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Transcription:

Financial Results 14 May 2013

Note on Forward Looking Statements The following presentation may contain forward looking statements by the management of Thai Beverage Public Company Limited ( ThaiBev"), relating to financial or other trends for future periods, compared to the results for previous periods. Some of the statements contained in this presentation that are not historical facts are statements of future expectations with respect to the financial conditions, results of operations and businesses, and related plans and objectives. Forward looking information is based on management's current views and assumptions including, but not limited to, prevailing economic and market conditions. These statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those in the statements as originally made. Such statements are not, and should not be construed as a representation as to future performance of ThaiBev. In particular, such targets should not be regarded as a forecast or projection of future performance of ThaiBev. It should be noted that the actual performance of ThaiBev may vary significantly from such targets. 2

Understanding this Presentation For the year ended 31 December 2013, the normal corporate income tax rate in Thailand will be 20% which has been reduced from 23% and 30% for the year ended 31 December 2012 and 2011 respectively in an effort to promote the competitiveness on the global market. Starting from 1 January 2013, the 300-baht daily minimum wage has been implemented in all other provinces of Thailand as same as Bangkok, Nonthaburi, Pathum Thani, Samut Prakarn, Samut Sakhon, Nakhon Pathom and Phuket which were already implemented since 1 April 2012. The minimum wages in other provinces went up between 10 to 35 percent. The Ministry of Finance declared an increase in the excise taxes of certain categories of alcoholic beverages with effect from 22 August 2012 onwards. The excise tax is imposed by one of two methods, whichever is higher: an ad valorem rate or a specific rate. The ad valorem rate is a percentage of the ex-factory price. The specific rate is an amount in Baht on every one litre of pure alcohol of the product. White spirits : the specific rate rose from Baht 120 to Baht 150 per litre of pure alcohol and was higher than the ad valorem rate which did not change. Compounded spirits : the specific rate rose from Baht 300 to Baht 350 per litre of pure alcohol and was higher than the ad valorem rate which did not change. Brandy : the ad valorem rate rose from 48% to 50% of ex-factory price and was higher than the specific rate which did not change. There were no changes of excise taxes to beer and other special spirits. The new excise taxes caused a rise in the Company s excise tax cost of white spirits, compounded spirits and brandy of about 25%, 16.7% and 4.2% respectively. However, the Company passed on the tax increase to its customers directly. 3

Understanding this Presentation In the third quarter of 2012, International Beverage Holdings Limited (IBHL), a direct subsidiary wholly owned by the Company, acquired about 29% ordinary shares of Fraser and Neave, Limited (F&N), a Singapore company currently listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited. IBHL has transferred all shares of F&N to Interbev Investment Limited (IBIL), its wholly owned subsidiary, in the fourth quarter of 2012. The principal activities of F&N are: production and sale of soft drinks, dairy products, and beer; development of and investment in property; and printing and publishing which are carried out through subsidiary, joint venture and associated companies. The Company has recognized F&N operating results in the consolidated financial statements under the equity method by total instead of by business segments from the third quarter of 2012 onwards. In March 2013, the Company has partially divested its shares in Oishi Group Public Company Limited (Oishi), a direct subsidiary majority owned by the Company and listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand, to increase free float but still retain control for a net consideration of Baht 2,564 million. The gain from this divestment was not recognized in profit for the period per consolidated financial statements but in equity instead through other comprehensive income to comply with accounting standards. 4

Understanding this Presentation Current operations by business segments consist of spirits, beer, non-alcoholic beverage and food All monetary amounts in millions of Thai Baht unless otherwise stated Volumes in millions of liters unless otherwise stated EBITDA = Earnings from total revenues before interest expense, income tax, depreciation, and amortization 5

Highlights 6

Consolidated: Highlights Group 1Q12 Change Sales Revenue 40,606 39,154-3.6% COGS (29,542) (28,312) % of Sales Revenue 72.8% 72.3% SG&A (5,349) (5,739) % of Sales Revenue 13.2% 14.7% EBITDA exclude F&N 6,872 6,224-9.4% Net Profit exclude F&N 4,418 4,160-5.8% F&N Operating Results Operating Results - 230 * Net Foreign Exchange Loss - (557) ** Finance Costs - (400) *** EBITDA 6,872 5,897-14.2% Net Profit 4,418 3,433-22.3% Net Profit attributable to: Owners of the Company 4,298 3,452-19.7% Non-controlling interests 120 (19) Margin* EBITDA exclude F&N 16.9% 15.9% Net Profit exclude F&N 10.9% 10.6% (M Baht) EBITDA 16.9% 15.1% Net Profit 10.9% 8.8% * margins are % of sales revenue * The lower F&N operating results in this quarter was adversely affected by a one-time charge of S$72 million that arose from the general cash offers. Without this item, operating results of F&N recorded by ThailBev will be increased by Baht 496 million ** The unrealized foreign exchange loss was already hedged and mostly will be reversed from the settlement in the next quarter *** The finance costs for acquiring F&N shares will be reduced once ThaiBev receives cash from F&N capital reduction 7

Consolidated: Highlights Group ThaiBev F&N Total Sales 39,154-39,154 Gross profit 10,842-10,842 EBITDA (loss) 6,224 (327) 5,897 Net profit (loss) 4,160 (727) 3,433 (M Baht) 1Q12 Sales 40,606-40,606 Gross profit 11,064-11,064 EBITDA 6,872-6,872 Net profit 4,418-4,418 increase (decrease) Sales (3.6%) - (3.6%) Gross profit (2.0%) - (2.0%) EBITDA (9.4%) n/a (14.2%) Net profit (5.8%) n/a (22.3%) 8

Contribution per Business Segment Net Profit * Sales 106.5% -2.5% -5.7% 1.7% Spirits Beer Non-Al Beverages Food * Exclude F&N 9

Total Sales Volume Volume (M Liters) 345 1Q12 233 167 163 147 140 48 69 11 6 46 47 % increase/ -% decrease * * Spirits Beer Oishi Sermsuk Soda Water -5.1% -2.1% 42.3% -32.4% -39.7% 2.0% * Only Chang brand 10

Business Segments 11

Spirits Spirits 1Q12 Change Sales Revenue 23,138 24,351 5.2% COGS (15,494) (16,555) % of Sales Revenue 67.0% 68.0% SG&A (2,196) (2,324) % of Sales Revenue 9.5% 9.6% EBITDA 5,848 5,925 1.3% Net Profit 4,186 4,432 5.9% Margin* EBITDA 25.3% 24.3% Net Profit 18.1% 18.2% * margins are % of sales revenue (M Baht) Sales Revenue UP an increase in price and product mix despite a decrease in sales volume COGS (%) UP product mix and an increase in labor costs although there was a decrease in raw material cost SG&A (%) UP an increase in idle costs and staff costs EBITDA UP an increase in gross profit despite an increase in idle costs and staff costs Net Profit UP an increase in EBITDA and a decrease in corporate income tax 12

Spirits: Revenue-Cost Break Down (% of total revenue) 54.8% 18.1% 9.5% 4.6% 4.6% 5.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% Net profit Int. exp.+ Inc. Tax SG&A Excise Tax Packaging Raw Material Depreciation Labor Other 13

Beer Beer 1Q12 Change Sales Revenue 8,734 8,613-1.4% COGS (7,648) (7,488) % of Sales Revenue 87.6% 86.9% SG&A (1,248) (1,303) % of Sales Revenue 14.2% 15.1% EBITDA 130 39-70.0% Net Profit (Loss) (101) (105) -4.0% Margin* EBITDA 1.5% 0.5% Net Profit (-Loss) -1.2% -1.2% * margins are % of sales revenue (M Baht) Sales Revenue DOWN a decrease in sales volume COGS (%) DOWN a decrease in material costs and depreciation despite an increase in labor costs SG&A (%) UP an increase in advertising & promotion expenses, and staff costs EBITDA DOWN an increase in advertising & promotion expenses, and staff costs Net Loss UP a decrease in EBITDA 14

Beer: Revenue-Cost Break Down (% of total revenue) 58.9% 15.1% 14.4% 7.9% 1.3% 1.2% 2.8% -1.2% -0.4% Net loss Int. exp.+ Inc. Tax SG&A Excise Tax Packaging Raw Material Depreciation Labor Other 15

Non-alcohol Beverage Non-alcohol Beverage 1Q12 Change Sales Revenue 7,632 4,757-37.7% COGS (5,710) (3,425) % of Sales Revenue 74.8% 72.0% SG&A (1,538) (1,629) % of Sales Revenue 20.2% 34.3% EBITDA 793 80-89.9% Net Profit (Loss) 310 (237) -176.5% Margin* EBITDA 10.4% 1.7% Net Profit (-Loss) 4.1% -5.0% * margins are % of sales revenue Sales revenue DOWN a decrease in sales of Sermsuk PLC, due to Sermsuk launched its new, own brands product after terminated its long-lasting licensed brand products in Nov 2012. This year will be the first year of selling this new products COGS (%) DOWN product mix SG&A (%) UP an increase in advertising & promotion expenses, due to promoting Sermsuk new products and intense competition in green tea market. Also, an increase in staff costs EBITDA DOWN a decrease in gross profit and an increase in advertising & promotion expenses, and staff costs Net loss UP a decrease in EBITDA (M Baht) 16

Food Food 1Q12 Change Sales Revenue 1,170 1,460 24.8% COGS (729) (857) % of Sales Revenue 62.3% 58.7% SG&A (411) (516) % of Sales Revenue 35.2% 35.3% EBITDA 101 180 78.2% Net Profit 23 70 204.3% Margin* EBITDA 8.6% 12.3% Net Profit 2.0% 4.8% * margins are % of sales revenue (M Baht) Sales Revenue UP an increase in number of branches and sales price COGS (%) DOWN an increase in sales although there was an increase in food cost SG&A (%) UP an increase in rental costs and staff costs EBITDA UP an increase in gross profit offset by an increase in SG&A Net Profit UP an increase in EBITDA and a decrease in corporate income tax 17

Update: International Business In, ThaiBev s international business reported a decrease in sales of 17% over 1Q2012 mainly due to lower sales of bulk Scotch whisky and YLQ spirits. UK & Rest of the World Sales revenue dropped by 17% due to lower sales of bulk Scotch whisky in which some of these sales were one-off sale in 1Q2012. Cased Scotch whisky sales reported a sales growth of 9%. Asia excludes China Sales revenue were slightly increased in by 1%. Cambodia results pulled down Asia results with changes to route to market. YLQ (Chinese spirits in China) Lower sales by 45% in than in 1Q12 mostly impacted by the new regulation to limit the budget for entertainment on the spending in the alcohol products in China. USA This region s sales revenue dropped by 24% due to distributor depletions, resulting from cancellation of key account program promotion. 18

Financials 19

Balance Sheet Balance Sheet 31-Dec-12 31-Mar-13 Change (Million Baht) Assets Current assets 47,149 45,316 (1,833) Non-current assets 160,536 155,730 (4,806) Total assets 207,685 201,046 (6,639) Liabilities Total liabilities 122,714 109,990 (12,724) Shareholders' Equity Total equity 84,971 91,056 6,085 Current assets DOWN a decrease in cash and accounts receivables Non-current assets DOWN a decrease in overseas investment in associates from foreign currency translation differences of preparing consolidated financial statements Total liabilities DOWN a decrease in loans from financial institutions Total equity UP an increase in net retained earning which comprised of profit for the period and gain from partially divestment of shares in Oishi 20

Interest Bearing Debt Interest Bearing Debt 31-Dec-12 31-Mar-13 (Million Baht) Current Bank overdrafts 1,129 1,103 Short-term loans from financial institutions 10,206 1,878 Current portion of long-term loans 4,672 4,381 16,007 7,362 Non-current Long-term loans from financial institutions 88,146 83,132 Total 104,153 90,494 Cash and cash equivalents 4,545 3,258 Net Interest Bearing Debt 99,608 87,236 Note A decrease in short-term loans was mainly due to debt repayment, while a decrease in long-term loans was mainly due to foreign currency translation differences of preparing consolidated financial statements 21

Financial Ratios Ratios 31-Dec-12 31-Mar-13 Current Ratio (times) 1.54 1.98 Debt to Equity Ratio (times) 1.44 1.21 Interest Bearing Debt to Equity Ratio (times) 1.23 0.99 Net Asset Value per Share (Baht) 3.38 3.63 Net Asset Value per Share (SGD)* 0.14 0.15 * exchange rate at THB 24: SGD 1 Turnovers (days) Jan-Dec 12 Jan-Mar 13 A/R Turnover 8 8 Inventory Turnover Spirits Business Finished Goods (exc. Legacy Stocks) 58 58 Beer Business Finished Goods 20 18 Current Ratio UP a decrease in short-term loans Debt to Equity Ratio DOWN a decrease in loans from financial institutions Interest Bearing Debt to Equity Ratio DOWN a decrease in loans from financial institutions Note: use 365 days to calculate turnover 22

Q&A 23