KASIKORNBANK Presentation for Analyst Meeting as of 4Q17 January 218 For further information, please contact the Investor Relations Unit or visit our website at www.kasikornbank.com 1 KASIKORNBANK at a Glance Established on June 8, 1945 with registered capital of Bt5mn (USD.15mn) Listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) since 1976 Consolidated (as of December 217) Assets Bt2,91bn (USD88.8bn) Ranked #4 with 15.1% market share** Loans* Bt1,83bn (USD55.2bn) Ranked #4 with 15.1% market share** Deposits Bt1,879bn (USD57.5bn) Ranked #4 with 15.6% market share** CAR 17.96% *** ROE 1.24% ROA 1.2% Number of Branches 1,26 Number of ATMs 9,32 Number of Employees 2,839 Share Information SET Symbol Share Capital: KBANK, KBANK-F Authorized Bt3.5bn (USD.9bn) Issued and Paid-up Bt23.9bn (USD.7bn) Number of Shares 2.4bn shares Market Capitalization Bt555bn (USD17.bn) Ranked #1 in Thai banking sector 4Q17 Avg. Share Price: KBANK Bt221.67 (USD6.78) KBANK-F Bt226.5 (USD6.93) EPS Bt14.35 (USD.44) BVPS Bt145.67 (USD4.46) Notes: * Loans = Loans to customers less deferred revenue ** Assets, loans and deposits market share is based on C.B.1.1 (Monthly statement of assets and liabilities) of 14 Thai commercial banks as of November 217 *** Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) has been reported in accordance with Basel III Capital Requirement from 1 January 213 onwards. CAR is based on KASIKORNBANK FINANCIAL CONGLOMERATE. KASIKORNBANK FINANCIAL CONGLOMERATE means the company under the Notification of the Bank of Thailand re: Consolidated Supervision, consisted of KBank, K Companies and subsidiaries operating in supporting KBank, Phethai Asset Management Co., Ltd. and other subsidiaries within the permitted scope from the BOT s to be financial conglomerate Exchange rate at the end of December 217 (Mid Rate) was Bt32.68 per USD (Source: Bank of Thailand) 2
Operating Environment: Economic Outlook for 218 Key GDP Forecasts and Assumptions % YoY 6. 3.9 3.5-4.5 3.2 3.. 216 217F 218F % YoY 218F* 216 217F* Range Base Case GDP 3.2 3.9 3.5-4.5 4. Private Consumption 3.1 3.1 2.5-3.5 3. Government Consumption 1.6 2.7.-3. 1. Key Points: Projected base case for 218 GDP growth is revised up to 4.% (range 3.5-4.5%) from 3.7% (range 3.4-4.%). The GDP growth in 218 will be driven by public and private investment Improvement to private investment is expected from a crowding in effect of public infrastructure investment Exports and tourism will continue to grow, but at a slower pace from a high base effect Total Investment 2.8 1.6 2.-6.5 4.3 - Public investment 9.9 1.8 5.-11. 8. - Private investment.4 1.6 1.-5. 3. Gov't Budget Deficit (% of GDP) -2.8-3. -2.8 to -3.6-3.3 Exports (Customs Basis).5 9. 2.-7. 4.5 Imports (Customs Basis) -3.9 14. 4.-1. 8. Current Account (USD bn) 46.4 45.4 35.-45. 37.5 Headline Inflation.2.8.6-1.5 1.1 Policy Interest Rate** 1.5 1.5 1.5 Risk Factors: Downward pressure on domestic demand from farm income slowdown and high level of household debt Global fund flow volatility from a divergence of monetary policy in major central banks Geopolitical uncertainties in Korean peninsula and BREXIT repercussions Notes: MPC s policy rate is at 1.5% (as of December 2, 217) Source: * KResearch (as of December 2, 217): 218 GDP growth is revised up to 4.% from 3.7%; 217 GDP growth is revised up to 3.9% from 3.7% (the previous forecast was on October 2, 217) ** KBank Capital Markets Research (as of October 18, 217) 3 217 Key Financial Performance Consolidated 216 Actual 217 Actual 217 Targets Key Message ROE 13.23% 1.24% N/A Dropped YoY as a result of slowdown in non-interest income growth and higher provisioning expenses in ROA 1.49% 1.2% N/A preparation for future regulatory changes NIM 3.52% 3.44% 3.3-3.5% Loan Growth 5.45% YTD 6.2% YTD 4-6% Non-Interest Income Growth* 1.96% YoY -1.62% YoY Up to 5% Non-Interest Income Ratio 41.54% 39.97% About 4% Cost to Income Ratio** 41.63% 42.31% Mid-4s Credit Cost (bps) 24 bps 239 bps 2-225 bps NPL Ratio (Gross)*** 3.32% 3.3% 3.3-3.4% Within target range but lower YoY, in line with interest rate trend Achieved high-end of 217 target range; mainly from corporate business 217 non-interest income growth reflects large base effect and slowdown in insurance business due to market competition, however net fee income grew around 6%. 217 non-interest income ratio remained at 4%; in line with target Within target range but slightly increased YoY due to cost increased and lower revenue growth. Prudent and peaked credit cost in 217. NPL ratio stabilized and moved within a narrow range in 217 Note: * Non-Interest Income includes Net Premium Earned - net (Net Premium Earned less Underwriting Expenses) from Muang Thai Life Assurance PCL (MTL); KBank has a 38.25% economic interest in MTL; on the consolidated basis, Bancassurance fees are not included in net fee income, due to the elimination of inter-company transactions (the accounting treatment from the Muang Thai Group Holding consolidation); Non-Interest Income = Total Operating Income net less Interest Income net ** Cost to Income Ratio = Total Other Operating Expenses to Total Operating Income net (Total Operating income less Underwriting Expenses) *** NPL Ratio (Gross) = NPL (gross) to total loans; NPL (gross) used in the calculation are loans to general customers and loans to financial institutions that are non-performing loans; total loans used in the calculation are loans to general customers and loans to financial institutions 4
218 Financial Targets Consolidated 217 Actual 217 Targets 218 Targets Notes ROE 1.24% N/A N/A ROA 1.2% N/A N/A NIM 3.44% 3.3-3.5% 3.2-3.4% Loan Growth 6.2% YTD 4-6% 5-7% Stronger loan growth in corporate lending and change in deposit term for longer maturity in line with interest rate trend Sensible loan growth in line with economic growth; depending on success of government measures Non-Interest Income Growth* -1.62% YoY Up to 5% Flat Slow growth in insurance businesses; modest growth from feedriven businesses, reflecting on large base effect and uncertainty factors, e.g. national e-payment Non-Interest Income Ratio 39.97% About 4% About 4% Cost to Income Ratio** 42.31% Mid-4s Mid-4s Credit Cost per year (bps) 239 bps 2-225 bps Up to 185 bps NPL Ratio (Gross)*** 3.3% 3.3-3.4% 3.3-3.4% Focus on cost management under pressure from income slowdown and investment in digital Credit cost peaked in 217; maintain prudence onward. NPL ratio stabilize and move within a narrow range in 218 Note: * Non-Interest Income includes Net Premium Earned - net (Net Premium Earned less Underwriting Expenses) from Muang Thai Life Assurance PCL (MTL); KBank has a 38.25% economic interest in MTL; on the consolidated basis, Bancassurance fees are not included in net fee income, due to the elimination of inter-company transactions (the accounting treatment from the Muang Thai Group Holding consolidation); Non-Interest Income = Total Operating Income net less Interest Income net ** Cost to Income Ratio = Total Other Operating Expenses to Total Operating Income net (Total Operating income less Underwriting Expenses) *** NPL Ratio (Gross) = NPL (gross) to total loans; NPL (gross) used in the calculation are loans to general customers and loans to financial institutions that are non-performing loans; total loans used in the calculation are loans to general customers and loans to financial institutions 5 Composition of Growth: Loans by Business Moderate loan growth momentum in line with full-year target Loan Portfolio Structure Loan Portfolio Bt bn Consolidated Amount (Bt bn) 9M17 Loan Growth Target 9M17 2, Dec16 Sep17 Loan Growth Yield Range 1,698 1,752 Corporate 1,6 1,439 1,527 1,61 (%YTD) 217 218 29% 3% 32% 3% Corporate Loans 512 546 6.5% 4-6% 6-8% 3-5% 1,2 31% SME SME Loans 657 689 4.8% 4-6% 4-6% 5-7% 36% 39% 39% 8 37% 39% Retail Loans 429 428 (.1%) 5-7% 5-7% 5-7% Retail 4 27% 27% 26% 25% 24% Other Loans 99 89 (1.%) 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% Other s Total Loans 1,698 1,752 3.2% 4-6% 5-7% 5.5% 213 214 215 216 9M17 9M17 218 Outlook Corporate Loans SME Loans Mainly from long-term loans in real estate and services and short-term loans in industrial agriculture Mainly from both short-term and long-term domestic credits from digital and technology, construction, and industrial agriculture Growth target from large public/private investment projects; focus on industrial agriculture, renewable energy, and construction Focus on industries related to domestic consumption and tourism Growth target reflects domestic consumption demand, government stimulus measures, and AEC international trade benefits Focus industries: construction, construction materials, hardware, tourism and healthcare services, and ICT services Retail Loans Mainly from mortgage loans; selecting high potential customers, building strong relationships with strategic partners, and proactively monitoring loan portfolio quality led to steady growth Sustainable growth target in line with industry and offering suitable financial solutions for customers to maintain lead market position in key products Focus on potential target customers with acceptable risk; predictive monitoring and strict control of loan portfolio quality Loan Definition Corporate Loans: Loans of KBank and KBank s Subsidiaries in Corporate Segments (annual sales turnover > Bt4mn) SME Loans: Loans of KBank and KBank s Subsidiaries in SME Segments (annual sales turnover Bt4mn) Retail Loans: Loans of KBank and KBank s Subsidiaries in Retail Segments Other Loans: Loans in Enterprise Risk Management Division (NPL + Performing Restructured Loans) and other loan types Note: Since 1Q13, as per the Bank of Thailand s requirement, the Bank has complied with TFRS 8 (Operating Segments) to present operating results for each key segment in financial reports 6
(Bt bn) 2 12.32 15 (+15%) 1 5 39% 4% 61% 6% 58% 58% 6% 7 (Bt bn) 62.5 63.73 62.7 65 55.52 (+13%) (+2%) (-2%YoY) 6 (+17%) 2% 4% 2% 55 47.52 2% (+17%) 5 45 2% 4 66% 35 61% 6% 61% 3 61% 25 2 2% 16% 9% 15 2% 21% 3% 2% 3%.3% 1 5.4% 2% 2%.2% 6%.2% 2%.2% 1% 2% 2% 12% 11% 14% 14% 13% 213 214 215 216 217 Note: Composition of Growth: Net Fees and Non-interest Income December 217 (Consolidated) Total Operating Income - net 138.66 (+15%) 42% 42% 213 214 215 216 217 Non-interest Income 147.52 (+6%) Non-interest Income 153.4 156.9 (+4%) (+2%YoY) Net Interest Income Other Operating Income Fee and Service Income - net Net Premium Earned - net Dividend Income 4% Share of Profit from Investments on Equity Method Gain on Investment 64% Gain on Trading and FX transactions Non-interest Income Ratio and Net Fee Income Ratio 5 39% 4 4% 42% 42% 4% 3 24% 24% 25% 25% 26% 2 1 (Bt bn) 4 28.81 3 (+18%) - Non-interest Income Ratio = Non-interest Income/Total Operating Income - net - Net Fee Income Ratio = Net Fee Income / Total Operating Income - net - Net Premium Earned - net = Net Premium Earned less Underwriting Expense 2 1 213 214 215 216 217 Non-interest Income Ratio Net Fee Income Ratio Net Fee Income 33.94 (+18%) 37.53 (+11%) 38.94 (+4%) 41.31 (+6%YoY) 213 214 215 216 217 - The Bank and its subsidiaries have adopted TFRIC13: Customer Loyalty Programmes since January 1, 214 onwards and restated the comparative financial statements and financial ratios. There is no effect on net profit of the Bank and its subsidiaries Non-interest income growth continues to be a main driver helping to achieve long-term sustainable profitability, mainly from net fee income as a result of customer-centric strategy 217 non-interest income accounted for 4% of total net operating income and net fee income accounted for 26%; non-interest income decreased 2% YoY, due mostly to a decrease in insurance business Net fee income rose 6% YoY, mainly due to fees from transaction services, card related, loan related, and mutual funds 218 non-interest income growth will be sensible, from fee-driven businesses, reflecting a large base effect, in line with the economy and uncertainty factors e.g. national e-payment 7 (Bt bn) 54 48 42 36 3 24 18 12 6 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 Asset Quality and Impairment Loss on Loans and Debt Securities (Provision) December 217 (Consolidated) 2.3 During 1997 Asian Crisis* 16.8 44 5.1 44.1 5.6 287 15.9 723 42. Provision 5.4 5.9 7.8 9.4 6.7 7.3.7 888 31.7 14 23.5 14.2 11.7 8.4 83 82 93 12 6.85 26.4 15 41.8 1 33.8 1996 1997 1998 1999 2 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 During 1997 Asian Crisis* NPL was peak at 42.3% in 1Q99 5 4.44 3.9 3.76 34.7 34.2 3. 25.4 66 64 66 85 96 168 24 239 2.91 2.45 2.16 2.11 2.24 2.7 3.32 3.3 1996 1997 1998 1999 2 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 During 1997 Asian Crisis* NPL ratio 48.8 NPL Ratio and Credit Cost Coverage Ratio 71. 73.9 Credit Cost 88.4 91.6 141.4 131.8 134.5 127.1 13. 111. 13.9 148.5 19961997 1998 1999 2 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 (bps) 9 Notes: * Data in 1996-1997 is KBank only; ** NPL ratio in retail business, excluding 18 dpd (days past due) of credit card and consumer loans for peer comparison 7 5 3 1-1 Asset quality remains manageable NPL ratio in 217 was at 3.3%, with a coverage ratio of 148.45% 217 credit cost was 239 bps, prudent and aligned with the credit cycle Credit cost peaked in 217; maintain prudence onward. NPL ratio will stabilize and move within a narrow range in 218 NPL Ratio by Business 214 215 216 9M17 Corporate Business <2% <2% <2% <2% SME Business <3% ~3% ~5% ~5% Retail Business** <2% ~2% ~4% ~4% 8
ROA and ROE December 217 (Consolidated) ROA ROE 2.5 2. 1.5 1..5. 1.89 1.97 1.6 1.49 1.2 213 214 215 216 217 24 2 16 12 8 4 2.45 19.38 14.54 13.23 1.24 213 214 215 216 217 213 214 215 216 217 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 ROA 1.89 1.97 1.6 1.49 1.2 1.43 1.26 1.33.79 ROE 2.45 19.38 14.54 13.23 1.24 12.44 1.78 11.2 6.61 9 Net Interest Margin December 217 (Consolidated) NIM (% ) 5 3.55 3.8 3.67 4 3.52 3.44 3 2 1 213 214 215 216 217 8 6 4 2 Yield on Earnings Assets and Cost of Fund 6.37 6.33 6.6 5.18 5.19 1.93 1.69 1.89 1.63 4.94 5.73 5.45 4.55 4.37 1.59 1.32 1.22 1.47 1.18 1.11 213 214 215 216 217 Yield on Loans Yield on Earnings Assets Cost of Fund Cost of Deposit* NIM was 3.44% in 217, remaining the highest level among four large commercial banks High portion of CASA (79%) helped support low cost of fund 213 214 215 216 217 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 NIM 3.55 3.8 3.67 3.52 3.44 3.41 3.43 3.47 3.49 Yield on Earnings Assets 5.18 5.19 4.94 4.55 4.37 4.34 4.36 4.38 4.4 Yield on Loans 6.37 6.33 6.6 5.73 5.45 5.58 5.5 5.46 5.4 Cost of Fund 1.93 1.69 1.59 1.32 1.22 1.22 1.25 1.23 1.23 Cost of Deposit, incl DPA 1.89 1.63 1.47 1.18 1.11 1.11 1.13 1.11 1.1 Note: * Cost of deposits including contributions to the Financial Institutions Development Fund (FIDF) and Deposit Protection Agency (DPA) 1
Cost to Income Ratio December 217 (Consolidated) Cost to Income Ratio Cost to Average Assets Ratio 5 4 3 2 1 43.44 44.3 45.19 41.63 42.31 213 214 215 216 217 6 4 2 2.39 2.63 2.7 2.36 2.31 213 214 215 216 217 217 cost to income ratio was 42.31% 218 cost to income ratio will be in mid-4s range, with focus on cost management under pressure from income slowdown and investment in digital 213* 214 215 216 217 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 Cost to Income Ratio 43.44 44.3 45.19 41.63 42.31 39.44 4.32 4.7 48.87 * * * Cost to Average Assets Ratio 2.39 2.63 2.7 2.36 2.31 2.14 2.22 2.29 2.63 Note: * The Bank and its subsidiaries have adopted TFRIC 13: Customer Loyalty Programmes since January 1, 214 onwards and restated the comparative financial statements and financial ratios. There is no effect on net profit of the Bank and its subsidiaries 11 Capital (Reported Number: Excluding Net Profit of Each Period) December 217 (Consolidated) 2 16.76 17.39 18.17 2 18.84 17.2 17.31 18. 17.96 17 15.25 17 3.82 3.47 3.68 2.3 3.88 3.6 3.9 2.58 15.78 14 3.23 14 3.21 11 11 8 8 12.57 13.49 14.53 15.16 15.66 12.2 12.88 13.79 14.27 14.62 5 5 2 2-1 213 214 215 216 217-1 213 214 215 216 217 Tier1 Bank only Basel III Tier2 KASIKORNBANK FINANCIAL CONGLOMERATE* Basel III Capital adequacy remains sufficient to support business growth; maintained adequate Tier 1 ratio, as required under the Basel III 213 214 215 216 217 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 Bank only CAR, excluding net profit of each period 15.25 16.76 17.39 18.17 17.2 16.85 16.87 17.4 17.2 Tier 1, excluding net profit of each period 12.2 12.88 13.79 14.27 14.62 14.17 14.25 14.81 14.62 KASIKORNBANK FINANCIAL CONGLOMERATE* CAR, excluding net profit of each period 15.78 17.31 18. 18.84 17.96 17.51 17.63 18.23 17.96 Tier 1, excluding net profit of each period 12.57 13.49 14.53 15.16 15.66 15.3 15.25 15.91 15.66 Note: * KASIKORNBANK FINANCIAL CONGLOMERATE means the company under the Notification of the Bank of Thailand re: Consolidated Supervision, consisted of KBank, K Companies and subsidiaries operating in supporting KBank, Phethai Asset Management Co., Ltd. and other subsidiaries within the permitted scope from the BOT s to be financial conglomerate. Under Bank of Thailand regulations, net profit in the first half of the year is to be counted as capital after approval by the Board of Directors as per the Bank s regulations. Net profit in the second half of the year is also counted as capital after approval of the General Meeting of Shareholders. However, whenever a net loss occurs, the capital must be immediately reduced accordingly. ** The details on Basel III regulations can be found in Basel III Tier2 Tier1 12
Dividend Dividend Per Share Dividend Payout Ratio (Bt) 4. 4. 4. 4. 3.5 3. 3. 2.5 2.5 2.5 2. 1.75 2. 2. 1.25 1..5. 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 5 4 3 2 1 3.55 31.88 32.33 21.36 42.49 32.14 27. 22.12 22.32 22.51 27.83 26.96 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 Interim Dividend Dividend policy: both operating results and long-term returns to shareholders are taken into consideration in determining dividend payments Dividend payout ratio ranges 2-25%, in order to ensure a sustainable and adequate capital level through the changing economic environment and the ongoing adoption of Basel III 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 1H17 Dividend Per Share (Bt) 1.75 2. 2. 2.5 2.5 2.5 3. 3.5 4. 4. 4..5 Dividend Payout Ratio 3.55 31.88 32.33 42.49 32.14 27. 22.12 22.32 22.51 27.83 26.96 n.a. 13 Summary Customer Centricity Strategy Effectively Executed: Customer Centricity remains our core philosophy, while extending concept of Main Bank to Life Platform of Choice to stay relevant, valuable, and indispensable to customers Balanced Growth: loans to grow carefully in line with economic conditions; appropriate liquidity maintained; manageable asset quality supported by strong risk management capabilities; appropriate loan loss reserves; sensible non-interest income growth; manageable cost to income ratio; appropriate ROE maintained Adequate Capital: maintained adequate Tier 1 ratio, as required under Basel III Sustainable Development: aim to be a Bank of Sustainability in all areas, based on good corporate governance principles and appropriate risk management, covering economic, social, and environmental dimensions 14
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25 For Further Enquiries, Contact KASIKORNBANK Investor Relations: Chief Investor Relations Officer Tel (66) 247 2673 to 4 Fax (66) 247 268 Investor Relations Team Tel (66) 247 69 to 1 Tel (66) 247 266 to 1 Fax (66) 247 269 Email: IR@kasikornbank.com IR Website www.kasikornbank.com Investor Relations Disclosure Practice: Unreviewed/unaudited quarterly financial reports are released within 21 days from the end of each period Reviewed financial reports are released within 45 days from the end of the period for 1Q and 3Q; Audited financial reports are released within 2 months from the end of the period for 2Q and 4Q Following KASIKORNBANK Disclosure Policy and good governance practice, KBank maintains a "silent period" for 7 days prior to the unreviewed/unaudited earnings announcement. During this period, the Bank refrains from replying to questions or commenting on the earnings announcement and arranging one-on-one or group meetings with analysts and investors 26
DISCLAIMER: This document is intended to provide material information relating to investment or product in discussion and for reference during discussion, presentation or seminar only. It does not represent or constitute an advice, offer, contract, recommendation or solicitation and should not be relied on as such. In preparation of this document, KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED ( KBank ) has made several crucial assumptions and relied on the financial and other information made available from public sources, and thus KBank assumes no responsibility and makes no representations with respect to accuracy and/or completeness of the information described herein. Before making your own independent decision to invest or enter into transaction, the recipient of the information ( Recipient ) shall review information relating to service or products of KBank including economic and market situation and other factors pertaining to the transaction as posted in KBank s website at URL www.kasikornbank.com and in other websites including to review all other information, documents prepared by other institutions and consult financial, legal or tax advisors each time. The Recipient understands and acknowledges that the investment or execution of the transaction may be the transaction with low liquidity and that KBank shall assume no liability for any loss or damage incurred by the Recipient arising out of such investment or execution of the transaction. The Recipient also acknowledges and understands that the information so provided by KBank does not represent the expected yield or consideration to be received by the Recipient arising out of the execution of the transaction. Further the Recipient should be aware that the transaction can be highly risky as the markets are unpredictable and there may be inadequate regulations and safeguards available to the Recipient. KBank reserves the rights to amend either in whole or in part of information so provided herein at any time as it deems fit and the Recipient acknowledges and agrees with such amendment. Where there is any inquiry, the Recipient may seek further information from KBank or in case of making complaint, the Recipient can contact KBank at IR@kasikornbank.com or +(662) 47 69 to 1, +(662) 47 2673 to 74. * The information herewith represents data in the Bank's consolidated financial statements, some of the numbers and ratios are calculated before netting with KBank s non-controlling interest. 27 28