D. Smith
Includes adjusted estimated salary schedule change: FY2016/17 Estimated Actuals* Percentage FY2017/18 Tentative Budget* Percentage FY2018/19 Estimated Budget* Beginning Fund Balance $16,428,949 15.9% $14,602,045 13.3% $13,882,983 12.6% Total Revenues $107,747,883 $109,266,752 $112,090,574 Total Expenditures Personnel $92,305,703 84.2% $94,757,993 84.8% $97,081,687 85.4% Operations $17,269,084 15.8% $16,993,495 15.2% $16,602,708 14.6% Total $109,574,787 $111,751,488 $113,684,395 Discount Factor 0 ($1,765,674) ($1,796,213) Total Expenditures $109,574,787 $109,985,814 $111,888,182 Net Change in Fund Balance ($1,826,904) ($719,062) $202,392 Ending Fund Balance $14,602,045 13.3% $13,882,983 12.6% $14,085,375 12.6% Percentage *As adjusted for estimated FY2016 17 pending contract settlements.
18% 16% 14% 14.65% 14.80% 14.39% 16.14% Actual 13.60% 15.89% Projected 13.33% 12.62% 12.58% 12% 10% 8% 9.10% 11.80% 9.70% 10.50% 8.39% 7.81% 10.99% 11.59% 11.94% 6% 6.22% 4% 2% 0% 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 Est. 17/18 Est. 18/19 Est. 19/20 Est. Based on FY2017 2018 Tentative Budget: 1. New property taxes increase at 6.04% in FY2016 17 General Fund % 2. COLA 1.5% for all groups effective July 1, 2016 3. Increase longevity award for CSEA effective July 1, 2017 4. Includes discount factor 1.58%
Pending FY2016/17 collective bargaining agreements will be ratified. Property tax growth will be 3.5% in FY2017/18 and out years. Medical premium increases for Blue Cross and Kaiser will be 15% and 5% respectively in FY2018/19 and out years. STRS & PERS rate increases will continue to escalate resulting in substantial new costs.
The discount factor of unspent allocations will occur at 1.58% in the out years, which are the historical trends. Tentative budget does not include a set aside for additional staffing or collective bargaining agreements.
Bay 10 Districts Basic Aid Districts WEST VALLEY/MISSION 44.1% WEST VALLEY/MISSION 44.1% FOOTHILL DEANZA 33.9% SOUTH ORANGE 28.9% OHLONE 33.4% SAN MATEO 23.5% SAN FRANCISCO 30.0% MIRACOSTA 21.9% SAN MATEO 23.5% SIERRA 21.3% CHABOT LAS POSITAS 22.8% SAN JOSE EVERGREEN *17.8% CONTRA COSTA 22.5% MARIN 13.1% SAN JOSE EVERGREEN *17.8% Basic Aid Average 24.4% PERALTA 14.7% MARIN 13.1% Bay 10 Average 25.6% Statewide Average 17.6% *Includes Stabilization Fund, Student Success Enhancement Fund and Facility Rental Fund
1. Deficit Spending 2. Fund Balance 3. Enrollment 4. Unrestricted General Fund Balance 5. Cash Flow Borrowing 6. Bargaining Agreements 7. Unrestricted General Fund Staffing % 8. Internal Controls Source: Chancellors Office California Community Colleges
9. Management Information Systems 10. Position Control 11. Budget Monitoring 12. Retiree Health Benefits 13. Leadership/Stability 14. District Liability 15. Reporting Source: Chancellors Office California Community Colleges
12.00% 10.00% 10.10% 10.28% 8.47% 8.82% 8.00% 7.31% 7.83% 7.69% 6.00% 5.28% 5.36% 6.77% 6.32% 6.57% 6.02% 5.87% 6.46% 6.04% 4.54% 4.00% 2.46% 2.95% 3.21% 3.67% 3.96% 2.00% 0.00% 1.00% 0.30% 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016 2017 2.00% August November February May July
90,000,000 Property Tax History 6.04% 80,000,000 6.57% 10.28% 70,000,000 60,000,000 9.32% 7.20% 2.93% 6.02% 3.99% 2.57% 3.21% 8.47% 9.26% 50,000,000 10.36% 6.17% 1.90% 8.43% 40,000,000 30,000,000 20,000,000 10,000,000 FY 00/01 FY 01/02 FY 02/03 FY 03/04 FY 04/05 FY 05/06 FY 06/07 FY 07/08 FY 08/09FY 09/10FY 10/11FY 11/12FY 12/13FY 13/14FY 14/15FY 15/16 FY 16/17 Base Property Tax Increase Property Tax Decline Date: 04/18/16
12.0% 10.0% 10.4% 8.4% 9.3% 9.3% 8.5% 10.3% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 6.2% 1.9% 7.2% 2.9% 2.6% 3.2% 6.6% 6.0% * 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% Percentage Changed in Property Tax * 4th Data Point
District Stabilization Fund 1. Board authority required to access. 2. Access during economic downturn. 3. Replenish in healthy fiscal times. 4. At fiscal year end, transfer up to $500,000 of one time money, when the general fund balance finishes above 10%. 5. Cap stabilization fund at $2.5M.
1. Estimated ending fund balance is 13.3%. 2. Economy appears to have peaked based on local property tax measures. 3. Governor Brown The longest economic recovery on record is ten years, and we re now in our eight year of growth.
How much money should be transferred to the Stabilization fund? 1. $100,000 2. $250,000 3. $500,000 4. Other Action should be part of motion to adopt the Tentative Budget.
1. Draws on reserves by $719,063. 2. Good fund balance at 12.6%. 3. Revenues and Expenditures are nearly balanced in the out years. 4. Assumes property taxes grow at 3.5%. 5. Property taxes drive 80% of the budget. 6. Keep an eye on economic trends.
The Tentative Budget is ready for adoption. The motion to adopt should include the amount of the dollar transfer to the Stabilization Fund.