INDEX PERFORMANCE HISTORY MARKET CYCLE ANALYSIS*

Similar documents
INDEX PERFORMANCE HISTORY MARKET CYCLE ANALYSIS*

INDEX PERFORMANCE HISTORY MARKET CYCLE ANALYSIS*

INDEX PERFORMANCE HISTORY MARKET CYCLE ANALYSIS*

Vanguard Variable Insurance Fund Total Stock Market Index Portfolio Summary Prospectus

Citi Dynamic Asset Selector 5 Excess Return Index

MUFG Union Bank, N.A. Market-Linked Certificates of Deposit, due June 30, 2020 (MLCD No. 402) Quarterly Capped Return Linked to the S&P 500 Index

Facing a Less Favorable Market

DAC Short Term: $10,000 Growth from Inception

MUFG Union Bank, N.A. Market-Linked Certificates of Deposit, due July 31, 2018 (MLCD No. 377) Quarterly Capped Return Linked to the S&P 500 Index

Union Bank, N.A. Market-Linked Certificates of Deposit, due December 26, 2018 (MLCD No. 329) Quarterly Capped Return Linked to the S&P 500 Index

Athene Annuity and Life Company. Merrill Lynch RPM Index. Modern Index Construction Designed to Reduce Risk and Leverage Positive Momentum

North American Indexed Universal Life Insurance Caps and Pars Rate History

Protective Asset Builder

W.E. Donoghue Power Dividend Total Return Index TM (PWRDXTR)

Following are key terms that you should understand when choosing index strategies.

Lenwood Volatility Control Index Factsheet Date: Dec 30,2016

Tactical Income ETF. Investor Presentation N ORTHC OAST I NVESTMENT A DVISORY T EAM NORTHCOASTAM. COM

HSBC Vantage5 Index Methodology Guide

GLOBAL MULTI-INDEX STRATEGY AMENDMENT GLOBAL MULTI-INDEX STRATEGY

Dow Jones Sustainability Indices Diversified June A cooperation of S&P Dow Jones Indices and RobecoSAM

Dow Jones Sustainability Indices Diversified March A cooperation of S&P Dow Jones Indices and RobecoSAM

Prepared for: Female Client, Age 40 Prepared On: March 15, 2016 Prepared by: Sample Agent

Beginning Date: January 2016 End Date: June Managers in Zephyr: Benchmark: Morningstar Short-Term Bond

Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF Summary Prospectus

DAC Wealth Builder: $10,000 Growth from Inception

Beginning Date: January 2016 End Date: September Managers in Zephyr: Benchmark: Morningstar Short-Term Bond

The LME Strategic pathway: how the exchange will continue to support the tin market

DAC Wealth Protector: $10,000 Growth from Inception

April 2, Peter Sorrentino, Chief Investment Officer, Comerica Asset Management

Lifetime Payment. Lifetime Payment Amount

Tactical Growth ETF. Investor Presentation N ORTHC OAST I NVESTMENT A DVISORY T EAM NORTHCOASTAM. COM

DISCLOSURE SUPPLEMENT Dated November 25, 2008 To the Disclosure Statement dated November 10, MLCD Description. Risks and Considerations

Foundation Series 12 Rate Sheet. Best. Average. Return of. Premium. Premium. Best. Average. Worst Return of Premium 3

Citi Volatility Balanced Beta (VIBE) Trend US Spread Alpha Net Total Return Prim Index Index Methodology. Citi Investment Strategies

Increasing Retirement Income Potential. The Earnings-Indexed Income Option offers the opportunity for increasing guaranteed lifetime income

Supplement to the Prospectuses and Summary Prospectuses for Investor Shares and Admiral Shares

Guided Equity Allocation

Dow Jones Sustainability Indices (DJSI)

March Construction and Methodology Document. Schwab 1000 Index

ATLANTIC COAST LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY

HSBC Vantage5 Index Guide

DISCLOSURE SUPPLEMENT Dated December 19, 2008 To the Disclosure Statement December 18, MLCD Description. Risks and Considerations

Allianz Accumulation Advantage SM Annuity

RMBS ARREARS STATISTICS

MARGIN REQUIREMENTS Cboe FUTURES EXCHANGE. Effective

Tradex Bond Fund 2018 Annual General Meeting

Voya Indexed Universal Life-Global Plus

Protective Asset Builder

BCA Elevate 12. Turn Your Inherited IRA Into Lifetime Income (08/18)

6,606,978, % 6,606,978, % 6,606,978, % % NAV % (4) Equity Derivatives Warrants, Rights & Subscriptions

Allocation Options for Variable Universal Life with Indexed Options

PERSONAL CHOICE PLUS+

December 10, Peter Sorrentino, Chief Investment Officer, Comerica Asset Management

Interest Rates. Fixed, Fixed Index and Income Annuities SEPTEMBER 17, For more information call: SALES SEPTEMBER 2018

Janus SG Market Consensus Index

MARGIN REQUIREMENTS Cboe FUTURES EXCHANGE. Effective

Beginning Date: January 2016 End Date: February Managers in Zephyr: Benchmark: Morningstar Short-Term Bond

S&P ESG Indices December A cooperation of S&P Dow Jones Indices and RobecoSAM

WisdomTree CBOE S&P 500 PutWrite Strategy Fund (PUTW) and CBOE S&P 500 PutWrite Index (PUT)

Protective Indexed Choice SM UL

Pendal MidCap Fund. 1. Restrictions on withdrawals. Additional Information to the Product Disclosure Statement

Your priorities. Their future. Voya Indexed Universal Life Protector Issued by Security Life of Denver Insurance Company

Manager Comparison Report June 28, Report Created on: July 25, 2013

Dividend Report. December 2018

Union Bank, N.A. Market-Linked Certificates of Deposit, due June 28, 2018 (MLCD No. 283) Quarterly Capped Return Linked to the S&P 500 Index

Index Description MS HDX Dynamic Roll RADAR Outperformance Index

SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate UCITS ETF

TriVystaTM. Fixed Indexed Annuity. Navigating the retirement landscape.

Lenwood Volatility Control Index

CONTRACT SUMMARY. Pacific Index Select Disclosure Contract Form Series

TRANSAMERICA SECURE RETIREMENT INDEX ANNUITY AND OPTIONAL TRANSAMERICA INCOME PLUS LIVING BENEFIT

Rates rise on Athene products!

Grant Park Multi Alternative Strategies Fund. Why Invest? Profile Since Inception. Consider your alternatives. Invest smarter.

In FL, the Product Brochure is required to be used in conjunction with the Additional Information Insert (BCA ).

Athene Performance Elite 10

Protection, Growth, and Income

Sample Report PERFORMANCE REPORT I YOUR FUND

Athene Ascent SM 10 Bonus 2.0 Annuity

Rate Update: Ascent Pro Bonus, Performance Elite, Benefit 10 and MaxRate

Dow Jones Sustainability Indices June A cooperation of S&P Dow Jones Indices and RobecoSAM

HSBC Bank plc. Programme for the Issuance of Notes and Warrants. Issue of

Security Analysis: Performance

SPDR MSCI Strategic Factors Monthly Performance Update

Confronting Market Volatility

2Q 30 JUNE 2018 MFS EUROPEAN VALUE EQUITY (USD)

Athene Annuity and Life Company Certificate of Disclosure and Acknowledgement 7700 Mills Civic Parkway, West Des Moines, IA

Athene Performance Elite 15

Voya Indexed Universal Life-Protector

Kensington Analytics LLC. Convertible Income Strategy

Athene Performance Elite 10

Large Cap Low Volatility Strategy. 12/31/ Vanderbilt Beach Road, Suite 102 Naples, Florida V:

Income 150+ SM. Fixed Index Annuity. Issued by Forethought Life Insurance Company. FIA1086 (05-16) Global Atlantic

20% 20% Conservative Moderate Balanced Growth Aggressive

Fixed Indexed Annuity

Retirement Chapters 10 Fixed Index Annuity

Sample only; not a current offering document

Athene Performance Elite 7

Understanding Indexed Universal Life Insurance

The Compelling Case for Value

Mexico s Fixed Income Markets

Transcription:

Jun 09 Dec 09 Jun 10 Dec 10 Jun 11 Dec 11 Jun 12 Dec 12 Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15 Dec 15 Jun 16 Dec 16 Jun 17 Dec 17 Jun 18 Dec 18 Dec 07 Jan 08 Feb 08 Mar 08 Apr 08 May 08 Jun 08 Jul 08 Aug 08 Sep 08 Oct 08 Nov 08 Dec 08 Jan 09 Feb 09 Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Feb 05 Apr 05 Jun 05 Aug 05 Oct 05 Dec 05 Feb 06 Apr 06 Jun 06 Aug 06 Oct 06 Dec 06 Feb 07 Apr 07 Jun 07 Aug 07 Oct 07 Dec 07 Index Name: Ticker: OVERVIEW Helios Dynamic Risk 16% Index Inception Date: February 28, 2005 S&P Launch Date: December 21, 2018 : 80% MSCI ACWI / 20% BBgBarc Agg Bond Morningstar SecID: N/A Short Name Helios Dynamic Risk 16% INDEX PERFORMANCE HISTORY As of: January 31, 2019 MARKET CYCLE ANALYSIS* DESCRIPTION The Helios Dynamic Risk 16% Index is an aggressive tactical approach to investing in a diversified basket of equites, bonds and other investments. The Index positioning is determined by a rules based algorithm focused on the level of implied volatility existing within the Index. Expansion Dates: 02/28/05-12/31/07 Total Return 34.20% 40.70% Standard Deviation 8.03% 6.91% Correlation 0.94 1.00 $1,600 $1,400 $1,200 $800 $600 $400 $200 Contraction Dates: 12/31/07-06/30/09 Total Return -1.82% -29.11% Standard Deviation 10.33% 23.51% Correlation 0.56 1.00 $1,600 $1,400 $1,200 $800 $600 $400 $200 Expansion Dates: 06/30/09-01/31/19 Total Return 147.55% 121.51% Standard Deviation 11.76% 10.73% Correlation 0.95 1.00 $4,000 $3,500 $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $500 * Bureau of Economic Data This brochure is solely for informational purposes. Presentations of back-tested performance are hypothetical, were compiled after the end of the period advertised, and do not represent decisions made by Helios Quantitative Research or Clear Creek Financial Management, LLC during the period described. Helios Quantitative, LLC is a DBA of Clear Creek Financial Management, LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor. Invest at your own risk.

Feb 05 Jan 06 Dec 06 Nov 07 Oct 08 Sep 09 Aug 10 Jul 11 Jun 12 May 13 Apr 14 Mar 15 Feb 16 Jan 17 Dec 17 Nov 18 INDEX PERFORMANCE HISTORY As of: January 31, 2019 RETURN STATISTICS Annualized Returns 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year ITD -4% -6% -8% Maximum Drawdown 0.0% -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% -10.0% -12.0% -14.0% Annualized Returns 1 Year -6.10% -5.45% 3 Year 10.91% 9.73% 5 Year 7.92% 5.96% 10 Year 9.61% 9.91% ITD 8.87% 5.86% Return Statistics Annualized Return 8.87% 5.86% Annualized Std Dev 10.94% 12.34% Sharpe Ratio 0.79 0.45 Information Ratio 0.41 - Maximum Drawdown -19.05% -46.04% Tracking Error (Month) 2.12% - Tracking Error (Annual) 7.35% - Return Statistics Correlation 0.81 1.00 Beta 0.72 1.00 R^2 0.65 1.00 Alpha 0.30% 0.00% Up Capture 1.00 1.00 Down Capture 0.81 1.00 % Positive Months 66.47% 63.47% -16.0% -18.0% -20.0% This brochure is solely for informational purposes. Presentations of back-tested performance are hypothetical, were compiled after the end of the period advertised, and do not represent decisions made by Helios Quantitative Research or Clear Creek Financial Management, LLC during the period described. Helios Quantitative, LLC is a DBA of Clear Creek Financial Management, LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor. Invest at your own risk.

Feb 05 Jul 05 Dec 05 May 06 Oct 06 Mar 07 Aug 07 Jan 08 Jun 08 Nov 08 Apr 09 Sep 09 Feb 10 Jul 10 Dec 10 May 11 Oct 11 Mar 12 Aug 12 Jan 13 Jun 13 Nov 13 Apr 14 Sep 14 Feb 15 Jul 15 Dec 15 May 16 Oct 16 Mar 17 Aug 17 Jan 18 Jun 18 Nov 18 INDEX PERFORMANCE HISTORY As of: January 31, 2019 RETURN DATA $4,000 Hypothetical Growth of a Investment $3,500 $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $500 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD 2019 6.05 - - - - - - - - - - - 6.05 6.53 2018 4.94 (4.93) (1.41) 0.19 1.90 0.13 3.14 2.09 0.35 (8.18) 0.94 (5.63) (7.09) (7.45) 2017 2.06 3.11 0.63 1.24 1.46 0.75 1.94 (0.14) 2.45 2.20 2.71 1.04 21.23 19.62 2016 (3.80) (0.12) 5.90 0.83 1.21 0.30 3.21 0.17 0.10 (1.86) 2.25 1.61 9.89 6.91 2015 (1.46) 4.20 (0.68) 0.73 0.78 (2.55) 1.78 (5.19) (2.18) 5.92 0.20 (1.94) (0.91) (1.63) 2014 (3.57) 4.90 0.50 0.47 2.00 2.27 (2.19) 3.42 (2.51) 2.07 2.03 (0.81) 8.53 4.58 2013 5.20 0.63 3.52 2.29 1.22 (1.84) 5.58 (2.94) 4.57 4.10 2.16 2.60 30.21 17.47 2012 4.73 4.48 2.41 (0.88) (7.08) 4.30 0.65 2.89 2.36 (1.12) 1.41 1.95 16.62 13.83 2011 2.18 3.71 0.02 3.51 (1.38) (1.76) (2.52) (6.35) (8.47) 9.66 (1.67) 0.40 (3.86) (4.22) 2010 (5.68) 2.97 6.35 1.23 (7.47) (4.80) 5.86 (3.75) 8.49 3.76 (0.41) 6.99 12.58 11.81 2009 (2.30) (2.02) 1.50 0.25 0.78 0.62 3.02 1.63 1.79 (0.50) 2.27 (1.62) 5.38 28.82 2008 (3.80) (1.13) (0.69) 2.56 0.23 (3.04) (0.23) 0.66 (4.78) (1.73) 4.02 8.01 (0.61) (34.37) 2007 1.90 (0.99) 1.52 3.97 3.51 (1.39) (3.26) 0.54 4.04 2.22 (3.13) (1.83) 6.91 10.81 2006 3.70 0.13 2.30 1.94 (3.41) 0.09 (0.12) 2.07 1.79 3.52 2.38 1.35 16.69 17.51 2005 - - (1.87) (2.20) 2.89 0.84 3.98 (0.01) 1.36 (2.60) 4.24 0.98 7.57 8.06 2004 - - - - - - - - - - - - - #N/A This brochure is solely for informational purposes. Presentations of back-tested performance are hypothetical, were compiled after the end of the period advertised, and do not represent decisions made by Helios Quantitative Research or Clear Creek Financial Management, LLC during the period described. Helios Quantitative, LLC is a DBA of Clear Creek Financial Management, LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor. Invest at your own risk.

Important Definitions & Disclosures Annualized Return The value that an investment has achieved over a 12-month period based upon interest, dividends, and unrealized appreciation. Standard Deviation A measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean. The more spread apart the data, the higher the deviation. Standard deviation is calculated as the square root of variance. Correlation The degree to which the fluctuations of one variable are similar to those of another. Sharpe Ratio A reward of a portfolio's excess return relative to the total variability of the portfolio. Named after Nobel Laureate William Sharpe. Information Ratio The excess return (alpha) of an active manager over an appropriate benchmark, divided by the standard deviation of excess returns (tracking error). Maximum Drawdown The maximum loss from a peak to a trough of an investment, before a new peak is attained. It is an indicator of downside risk over a specified time period. Tracking Error How closely an investment s return pattern follows that of a benchmark index, and is defined as the standard deviation of the investment s excess return over the benchmark index return. Beta The measurement of a dependent variable's (i.e. stock price) volatility relative to an independent variable (i.e. an index). Beta is the percent change in the price of the dependent variable given a 1% change in the independent variable. This reveals if the dependent variable moves in step with the independent variable; where a beta of 1 indicates perfect alignment. Beta is a measure of risk; the higher the beta, the higher the risk. R^2 (R-Squared) A statistical measure that represents the percentage of an investment or security's movements that can be explained by movements in a benchmark index. Alpha The premium an investment portfolio earns above a certain benchmark. A positive alpha indicates that the investor earned a premium over that index. Up Capture A statistical measure of an investment s overall performance in up-markets. The up-market capture ratio is used to evaluate how well an investment performed relative to an index during periods when that index has risen. Down Capture A statistical measure of an investment s overall performance in down-markets. The down-market capture ratio is used to evaluate how well or poorly an investment performed relative to an index during periods when that index has dropped.

Important Definitions & Disclosures This brochure is solely for informational purposes. Helios Quantitative, LLC is a DBA of Clear Creek Financial Management, LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor (the Advisor ). Presentations of back-tested performance are hypothetical, were compiled after the end of the period advertised, and do not represent decisions made by the Advisor during the period described. For actual results that are compared to an index, all material facts relevant to the comparison are disclosed herein and reflect the deduction of advisory fees, brokerage and other commissions and any other expenses paid by the Advisor s clients. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where the Advisor and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. No advice may be rendered by the Advisor unless a client service agreement is in place. The information presented is for informational purposes only and not intended to constitute an investment recommendation for or advice to any specific person. By providing this information, Advisor is not undertaking to provide impartial investment advice or to give advice in any fiduciary capacity to an investor. Further, Advisor has no knowledge of and has not been provided any information regarding any investor. Financial advisors must determine whether or not the securities are appropriate for their clients as Advisor does not consider investor suitability when determining investment opinions. This information is not personalized investment advice or an investment recommendation from Advisor, and is intended for use only by a third party financial advisor, with other information, as an input in the development of investment advice for its own clients. Such financial advisors are responsible for making their own independent judgment as to how to use this information. Advisor does not have investment discretion over or place trade orders for any portfolios or accounts derived from this information. There is no guarantee that any security illustrated will be successful or achieve any particular level of results. This information should not be relied upon as investment advice or a recommendation by Advisor regarding any security in particular. Only an investor and their financial advisor know enough about their circumstances to make an investment decision. 2018 Helios Quantitative Research. All rights reserved. ADVISOR USE ONLY

Important Definitions & Disclosures The Helios Indices (Helios Alpha Index, Helios Balanced Index, Helios Diversified Index, Helios Equity Index, Helios Opportunity Index, Helios Dynamic Risk 16% Index, Helios Dynamic Risk 13% Index, Helios Dynamic Risk 10% Index, Helios Dynamic Risk 7% Index, Helios Dynamic Risk 5% Index, Helios Fixed Income Index, and Helios Strategic Income Index) (the Helios Indices ) is the exclusive property of S&P Opco, LLC, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC ( SPDJI ) and/or its affiliates. Advisor has contracted with SPDJI to calculate and maintain the Index. All rights reserved. Redistribution, reproduction and/or photocopying in whole or in part are prohibited without written permission of SPDJI. S&P is a registered trademark of Standard & Poor s Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. Neither SPDJI, its affiliates nor their third party licensors make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the ability of any index to accurately represent the asset class or market sector that it purports to represent, nor shall they have any liability for any errors, omissions, or interruptions of any index or the data included therein. For more information on any of SPDJI s or its affiliate s indices or its custom calculation services, please visit www.spdji.com. S&P DOW JONES INDICES ENTITIES DOES NOT GUARANTEE THE ADEQUACY, ACCURACY, TIMELINESS AND/OR THE COMPLETENESS OF THE HELIOS INDICES OR ANY DATA RELATED THERETO OR ANY COMMUNICATION, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ORAL OR WRIT- TEN COMMUNICATION (INCLUDING ELECTRONIC COMMUNICATIONS) WITH RESPECT THERETO. S&P DOW JONES INDICES ENTITIES SHALL NOT BE SUBJECT TO ANY DAMAGES OR LIABILITY FOR ANY ERRORS, OMISSIONS, OR DELAYS THEREIN. S&P DOW JONES INDI- CES ENTITIES MAKES NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, AND EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL WARRANTIES, OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE OR AS TO RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED BY ADVISOR, OWNERS OF THE HELIOS INDICES, OR ANY OTHER PERSON OR ENTITY FROM THE USE OF THE INDICES OR WITH RESPECT TO ANY DATA RELATED THERETO. WITHOUT LIM- ITING ANY OF THE FOREGOING, IN NO EVENT WHATSOEVER SHALL S&P DOW JONES INDICES ENTITIES BE LIABLE FOR ANY INDIRECT, SPECIAL, INCIDENTAL, PUNITIVE, OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, LOSS OF PROFITS, TRADING LOSS- ES, LOST TIME OR GOODWILL, EVEN IF THEY HAVE BEEN ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES, WHETHER IN CONTRACT, TORT, STRICT LIABILITY, OR OTHERWISE.