30 January 2019 FY2018 Financial Results Analyst & Media Briefing Datuk Seri Tajuddin Atan Chief Executive Officer Rosidah Baharom Chief Financial Officer
Agenda Market Recap Key Financial Highlights & Market Performance Financial Review Highlights & Conclusion Appendices 2
Market Recap 3
Recapping on selected key global and local events FBMKLCI Year-to-date (YTD) Performance For year 2018 FBMKLCI (point) 1,900 1,800 1,700 1,600 1,500 25 Jan BNM rate hike 6 February Global equity market selloff led by the US markets 21-22 March US Fed rate hike; US Gov announced plans to impose tariffs of USD60B on China Imports 8 March US imposed 25% tariffs on Chinese steel and 10% on aluminium 4 April China planned retaliate tariffs on 106 US products 9 May Malaysia 14 th GE 29 May US stated that it would impose tariffs on USD50 billion worth of China s goods 13 June Second US rate hike of the year 22 June In retaliation, EU activated its previous tariff threat of USD3.2B on US Traded Volume (rhs) 6 July US 25% tariff on USD34B Chinese goods took effect 17 Sep US announced 10% tariffs on USD200B Chinese goods 18 Sep China plans to retaliate with tariffs on USD60B US products FBMKLCI (lhs) 10 Oct MY Gov planned to unveil new taxed 2 Nov Malaysia Budget 2019 1 Nov US and China resumed trade talk after a phone call between Trump and Xi Traded Volume (million) 30 Nov US-Mexico- Canada Agreement signed 19 Dec Fourth US rate hike (to 2.50%) 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 1,400 4,000 1,300 2,000 1,200 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2018 0 4
FBMKLCI has been relatively resilient amid a challenging environment Recapping 2018, the global equity market has suffered heavy losses, due to the various headwinds (e.g. signs of global economic slowdown, tightened monetary policy, geo-political tensions and uncertainties, the various trade wars between global superpowers, and more) Performance of FBMKLCI against MSCI Indices YoY Growth (2018 vs 2017) Performance of FBMKLCI against ASEAN Indices YoY Growth (2018 vs 2017) FBMKLCI -5.9% Jakarta Composite -2.5% MSCI World -10.4% FBMKLCI -5.9% VN-Index -9.3% MSCI Asean -11.3% Straits Times -9.8% MSCI Asia Pacific -15.6% SET -10.8% MSCI Emerging Market -16.6% PCOMP -12.8% Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg 5
Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18-5,604-4,927-1,120-1,678-1,415-64 -99-719 -1,022 66 1,507 3,376 Putting foreign funds outflow into perspective.. Amid exude of foreign funds in the Asian equity market, Malaysia s foreign outflows of USD2.9 billion is relatively small, equivalent to 0.7% of the total market capitalisation. Foreign shareholdings (by market capitalisation) have also been stable amid the exits of foreign funds. Foreign Funds Flow (FFF) in Asian Equity Market For year 2018 Vietnam Philippines -1,080 1,887 % of Market Capitalisation Percentage (%) 1.1 0.4 Bursa Foreign Funds Flow vs Foreign Shareholdings For year 2018 RM million 9,000 Foreign Funds Flow (lhs) Foreign Shareholdings (by Market Capitalisation) (rhs) % 25% Malaysia -2,885 0.7 6,000 20% Indonesia -3,656 0.8 3,000 15% India -4,557 0.2 0 South Korea -5,676 0.4-3,000 10% Thailand -8,913 1.9-6,000 5% Taiwan -12,231 1.1-9,000 0% Japan -50,284 4.7 Source: Bloomberg Source: Bursa MIS 6
Key Financial Highlights & Market Performance Financial Highlights Financial Trends Securities Market Overview Derivatives Market Overview Islamic Capital Market Overview Dividends 7
Financial Highlights Sustained financial performance despite a challenging year Financial Items 2018 2018 vs. 2017 4Q2018 4Q2018 vs. 4Q2017 Operating Revenue (RM million) 523.3 0.2% 121.0 6.9% Operating Expenses (RM million) 241.3 3.6% 57.1 14.0% PATAMI (RM million) 224.0 0.4% 51.9 6.2% EPS (sen) 27.8 0.4% 6.4 7.2% Cost to Income Ratio 44% 1 percentage point Annualised ROE 26% 25% 2018 vs. 2017: Increase in operating revenue contributed by higher trades in Securities Market. The increase was partially offset by lower revenue from Derivatives Market. 44% 3 percentage points 2 percentage points Operating expenses decreased mainly due to lower technology costs. Cost to income ratio improved by 1 percentage point while ROE remained the same. Second interim dividend of 11.6 sen, equivalent to 92% payout to be paid on 28-Feb-2019. 8
Financial Trends Continuous improvement in key financial indicators 51 49 48 46 46 47 45 44 25 26 26 26 21 23 17 18 440 471 488 473 522 523 382 389 143 151 173 198 199 194 223 224 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Cost to Income Ratio (%) ROE (%) Operating Revenue (RM mil) PATAMI (RM mil) 9
Securities Market Overview Higher ADV supported by strong performance in the first 9 months of 2018 Average Daily Value ( ADV ) (OMT)(RM mil) Market Capitalisation (RM bil) Fund Raised from IPOs & Secondary Market (RM bil) 32 32 1,797 1,691 13 21 22.2 2,314 2,392 498 640 14.8 525 3.4% 538 1,907 10.8% 9.2 1,700 58.6% 1,291 1,214 7.4 8.5 2017 2018 Velocity (%) ADV of Foreign Institutions ADV of Retail ADV of Domestic Institutions 31 DEC 2017 31 DEC 2018 FBMKLCI Market Capitalisation 0.7 2017 2018 No. of IPOs Fund Raised from Secondary Market Fund Raised from IPOs 10
Derivatives Market Overview Lower FCPO trades influenced by lower volatility in CPO prices Average Daily Contracts ( ADC ) & Volatility 19% 16% Open Interest (No. of Contracts) 31 Jan 2017 221,138 28 Aug 2018 317,788 31 Dec 2018 245,143 5% 10% 57,677 56,488 1 Sept 2010 111,548 255 3,118 6% 85% 49,051 2.1% 43,092 76% 15% 8,371 10,278 18% 2017 2018 ADC FBMKLCI Futures Volatility of FBMKLCI ADC - Crude Palm Oil Futures Volatility of Crude Palm Oil Prices ADC - Others 11
Islamic Capital Market Overview Higher trades under volume-based pricing scheme Bursa Suq Al-Sila ( BSAS ) ADV (RM bil) 173 141 Value of Listed Sukuk (USD bil) 25 24 Market Capitalisation of Shariah Compliant Stocks (RM bil) 76% 76% 56.0 53.5 24.3 19.6 6.2 30.6 30.2 4.5 4.5% 1,154 8.6% 1,055 24.4% 15.1 18.1 25.4 23.3 2017 2018 No. of Trading Participants Domestic Foreign 31 DEC 2017 31 DEC 2018 No. of Sukuk Domestic Foreign 31 DEC 2017 31 DEC 2018 No. of Shariah Compliant Stocks (%) Market Capitalisation of Shariah Compliant Stocks 12
Malayan Banking Genting Malaysia CIMB Group Holdings MISC Digi.com IOI Corp Petronas Gas Tenaga Nasional Petronas Dagangan Hap Seng Consolidated Maxis Sime Darby Plantation AMMB Holdings Petronas Chemicals Group Sime Darby RHB Bank Genting Public Bank Hong Leong Bank Hong Leong Financial Group Kuala Lumpur Kepong Axiata Group Nestle Malaysia Top Glove Corp Malaysian Airports Holdings Hartalega Holdings PPB Group Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Dialog Group IHH Healthcare BURSA MALAYSIA Dividends Total dividend of 33.6 sen for FY2018 was declared Payout 92% * Payout 93%* % 7.0 6.0 Dividend Yield (annualised) Bursa vs. FBMKLCI Constituents @ 31-Dec-18 20.0 Payout 93% Payout 94% 15.0 Payout 92%* 5.0 4.0 4.9 18.0 18.0 17.0 18.5 8.0 11.6 3.0 2.0 16.0 16.5 17.0 20.0 14.0 1.0 0.0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2nd Interim Dividend (sen) Special Dividend (sen) 1st Interim Dividend (sen) * Exclude special dividend Source: Bloomberg and Bursa Malaysia Declared second interim dividend of 11.6 sen. The entitlement and payment dates are on the 19 th and 28 th of February 2019 respectively. 13
Financial Review Financial Snapshot Operating Revenue Operating Expenses 14
Financial Snapshot Stable performance in 2018 results Operating revenue (RM mil) 0.2% 522.1 523.3 Operating expenses (RM mil) 250.4 3.6% 241.3 6.9% 14.0% 130.0 121.0 66.4 57.1 4Q2017 4Q2018 2017 2018 4Q2017 4Q2018 2017 2018 PATAMI (RM mil) 0.4% Cost to income ratio (%) 223.0 224.0 47 3 percentage points 44 1 percentage point 45 44 6.2% 55.3 51.9 4Q2017 4Q2018 2017 2018 4Q2017 4Q2018 2017 2018 15
Operating Revenue Growth from Securities Trading revenue while Non-Trading revenue remain stable Total RM522.1 mil Total RM523.3 mil 6.0 21.4 5.5 21.9 34.5 36.2 42.4 42.2 61.8 60.1 15.8 14.9 0.2% 80.6 76.7 522.1 Growth contribution by revenue streams: +6.2-3.9 2.4% -0.9 4.8% 5.6% -1.7-0.2 +1.7 2.7% 0.5% 4.9% +0.5-0.5 2.0% 7.9% (RM mil) 523.3 259.6 265.8 2017 2018 - - - - - - - - 2017 2018 Securities Trading Revenue Derivatives Trading Revenue BSAS Trading Revenue Listing & Issuer Services Depository Services Market Data Member Services & Connectivity Conference Fee & Exhibition Related Income Increase in Securities Trading Revenue from higher ADV-OMT. Higher Market Data revenue due to increase in number of subscribers. Decrease in Derivatives Trading Revenue due to lower number of ADC. Lower BSAS Trading Revenue despite growth in its ADV due to the impact of volume-based pricing. 16
Operating Expenses Reduction in technology costs and lower manpower costs Total RM250.4 mil Total RM241.3 mil Movement of expenses: (RM mil) 34.7 23.4 34.5 19.2 19.6 18.3 11.4 12.0 23.8 22.0 3.6% 250.4-2.2 1.6% -1.8 +0.6-1.3 7.7% 5.1% 6.4% -4.2 137.5 135.3-0.2 17.9% 0.6% 241.3 2017 2018 2017 2018 Staff Costs Depreciation & Amortisation Marketing & Development IT Maintenance Service Fees Other Operating Expenses^ Lower Depreciation as certain IT assets have fully depreciated. Decrease in Service Fees due to lower Globex fees resulting from lower number of derivatives contracts traded. Note^ - Other operating expenses include building maintenance, administrative expenses and CDS expenses. 17
Highlights & Conclusion Highlights of 2018 Initiatives Moving Forward 18
Highlights of 2018 Initiatives SI 1 Create a More Facilitative TRADING ENVIRONMENT SI 2 Facilitate More TRADABLE ALTERNATIVES Implementation of Intra Day Short Selling (IDSS) for all investors. Introduction of a new category of traders known as trading specialists who trade on their own account. Launched the Invest Bursa, Invest in You campaign. Expanded Green Lane incentives to reward companies for good corporate governance and disclosure practices. Enhancements of FCPO contract. Introduced enhanced US Dollar denominated Palm Olein Futures Contract (FPOL). Launched the Mini FTSE Bursa Malaysia Mid 70 Index Futures Contract (FM70). SI 3 Reshape MARKET STRUCTURE & FRAMEWORK Waiver on trading and clearing fees for 6 months for new individual investors. Liberalisation of margin financing rules. Introduction of volume-based incentive programme. Launched BURSASUSTAIN, a comprehensive online portal designed as a onestop knowledge and information hub on corporate governance and sustainability. Announced new sector classification and sectorial index series. Enhanced ETF Framework to spur further growth and innovation in the market. SI 4 REGIONAL MARKETPLACE with Global Access (Centre of ASEAN) Organised the Palm and Lauric Oils Price Outlook Conference & Exhibition 2018. Organised the Shariah Investing Fair 2018. 19
Moving Forward SECURITIES MARKET The Securities Market performance in 2019 is expected to be influenced by domestic and global developments such as Malaysia s corporate earnings results, United States-China trade tension and China s economic growth, amongst others. Nevertheless, the market is expected to continue to be resilient given the country s sound economic fundamentals, and the market s diversified economic sectors and investor base. DERIVATIVES MARKET Developments in global markets in 2019 will have an impact on commodities, equities and financial assets which will influence trading and hedging activities. The ongoing initiatives to attract new participants is expected to further broaden the derivatives trading community. ISLAMIC CAPITAL MARKET With the continuous engagement and effective marketing efforts carried out in 2018, the Exchange expects greater participation of institutional investors on the Bursa Malaysia-i platform. Bursa Suq Al-Sila, on the other hand, will continue to be expanded in its global reach into selective African and Central Asian countries as well as its services being promoted to local non-bank financial institutions. Notwithstanding the challenges ahead, Bursa Malaysia will continue with its initiatives to enhance the breadth and depth of the ecosystem through, amongst others, capitalising on technology to improve market efficiency and trading experience, and greater diversification of the investor base. 20
2018 Financial Results Analyst & Media Briefing Q&A 21
Appendices Securities Market Trading Activity Securities Market Trading Participation Securities Market Foreign Ownership Foreign Inflow/Outflow Derivatives Market Activity Derivatives Market Demography Islamic Capital Market Activity 22
Securities Market Trading Activity 42 30 34 27 34 27 28 25 28 37 31 Quarterly ADV Traded & Velocity 25 30 29 30 28 30 28 29 30 29 27 26 25 34 35 26 31 35 37 30 28 2,621 2,716 2,730 2,308 2,161 2,002 2,068 2,053 2,196 2,378 2,316 1,579 1,732 1,841 1,901 2,081 1,913 1,933 2,042 2,227 1,981 1,951 1,842 1,929 1,439 1,595 1,643 1,686 1,740 1,690 1,341 1,430 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 Turnover Velocity (%) Average Daily Value Traded (RM mil) Annual ADV Traded & Velocity 34 34 33 33 28 30 29 30 27 32 32 1,181 1,129 1,454 1,699 1,573 1,915 2,053 1,991 1,812 2,314 2,392 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Turnover Velocity (%) Average Daily Value Traded (RM mil) 23
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Securities Market Trading Participation Retail vs. Institution Foreign vs. Local 283 369 392 442 354 424 530 464 525 372 538 496 323 392 437 404 507 492 544 491 506 647 24 33 27 26 23 22 26 23 21 23 22 42 27 27 26 26 26 24 27 27 22 27 76 67 73 74 77 78 74 77 79 77 78 58 73 73 74 74 74 76 73 73 78 73 Retail ADV Traded (RM mil) Retail (%) Institutions (%) Foreign ADV Traded (RM mil) Foreign (%) From 2008 to 2009, the statistics were based on Brokers submission. From 2010 onwards statistics were based on Bursa s internal system. 24 Local (%)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Securities Market Foreign Ownership 22.3 23.1 24.4 24.0 24.3 22.8 22.322.3 22.3 22.4 Based on Market Capitalisation (%) 22.7 22.9 23.0 23.4 23.423.3 23.3 23.123.2 23.6 23.4 24.2 24.1 24.1 23.9 23.5 23.6 23.7 23.6 23.4 23.4 25
Foreign Inflow/Outflow Monthly foreign inflow/outflow from 2013 to 2018 (RM mil) 10,000 5,000 0-5,000-10,000 2013 TNFI: RM2.6 bil 2014 TNFO: RM6.9 bil 2015 TNFO: RM19.7 bil 2016 TNFO: RM3.2 bil 2017 TNFI: RM10.8 bil 2018 TNFO: RM11.7 bil TNFI: Total Net Foreign Inflow TNFO: Total Net Foreign Outflow (RM mil) 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0-1,000-2,000-3,000-4,000-5,000-6,000-7,000 959 Monthly foreign inflow/outflow from Dec 2017 to Dec 2018 3,376 1,507 66-64 -99-1,120-1,678-1,415-4,927-5,604-719 -1,022 26
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 17% 162 171 174172 Quarterly Average Daily Contracts ( 000) 214 196 213 218 239 204 196 288 196 229 207 235 293 283 230 226 262 263 237 306 295 290 261 283 245 6.1 6.1 6.2 8.4 9.6 ` ` 18% 76% 71% 12% 6% Derivatives Market Activity 156 123 132 Total Annual Contract (mil) 214 196 196 230 152 14.1 12.5 295 237 14.2 14.0 245 13.7 152 146 60 62 62 62 136 58 55 56 56 57 57 55 54 54 56 58 59 54 50 51 ` 40 42 44 45 ` 46 42 42 44 37 35 32 34 31 10.7 Open Interest ( 000) Others Crude Palm Oil Futures FBMKLCI Futures 27
Derivatives Market Demography (%) FKLI (%) FCPO 37 26 33 37 20 19 25 28 32 39 35 32 34 33 37 3 55 53 54 55 58 64 2 68 2 2 52 1 44 2 2 5 42 3 46 3 28 24 28 23 3 25 19 18 15 20 21 19 15 18 20 18 14 11 14 15 17 15 13 1 12 1 1 27 38 26 24 19 36 34 34 36 27 10 15 21 1 1 1 17 15 15 33 34 31 21 23 1 1 16 20 28 23 20 1 24 18 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Foreign Institutions Domestic Retail Foreign Institutions Foreign Retail Local Domestic Institutions Local Domestic Institutions Domestic Retail 28
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 Islamic Capital Market Activity (RM bil) BSAS Quarterly Average Daily Value 6.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 5.9 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.6 2.4 2.7 3.2 3.7 3.7 2.1 2.6 1.6 2.7 1.6 3.0 3.2 3.8 3.7 4.9 5.6 6.4 5.7 5.9 25.7 1.5 1.4 14.4 16.9 16.1 8.5 10.4 12.0 12.7 12.2 12.6 13.6 15.1 15.5 16.1 16.2 14.3 15.9 (RM bil) BSAS Annual Average Daily Value 15.2 16.3 19.6 24.3 6.9 6.2 2.3 3.9 1.2 4.5 1.7 2.9 13.5 1.4 18.1 13.5 13.4 15.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 5.5 0.9 1.6 2.7 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Local ADV Foreign ADV BSAS ADV (RM bil) 29
INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACT INFORMATION RASMONA ABDUL RAHMAN rasmona@bursamalaysia.com 603-2034 7175 ADAM ISKANDAR AHMAD ZAHAR adamiskandar@bursamalaysia.com 603-2034 7351 RAFIDAH AZIZ rafidahaziz@bursamalaysia.com 603-2034 7262 E-mail : ir@bursamalaysia.com DISCLAIMER: Bursa Malaysia and its Group of Companies (the Company) reserve all proprietary rights to the contents of this presentation. Whilst the company endeavors to ensure that the contents in this presentation are accurate, complete or have been obtained from sources believed by the Company to be accurate and reliable, neither the Company nor the presenter make any warranty, express or implied, nor assume any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness or currency of the contents of this presentation. In no event shall the Company be liable for any claim, howsoever arising, out of or in relation to this presentation. Copyright Bursa Malaysia Berhad 2017 (30632-P) www.bursamalaysia.com