DAILY UPDATE 29/09/2014

Key Economic Data Results 29/09:- DAILY UPDATE 29/09/2014 Event Survey Actual Prior Revised Date Time CPI Saxony MoM -- 0.10% 0.00% -- 09/29/2014 08:00 GE CPI Brandenburg MoM -- 0.00% 0.00% -- 09/29/2014 09:00 GE CPI Hesse MoM -- 0.10% 0.00% -- 09/29/2014 09:00 GE CPI Bavaria MoM -- 0.10% 0.10% -- 09/29/2014 09:00 GE Net Consumer Credit 0.8B 0.9B 1.1B -- 09/29/2014 09:30 UK Net Lending Sec. on Dwellings 2.1B 2.3B 2.3B -- 09/29/2014 09:30 UK Mortgage Approvals 65.0K 64.2K 66.6K 66.1K 09/29/2014 09:30 UK Money Supply M4 MoM -- 0.30% 0.30% 0.20% 09/29/2014 09:30 UK M4 Money Supply YoY -- -1.50% -1.00% -- 09/29/2014 09:30 UK M4 Ex IOFCs 3M Annualised -- 3.10% 3.80% 3.40% 09/29/2014 09:30 UK CPI North Rhine Westphalia MoM -- 0.00% 0.10% -- 09/29/2014 09:30 GE Retail Sales Value YoY -2.00% 3.40% -3.10% -3.20% 09/29/2014 09:30 HK Economic Confidence 99.9 99.9 100.6 -- 09/29/2014 10:00 EC Industrial Confidence -5.8-5.5-5.3 -- 09/29/2014 10:00 EC Consumer Confidence -11.4-11.4-11.4 -- 09/29/2014 10:00 EC Services Confidence 2.5 3.2 3.1 -- 09/29/2014 10:00 EC Business Climate Indicator 0.1 0.07 0.16 -- 09/29/2014 10:00 EC CPI MoM -0.10% 0.00% 0.00% -- 09/29/2014 13:00 GE CPI YoY 0.80% 0.80% 0.80% -- 09/29/2014 13:00 GE CPI EU Harmonized MoM -0.10% 0.00% 0.00% -- 09/29/2014 13:00 GE CPI EU Harmonized YoY 0.70% 0.80% 0.80% -- 09/29/2014 13:00 GE CPI Baden Wuerttemberg MoM -- 0.00% 0.00% -- 09/29/2014 13:00 GE Personal Income 0.30% 0.30% 0.20% -- 09/29/2014 13:30 US Personal Spending 0.40% 0.50% -0.10% 0.00% 09/29/2014 13:30 US PCE Deflator MoM -0.10% 0.00% 0.10% -- 09/29/2014 13:30 US

PCE Deflator YoY 1.40% 1.50% 1.60% -- 09/29/2014 13:30 US PCE Core MoM 0.00% 0.10% 0.10% -- 09/29/2014 13:30 US PCE Core YoY 1.40% 1.50% 1.50% -- 09/29/2014 13:30 US Bloomberg Nanos Confidence -- 60 59.3 -- 09/29/2014 15:00 CA Pending Home Sales MoM -0.50% -1.00% 3.30% 3.20% 09/29/2014 15:00 US Pending Home Sales YoY -1.40% -4.10% -2.70% -2.80% 09/29/2014 15:00 US Dallas Fed Manf. Activity 10.5 10.8 7.1 -- 09/29/2014 15:30 US Building Permits MoM 0.00% -- 0.10% -- 09/29/2014 22:45 NZ Asian Markets The Day that was:- Asian stocks ended mixed on Monday, as political unrest in Hong Kong and falling commodity prices due to a stronger dollar offset optimism about the overall U.S. growth outlook. With fears intensifying over an early rise in U.S. interest rates, investors awaited a slew of U.S. data due this week, including the all-important jobs data due on Friday, for further direction. Chinese shares extended gains for a fifth day to finish at a 19-month high, unaffected by losses elsewhere in Hong Kong, where the benchmark Hang Seng index fell nearly 2 percent to end at 23,229.21, hit by concerns over pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong. The benchmark Shanghai Composite index gained 0.43 percent to close at 2,357.71, its highest level since March 1, 2013. Investors also shrugged off weak data showing a decline in profits at industrial companies in China for the first time in two years in August. Tokyo stocks advanced, with sentiment bolstered by a weaker yen after data showed U.S. gross domestic product expanded at an annual rate of 4.6 per cent in the spring, the fastest pace in 2-1/2 years. The benchmark Nikkei average rose half a percent to 16,310.64. Australian shares fell to their lowest levels in over 7 months, as banks fell across the board and mining stocks continued to come under selling pressure amid falling commodity prices. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index dropped 0.93 percent to 5,264.20, its lowest level since February. New Zealand shares rose, led by companies with large offshore earnings, as the kiwi dollar fell to 77.64 US cents, its lowest level since August 30 2013, on data showing the central bank sold a net $NZ521 million ($A485.03 million) in foreign exchange markets in August, the most in seven years.

XAUUSD: -0.22% High: 1223.27 Low: 1214.88 Close: 1215.67 Daily Support 1: 1215.00 Daily Support 2: 1200.10 Daily Resistance 1: 1325.50 Daily Resistance 2: 1237.00 Gold ended slightly lower on Monday even with investors moving to the yellow metal as safe haven after the dollar trended lower on some mixed economic data from the U.S. with pending home sales pulling back more than expected in August. Investors digested a mixed batch of U.S. economic data including a report showing consumer spending to have risen more than expected in August. A report from the National Association of Realtors showed pending home sales in the U.S. to have dropped more than expected in August, even as personal spending in the U.S. rose more than expected in August. A weak report on Eurozone economic confidence and sluggish commodity prices are weighing as well. Worries about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and news about clashes between the police and pro-democracy protesters in Hong Kong appear to be hurting the market. Investors await this week's deluge of U.S. economic data, with gold falling sharply of late amid an unusually rapid strengthening of the dollar, although the dollar dropped against major rivals today. Technical Insight: Gold hardly changed for the day as mixed data from the US made investors rush to the yellow metal as a safe haven. Gold continues to trade along the bearish trendline.

EURUSD: 0.01% High: 1.27142 Low: 1.26631 Close: 1.26870 Daily Support 1: 1.25730 Daily Support 2: 1.24700 Daily Resistance 1: 1.2788 Daily Resistance 2: 1.2860 EURUSD was up 0.01% at 1.26870, from a session low of 1.26631 and high of 1.27142. Expectations for U.S. monetary policy to grow less accommodative at a time when Europe may move to loosen have firmed the dollar in recent sessions, though by Monday, mixed U.S. data gave investors room to sell the dollar for profits. The National Association of Realtors reported earlier that its pending home sales index fell 1.0% to 104.7 in August from 105.8 in July. Economists had expected the index to tick down 0.1% last month. Separately, the Commerce Department said that U.S. personal spending rose 0.5% in August, beating expectations for an increase of 0.4%, after a 0.1% dip in July. The euro, meanwhile, saw demand from bottom fishers. Technical Insight: Today we have seen the euro gain on the dollar after some mixed data releases from the US and investors taking the opportunity to take profits.

GBPUSD: -0.06% High: 1.62738 Low: 1.62135 Close: 1.62408 Daily Support 1: 1.62000 Daily Support 2: 1.60900 Daily Resistance 1: 1.6530 Daily Resistance 2: 1.6630 GBPUSD was down 0.06% at 1.62408, from a session low of 1.62135 and a high of 1.62738. Expectations for U.S. monetary policy to grow less accommodative at a time when Europe may move to loosen have firmed the dollar in recent sessions, though by Monday, mixed U.S. data gave investors room to sell the dollar for profits. The National Association of Realtors reported earlier that its pending home sales index fell 1.0% to 104.7 in August from 105.8 in July. Economists had expected the index to tick down 0.1% last month. Separately, the Commerce Department said that U.S. personal spending rose 0.5% in August, beating expectations for an increase of 0.4%, after a 0.1% dip in July. Technical insight: Today we have seen the pound sterling gain very slightly on the dollar after some mixed data releases from the US and investors taking the opportunity to take profits.

KEY Data: 30 th September 2014:- Event Survey Actual Prior Date Time Jobless Rate 3.80% -- 3.80% 09/30/2014 00:30 JN Job-To-Applicant Ratio 1.1 -- 1.1 09/30/2014 00:30 JN Overall Household Spending YoY -3.60% -- -5.90% 09/30/2014 00:30 JN ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index -- -- 112.9 09/30/2014 00:30 AU Retail Trade YoY 0.10% -- 0.50% 09/30/2014 00:50 JN Retail Sales MoM 0.50% -- -0.50% 09/30/2014 00:50 JN Industrial Production MoM 0.20% -- 0.40% 09/30/2014 00:50 JN Industrial Production YoY -1.10% -- -0.70% 09/30/2014 00:50 JN ANZ Activity Outlook -- -- 36.6 09/30/2014 01:00 NZ ANZ Business Confidence -- -- 24.4 09/30/2014 01:00 NZ Labor Cash Earnings YoY 0.90% -- 2.60% 09/30/2014 02:30 JN Private Sector Credit MoM 0.50% -- 0.40% 09/30/2014 02:30 AU Private Sector Credit YoY 5.20% -- 5.10% 09/30/2014 02:30 AU HSBC China Manufacturing PMI 50.5 -- 50.5 09/30/2014 02:45 CH Money Supply M3 YoY -- -- 5.30% 09/30/2014 04:00 NZ Vehicle Production YoY -- -- -1.70% 09/30/2014 05:00 JN Housing Starts YoY -14.20% -- -14.10% 09/30/2014 06:00 JN Annualized Housing Starts 0.837M -- 0.839M 09/30/2014 06:00 JN Construction Orders YoY -- -- 24.40% 09/30/2014 06:00 JN Nationwide House PX MoM 0.50% -- 0.80% 09/30/2014 07:00 UK Nationwide House Px NSA YoY 10.40% -- 11.00% 09/30/2014 07:00 UK Retail Sales MoM 0.50% -- -1.40% 09/30/2014 07:00 GE Retail Sales YoY 0.30% -- 0.70% 09/30/2014 07:00 GE Unemployment Change (000's) -2K -- 2K 09/30/2014 08:55 GE Unemployment Rate 6.70% -- 6.70% 09/30/2014 08:55 GE Lloyds Business Barometer -- -- 47 09/30/2014 09:30 UK

GDP QoQ 0.80% -- 0.80% 09/30/2014 09:30 UK GDP YoY 3.20% -- 3.20% 09/30/2014 09:30 UK Current Account Balance -18.0B -- -18.5B 09/30/2014 09:30 UK Index of Services MoM 0.30% -- 0.30% 09/30/2014 09:30 UK Index of Services 3M/3M 1.00% -- 1.00% 09/30/2014 09:30 UK Total Business Investment QoQ -- -- 5.00% 09/30/2014 09:30 UK Total Business Investment YoY -- -- 10.60% 09/30/2014 09:30 UK Unemployment Rate 11.50% -- 11.50% 09/30/2014 10:00 EC CPI Estimate YoY 0.30% -- 0.30% 09/30/2014 10:00 EC CPI Core YoY 0.90% -- 0.90% 09/30/2014 10:00 EC GDP MoM 0.30% -- 0.30% 09/30/2014 13:30 CA GDP YoY 2.80% -- 3.10% 09/30/2014 13:30 CA Industrial Product Price MoM -0.20% -- -0.30% 09/30/2014 13:30 CA Raw Materials Price Index MoM -1.50% -- -1.40% 09/30/2014 13:30 CA ISM Milwaukee 61 -- 59.63 09/30/2014 14:00 US S&P/CS 20 City MoM SA 0.00% -- -0.20% 09/30/2014 14:00 US S&P/CS Composite-20 YoY 7.40% -- 8.10% 09/30/2014 14:00 US S&P/CaseShiller 20-City Index NSA 174.45 -- 172.33 09/30/2014 14:00 US S&P/Case-Shiller US HPI NSA -- -- 166.34 09/30/2014 14:00 US S&P/Case-Shiller US HPI YoY -- -- 6.24% 09/30/2014 14:00 US Chicago Purchasing Manager 62 -- 64.3 09/30/2014 14:45 US Consumer Confidence Index 92.5 -- 92.4 09/30/2014 15:00 US We have the release of a basket full of data out of all the major economies on the 30 th September 2014. We start in the Asian session with the major release of jobless rate from Japan. Japan will also release their Retail Sales data and Vehicle production. We then move to the European and UK session of trading and the release of Retail Sales and Unemployment Rate from Germany, we then have the release of GDP data from the UK soon after the German release. The EC then release their unemployment data before we move to the US session and have GDP data from Canada and ISM Milwaukee and Consumer Confidence Index data from the US.

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