Test Review. Do it strong.

Similar documents
3.2 Binomial and Hypergeometric Probabilities

AP Statistics Quiz A Chapter 17

Chapter 5 Discrete Probability Distributions. Random Variables Discrete Probability Distributions Expected Value and Variance

STOR 155 Introductory Statistics (Chap 5) Lecture 14: Sampling Distributions for Counts and Proportions

Probability & Statistics Chapter 5: Binomial Distribution

Sampling & populations

AP Statistics Test 5

Chapter 8.1.notebook. December 12, Jan 17 7:08 PM. Jan 17 7:10 PM. Jan 17 7:17 PM. Pop Quiz Results. Chapter 8 Section 8.1 Binomial Distribution

Discrete Random Variables and Probability Distributions. Stat 4570/5570 Based on Devore s book (Ed 8)

CHAPTER 6 Random Variables

Math 160 Professor Busken Chapter 5 Worksheets

Binomial and Geometric Distributions

Chapter 3 - Lecture 5 The Binomial Probability Distribution

Binomal and Geometric Distributions

Random Variables CHAPTER 6.3 BINOMIAL AND GEOMETRIC RANDOM VARIABLES

4.2 Bernoulli Trials and Binomial Distributions

Section Distributions of Random Variables

1. Steve says I have two children, one of which is a boy. Given this information, what is the probability that Steve has two boys?

Binomial Random Variables

Section Distributions of Random Variables

Econ 250 Fall Due at November 16. Assignment 2: Binomial Distribution, Continuous Random Variables and Sampling

CHAPTER 6 Random Variables

Binomial formulas: The binomial coefficient is the number of ways of arranging k successes among n observations.

The Binomial Distribution

Lecture 8. The Binomial Distribution. Binomial Distribution. Binomial Distribution. Probability Distributions: Normal and Binomial

Statistical Methods in Practice STAT/MATH 3379

Math Week in Review #10. Experiments with two outcomes ( success and failure ) are called Bernoulli or binomial trials.

Econ 6900: Statistical Problems. Instructor: Yogesh Uppal

MA 1125 Lecture 18 - Normal Approximations to Binomial Distributions. Objectives: Compute probabilities for a binomial as a normal distribution.

Binomial Random Variable - The count X of successes in a binomial setting

MAS1403. Quantitative Methods for Business Management. Semester 1, Module leader: Dr. David Walshaw

The Binomial Distribution

Probability Models. Grab a copy of the notes on the table by the door

The Binomial Distribution

12 Math Chapter Review April 16 th, Multiple Choice Identify the choice that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Objective: To understand similarities and differences between geometric and binomial scenarios and to solve problems related to these scenarios.

1, are not real numbers.

CHAPTER 6 Random Variables

Example - Let X be the number of boys in a 4 child family. Find the probability distribution table:

A random variable (r. v.) is a variable whose value is a numerical outcome of a random phenomenon.

Chapter 16. Random Variables. Copyright 2010, 2007, 2004 Pearson Education, Inc.

8.4: The Binomial Distribution

Chapter 8 Probability Models

Name Period AP Statistics Unit 5 Review

Estimating parameters 5.3 Confidence Intervals 5.4 Sample Variance

Mathematics for Algorithms and System Analysis

5.2 Random Variables, Probability Histograms and Probability Distributions

AP STATISTICS Name: Period: Review Unit VI Probability Models and Sampling Distributions

Binomial Distributions

What is the probability of success? Failure? How could we do this simulation using a random number table?

Determine whether the given procedure results in a binomial distribution. If not, state the reason why.

5. In fact, any function of a random variable is also a random variable

1 / * / * / * / * / * The mean winnings are $1.80

VIDEO 1. A random variable is a quantity whose value depends on chance, for example, the outcome when a die is rolled.

(c) The probability that a randomly selected driver having a California drivers license

Chapter 6: Random Variables. Ch. 6-3: Binomial and Geometric Random Variables

Chapter 8: The Binomial and Geometric Distributions

Applications of the Central Limit Theorem

7. For the table that follows, answer the following questions: x y 1-1/4 2-1/2 3-3/4 4

Question 1 Question 2 Question 3 Question 4 Question 5. Test 2, Version A (9:30 lecture) Econ 134A, Winter 2012

Exam 2 - Pretest DS-23

In a binomial experiment of n trials, where p = probability of success and q = probability of failure. mean variance standard deviation

A random variable (r. v.) is a variable whose value is a numerical outcome of a random phenomenon.

The binomial distribution p314

2) There is a fixed number of observations n. 3) The n observations are all independent

Chapter Five. The Binomial Distribution and Related Topics

Statistics and Their Distributions

Contents. The Binomial Distribution. The Binomial Distribution The Normal Approximation to the Binomial Left hander example

Probability Distributions

8.1 Binomial Distributions

Chapter 4 Discrete Random variables

3.2 Hypergeometric Distribution 3.5, 3.9 Mean and Variance

Chapter 17 Probability Models

Chapter 8 Solutions Page 1 of 15 CHAPTER 8 EXERCISE SOLUTIONS

guessing Bluman, Chapter 5 2

LESSON 9: BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION

***SECTION 8.1*** The Binomial Distributions

Chapter 8: Binomial and Geometric Distributions

Stat 20: Intro to Probability and Statistics

3/28/18. Estimation. Focus Points. Focus Points. Estimating p in the Binomial Distribution. Estimating p in the Binomial Distribution. Section 7.

chapter 13: Binomial Distribution Exercises (binomial)13.6, 13.12, 13.22, 13.43

Lecture 7 Random Variables

15.063: Communicating with Data Summer Recitation 3 Probability II

Lecture Data Science

Chapter 4 Discrete Random variables

A.REPRESENTATION OF DATA

Lesson 9: Comparing Estimated Probabilities to Probabilities Predicted by a Model

Binomial Distribution. Normal Approximation to the Binomial

MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES AND STATISTICS (252 BE)

S = 1,2,3, 4,5,6 occurs

Binomial distribution

Let X be the number that comes up on the next roll of the die.

Version A. Problem 1. Let X be the continuous random variable defined by the following pdf: 1 x/2 when 0 x 2, f(x) = 0 otherwise.

STUDY SET 2. Continuous Probability Distributions. ANSWER: Without continuity correction P(X>10) = P(Z>-0.66) =

the number of correct answers on question i. (Note that the only possible values of X i

Section 8.4 The Binomial Distribution

ECEn 370 Introduction to Probability

EXERCISES RANDOM VARIABLES ON THE COMPUTER

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Section 6.3 Binomial and Geometric Random Variables

Transcription:

Do it strong.

A biology professor responds to some student questions by e-mail. The probability model below describes the number of e-mails that the professor may receive from students during a day. a. How many e-mails should the professor expect to receive each day? b. What is the standard deviation?

A biology professor responds to some student questions by e-mail. The probability model below describes the number of e-mails that the professor may receive from students during a day. c. If it takes the professor an average of ten minutes to respond to each e-mail, how much time should the professor expect to spend responding to student e-mails each day?

Let X = number of e-mails received. E(X) = 0(0.05) + 1(0.10) + 2(0.20) + 3(0.25) + 4(0.30) + 5(0.10) = 2.95 e-mails per day Solution Var(X) = (0-2.95) 2 (0.05) + (1-2.95) 2 (0.10) + (2-2.95) 2 (0.20) + (3-2.95) 2 (0.25) + (4-2.95) 2 (0.30) + (5-2.95) 2 (0.10) = 1.7475 SD(X) = 1.7475 = 1.32 e-mails per day Mean number of minutes: (2.95)(10)=29.5 min.

The American Veterinary Association claims that the annual cost of medical care for dogs averages $100 with a standard deviation of $30, and for cats averages $120 with a standard deviation of $35. a. Find the expected value for the annual cost of medical care for a person who has one dog and one cat. b. Find the standard deviation for the annual cost of medical care for a person who has one dog and one cat.

The American Veterinary Association claims that the annual cost of medical care for dogs averages $100 with a standard deviation of $30, and for cats averages $120 with a standard deviation of $35. c. Suppose that a couple owns four dogs. i. Find the expected value for the annual cost of medical care for the couple's dogs. ii. Find the standard deviation for the annual cost of medical care for the couple's dogs.

a. E(D + C) = E(D) + E(C) = $100 + $120 = $220 Solutions b. Var(D + C) = Var(D) + Var(C) = 30 2 + 35 2 = 2125, so SD(D + C) = 2125 = $46.10 c. i. E(D1 + D2+ D3 + D4) = $100 + $100 + $100 + $100 = $400 ii. Var(D1 + D2+ D3 + D4) = 30 2 + 30 2 + 30 2 + 30 2 = 3600, so SD(D1 + D2+ D3 + D4) = 3600= $60

A small business just leased a new computer and color laser printer for three years. The service contract for the computer offers unlimited repairs for a fee of $100 a year plus a $25 service charge for each repair needed. The company's research suggested that during a given year 86% of these computers needed no repairs, 9% needed to be repaired once, 4% twice, 1% three times, and none required more than three repairs.

Find the expected number of repairs this kind of computer is expected to need each year. Find the standard deviation of the number of repairs each year. What are the mean and standard deviation of the company s annual expense for the service contract?

How many times should the company expect to have to get this computer repaired over the three-year term of the lease?

Solutions E(X) = 0(0.86) + 1(0.09) + 2(0.04) + 3(0.01) = 0.20 repairs Var(X) = (0-0.2) 2 (0.86) + (1-0.2) 2 (0.09) + (2-0.2) 2 (0.04) + (3-0.2) 2 (0.01) = 0.30 SD(X) = 0.55 repairs Let C = 100 + 25X; E(C) = 100 + 25(0.20) = $105; SD(C) = 25(0.55) = $13.69 E(X1 + X2 + X3) = 0.20 + 0.20 + 0.20 = 0.60 repairs.

The American Red Cross says that about 11% of the U.S. population has Type B blood. A blood drive is being held at your school. How many blood donors should the American Red Cross expect to collect from until it gets a donor with Type B blood? What is the probability that the tenth blood donor is the first donor with Type B blood?

What is the probability that exactly 2 of the first 20 blood donors have Type B blood? What is the probability that at least 2 of the first 10 blood donors have Type B blood?

The blood drive has a total of 150 donors. Assuming this is a typical number of donors for a school blood drive, what would be the mean and standard deviation of the number of donors who have Type B blood?

Solutions P(9 not Type B, Type B on 10th) = (0.89) 9 (0.11) = 0.0385 = 1 BinomCDF(10,.11,1)

Solutions

A young boy is fishing off the end of a dock. He estimates that for one out of every 15 times he casts his line, he gets at least a nibble from a curious fish. He is going to cast his line 50 times before he switches to toad hunting. Verify that this scenario satisfies all four conditions for a binomial scenario.

What is the probability that the fisherman will get 5 nibbles on his line. What are the mean and standard deviation of the number of successes he will have out of the 50 attempts? What is the probability that he will cast his line without success 20 times before finally succeeding the 21st time?

Suppose that our fearless fisherman goes out early one morning and casts a total of 250 times. What are the mean and standard deviation of the number of times he should receive a nibble on his line? If he gets only 5 nibbles on his line, is that a signal that he is having less success than usual? Justify your answer.

Solutions We are counting the number of successes or failures nibble on the line or not. We are assuming that 1/15 is the fixed probability of getting a nibble and that each cast is independent. We are testing out of 50 trials, our set number of trials.

Solutions Three standard deviations away means he should try a new bait.