Four Pillars Finance Newsletter Issue #100 (5 August 2009) Welcome to the 100th issue of our free Four Pillars Finance newsletter. Stock markets correction bottomed in early July and then rebounded very fast to reach new highs for the year. This means we have now reached the 2000 minimum target for Nasdaq, as predicted in our New Year prognosis for 2009. Will we also reach the higher target of 2300? Read on below... Here is the FPF prediction chart for the Nasdaq in 2009. More predictions charts for other markets, stocks, indices and commodities are available to the registered users of our FPF software program: (Predictive chart made with FPF 1.1 software, available at http://www.fourpillars.net/finance/fpf.php)
Nasdaq Current level: 2011 While we were right in our last newsletter that the correction in stocks was not over, the market turned around very fast after touching the 1740 level. It ended up being one of the best July months ever. It did not give us a chance to get in at a good price. Right now the market is bumping into an overhead trendline resistance, as you can see in the chart below. If we break above it, then the market will easily go up to 2300-2400 before year end. But I wouldn't be surprised if we get a pause till September, with a decline back towards 1800 level. Things can go either way over the next 6 to 8 weeks. For the moment we continue to stay out of this market. The risk/reward ratio is not attractive right now. This month we also introduce something new. When the research is complete we will also add it into a new version of the Four Pillars Finance software. Periods of relative underperfomance alternate with periods of better than average returns. These are the key dates for the coming month: Below average till 10th August Above average from 10th August till 23rd August Below average from 23rd August till 8th September Here is our updated prediction chart for Nasdaq:
Gold Current level for XAU index: 154 Gold stocks reached our buy target of 130 on the XAU. Meanwhile they already rallied nicely up to 154, for a gain of almost 20% in one month. Hold on to these stocks as we may go back up to 200. Keep a stop loss at 125, to get out with a small loss if things do not pan out. Here is the updated chart:
Euro - US Dollar Current level: 1.44 The Euro is showing signs of strength and has gone up to 1.44 against the US dollar. We are now at the start of Water months bottom period for the Euro. This could easily ignite a correction, possibly back down to 1.36. We stay out of this one for the moment. If the price falls back we may become buyers of Euro in September. Here is the prediction chart:
Crude Oil Current level for USO: 38.0 Oil fell down with the USO touching the low 30s as we predicted last month. But now the oil prices have bounced back. We expect new weakness in oil prices during the August-September bottom period. Waiting for a good buying entry in this market, somewhere in the 30 or lower area on the USO fund. Here is the updated chart:
Four Pillars Finance software - Free trial download For more detailed daily prediction charts you are welcome to download the Four Pillars Finance 1.1 software on our site : http://www.fourpillars.net/finance/fpf.php The program calculates the Chinese cycles and shows you in advance the best days, months or years to buy or sell stocks, gold, bonds, currencies, commodities... No experience in Chinese astrology is needed in order to use this program. **** If you want to receive our next monthly outlook in your mailbox, please subscribe to the free Newsletter on our site: http://www.fourpillars.net/finance/newsl.php You are welcome to forward this free newsletter to anyone who is interested. Copyright 2009 Fourpillars.net Contact us : http://www.fourpillars.net/finance/contact.php ***** Disclaimer: Investing in stocks, commodities or currencies is risky. No guarantee can be given that the above prediction will be correct. Fourpillars.net cannot in any way be responsible for eventual losses you may incur if you trade based on the information given in this article. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. This information should not be considered as a recommendation to engage in the purchase and/or sale of any futures contract and/or options. Trade at your own risk.