Investor Presentation Q4 2017

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Transcription:

Investor Presentation Q4 2017

2 CAUTION CONCERNING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation contains forward looking statements regarding, among other things, Desjardins Group s business objectives and priorities, financial targets and maturity profile. Such statements are typically identified by words or phrases such as believe, expect, anticipate, intend, estimate, plan and may, words and expressions of similar import, and future and conditional verbs. By their very nature, such statements involve assumptions, uncertainties and inherent risks, both general and specific. It is therefore possible that, due to many factors, these forward looking statements may not materialize or may prove to be inaccurate and that actual results differ materially. Desjardins Group cautions readers against placing undue reliance on these forward looking statements since actual results, conditions, actions and future events could differ significantly from those anticipated. A number of factors, many of which are beyond Desjardins Group s control and the effects of which can be difficult to predict, could influence the accuracy of the forward looking statements in this presentation. These factors include: credit, market, liquidity, operational, insurance, strategic, and reputation risks; regulatory and legal environment risk; environmental risk; risk related to pension plans; technological advancement and regulatory developments; cybersecurity; household indebtedness; real estate market trends; geopolitical risks; communication and information; general economic and business conditions in regions in which Desjardins Group operates; changes in the economic and financial environment in Quebec, Canada and globally; monetary policies; the accuracy and completeness of information concerning clients and counterparties; the critical accounting estimates and accounting standards applied by Desjardins Group; new products and services to maintain or increase Desjardins Group s market share; the ability to recruit and retain key management personnel, including senior management; geographic concentration; acquisitions and joint arrangements; credit ratings; amendments to tax laws; unexpected changes in consumer spending and saving habits; the ability to implement Desjardins Group s disaster recovery plan within a reasonable time; the potential impact of international conflicts or natural disasters; and Desjardins Group s ability to anticipate and properly manage the risks associated with these factors. It is important to note that the above list of factors that could influence future results is not exhaustive. Other factors could have an adverse effect on Desjardins Group s results. Additional information about these and other factors is found in the Risk management sections of Desjardins Group s most recently published annual and quarterly MD&As. Any forward looking statements contained in this presentation represent the views of management only as at the date hereof, and are presented for the purpose of assisting readers in understanding and interpreting Desjardins Group s balance sheet as at the dates indicated or its results for the periods then ended, as well as its business objectives and priorities. These statements may not be appropriate for other purposes. Desjardins Group does not undertake to update any oral or written forward looking statements that could be made from time to time by or on behalf of Desjardins Group, except as required under applicable securities legislation. 2

3 About Us 4 Financial Results 7 Balance Sheet Quality 11 Capital and Funding Strategies 15 Contact Information 26 3

HIGHLIGHTS AT DECEMBER 31, 2017 4 Results For the year ended December 31, 2017 (Comparison against 12M 2016) Balance Sheet At December 31, 2017 (Comparison against December 31, 2016) Liquidity & Capital At December 31, 2017 $2,151 million Surplus earnings, up 21% $275 billion Total assets, up 6% 18.0% CET1 ratio (Tier 1A) $17.1 billion Total income, up 12% $172 billion Total deposits, up 7% 121.4% Average LCR ratio 5 th largest financial cooperative group in the world by total income Strongest financial institution in North America and 5 th in the world (1) The Banker 100 th most important financial institution by Tier 1 capital 1. July 2015 edition. ABOUT US 4

5 ORGANIZATION CHART 293 caisses Capital Desjardins Inc. Desjardins Security Fund Fédération des caisses Desjardins du Québec Desjardins Financial Security Desjardins General Insurance Group Desjardins Securities Desjardins Global Asset Management Desjardins Trust ABOUT US 5

6 MARKET LEADERSHIP LEADING MARKET SHARES IN QUEBEC Personal savings Farm loans Residential mortgages 36.1% 41.6% 39.3% LIFE & HEALTH #2 insurer in Quebec #5 insurer in Canada Extensive range of products Offices across Canada GENERAL #1 in direct distribution in Quebec #2 insurer in Quebec #3 insurer in Canada Consumer credit 22.4% Commercial & industrial loans 19.7% 47 full service branches No. 7 fixed income group in Canada Source: Data at December 31, 2017; Market shares in Quebec: Desjardins Economic Studies; Life & Health Insurance: Canadian Life Insurers Annual Reports and Autorité des marchés financiers 2016 Annual Report on Financial Institutions; General Insurance: 2016 MSA Market Share Report; Desjardins Securities, fixed income group: Market Trade Reporting System. ABOUT US 6

SOLID AND STEADY PROFITABILITY 7 SURPLUS EARNINGS, MEMBER DIVIDENDS AND ROE ($M) Source: Desjardins Group s Financial Reports Note: Since 2010, financial statements are prepared in accordance with IFRS. Previously, Desjardins Group issued financial statements prepared in accordance with Canadian generally accepted accounting principles. FINANCIAL RESULTS 7

DIVERSIFIED SURPLUS EARNINGS AND INCOME 8 SURPLUS EARNINGS BY SEGMENT 2017 OPERATING INCOME DISTRIBUTION 2017 Property and Casualty Insurance ($446M; 21%) Wealth Management and Life and Health Insurance ($612M; 28%) Personal and Business Services and Other category ($1,093M; 51%) Other banking activities 7% Brokerage and investment fund services 7% Other income 3% Net interest income 29% Net premiums Property and Casualty Insurance 25% Net premiums Life & Health 29% Source: Desjardins Group s Financial Reports FINANCIAL RESULTS 8

SURPLUS EARNINGS BY SEGMENT 9 Personal Services and Business and Institutional Services and Other category (M$) 1,096 1,093 Growth in credit card and point ofsale financing activities Increase in caisse network sales of various products and in income from capital markets 929 1,002 1,015 Growth in the loan portfolio but pressure continues on interest margins 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Increase in non interest expense due to business growth, offset by productivity efforts Source: Desjardins Group s Financial Reports FINANCIAL RESULTS 9

SURPLUS EARNINGS BY SEGMENT 10 Wealth Management and Life and Health Insurance (M$) 389 411 503 461 612 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Good performance of investments and higher income from growth in assets under management Favourable adjustments to actuarial assumptions made in the normal course of business Property and Casualty Insurance (M$) 446 360 296 212 180 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Includes a $241M gain realized on the sale of subsidiaries Adjusted net surplus earnings of $237M (1), down from 2016, mainly due to higher claims experience for the current year and less favourable developments in prior year claims Source: Desjardins Group s Financial Reports 1. For reconciliation of adjusted surplus earnings, refer to the Desjardins Group s 2017 financial reports FINANCIAL RESULTS 10

11 STRONG BALANCE SHEET LOANS AND ACCEPTANCES ($B) 7% DEPOSITS ($B) 7% 160.3 166.5 36.8 37.6 21.2 22.2 178.0 40.8 24.0 23% 13% 156.6 160.5 1.5 1.5 63.8 62.8 171.6 1.9 69.1 1% 40% 102.3 106.7 113.1 64% 91.2 96.3 100.6 59% 2015 2016 2017 2015 2016 2017 Residential mortgages Other personal loans Business and government Individuals Business and government Deposit taking institutions TOTAL ASSETS ($B) EQUITY ($B) 2017 275.1 2017 24.8 2016 258.4 2016 23.3 2015 248.1 2015 21.7 Source: Desjardins Group s Financial Reports BALANCE SHEET QUALITY 11

DIVERSIFIED RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE PORTFOLIO 12 BY PRODUCT TYPE BY PROPERTY TYPE 2% 34% 6% Total of $113B 28% Insured mortgages 32% Conventional term mortgages Heloc (lines of credit) Heloc (term mortgages) Insured Average LTV of 56.1% 15% 13% 8% Total of $113B $105B 62% Single family Multi properties (4 or less) Multi properties (5 or more) Condominiums Secondary houses BALANCE SHEET QUALITY 12

13 WELL-BALANCED BUSINESS AND GOVERNMENT LOAN PORTFOLIO INDUSTRY DISTRIBUTION 18% WERE GUARANTEED AT Q4 2017 HIGH QUALITY OF TOP SECTORS o Real estate: $8.1B o Agriculture: $8.0B, most loans are guaranteed and covered by income protection programs o Public agencies: $3.6B (governmental agencies and school boards) OTHER INDUSTRIES WELL DIVERSIFIED o Retail trade: $2.9B o Manufacturing: $2.8B o Health care: $2.5B o Construction: $2.2B Mining, oil and gas 1% Utilities 1% Other 6% Professional services 2% Finance and insurance 2% Arts and entertainment 2% Company management 2% Other services 2% Wholesale trade 3% Accommodation 3% Transportation 4% Construction 5% Real estate 20% Agriculture 20% Public agency loans 9% Retail trade Health care 7% 6% Manufacturing 7% Source: Desjardins Group s Financial Reports BALANCE SHEET QUALITY 13

14 SUPERIOR ASSET QUALITY GROSS IMPAIRED LOANS AS A % OF GROSS LOANS COMPARED TO PEERS BY BORROWER CATEGORY (Q4 2017 for banks and Desjardins) 1.59 0.80 0.40 3.12 1.30 0.46 2.38 1.20 0.43 1.77 0.80 0.41 1.39 0.73 0.35 1.06 0.63 0.33 0.81 0.59 0.34 0.71 0.58 0.34 0.75 0.64 0.32 0.65 0.52 0.25 Business and government Consumer, credit card and other personal loans 0.37 0.52 0.63 0.68 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Desjardins Canadian Banks (average) US Banks (average) (1) Residential mortgages 0.12 0.31 Desjardins Canadian Banks (average) Source: Banks and Desjardins Group s Financial Reports and Bloomberg Note: Since 2010, financial statements are prepared in accordance with IFRS. Previously, Desjardins Group issued financial statements prepared in accordance with Canadian generally accepted accounting principles. 1. Average of commercial US Banks with more than US$55B of deposits. BALANCE SHEET QUALITY 14

LEADING NORTH AMERICAN FINANCIAL INSTITUTION 15 18.0 Tier 1A/ CET1 TIER 1A OR COMMON EQUITY TIER 1 CAPITAL RATIO (%) (1) Canadian Banks US Banks 12.6 12.4 12.4 12.1 11.9 11.6 11.5 11.4 11.2 10.9 10.7 10.6 10.6 10.3 10.2 10.2 9.8 9.6 9.1 DESJARDINS Northern Trust Bank of America Citigroup JP Morgan Wells Fargo State Street BNS BMO NBC RBC TD Fifth Third Bank CIBC Bank of NY Mellon Capital One BB&T PNC Sun Trust Banks US Bancorp Source: Financial reports of Desjardins Group, U.S. banks and canadian Banks 1. As at Q4 2017 for canadian banks and U.S. banks. Only US Banks with more than US$55B of deposits are illustrated. For US Banks, the lower of the Standardized Approach or the Advanced Approached is shown. CAPITAL AND FUNDING STRATEGIES 15

EXCELLENT TIER 1A CAPITAL AND LEVERAGE RATIOS 16 LEVERAGE RATIO TIER 1A CAPITAL RATIO (CET1) Desjardins 8.5% Desjardins 18.0% Scotia 4.7% Scotia 11.5% RBC 4.4% BMO 11.4% BMO 4.4% NBC 11.2% NBC 4.0% RBC 10.9% CIBC 4.0% TD 10.7% TD 3.9% CIBC 10.6% Canadian Banks (average) 4.2% Canadian Banks (average) 11.1% Source: Banks and Desjardins Group s Financial Reports (Q4 2017 for banks and Desjardins) CAPITAL AND FUNDING STRATEGIES 16

17 CAPITAL MANAGEMENT REGULATORY CAPITAL COMPOSITION ($M) TOTAL CAPITAL TIER 1 CAPITAL TIER 1A (CET1) CAPITAL 2,370 1,032 594 18,043 20,985 20,998 21,436 794 Tier 1A ratio 18.0% Tier 1 ratio 18.0% Total ratio 18.4% 4,518 Federation capital shares Capital instruments subject to phase out Reserves and undistributed surplus earnings Other Tier 1A Total Tier 1A capital Total Tier 1 capital Senior notes subject to phase out Tier 2 Other Tier 2 capital Total capital Source: Desjardins Group s Financial Reports CAPITAL AND FUNDING STRATEGIES 17

LEADING NORTH AMERICAN FINANCIAL INSTITUTION 18 LARGEST FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS BY DEPOSITS (1) (US $B) Canadian Banks US Banks 1,444 1,336 1,310 960 #17 OF > 7,500 DEPOSIT TAKING FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS IN NORTH AMERICA 726 628 497 385 350 347 265 244 244 185 161 157 136 125 112 105 103 JP Morgan Wells Fargo Bank of America Citigroup TD RBC BNS BMO CIBC US Bancorp PNC Bank of NY Mellon Capital One State Street Corp Sun Trust Banks BB&T DESJARDINS NBC Northern Trust KeyCorp Fifth Third Bank Source: Desjardins Group s Financial Reports and Bloomberg 1. As at Q4 2017 for Canadian and U.S. banks; exchange rate as at December 29, 2017: C$ 1.0000 = US$ 0.79548166. CAPITAL AND FUNDING STRATEGIES 18

ROBUST LIQUIDITY POSITION 19 DESJARDINS (Q4 2017) Equities 9% CANADIAN BANKS AVERAGE (Q4 2017) SECURITIES PORTFOLIO Other issuers 15% Other governments 0% Canadian and US governments 76% Equities 25% Canadian and US governments 42% Other governments 9% Other issuers 15% MBS 4% ABS 5% Q4 2017 100% 121.4% LIQUIDITY COVERAGE RATIO (LCR) Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 100% 100% 100% 119.9% 121.9% 121.9% Regulatory requirement LCR Q4 2016 100% 121.1% Source: Banks and Desjardins Group s Financial Reports MBS: Mortgage Backed Securities ABS: Asset Backed Securities CAPITAL AND FUNDING STRATEGIES 19

20 FUNDING STRATEGY KEY OBJECTIVES Rely on a large, sticky, retail deposit base as a primary source of funding Seek diversification by market, currency and term Balance between short term (1/3) and long term (2/3) Typically issued 2 to 10 years maturities, fix and float, covered bonds, senior unsecured and securitization WHOLESALE FUNDING PROGRAMS PROGRAMS CURRENCY LIMIT Short term Commercial paper Canada Canadian None Commercial paper United States United States US$15B Commercial paper Europe Euro 3B Mid Long term Medium term notes Canada Canadian C$7B Global medium term notes Multi currency 7B Covered bonds Multi currency C$10B Securitization program (CMHC) Canadian Allocation CAPITAL AND FUNDING STRATEGIES 20

WELL-ESTABLISHED GLOBAL FUNDING PROGRAMS 21 TOTAL DEPOSITS WHOLESALE FUNDING 78% from personal & commercial sector BY PROGRAM TYPE BY CURRENCY 4% 20% 24% 32% 14% 11% 58% 7% 15% 32% 48% 17% 1% 14% 3% Individual Deposits Business and Government Long Term Wholesale Funding Short Term Funding Subordinated Debt Short term (CAD, USD & Euro) Medium Term Notes (CAD) Global MTN (USD & Euro) Covered Bonds Subordinated Debt Mortgage Securitization CAD USD EURO GBP Note: As at December 31, 2017 CAPITAL AND FUNDING STRATEGIES 21

BALANCED MATURITY PROFILE 22 (IN $M, AS AT DECEMBER 31, 2017) 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 1,755 1,427 1,169 900 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 2,969 1,730 4,508 4,048 1,627 1,607 1,850 1,272 700 500 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 & + MT Deposit Note & Term debt Subordinated debt Securitization Covered bonds Note: Exchange rate used at the time of issuance of securities CAPITAL AND FUNDING STRATEGIES 22

23 FÉDÉRATION DES CAISSES DESJARDINS DU QUÉBEC Manages services for the caisses (such as IT, treasury, finance, HR, etc.) Offers payment card services and payroll and human resources services Ultimate controlling shareholder of a number of provincially and federally regulated entities such as insurance subsidiaries Official representative to the Bank of Canada and the Canadian banking system Reporting issuer: F capital shares to members of the caisses and short term and long term securities on the market May issue a capital call to its member caisses FCDQ AT A GLANCE (At December 31, 2017) TOTAL ASSETS: $145.7B TOTAL DEPOSITS: $52.1B EQUITY: $16.0B NET INCOME (2017): $1,416M CAPITAL RATIOS* TIER 1A: 17.5% TIER 1: 17.5% TOTAL: 17.5% LEVERAGE RATIO: 7.9% SENIOR CREDIT RATINGS MOODY S: Aa2 S&P: A+ DBRS: AA FITCH: AA Source: Financial Reports of the Fédération des caisses Desjardins du Québec * Effective January 1, 2017, the Federation is subject to the requirements of the AMF guideline on capital adequacy. The minimum requirements are 8.0% for Tier 1A, 9.5% for Tier 1 capital ratio, 11.5% for total capital ratio and 3.0% for the leverage ratio. CAPITAL AND FUNDING STRATEGIES 23

CREDIT RATINGS AMONG THE BEST IN THE INDUSTRY 24 MOODY S S&P FITCH DBRS RATING OUTLOOK RATING OUTLOOK RATING OUTLOOK RATING OUTLOOK FÉDÉRATION DES CAISSES DESJARDINS DU QUÉBEC Aa2 NEGATIVE A+ STABLE AA STABLE AA NEGATIVE ROYAL BANK OF CANADA A1 NEGATIVE AA NEGATIVE AA STABLE AA STABLE CIBC A1 NEGATIVE A+ STABLE AA NEGATIVE AA NEGATIVE BANK OF MONTREAL A1 NEGATIVE A+ STABLE AA STABLE AA NEGATIVE SCOTIA BANK A1 NEGATIVE A+ STABLE AA STABLE AA NEGATIVE TD BANK Aa2 NEGATIVE AA STABLE AA STABLE AA STABLE NATIONAL BANK A1 NEGATIVE A STABLE A+ STABLE AA (low) NEGATIVE LAURENTIAN BANK N/A N/A BBB CREDITWATCH NEGATIVE N/A N/A A (low) NEGATIVE Note: At February 28, 2018 CAPITAL AND FUNDING STRATEGIES 24

RECENT DEBT TRANSACTION HIGHLIGHTS 25 October 2017 August 2017 January 2017 Senior Unsecured Notes US$1,500,000,000 Due October 2020 Senior Unsecured Notes C$850,000,000 Due August 2022 Senior Unsecured Notes C$1,000,000,000 Due January 2022 January 2016 Senior Unsecured Notes 1,000,000,000 Due January 2018 November 2015 Covered Bonds Rated Aaa/AAA 1,000,000,000 Due November 2020 September 2015 Senior Unsecured Notes 750,000,000 Due September 2017 March 2015 Senior Unsecured Notes C$1,500,000,000 Due March 2020 January 2015 Senior Unsecured Notes 500,000,000 Due January 2020 January 2015 Senior Unsecured Notes US$1,000,000,000 Due January 2018 CAPITAL AND FUNDING STRATEGIES 25

26 CONTACT INFORMATION PATRICK NADEAU Head of Investor Relations and Capital Instruments (514) 281 8634, 1 866 866 7000, ext. 5558634 patrick.nadeau@desjardins.com INVESTOR RELATIONS www.desjardins.com/ca/about us/investor relations/ info_ir@desjardins.com 26