IPAA Private Capital Conference Mid-Market Financing Options. January 2019

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Transcription:

IPAA Private Capital Conference Mid-Market Financing Options January 2019

DISCLAIMERS AND DISCLOSURES This presentation is provided by Madava Financial, LLC (the Company ) and is intended for attendees of the IPAA Private Capital Conference. Information contained herein is presented as of the date indicated, and may be superseded by subsequent market events or for other reasons. This presentation includes a summary of representative or potential transactions in the energy financial markets. The Company may make changes to such summaries in its discretion. Statements concerning financial market trends and industry developments are based on the current market and regulatory environment, which will fluctuate. Any statements of opinion constitute only current opinions of the Company, which are subject to change and which the Company does not undertake to update. This document shall not constitute an offer to sell nor the solicitation of any offer to buy securities in Madava Financial, LLC or any investment product which may only be made at the time a qualified offeree receives a complete offering document which contains important information (including investment objective, policies, risk factors, expenses, tax implications and relevant qualifications), and only in those jurisdictions where permitted by law. This communication is a summary and may not contain all material terms and risk factors associated with an investment. This communication in and of itself should not form the basis for any investment decision. Transactions that may be discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors, and potential investors must make an independent assessment of the appropriateness of any transaction in light of their own objectives and circumstances, including the possible risk and benefits of entering into such transaction. Nothing herein constitutes investment advice with respect to securities or tax advice. The information contained herein is believed to be reliable and has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty is made, expressed or implied, with respect to the fairness, correctness, accuracy, reasonableness or completion of the information and opinions. Additionally, there is no obligation to update, modify or amend this communication or to otherwise notify a reader in the event that any matter stated herein, or in any opinion, projection, forecast or estimate set forth herein, changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate. This document may not be distributed without the express written consent of the Company. PAGE 1

MADAVA FINANCIAL WHO ARE WE? Madava Financial is a private, energy-focused finance company that provides capital alternatives primarily through direct lending to oil and gas producers and midstream operators in the continental US and Canada. Madava was founded by Robb Turner, who was Senior Partner and co-founder of ArcLight Capital Partners until January of 2017. Energy Lending Has Changed: Traditional lenders (banks) are retreating from energy lending due to increased regulatory requirements and recent loan underperformance Over $300 billion of existing public and private debt is maturing over the next seven years; SNC examination data as of 12/31/16 showed that $76 billion (1) needed to be reclassified under the new OCC lending regulations for banks (2), much of which will be seeking new non-bank financing Growth of Energy Sector Requires Additional Financing: Significant ongoing capital is required to restructure the middle market E&P industry and fund the next stages of M&A and development activities The Opportunity: We believe there is a large and unique opportunity for 'non-bank banks to finance the next wave of energy capital needs (1) Shared National Credit Review (SNC) Q1 2017 (2) Office of the Comptroller of the Currency PAGE 2

RESERVE BASED LENDING A LARGE MARKET IN TRANSITION Regulated lenders must reduce criticized / classified loan exposure, new OCC regulation is forcing significant disintermediation into the institutional market Direct Lending Participants Falling As Capital Requirements Grow Private Equity activity is expected to pick-up boosting M&A and the associated balance sheet financing required to close these transactions Many deals are caught in financial purgatory, not in a position to be sold off by PE investors at a loss, but not in a position to receive incremental funding from lenders Domestic & International Commercial Banks Investment Banks Asset Managers Endowment Funds SWF Family Offices Business Development Corporations Private Equity Hedge Funds Utilities Industrial Conglomerates Oil and Gas Majors Domestic & International Banks Investment Banks Mezzanine Funds Endowment SWF Family Offices Business Development Corporation Hedge Funds Energy sector capital requirements Specialty Finance Company Regulated Banks (Primarily Domestic Limited Appetite) Mezzanine Funds BDC s Hedge Funds Pre-Financial Crisis Pre-Commodity Downturn Post Downturn PAGE 3

RESERVE BASED LENDING A LARGE MARKET IN TRANSITION Upstream debt market by the numbers Over $300 billion - committed revolvers/borrowing bases & HY/term debt scheduled to mature through 2023 Over $76 billion non-compliant at 12/31/16 according to Q1 2017 SNC review and will need refinancing / restructuring Upstream Funded Debt Maturities (1) ($ Millions) Deal Amount ($MM) 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000-76,914 66,198 54,963 30,281 38,167 40,935 1,037 35,886 21,420 21,896 1,500 45,595 11,645 3,628 4,866 23,763 3,880 11,405 15,448 5,895 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Credit Facility Loan Bond (1) DI Capitalize PAGE 4

THE NEED FOR CAPITAL Capital for sub-$200 million deals ( middle market lending) is primarily accessed via senior secured borrowing base facilities at one end of the capital structure and mezzanine capital and/or equity at the other Capital is required for situations that lie outside where the regulated financing entities can comfortably participate The advancement of horizontal drilling technologies and multistage hydraulic fracturing has created a large capital requirement for development vs. traditional single vertical wells. Pad development programs only exacerbate the need for liquidity as multiple wells are cash called at one time with completion after all wellbores are drilled We believe significant unwinding of financial regulation after the 2008 financial crisis remains politically unpalatable for both sides of the house. In the current environment, unregulated capital is preferential in situations such as: E&P loan refinancing where the Bank Borrowing Bases are insufficient to meet on-going capital requirements M&A activity driven by larger independents divesting of assets to deploy capital into core high return areas such as the Permian and Scoop / Stack basins Companies currently stuck in bank purgatory. Lenders are unwilling to sell loans at a loss nor will they lend additional money to continue operations and undertake new drilling Many PE firms are unable to sell conventional assets which have depressed fund returns and has slowed subsequent fundraising activities PAGE 5

LENDER DEPLOYMENT OF CAPITAL THROUGH CYCLES WTI < $35 $45 - $70 > $75 Selective Active Judicious Henry Hub < $2.00 $2.50 - $3.50 > $4.00 Selective: Many Basins become uneconomic to drill Focus on core basins, existing production and strong sponsors Active: Robust development activities and M&A market where capex requirements can exceed bank lending capacity Focus on strong hedge programs to ensure cash flow to support development and debt service Judicious: Elevated prices allow producers to step out into unproven areas Degradation in loan terms/structures Focus on proven borrowers and sponsors that exhibit cost controls and maintain reasonable drilling risk Maintain hedge programs as the marginal basins can quickly become uneconomic PAGE 6

THE NEED FOR CAPITAL Market Participants JPM Citibank Wells Fargo Et al. Capital Structure First-Lien Lending Loan Structure Conforming Borrowing Base Facilities Advance Up to 60% of PV9% PDP Reserves 2.5x-3.0x (Max) EBITDA Leverage LIBOR + 250-375bps MARKET OPPORTUNITY: MADAVA FINANCIAL Major Funding Gap Unitranche Lending Facilities Advances of 70-to-100% of PDP PV10 3.5x and up EBITDA Leverage LIBOR + 500-800bps Private Equity Hedge Funds Credit Funds Pref. Equity Sub-Debt Structures Equity / Preferred Equity / Synthetic 2 nd Lien LIBOR + 1000+bps 1.5% Management / 20% Performance Fee Structure Mandates Need for High Leverage; 1500+bps Returns to Hurdle for LPs Information on this slide reflects the Company s best estimate of representative market participants and transaction terms based on a review of company filings, the team s transaction history, and ongoing industry dialogue. It is subject to change based on market developments. PAGE 7

ILLUSTRATIVE TRANSACTIONS UNITRANCHE LOAN STRUCTURE Notional: $200mm Spread: LIBOR + 650-850bps (LIBOR floor: 100bps) Upfront Fee: 200bps Security: First Ranking Lien on all Assets, negative pledge on Equity Semi-Annual / Quarterly Borrowing Base Redeterminations Hedging Requirement: Unitranche 75%+ of PDP for 36 months 75% of PDP rolling for 36 months tested quarterly Financial Covenants: Assets Asset Coverage Test: Min PDP PV9% to Debt of 1.0x Leverage Ratio: 12 month holiday then 4x thereafter Equity Current Ratio: 1.0 / 1.0 Call Protection: 1 year make whole; year 2-102%; year 3 101% PAGE 8

ILLUSTRATIVE TRANSACTIONS STRUCTURED SYNTHETIC 2 ND LIEN Senior Unsecured Loan (HoldCo): Notional: $125mm Maturity: 5 years Rate: 11.5% (8% cash pay / 3.5% PIK) Upfront: 200 bps PDP Asset Coverage Ratio: 1.25x (80% of PDP s max total leverage) Prepayment Penalties: First 2 years: Interest Make whole / Year 3: 3% penalty Mandatory Hedging: 85% of PDP s first 3-5 years Review: The Holdco note caps any leverage beyond the First Lien, returns approx. 15% for less than 1 times PDP coverage with most oil and gas production hedged for the next 3-5 years The above deal would complement a more traditional and still available First Lien (OpCo) bank facility: Notional: $650mm; Rate: LIBOR + 275-375 bps grid; Upfront: 75bps Bank Debt Hold Co Debt Equity Assets Assets PAGE 9

TARGET UPSTREAM MARKET Risk Type (Low to High) Production Development Exploration Proved Developed Producing Proved Dev. Non-Producing Reserve Category Proved Undeveloped Probable / Possible Primary Target Market Wildcat Bank RBL Capital Product 2 nd Lien Preferred / DrillCo Selective Investments Equity Unlevered Rate 4% 7% 11% 15% 20% 25% PAGE 10

CONTACT INFORMATION Madava Financial, LLC 1000 Louisiana Street 69 th Floor Houston, TX, 77002