Outline of Consolidated Results for The Third Quarters of FY2016. February 2, 2017

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Transcription:

Outline of Consolidated Results for The Third Quarters of FY2016 February 2, 2017

目次 1. Outline of Consolidated Results for the Third Quarter of FY2016 2. Revision of Full-Year Consolidated Forecast for FY2016 3. Supplementary Materials on Financial Results P.3 P.10 P.14 2

1. Outline of Consolidated Results for the Third Quarter of FY2016

Third Quarter of FY2016 (Net Sales) 6,260.8 1,393.1 Y o Y -7.2% -450.5 5,810.3 1,253.8 <Reasons for Changes in Net Sales> Metals Segment Change Main factors behind year on year change Global Parts & Logistics Automotive -139.3-47.4 Lower sales due to forex effect and lower market value Lower sales due to forex effect despite higher sales due to increase in automotive components handled overseas -103.9 Lower sales due to forex effect 748.9 956.1 701.5 852.2 Machinery, Energy & Project Chemicals & Electronics 116.3-186.4 Higher sales due to increase in trading volume of petroleum products despite of forex effect Lower sales due to decrease in trading volume of electronics-related products and forex effect 1,237.3 1,353.6 Food & Consumer Services -90.1 Lower sales due to decrease in trading volume of grain handled overseas and lower market price 1,475.6 447.4 FY2015 1,289.2 357.3 FY2016 Metals Global Parts & Logistics Automotive Machinery, Energy & Project Chemicals & Elecronics Food & Consumer Services Effective April 1,2016,the Food & Agribusiness Division and the Consumer Products & Services Division have been integrated in the Food & Consumer Services Division. In line with this, net sales and operating income for the six months ended Sep. 30,2015 have been recast to reflect this change. 4

104.6 29.6 14.9 26.1 16.3 18.8 6.8 Third Quarter of FY2016 (Operating Income) Y o Y FY2015 +0.9% +1.0 105.6 30.4 13.4 19.6 13.2 27.1 7.8 FY2016 <Reasons for Changes in Operating Income> Metals Segment Global Parts & Logistics Metals Global Parts & Logistics Automotive Cha nge 0.8-1.5 Automotive -6.5 Machinery, Energy & Project Chemicals & Electronics Food & Consumer Services -3.1 8.3 Machinery, Energy & Project Chemicals & Electronics Food & Consumer Services Main factors behind year on year change Increase on the back of increase in automobile production which offset the effects of lower market price Almost unchanged from the previous corresponding period as the increase in automotive components handled overseas was offset by foreign exchange included in non-operating category Decreased due to decrease in export by Toyota Tsusho Corporation as well as decrease in trading volume handled by overseas auto dealership Decreased due to decrease in trading volume of automotive related facilities Increase due to the effect of loss on valuation of inventories recorded in previous 3Q of FY2015 and decrease in amortization of goodwill 1.0 Increase due to decrease in amortization of goodwill 5

Reasons for Changes in 3Q of FY2016 (Operating Income) Reference : Toyota Automobile Production 104.6 Forex Effect -12.3 Non-recurring Factors +11.1 (Units : thousands) Completion of Merger Goodwill Amortization FY2015 FY2016 Demand/Trading Volume, Others Change Japan 2,366 2,360-6 Overseas 4,345 4,393 48 TOTAL 6,711 6,753 42 +10.8-8.6 105.6 FY2015 Forex Effect Forex translation effect -9.8 Offsetting forex exchange -2.5 Non-recurring Factors Loss on valuation of inventories from previous fiscal year +6.2 Decrease in allowance for doubtful receivables in Venezuela +2.6 Aluminum premium +1.8 Change of functional currency +0.5 +1.0 Completion of Merger Goodwill Amortization Influence of merger goodwill amortization form previous fiscal year +10.8 Demand/Trading Volume, Others Automobile sales -5.0 Food & consumer Services Div. -4.0 FY2016 6

Outline of Consolidated Results for FY2016 of 3Q (Ordinary Income and Net Income Attributable to Owners of the Parent) Ordinary Income +25.6 Ordinary Income increased due to higher Share of profit of entitles accounted for using equity method mainly in the Metals division and the Chemicals & Electronics division Net Income (attributable to owners of the parent) +28.5 Net Income increased due to loss of cancellation of contract, decrease in loss on valuation of investment in capital in which recorded in third quarter of FY 2015 99.1 3Q 32.6 1H 66.4 +25.8% +25.6 124.7 3Q 42.2 1H 82.5 35.0 3Q 11.2 1H 23.7 +81.2% +28.5 63.5 3Q 21.5 1H 42.0 3Q 1H 3Q 1H FY2015 FY2016 Ordinary Income FY2015 FY2016 Net Income (Attributable to Owners of the Parent) 7

Balance Sheets Mar.31,2016 Dec.31,2016 Current Assets 2,425.8 Fixed Assets 1,526.2 Current Liabilities 1,737.1 Long-term Liabilities 1,159.1 Net Assets 1,055.7 Current Assets 2,551.0 Fixed Assets 1,512.3 Current Liabilities 1,770.2 Long-term Liabilities 1,234.5 Net Assets 1,058.6 Mar.31,2016 Dec.31,2016 Change Total Assets 3,952.1 4,063.3 111.2 Net Worth 888.6 899.1 10.5 Net Worth Ratio(%) 22 22-0 Net Interest-bearing Debt 1,102.7 1,085.7-17.0 Net DER(times) 1.24 1.21-0.03 Current Ratio(%) 140 144 4 8

Cash Flows FY2015 3Q FY2016 3Q 132.3 Net cash provided by operating activities 132.3 IBIT + DA 82.3 Amortization expense 86.7 Working capital 3.9 113.3 Net cash provided by operating activities 113.3 IBIT + DA 121.0 Amortization expense 71.1 Working capital -11.3 5.1 30.0-127.2 Net cash provided by operating activities Net Cash used in investing activities Free cash flow Net Cash used in investing activities -127.2 Automotive-related Electric power business Grain business Africa business -45.8-30.0-27.5-10.0-83.3 Time deposit to ensure liquidity -21.0 Net Cash used in investing activities -62.3 Electric power business -15.8 Africa business -13.5 Automotive productions -8.5 Automotive sales -6.3 9

2. Revision of Full-year Consolidated Forecast for FY2016

Assumptions of Forecast for FY2016 FY2015 FY2016 Benchmark Full year actual results Original forecast (Released on Apr.28,2016) 2nd Half forecast (Released on Oct. 28,2016) 4Q forecast (Released on Feb.2,2017) Exchange Rate YEN/USD (YEN) 120 105 100 110 YEN/EUR (YEN) 133 120 110 120 Toyota Motor s Automobile production for full year Units: 10 thousands ( Full year ) ( Full year ) 893 900 918 918 11

Assumptions of Forecast for FY2016 Revised Forecast (Released on Oct.28,2016) Revised Forecast (Released on Feb.2,2017) Change FY2016 % of Plan Net Sales 7,300.0 8,000.0 +700.0 5,810.3 73% Operating Income 130.0 145.0 +15.0 105.6 73% Ordinary Income 150.0 165.0 +15.0 124.7 76% Net Income (attributable to owners of the parent) 70.0 85.0 +15.0 63.5 75% Revised our full year consolidated forecast based on forex effect, result progress of each divisions and future outlook. 12

Dividend Dividend Forecast for FY2016 We have increased our forecast for this year-end dividend per share by 8 yen from the forecast released on Oct.28,2016. (End year dividend 31Yen 39Yen ) (Yen) Dividend Initial Forecast (Issuing on Oct.28, 2016 ) Revised Forecast (Issuing on Feb.2, 2017) Change Interim 31 31 0 End year 31 39 +8 Full year 62 70 +8 Dividends transition 85 円 65 円 45 円 25 円 Divided Amount Dividend Dividend payout payout ratio ratio(%) (%)(Amortization (Amortization of of goodwill goodwill before before net net income income basis) basis) 44Yen 50Yen 19% 56Yen 62Yen 24% +8Yen Original Forecast 62Yen FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 Planned FY2016 0.2 Revised Forecast 0.1 70 Yen 0 13

3. Supplementary Materials on Financial Results

Results and Reasons of Changes for the 3Q of FY2016 (Operating Income) <Metals Division> Forex Effect Forex translation effect -2.8 Offsetting forex exchange +2.0 Markets /Prices Automotive related -3.7 Others Effected of Aluminum premium in previous fiscal year +1.8 29.6 Forex Effect Markets /Prices Demand / Trading Volume Others -0.8 +2.4-4.1 +3.3 30.4 Demand / Trading Volume Automotive production Higher demand +2.1 +1.2 FY2015 +0.8 FY2016 15

Results and Reasons of Changes for the 3Q of FY2016 (Operating Income) <Global Parts & Logistics Division> Forex Effect Forex translation effect -1.9 Offsetting forex exchange -2.5 Allowance for Doubtful Receivables Receivable in Venezuela +1.3 14.9 Forex Effect -4.4 Demand / Trading Volume +1.9 Allowance For Doubtful Receivables +1.0 13.4 FY2015-1.5 FY2016 16

Results and Reasons of Changes for the 3Q of FY2016 (Operating Income) <Automotive Division> Forex Effect Forex translation effect -3.5 Forex Effect Demand / Trading Volume Retails(CFAO Africa South Pacific Regions, etc.) Exports - 5.1 +0.1 Others Angola functional currency change +0.7 Newly consolidated Subsidiaries +0.1 26.1-3.5 Demand /Trading Volume -5.0 Allowance for Doubtful Receivables +0.9 Completion of Merger Goodwill Amortization Others +0.8 +0.3 19.6 Allowance for Doubtful Receivables Receivable in Venezuela +1.2 FY2015-6.5 FY2016 17

Results and Reasons of Changes for the 3Q of FY2016 (Operating Income) <Machinery, Energy & Project Division> Forex Effect Forex translation effect -0.3 Offsetting forex exchange -3.0 Others Forex Effect Receivable in Venezuela +0.1 16.3-3.3 Demand / Trading Volume -0.7 Completion of Merger Goodwill Amortization +1.3 Others -0.4 13.2 Demand /Trading Volume Renewable energy +3.5 Automotive machinery -3.1 Petroleum Products -1.1 FY2015-3.1 FY2016 18

Results and Reasons of Changes for the 3Q of FY2016 (Operating Income) <Chemicals & Electronics Division> Others Loss on valuation of inventories in previous year +6.2 Others Forex Effect Forex translation effect -1.6 Offsetting forex exchange -1.0 Forex Effect Demand /Trading Volume Electronic subsidiaries -3.6 Toyotsu Chemicals Corp. etc. +2.9 Completion of Merger Goodwill Amortization +6.5 27.1 18.8-2.6 Demand/ Trading Volume -0.7 Market/ Prices -0.4 Fiscal period Alignment -0.3 +5.8 Fiscal period alignment Alignment of Elematec in fiscal period -0.3 FY2015 +8.3 FY2016 19

Results and Reasons of Changes for the 3Q of FY2016 (Operating Income) <Food &Consumer Services Division> Forex Effect Forex translation - 0.7 Offsetting forex exchange +2.0 Others M&A-related expenses in previous year +0.4 6.8 Forex Effect +1.3 Demand/ Trading Volume -4.0 Market/ Prices +0.5 Completion of Merger Goodwill Amortization +3.0 Others +0.2 7.8 Demand /Trading Volume Import / Overseas grain business beverage Business FY2015 +1.0 FY2016 20

CFAO Financial and operating performance (in millions) (9 months ended September 30, 2015 and 2016) FY2015 FY2016 Change Revenue 2,535.8 2,442.4 (93.4) Gross profit 625.3 600.9 (24.4) Payroll expenses (225.3) (227.4) 2.1 Other recurring operating income and expenses (216.3) (231.0) 14.7 Recurring operating incomes 183.6 142.5 (41.1) Other non-recurring operating income and expenses 6.0 13.2 7.2 Operating income 189.6 155.7 (33.9) Finance costs, net (35.8) (31.3) (4.5) Income before tax 153.8 124.4 (29.4) Income tax (64.2) (57.6) (6.6) Share in earnings of associates 1.2 (1.7) (2.9) Net income of consolidated companies 90.8 65.0 (25.8) Net income attributable to non-controlling interests 27.1 19.6 (7.5) Net income attributable to owners of the parent 63.6 45.4 (18.2) 21

CFAO Consolidated statement of financial position and Cash flow Consolidated statement of financial position (9 months ended September 30, 2015 and 2016) FY 2015 FY 2016 Change Intangible assets 260.4 256.3 (4.1) Property, plant and equipment 494.1 475.4 (18.7) Working capital requirement 805.1 809.4 4.3 Other assets and liabilities 27.0 27.0 0.0 Capital employed 1,586.6 1,569.8 (16.8) Total equity 968.5 983.3 14.8 Net debt 630.9 663.4 32.5 Free operating cash flow (9 months ended September 30, 2015 and 2016) Cash flow from operating activities before tax, dividends and interests (in millions) FY 2015 FY 2016 Change 228.0 199.6 (28.4) Change in working capital requirement (122.2) (101.7) 20.5 Income tax paid (69.2) (61.5) 7.7 Operating capital expenditure, net (115.8) (57.8) 58.0 Free operating cash flow (79.2) (21.4) 57.8 22

CFAO Information by business unit (in millions) FY 2016 (As of September 30, 2016) Consumer goods Healthcare Equipment& Services Holding& Others Total Revenue(non-Group) 235.2 944.5 1,262.7 0.0 2,442.4 Recurring operating Income 14.5 75.2 73.5 (20.7) 142.5 Segment assets 352.4 748.4 1,292.2 9.1 2,402.1 Segment liabilities 66.4 311.1 464.7 10.1 852.2 FY 2015 (As of September 30, 2015) Consumer goods Healthcare Equipment& Services Holding& Others Total Revenue(non-Group) 256.3 937.1 1,342.2 0.1 2,535.8 Recurring operating Income 38.5 74.7 94.1 (23.7) 183.6 Segment assets 373.8 738.1 1,295.3 41.0 2,448.3 Segment liabilities 70.4 308.9 483.9 13.9 877.1 23

Maghreb W. Africa E. Africa DOM- TOMs CFAO Operating Performance (Ordinary Income and Net Income Attributable to Owners of the Parent) (in millions) Business Domains FY2015 FY2016 Change Factors behind YoY change Market shrinkage, import restrictions (Algeria) Decrease in GM products competitiveness Equipment & services 94.1 73.5-20.6 Economic sluggishness, mainly in resource-producing countries Profit margin erosion due to yen appreciation Economic sluggishness (in, e.g., Kenya, Zambia) Stagnant VW sales (barely up YoY) Roughly unchanged Healthcare 74.7 75.2 0.5 Consumer Goods 38.5 14.5-24.0 Holding -23.7-20.7 3.0 Operating Income Net Income (Attributable to Owners of the Parent) 183.6 142.5-41.1 63.6 45.4-18.2 Roughly unchanged, as growth in West Africa offset decline in North Africa Beer: Margin erosion due to intensification of competition Retail: Mainly increase in new stores up-front expenses 24

Revised Forecast for the Fiscal Year Ending March 2017 (Net Sales) Comparison with the previous revised forecast 7,300.0 1,670.0 950.0 1,050.0 1,400.0 +9.6% +700.0 8,000.0 1,700.0 950.0 1,150.0 1,950.0 <Main reasons of revision in net sales> Segments Change Main Factors Metal Global Parts & Logistics Automotive Machinery Energy & Project Chemicals & Electronics Food & Consumer Services +30.0 +1,00.0 +550.0 +30.0-10.0 Due to increase of Automobile production in North America 0 - Increase in trading volume of automobile in Eastern Europe and Russia Increase of trading volume of petroleum products Increase of trading Chemical plastic in Southeast Asia Decrease in trading grain business handled overseas 1,720.0 1,750.0 Metal Global Parts & Logistics 510.0 500.0 Automotive Machinery, Energy & Project Revised Forecast (Released in Oct 28, 2016 ) Revised Forecast (Released in Feb 2, 2017) Chemicals & Electronics Food & Consumer Services 25

Revised Forecast for the Fiscal Year Ending March 2017 (Operating Income) Comparison with the previous revised forecast +11.5% +15.0 <Main reasons of revision in operating Income> Segments Change Main Factors Metal +6.5 Offsetting forex exchange 130.0 33.5 17.5 21.0 19.0 35.0 145.0 40.0 18.5 26.0 18.0 35.0 9.0 10.0 Revised Forecast (Released in Oct 28, 2016 ) Revised Forecast (Released in Feb 2, 2017) Global Parts & Logistics Automotive Machinery Energy & Project Chemicals & Electronics Food & Consumer Services Metals Global Parts & Logistics Automotive +1.0 Offsetting forex exchange +5.0 Machinery, Energy & Project Chemicals & Electronics Food & Consumer Services Increase in trading volume of automobile in Eastern Europe and Russia -1.0 Offsetting forex exchange 0 - +1.0 Offsetting forex exchange 26

Investment track record ( Billion yen ) Mobility Resources & Environment Investment through 3rd quarter of FY2016 Main Projects Develop dealer network(cfao, etc.) Production-related facilities in north America Solar and wind power business(eurus) Amount 1H -24.7 3Q -9.5-34.2 1H -15.5 3Q -9.1-24.6 Life & Community Pharmaceutical retail business(cfao) 1H -9.2 計 3Q -6.2 615-15.4-74.2 Time deposit to ensure liquidity -21.0 Cash generated by asset sales, etc. Cash used for investment +11.9-83.3 27

Inquiries: Investor Relations Group E-mail ttc_ir@pp.toyota-tsusho.com Tokyo Head Office TEL +81-3-4306-8201 FAX +81-3-4306-8818 This presentation contains forward-looking statements about the strategies and plans of Toyota Tsusho Corporation and its Group companies that are not historical facts. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause the Group s actual or implied operating environment, performance, results, financial position, etc. to differ materially from the information presented here, which is based on assumptions and beliefs in light of information currently available to the management at the time of publication. The Group assumes no obligation to update or correct these forward-looking statements. This presentation is not intended to solicit, offer, sell or market securities, and should not be the sole basis for making investment and other decisions. 2013 28