F I N A N C E U P D A T E G R O W T H W I T H D I S C I P L I N E

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Transcription:

F I N A N C E U P D A T E G R O W T H W I T H D I S C I P L I N E Jacky Lo, CFO

Cautionary Statements Forward-Looking Statements. This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. We intend all forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts and by the use of forward-looking words such as expect, expectation, believe, anticipate, may, could, intend, belief, plan, estimate, target, predict, likely, will, continue, should, forecast, outlook, ongoing or similar terminology. These statements are based on current estimates and assumptions made by us in light of our experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors that we believe are appropriate and reasonable under the circumstances, but there can be no assurance that such estimates and assumptions will prove to be correct. Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements regarding the future business plans, earnings, performance and returns of Yum China, statements regarding the revitalization of Pizza Hut and collaboration with Sinopec and CNPC, anticipated effects of population and macroeconomic trends, the capital structure and effective tax rate of Yum China, the anticipated effects of our digital and delivery capabilities on growth, and beliefs regarding the long-term drivers of Yum China s business. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance and are inherently subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict and could cause our actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated by those statements. We cannot assure you that any of our expectations, estimates or assumptions will be achieved. The forward-looking statements included in this presentation are only made as of the date of this presentation, and we disclaim any obligation to publicly update any forwardlooking statement to reflect subsequent events or circumstances, except as required by law. Numerous factors could cause our actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by forward-looking statements, including, without limitation: whether we are able to achieve development goals at the times and in the amounts currently anticipated, if at all, the success of our marketing campaigns and product innovation, our ability to maintain food safety and quality control systems, our ability to control costs and expenses, including tax costs, as well as changes in political, economic and regulatory conditions in China. In addition, other risks and uncertainties not presently known to us or that we currently believe to be immaterial could affect the accuracy of any such forward-looking statements. All forwardlooking statements should be evaluated with the understanding of their inherent uncertainty. You should consult our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (including the information set forth under the captions Risk Factors and Forward-Looking Statements in our Annual Report on Form 10-K) for additional detail about factors that could affect our financial and other results. Non-GAAP Measures. This presentation includes certain non-gaap financial measures. Reconciliation of these non-gaap financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included in this presentation where indicated. You are urged to consider carefully the comparable GAAP measures and reconciliations. Market and Industry Data. Unless we indicate otherwise, we base the information concerning our industry contained on this presentation on our general knowledge of and expectations concerning the industry. Our market position and market share is based on our estimates using data from various industry sources and assumptions that we believe to be reasonable based on our knowledge of the industry. We have not independently verified the data obtained from these sources and cannot assure you of the data s accuracy or completeness. Trademarks, logos, service marks, materials, designs and other intellectual property used in this presentation are owned by Yum China Holdings, Inc. and its affiliates, or their use has been officially authorized by their respective owners. This presentation also may refer to brand names, trademarks, service marks and trade names of other companies and organizations, and these brand names, trademarks, service marks and trade names are the property of their respective owners. 2

Significant Progress Since Spin-Off ~1,000 13% 48% 59% $640mn Net new stores added 1 System sales growth 2 Operating profit growth 3 Shareholder returns 4 Increase in share price 5 (7% CAGR) (22% CAGR) ($320mn per year) 1.Spin-off to YE18. 2. Constant currency, 2018 vs. 2016. 3. Reported Currency, 2018 vs. 2016. 4. Dividends and Share Repurchases since spin-off. 5. November 1, 2016 to February 28, 2019 3

Financial Position Continues to Strengthen Cash and short-term investments ($ mn) 2018 2017 2016 964 1,264 1,388 Free cash flow 1 ($ mn) Dividends & Share Repurchases ($ mn) 863 473 469 166 Repurchased shares since Q2 2017, with $960 million authorization remaining unused Initiated quarterly cash dividends in Q4 2017, 1 year after spin-off 1 Free Cash Flow is net operating cash flow less capital spending 4

Discipline to Drive Profit Growth Sales Growth and Diligent Cost Control to Drive Long-Term Target of Double Digit OP Growth (ex FX) Increasing Sales + Restaurant Margin Management + G&A Growth < Revenue Growth = Operating Profit Growth 5

Opening ~2 stores per day Supported by Unrivalled Platform Reaching 10,000 stores by 2021 >1,000 development professionals YUMC store count 10,000 Local knowledge Supply chain, especially in remote areas Brand recognition and positioning Balanced across city tiers ~7,400 ~8,500 Spin-off 2018 YE 2021 6

Optimizing New Store Format Drives Healthy Payback Average Pre-tax Cash Payback Period* Cash Investment Average Unit Volume Cash Margin ~ 2 years ~RMB 2.5 mm ~RMB 6.0 mm ~23% <4 years ~RMB 2.6 mm ~RMB 5.3 mm ~15% 1 Includes all units opened from Oct 2016 to Sep 2017, after deduction of 3% license fee. 7

Driving Same Store Sales Growth 1 3 Strengthen core products Grow underpenetrated dayparts and categories Leverage digital media, CRM and SuperApp Develop digital ecosystem Menu Menu Innovation Innovation Digital Digital Grow SSSG Great Value Great Value Delivery Delivery Smart Value Members privilege Grow own channels and aggregators Improve delivery speed and service quality 2 4 8

Improving Restaurant Margin 2018 Long-Term Target Key Drivers 15.7% 17.9% 10.3% ~17% blended restaurant margin Maintain with upside reinvested to drive growth Return to pre-revitalization levels Digital and delivery initiatives to improve productivity and efficiency Growing economies of scale Proactive cost optimization and control to mitigate inflation impact 9

Effective G&A Management G&A expenses year-over-year change Maintaining G&A Growth < Revenue Growth by: 14% 17% Simplifying Organization Structure Optimizing Procurement Tightening Expense Policies -9% 2016 2017 2018 % of Total Revenue 6.1% 6.4% 5.4% Reinvest part of savings to drive long term growth Note: G&A year-over-year change based on constant currency; 2016 & 2017 data based on April 2018 recast financials; 2015 data based on previous filing 10

Strong Cash Flow Funds Investment, Shareholder Returns Investing to Win Shareholder Returns Strategic Options New stores Remodels Technology Cash Dividends Share Repurchases Joint Ventures Strategic Investments ~$500 mn/year $1.5 bn over next 3 years* Discretionary * Based on current dividend level and share repurchase authorization 11

Sales Restaurant Profit Growth Margin Growth Powerful Long-Term Financial Targets High Single Digit Systems Sales* 17% Double Digit Operating Profit Growth* Increasing Shareholder Returns $1.5 billion over next 3 years^ * In constant currency ^ Based on current dividend and share repurchase authorization 12

2019 Outlook 600-650 new stores $450-500 million capex Effective Tax Rate <28% Growing store count Strong delivery growth Efficiency gains Digital marketing initiatives Lower tax leakage Wage & commodity inflation Ongoing Pizza Hut revitalization Value campaigns Maturing higher than average 2018 new builds New lease accounting standard 13

Takeaways ~2 new stores a day to reach 10,000 stores by 2021 Robust plan to drive revenue, profit growth Existing capacity to return $1.5 billion to shareholders over next 3 years 14

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