costs savings Remunerations Other SG&A Other operating income Other operating costs EBITDA 1Q 2018 Gross Margin driven by wholesale segment, Other operating income: lower other one-off retail income and charges, Selling expenses driven by salaries, other SG&A driven by transportation in relation to increased sales, Other operating costs: write-offs of fixed assets and bad debts. 8

EBITDA PERFORMANCE BY SEGMENTS 1Q 2018 EBITDA by segments 60 50 40 30 20 10 0-10 -20 +10.7m -11.5m +1.7m +1.2m +2.1m 47,4 36,7 37,5 39,6 33,0 21,5 1Q 2017 1Q 2018-16,0-14,3-16,2-15,0 Wholesale Retail Projects Others Eurocash Group C&C operational improvement (increased gross margin) EKO integration in line with plan short-term impact on profitability Fresh Project improving results, partially off-set by other projects Costs improvement STRONG FOCUS ON: WHOLESALE OPTIMIZATION EC Distribution sales increase Tobacco underperformance reorganization under way DC own stores above expectations DC Franchise improvement of results, focus on Fresh Project RETAIL INTEGRATION COSTS CONTROL 9

WHOLESALE Back on growth track Wholesale segment: 1Q 2018 sales by distribution formats (PLN m) 1 500 1 000 500 0 5,8% 11,6% 1,1% 8,9% 38,2% 1 259 1 331 1 058 948 954 965 Tobacco Distribution Cash&Carry Alcohol Other 1Q 2017 1Q 2018 Change% 466 508 87 121 ECD: strong sales increase driving profitability, Cash&Carry: LFL at. 1.5% YoY, EBITDA improvement due to increased gross margin, Tobacco off-setting operational improvement in wholesale segment. Reorganization plan under preparation. 10

RETAIL Stable growth with accelerated EKO integration burdening profits 400 300 200 100 0 Retail segment: 1Q 2018 sales by distribution formats (PLN m) No. of stores 13.1% incl. Fresh Project 2,8% -2,5% 9,7% 4,1% 333 343 201 196 160 176 99 103 200 Delikatesy Centrum EKO Delikatesy Centrum Own Inmedio 0 1Q 2017 1Q 2018 Change% 1000 800 600 400 1001 Total 225 129 122 96 DC Brand 454 DC Franchise DC Own EKO Inmedio Delikatesy Centrum LFL: wholesale +8.5%, retail 6.5%, 41 EKO stores remodeled in 1Q, 7 Delikatesy Centrum net openings, DC own profitability above expectations, EKO profitability impacted by stores remodeling and integration (sell outs, stores closure, logistics), New Board Member dedicated for Retail segment in place. 11

COSTS OPTIMIZATION Head Office costs optimization Eurocash C&C restructuring ECA logistics integration within Central Logistics PLN 14.2m in 1Q 2018 C&C store chain restructuring finalized 0.7 p.p. YoY improvement on sales migrated to Central Logistics. WC improvement by 6.3 days 12

PLN m, Normalized 1Q 2017 1Q 2018 Net operating cash flow (80) (47) Net profit (loss) before tax (16) (17) Depreciation 44 47 Change in working capital (101) (93) Other (7) 17 Net investment cash flow (139) (34) CASH FLOW LTM Operating CF* at 171% EBITDA* (Normalized) 40 20 0-20 -40-60 Cash conversion cycle 30 28 28 25 27 27 19 22 20 19 21 22 (18) (17) (18) (20) (23) (20) (67) (67) (66) (64) (70) (68) Net financial cash flow 195 376 Total cash flow (24) 295-80 Q4 Q1 2017 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2018 Receivables Stock Cash conversion Liabilities Operating Cash Flow impacted by lower payables rotation comparing to 4Q 2017. Working Capital rotation at long-term optimum level potential for further strong cash generation. *Adjusted for one-off item 114 m PLN potential VAT liability payment done in Aug 2017 13

700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 NET DEBT VS. NORMALIZED* LTM EBITDA 0,74 Strong Cash Flow off-setting payment for additional Vat, M&A and dividend Net Debt* vs. 12M EBITDA in 1Q 2018 1,36 1,10 1,11 440 324 431 584 441 486 419 464 361 370 363 468 4Q'16 1Q'17 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q'18 1,02 LTM EBITDA (PLN m) NET DEBT (PLN m) NET DEBT / EBITDA 1,29 1,6 1,4 1,2 1,0 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,2 0,0 Liquidity at secure level, impacted by lower payables rotation (comparing to 4Q 2017) and seasonality, 102m PLN dividend and 350m PLN Mila price to be paid in 2Q 2018. *NET DEBT - the sum of long and short term loans, borrowings and financial liabilities less cash and cash equivalents *Adjusted for one-off item 114 m PLN potential VAT liability payment done in Aug 2017 14

SUMMARY OF THE PRESENTATION Strong organic sales increase above market average (7.5% EC vs.6.0% market YTD), Gross margin back on track after weak 4Q 2017 results, Wholesale: back to growth, strong improvement of profitability, issues with Tobacco under way, Retail: integration in line with plan with accelerated remodeling impacting profitability, Head Office costs optimization program in line with plan 20% delivered in 1Q 2018, Cash Flow impacted by seasonality, Working Capital rotation improvement. Improved operations and costs control. Space for further corrections. 15

DISCLAIMER This presentation and the associated slides and discussion contain forward-looking statements. These statements are naturally subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Those forward-looking statements may include, but are not limited to, those regarding capital employed, capital expenditure, cash flows, costs, savings, debt, demand, depreciation, disposals, dividends, earnings, efficiency, gearing, growth, improvements, investments, margins, performance, prices, production, productivity, profits, reserves, returns, sales, share buy backs, special and exceptional items, strategy, synergies, tax rates, trends, value, volumes, and the effects of Eurocash S.A. merger and acquisition activities. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to developments in government regulations, foreign exchange rates, oil and gas prices, political stability, economic growth and the completion of ongoing transactions. Many of these factors are beyond the Company's ability to control or predict. Given these and other uncertainties, you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any of the forward looking statements contained herein or otherwise. The Company does not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking statements (which speak only as of the date hereof) to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as maybe required under applicable securities laws. Statements and data contained in this presentation and the associated slides and discussions, which relate to the performance of Eurocash S.A. in this and future years, represent plans, targets or projections. 16

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT: Cezary Giza Investor Relations Director cezary.giza@eurocash.pl mobile: +48 693 930 415 17