THE SACCO SOCIETIES REGULATORY AUTHORITY (SASRA) IFRS 9 - FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS Efficient implementation by SACCOs

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THE SACCO SOCIETIES REGULATORY AUTHORITY (SASRA) IFRS 9 - FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS Efficient implementation by SACCOs Sacco Workshop NYERI- 2018

Agenda: IFRS 9 Financial instruments 1. Overview: Why IFRS 9? Why are we here? 2. Classification and Measurement 3. Impairment 4. Implementation 5. The Impact 6. Challenges to SACCOS 7. Conclusions and Proposed way forward

IFRS 9 Financial instruments 1.0 An Overview Why IFRS 9? Why are we here?

Two views on financial institutions Alan Greenspan, Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, 1987-2006 IFRS 9 Financial instruments Sir Isaac Newton Commenting on his personal financial loss during the South Seas Bubble, 1720 Innovation has brought about a multitude of new products, such as subprime loans and niche credit programs for immigrants. Such developments are representative of the market responses that have driven the financial services industry throughout the history of our country With these advances in technology, lenders have taken advantage of creditscoring models and other techniques for efficiently extending credit to a broader spectrum of consumers. Where once more-marginal applicants would simply have been denied credit, lenders are now able to quite efficiently judge the risk posed by individual applicants and to price that risk appropriately. These improvements have led to rapid growth in subprime mortgage lending; indeed, today subprime mortgages account for roughly 10 percent of the number of all mortgages outstanding, up from just 1 or 2 percent in the early 1990s 2004. I can measure the movement of the stars, but I cannot measure the madness of men Dorian Ford Prince, May 2010

IFRS 9 Financial instruments Which one is prevalent in your Sacco today? Possible causes of financial crisis in a SACCO External dependency Unclear financial Information Uncompetitive products & services Poor public image Undisciplined financial operations Share based loan analysis Social philosophy over common business sense

IFRS 9 Financial instruments Financial Disciplines How to avoid financial crisis 1. Delinquency Control 2. Control of non-earning assets 3. Capital accumulation Delinquency goal of below 5% IFRS 9 Maximise earning assets at 95% Non-earning asset goal below 5% Raise capital to 10% of total assets Maintain adequate reserves

2.0 IFRS 9 Financial Instruments (Genesis) FINANCIAL CRISIS 2007/08 IASB ICPAK SASRA 2009 Key concern Delayed recognition of credit losses IAS 39 incurred credit loss (ICL) model Revised IAS 39 to IFRS 9 (ECL); IFRS 9 to be complied with beginning January 2018 Adoption of IFRS 9 in Kenya Build capacity of accountants and auditors to implement Issue guidelines Issue industry specific guide in consultation with stakeholders e.g KUSCCO, ICPAK, DT Sacco s

IFRS 9 Financial instruments Objective Scope Deviation from IAS 39 IMPACT Improve credit risk provisioning to enhance resilience and capacity to withstand losses occasioned by loan defaults Applies to debt instruments (deposits, loans, debt securities and trade receivables among others) recorded at amortized cost or at fair value Estimates lifetime credit losses that are likely to occur, whereas incurred loss methodologies focus on what credit losses have occurred Creates larger loan loss reserves hence reduction in net surplus and capital

2.1 IFRS 9 - Classification and Measurement Financial assets should be classified and measured either at amortised cost(ac) or fair value (FV) based on two criteria: The entity s business model for managing the financial assets; and The contractual cash flow characteristics of the financial asset. Financial assets should be measured at amortised cost if, and only if, both: The contractual terms of the financial asset give rise on specified dates to cash flows that are solely payments of principal and interest; and The asset is held within a business model whose objective is to hold assets in order to collect contractual cash flows. All other financial assets should be measured at fair value.

IFRS 9 - Classification and Measurement Financial assets should be measured at fair value through other comprehensive income if both: The contractual terms of the financial asset give rise on specified dates to cash flows that are solely payments of principal and interest; and The asset is held within a business model whose objective is achieved by both collecting contractual cash flows and selling the assets. Interest would be recognised in profit or loss.

IFRS 9 - Classification and Measurement All other financial assets should be measured at fair value through profit or loss except that for an investment in an equity instrument (that is not held for trading and is not an investment in subsidiary or associate) an entity may make an irrevocable election at initial recognition to present subsequent changes in fair value in other comprehensive income (dividends would be recognised in profit or loss). Gains/losses are not recycled to profit or loss when realised. Fair value option: Despite the above, an entity may, at initial recognition, irrevocably designate a financial asset at fair value through profit or loss if doing so eliminates or significantly reduces a measurement or recognition inconsistency (accounting mismatch)

Classification and measurement decision tree 1 Debt instruments Held to collect contractual cash flows 2 No Amortised cost Business model test Held to collect contractual cash flows and sell Solely Payment of Principal and Interests test Fair value option? Only in case of accounting mismatch No Fair value through recyclable OCI No No Yes Yes Fair value through non recyclable OCI Equity instruments Trading intention? No Fair value through non recyclable OCI? Derivatives Yes No Fair value through P or L (default classification)

Transition IAS 39 to IFRS 9

Transition IAS 39 to IFRS 9

IFRS 9 Financial liabilities Financial liabilities should be classified and measured at amortised cost except for: Liabilities held for trading, including derivatives Those which the entity, at initial recognition, irrevocably designates as at fair value through profit or loss because: doing so eliminates or significantly reduces a measurement or recognition inconsistency (accounting mismatch); or it forms part of a portfolio which is managed and evaluated on a fair value basis; Financial guarantee contracts Commitments to provide a loan at a below-market interest rate which are measured at fair value

Gains and losses on financial liabilities Gains or losses on financial liabilities measured at fair value shall be recognised in profit or loss except for the amount of change in the fair value of the financial liability that is attributable to changes in the credit risk of that liability, which shall be recognised in other comprehensive income (OCI)

IFRS 9 - Reclassification of financial assets An entity can reclassify financial assets when, and only when, it changes its business model for managing those assets. A transfer of an asset between business models within an entity is not a change of business model. Reclassification can only be applied prospectively from the start of the following reporting period. Financial liabilities cannot be reclassified.

Transition classification and measurement Determine the classification of financial assets and liabilities based on facts and circumstance existing at 1 January 2018. Decide on your accounting policy choice for equity investments Apply the measurement retrospectively, unless impracticable, but with the disclosures required by IFRS 7 Restate comparatives only if it is possible to do so without the use of hindsight

Example: Transition classification and measurement If an asset carried at amortised cost now has to be measured at fair value, the difference in carrying amount will be an adjustment to retained earnings at 1 January 2018 If an asset measured at fair value through other comprehensive income is now classified at fair value through profit or loss, the cumulative fair value gains/losses will be transferred from the fair value (AFS) reserve to retained earnings at 1 January 2018

Action: Transition classification and measurement Review all your financial instruments and identify those that will need to be reclassified. Pay particular attention to: Do all financial assets measured at amortised cost meet the two criteria: held to collect the cash flows, which are solely principal and interest? If you have equity investments, do you want to elect to measure these at fair value through other comprehensive income Do you have other financial assets currently classified as available-for-sale, which are held to collect cash flows or sell, in which case they will continue to be carried at fair value through other comprehensive income. Agree your conclusions with your auditor, and if you have any complex instruments (e.g. embedded derivatives), seek further advice.

2.3 IFRS 9 - Impairment overview Guiding principles Based on expected credit losses, not incurred losses Responsive to changes in information that impact credit expectations Credit losses should be based on reasonable and supportable information that is available without undue cost or effort, and that includes historical, current and forecast information

Impairment financial instruments affected Financial assets at amortised cost (including trade receivables) Lease receivables Debt instruments at fair value through other comprehensive income (hold and sell) Loan commitments (undrawn) and financial guarantee contracts

Impairment Recognize expected credit losses using a 3 stage (bucket) approach based on change in credit quality since initial recognition: 1. As long as credit risk has not increased significantly since initial recognition recognise 12 month expected credit losses 2. If credit risk has increased significantly since initial recognition recognise lifetime expected credit losses. Continue to recognise interest on gross carrying amount 3. Impaired - recognise lifetime expected credit losses, and recognise interest only on the recoverable amount For simple trade receivables and lease receivables, loss allowance should equal life time expected credit losses.

Impairment 12 month expected credit losses are the portion of lifetime expected credit losses that represent the expected credit losses that result from default events that are possible within 12 months from the reporting date Lifetime expected credit losses are the expected credit losses that result from all possible default events over the expected life of a financial instrument

Impairment Expected credit losses are a probability-weighted estimate of credit losses, i.e. Expected credit loss = probability of default x amount of credit loss A credit loss is the present value of the difference between the contractual cash flows and the cash flows that the entity expects to receive.

Measurement of expected credit losses The amount of credit loss can also be expressed as: Exposure at default x loss given default (expressed as a percentage) An alternative is the loss rate approach. Under this approach an entity considers samples of its own historical default and loss experience to arrive at a loss rate percentage. It then updates its historical data for current economic conditions as well as reasonable and supportable forecasts of future economic conditions.

How to determine whether credit risk has increased significantly Based on changes in risk of default over the remaining life of the instrument rather than changes in the amount of expected losses Reasonable and supportable information that is available without undue cost or effort must be used, for example: Actual or expected significant change in FI s external credit rating Actual or expected internal credit rating downturn Actual or expected significant change in the operating results of the borrower Existing or forecast adverse changes in business, financial, or economic conditions Significant changes in the value of the collateral supporting the obligation But there is a rebuttable presumption that there has been a significant increase in credit risk when payments are more than 30 days past due

Assess credit risk deterioration: what is your opinion? Low credit risk area Threshold Investment grade F t0 Threshold Defaulted assets F t1 Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 1Y ECL Maturity ECL D t0 D t1 X t0 Asset X at origination (t 0 ) C t0 C t1 X t1 Asset X end of period (t 1 ) B t0 B t1 Non significant deterioration A t0 A t1 E t0 E t1 Significant deterioration to be defined Investment Grade Non-investment Grade Default

Simplifications and exceptions to the general model Investment Grade Non Investment Grade Default

Illustrative example #2 Impairment calculation One year later, a significant credit risk deterioration is identified (BBB BB) : calculation of the maturity ECL Loan of 1,000, with a 5 year maturity, with a loss given default of 30% and a BBB rating Below, the cumulative PD «corporate» grid according to Standard & Poors: Investment Grade Rating 1 Y 2 Y 3 Y 4 Y BB 0.90 2.70 4.80 6.80 Non Investment Grade Solution The amount of impairment calculated is now: 1,000 x 30% x 6.80% = 20.40 Which means an additional loss in the P&L of (20.40 0.72) = 19.68 You may observe that the increase of impairment is exponential in case of significant Default credit risk deterioration.

ECL = PV (PD*LGD*EAD) where ECL Computations PV = Present Value(Has an element of discretion for cost of capital) PD = Probability given default (determined using data) LGD = loss given default(determined using data) EAD = Expected asset Deterioration /exposure at Default. (determined using data) Therefore stakeholders decided to use a simplified version by checking the similarities in buckets categorization and the statutory categorizations.

Impairment calculation Institutions using the IFRS 9 standard would establish as many Sub-Buckets (or assessments of individual loans) as necessary within each Bucket to represent accurately the types of loans it holds Buckets 1 and 2, loans of a similar purpose and collateral are grouped into Sub-Buckets and reserved for collectively Bucket 3, each problem loan and its collateral are assessed individually. IFRS 9 does not address specific time limits for moving a loan from Bucket 2 to Bucket 3 however, it requires a loan be moved to Bucket 3 once it becomes seriously impaired

Mapping IFRS 9 Methodology with regulatory requirements SACCO s can use existing regulatory credit risk classification and provisioning as described below: Prudential Category Days Due Bucket Allocation Performing 0 Days Bucket 1 Watch 1-30 Days Bucket 2 Substandard 31-180 Days Bucket 3 Doubtful 181-360 Days Bucket 3 Loss Over 360 Days Bucket 3

Tax implications 2.4 IFRS 9 - Implementation Stage 1 and Stage 2 expected credit losses will be general provisions and will not be tax deductible (will result in a deferred tax asset) Stage 3 provisions should be treated in the same way as they have been under IAS 39 Fair value gains and losses will generally be added back in the tax computation. It will then be necessary to track and tax realized gains and losses The need to determine what are trading gains and what are capital gains from investments remains unchanged

2.4 IFRS 9 - Implementation Transition - impairment At 1 January 2018 it will be necessary to determine whether there has been a significant increase in credit risk since the initial recognition of the asset without undue cost or effort, recognise lifetime expected credit losses, unless it is low credit risk Determine impairment provisions as at 1 January 2018, and adjust retained earnings accordingly Restate comparatives only if it is possible to do so without the use of hindsight

Beware of transition issues! Mandatory effective date IFRS 9 - Implementation annual periods beginning on or after 1 January 2018 will apply to quarterly/half year reporting after 1 January 2018 retrospectively with transitional provisions (no restatement of comparatives required re impairment) Expected to be very challenging for financial institutions start assessing effect asap! Provisions can only go up expected losses are being added to incurred losses Probability of default is never zero but might result in immaterial provisions (e.g. investment in government securities)

IFRS 9 - Implementation IFRS 9 brings in extensive new disclosure requirements Ongoing disclosures Classification and measurement updated accounting policies (including info on the entity s business models) listing of each equity instrument elected at FVTOCI Impairment updated accounting policies quantitative information on loss allowance calculation detailed reconciliations of the loss allowance On transition Reconciliation of the closing balances under IAS 39 to the opening IFRS 9 balances for all financial assets, financial liabilities and any loss allowances If comparatives are not restated [1], accounting policies under IFRS 9 for current period, and under IAS 39 for comparative period Comparatives can only be restated if it is possible to avoid the use of hindsight

IFRS 9 - Implementation Actions that you should have already taken! Read the standard and the guidance Start extracting historical data to support estimates of probability of default, even for trade receivables go back at least 5 years Determine provisions under IFRS 9 at 31 December 2017 before completion of the 2017 audit (assuming a 31 December year-end) so that impact can be disclosed in accordance with IAS 8

For SACCOs 2.5 IFRS 9 The Impact Need to recognise expected credit losses on all financial assets: Loans and advances (based on exposure at default) Government securities Corporate bonds and commercial paper Financial guarantees and loan commitments Impact will be more on opening retained earnings than profit or loss. This may be partly or wholly offset by reduction in regulatory reserve, but is likely to impact on capital adequacy ratios.

IFRS 9 The Impact Likely Impact on capital requirements 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Impact of IFRS 9 on capital requirements Core capital Core capital/total Assets IAS 39 IFRS 9 Institutional Capital/ Total Assets

3.0 IFRS 9 - Challenges to SACCOs Technical capacity: to understand the complex methodologies and reliably implement the standard Limited resources: to acquire advance management Information Systems suitable for the complex determination of appropriate provisions Governance: goodwill to objectively analyze the loan portfolio and make adequate provisions without requiring supervisory policing Data: historical and future data to estimate the probabilities of default Initial increase in level of provisioning reduces retained earnings and hence core capital

What happens when you know where, why and how.. you are going?

4.0 Conclusions and proposed way forward SACCO s being non-complex financial institutions, require simple and straight forward methodologies that are appropriate to their business and operational environments The regulatory provisions are fairly compatible with IFRS 9 by defining default and increase in credit risk, determine probability of default as well as establish the expected loss percentages By fully implementing regulation 41 and 44, SACCO s will have fairly complied with the requirements of IFRS 9 Increased capacity development initiatives by stakeholders incorporating emerging credit risks in SACCOs especially with the opening of common bond

I hope that you take at least one thing away from today? That provisioning is a subject that most directors and managers would rather not discuss.but.the more knowledge you have about credit risk and provisioning, the more you provide and the safer your Sacco and your investments will be. IFRS 9 will make this possible..thank YOU..

QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS? AND ANSWERS?.

Prudential Reconciliations on IFRS9 The usual way of computing Allowance for loan loss as provided by Regulation 41(form iv) assuming a loan portfolio 100m as follows:- Categories Portfolio Rate value Performing 90m 1% 900,000 Watch 2m 5% 100,000 Substandard 2m 25% 500,000 Doubtful 2m 50% 1,000,000 Loss 4m 100% 4,000,000 Total 100m 6,500,000

Accounting Adjustments cont Assuming allowance for loan loss for previous period is 4m. Then the accounting entries for 4m and 6.5m is as follows:- Dr provision for loan loss with 2.5m (The change) Cr Allowance for loan loss with 2.5m( as a balancing item) At the end of the period. Dr profit and loss Account 2.5m Cr provision for loan loss 2.5m Therefore, allowance for loss will have a balance brought forward of 6.5m.

Actual modelling Supposing you are doing modelling and the statutory is lower than actual. Eg 6.5 vs 7.5 Dr Statutory loan loss account with IFRS loan loss account with 7.5 Cr Ifrs loan account with the same 7.5 The difference of 1m