Daily Equities Market update

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Transcription:

Daily Equities Market update Index pares 30k Psychological line NASDUSI turns in the green territory April 03, 2019

Headline CUSTODIAN to hold its Board meeting on April 23,2019 The Board of UBA notifies to meet on April 16,2019 to consider Q1 2019 financial statements FCMB announces to hold its AGM on April 26,2018 OMOSAV announces delay in filing its FY 2018 Reports FIDSON proposes 15kobo dividend per 50kobo ordinary share DANGCEM closed period begins on 10th of April, 2018, for Q1 2019 results. Market Summary/e Were you caught off-guard today as the equities market zoomed downtrends? Don t be too nervous. it s all part of the inherent volatility in this asset class. However, you should also know that trying to stay ahead of the trends becomes more difficult when sentiments are largely driven by systematic risks rather than endogenously induced macroeconomic factors. Evidently, the index, as espoused by some Nigerian economists to be positively correlated with oil prices is invalidated in this period due to the influence of the fallout of 2019 general election, and the paucity of high-risk premium required to keep foreign investors in the system. Money Market Rates Rate(%) %Δ Overnight rate 17.50 0.07 Open Buy 16.71 0.14 Daily Commodity Price Watch Previous Current Daily (%) Brent($/PB) 69.35 69.52 0.25 Gold 1290.03 1290.45 0.03 Silver 15.04 15.07 0.20 Platinum 848.14 867.78 2.32 Copper 290.85 294.15 1.13 NASD OTC Indicators PARAMETER Previous Current Daily (%) USI 736.08 736.36 0.04 Capitalization ( 'Bn) 528.83 529.03 0.04 Volume Traded 160179 779360 386.56 Value Traded ( '000) Deals Executed 8211859.8 11384260 38.63 13 10-23.08. In all, we believe most heavyweight counters are now significantly underpriced thereby providing more opportunities for bargain hunters to take position, and long-term investors to average down holdings. That said, the selling spree witnessed today further drove down the prices UBA, FBNH, CAVERTON, DANGFLOUR, ZENITHBANK, JAIZBANK, ETI, TRANSCORP and UACN. Meanwhile, FCMB, DANGSUGAR, WEMABANK, DANGCEM and AFRIPRUD were pulled in the red territory from the previous gains recorded. Even amidst the profound sell-offs, SOVRENINS continued to maintain performance uptrend

just as NB, STERLNBANK, NESTLE, OANDO and LIVESTOCK ended in the bullish market from previous losses. Consequently, Benchmark index went down by -1.85% or 555.04 to end the session at 29,668.73 while the equities market capitalization shed N209.60billion to close at N11.14trillion. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell significantly below its support at 23.52. Similarly, the Year-to-Date(YTD)return plunged to -5.61% from - 3.83%. The total volume and value traded closed above their respectively daily average, rose 43.94% and 24.83% to end at 542.58million and N5.66billion while the deals inched up by 3.19% to 4,146. Review of Sectoral Performance Consumer goods and Oil/gas indexes rose 1.20% and 0.26% even amidst the negative sentiment. The sector ended in the bullish market due to buying interest in NB 5.45%, NESTLE 3.57% and OANDO 2.13%. On the contrary, Banking and Industrial goods indexes dipped significantly by - 4.59% and -4.42% respectively, following sell-offs in ACCESS -10.0%, UBA -8.03%, FCMB -7.89%, FBNH -6.96%, CCNN -9.75%, WAPCO -9.74%, CUTIX -5.26% and DANGCEM -1.55%, among others. Insurance sector also dipped -1.24% as a result of price depreciation in AIICO -9.86% and LINKASSURE -9.09%. Movement of NSEASI(Year-to-Date) Relative Strength Index(RSI) Source: MorganCapital Research

NSE Market Indices Return Open(points) Close(points) Daily(%) WtD(%) MtD(%) YTD(%) NSE All Share Index 30,226.77 29,668.73-1.85-4.42-4.42-5.61 NSE Banking Sector Index 397.79 379.52-4.59-6.05-6.05-4.74 NSE Industrial Goods Index 1,204.15 1,150.97-4.42-7.16-7.16-7.02 NSE Consumer Goods Index 650.27 658.09 1.20-7.48-7.48-12.12 NSE Oil & Gas Index 281.50 282.23 0.26-2.85-2.85-6.65 NSE Insurance Index 126.47 124.90-1.24-0.86-0.86-1.25 Source: NSE, MorganCapital Research Investors Sentiment: The Market breadth closed negative at 0.31x Investors sentiment as measured with the market breadth, dipped further to 0.31x from 0.36x recorded yesterday. We however expect the RSI to turn uptrends after a prolonged movement southward. Source: MorganCapitalitrade

MorganCapital Securities Limited ("MorganCapital"), formerly known as International Capital Securities Limited, was incorporated on 28th January, 1997; and was issued a license as a Dealing Member of the NSE on 3rd October, 1997, after obtaining license of the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) as a Broker/Dealer. The Company has remained a dealing member firm of the NSE since then (over 17years ago). In 2009, MorganCapital got licensed by the SEC to perform an additional role as an Issuing House/Financial Adviser. MorganCapital was recently accredited by the Nigerian Stock Exchange as a Designated Adviser to the Alternative Securities Market (ASeM) Board, after a very rigorous and competitive process. MorganCapital is a full fledge Investment Banking, Securities Trading and Principal Investments Firm, with licenses from the Nigerian Securities & Exchange Commission and the Nigerian Stock Exchange. MorganCapital provides a comprehensive range of investment banking and financial advisory services to private, public sector, corporate, and institutional clients. Our firm has very strong contacts with many African-focused & emerging markets investors/fund managers. MorganCapital has advised on a number of transactions in the Nigerian Capital Markets, including provision of Financial Advisory Service to the Federal Government of Nigeria, through the Bureau of Public Enterprises ("BPE") for the concessioning of the National Arts Theater, the Tafawa Balewa Square, the Lagos Trade fair complex and the 6 National Stadia. MorganCapital also advised the BPE on the proposed sale of the Ijora Power Plant, the Calabar Power Plant and the Oji River coal-fired power plant. Our group is focused on providing unbiased financial advisory and investment banking services to individuals and institutions that are seeking to invest in Africa or already involved in investing in Africa. One of our goals is to be the BEST link to the Nigerian Capital Market. CONTACT US Research Omosuyi Temitope temitopeo@morgancapitalgroup.com Investment Banking Dipo Olomofe dipoo@morgancapitalgroup.com Adewale Adetiba adewalea@morgancapitalgroup.com Securities Dealing Esther Adelaja esthera@morgancapitalgroup.com Michael Joel michaelj@morgancapitalgroup.com For further information, please contact: MorganCapital Securities Limited The Pent House 3 Biaduo Street, Off Keffi Street S/West Ikoyi Lagos, Nigeria Tel: 234-(1) 3429613, 234-(1)4540114 Email: info@morgancapitalgroup.com This report by MorganCapital Securities Ltd is for information purposes only. The company and its employees do not warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information provided as such information was gathered from primary and secondary reliable sources. Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of market trends, which are based on current market sentiment. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be suitable for a ll investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation. The price of equity securities may rise or fall because of changes in the broad market or changes in a company's financial condition, sometimes rapidly or unpredictably. We, therefore, do not take responsibility for any loss arising from the use of the information.