CREDICORP Investor Conference Mercado de Capitales COMPANY PRESENTATION SEPTEMBER 2018

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Transcription:

CREDICORP Investor Conference Mercado de Capitales COMPANY PRESENTATION SEPTEMBER 2018

AGENDA 1. OVERVIEW 2. VALUE PROPOSAL 3. CONCLUDING REMARKS 2

Company overview Leading position in Chile & Peru THE COMPANY Installed Capacity 3,893 MW 3,328 MW / 565 MW Power-Plants 26 25 / 1 Market Share 1 17% / 8% Transmission Lines ~940 km Ownership 49.96% Matte Group 9.58% Angelini Group 20.70% Pension Funds 19.76% Others KEY FINANCIALS Total Assets US$6.7 bn Cash US$696 mm EBITDA LTM US$696 mm US$643 mm / Net Debt / EBITDA 1.3 x US$53 mm Ratings Baa2 Moody s BBB S&P BBB Fitch Note: All figures as of Jun18 1 In terms of generation in the SEN in Chile (23% in the SIC, prior to the interconnection with the SING effective as of October 2017) and in the SEIN in Peru. 3

AGENDA 1. OVERVIEW 2. VALUE PROPOSAL 3. CONCLUDING REMARKS 4

Value proposal Leading position supported by competitive strengths 1 2 3 4 5 COST EFFICIENT AND DIVERSIFIED ASSET BASE STABLE & PREDICTABLE CASH FLOWS PRUDENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT ATTRACTIVE PORTFOLIO OF GROWTH OPTIONS MAXIMIZING VALUE TO ALL OF OUR STAKEHOLDERS 5

Value proposal Leading position supported by competitive strengths 1 2 3 4 5 COST EFFICIENT AND DIVERSIFIED ASSET BASE STABLE & PREDICTABLE CASH FLOWS PRUDENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT ATTRACTIVE PORTFOLIO OF GROWTH OPTIONS MAXIMIZING VALUE TO ALL OF OUR STAKEHOLDERS 6

1. Cost efficient & diversified asset base Generation assets diversified by technology & geography 3,893 MW Inst. Capacity: Hydro: 1,634 MW 12,772 MW SEIN 1 1 FENIX POWER 565 MW / Gas 4 Reservoir: 1,065 MW 12 Run-of-the-river: 532 MW Solar: 9 MW Thermal: 2,250 MW 3 CCGT: 1,332 MW 4 Diesel: 568 MW 1 Coal: 350 MW 23,737 MW SEN CENTRAL ZONE: 210 MW / 9 MW / 1,128 MW CENTER-SOUTHERN ZONE: 1,204 MW / 454 MW SOUTHERN ZONE: 172 MW / 103 MW Note: values as of Jun18 7

1. Cost efficient & diversified asset base Fenix Power: a relevant & efficient CCGT in Peru Most efficient CCGT in Peru Based on Heat Rate 40 miles south of Lima Capital of Peru and largest city of the country SHAREHOLDERS 51% Colbún 36% ADIA 13% Sigma KEY FIGURES LTM EBITDA US$53 mm Note: All figures as of Jun18 1 In terms of generation 565 MW Gross effective capacity 3.5 TWh Net annual generation 3 TWh / year Long term contracts (~75% capacity) Others 12% Huallaga 4% Statkraft 5% Fenix 8% Enel 15% MARKET SHARE 1 Engie 16% Peruvian Gov. 22% Orazul 18% Cash US$53 mm Internacional Ratings Baa3 Stable Moody s BBB- Stable S&P/Fitch 8

1. Cost efficient & diversified asset base Secured long-term regasification capacity & LNG supply Long-term strategy: leveraging our efficient natural gas power facilities and diversifying our supply sources; contributing to a competitive, flexible, secure and sustainable power supply. MEDIUM AND SHORT TERM LNG SUPPLY LNG supply with Metrogas and ENAP Short term contracts (~3 months) available. Medium term contracts: signed for 2 TWh of natural gas generation in 2018 and 2019 1. LONG TERM LNG SUPPLY Regasification capacity and supply contract with ENAP Effective from 2018 onwards, for a period of 13 years. Competitive LNG supply with ENAP and international providers. Capacity for up to two combined-cycle units per year. 1 For 2019, 1 TWh is optional. 9

1. Cost efficient & diversified asset base 100% of PPAs supplied with cost-efficient generation CONTRACTUAL COMMITTMENTS VS GENERATION. (TWh) TWh 14 12 10 8 6 0.5 3,2 2,6 12,3 0.5 0.2 3,0 3,4 2,6 2,4 11,4 11,1 0.3 3,6 2,5 11,0 0.4 4,0 2,6 47% 0,1 3,9 2,6 11,0 11,3 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 4 2 4,9 6,7 6,5 4,8 5,9 6,4 15% 10% 5% 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2Q18 LTM Hydro Coal LNG Diesel Total Committments EBITDA Mg (%) 0% Note: figures as of Jun18 10

1. Cost efficient & diversified asset base Relevant transmission assets Transmission lines ~940 km Substations 28 Market share 1 ~6% Annual EBITDA 2 ~US$23 mm Length (km) Nacional 331 Zonal 79 Dedicada 531 Total 941 ~US$60 million in expansion projects in transmission Note: All figures as of Jun18 1 Nacional Transmission 2 Corresponds to Colbún Transmisión EBITDA as of Dec17 11

1. Cost efficient & diversified asset base Attractive markets 1 GENERATION MATRIX. (%) Hydro Coal Natural Gas Diesel Others 18% 1% 15% 38,290 GWh SEN 26% 40% 30% 7% 25,122 GWh SEIN 62% Diversified generation profile. Stable regulatory framework. US$ currency denominated markets. Investment grade countries. High growth potential. 2 POWER DEMAND GROWTH. (12 month average %) 3 MARGINAL COST. (US$/MWh) 10% SEN SEIN 120 Alto Jahuel Santa Rosa 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 4% 2% 100 80 60 40 20 0 69 16-2% Note: All figures as of Jun18 12

Value proposal Leading position supported by competitive strengths 1 2 3 4 5 COST EFFICIENT AND DIVERSIFIED ASSET BASE STABLE & PREDICTABLE CASH FLOWS PRUDENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT ATTRACTIVE PORTFOLIO OF GROWTH OPTIONS MAXIMIZING VALUE TO ALL OF OUR STAKEHOLDERS 13

2. Stable & predictable cash flows High quality clients in Chile 1 CUSTOMER BASE PROFILE +100 52%/48% ~93% ~9 YEARS Total customers Regulated/ unregulated customers Customers with credit ratings Average life of PPAs 2 PPAs IN CHILE: MAXIMUM CONTRACTED ENERGY COMMITMENT (TWh) Regulated Customers Unregulated Customers New Contracts with unregulated customers 15 12 9 14 14 12 12 10 9 6 3 0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Note: All figures as of Jun18 1 Average monomic prices are calculated by dividing the total amount of sales in US$, by physical energy sales in MWh 14

2. Stable & predictable cash flows Stable cash flow profile supported by long-term PPAs in Peru 1 PPA PROFILE. 2 ENERGY SALES & INDEXATION. (%) Average life of long-term PPAs of ~6 years. US$ FX adjusted and US$ denominated capacity payments. ~75% contracted through 2023. Strong AAA locally-rated off takers. Spot 21% US PPI 22% PPAs 79% Gas 78% 3 PPA PORTFOLIO. (TWh) Regulated Customers Unregulated Customers 4 3 2 1 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.1 2.2 0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Note: as of Jun18 15

2. Stable & predictable cash flows Significant increase in number of clients over the past 2 years in Chile 2016 2018 3 UNREGULATED CUSTOMERS +100 UNREGULATED CUSTOMERS 15 REGULATED CUSTOMERS 15 REGULATED CUSTOMERS 6 SELLING POINTS +300 SELLING POINTS Note: All figures as of Jun18 16

2. Stable & predictable cash flows Long-term PPAs to ensure cash flow stability WHOLE-SALE POWER COMMERCIAL POLICY BASE OF ASSETS & PPAS LEVEL 1 Optimal Contracting level I. Renewable Capacity: Hydro, solar and wind Available Capacity Contracting Level II. Efficient thermal capacity: Coal and CCGTs CCGT 2 3 Cost structure properly reflected in sale prices Active risk management CCGT Coal Solar & WInd Existent Existent Existent + Projects CPI Fuel Prices Exchange rate I. LNG purchases in the short and mid term II. Financial hedges Hydro Existent + Projects 17

2. Stable & predictable cash flows PPAs renewal opportunities in Chile UNREGULATED CUSTOMERS REGULATED CUSTOMERS In the coming years there is a relevant amount of energy for large unregulated clients to be recontracted. Since 2017, Colbun has signed new contracts with large and medium-size clients for a total of ~2.3 TWh/year. Minera Zaldivar, signed in Jun18 for a total supply of 550 GWh/year, for 10.5 years starting in Jul20. CMPC, signed in Oct17 for the supply of power for 630 GWh per year over a 10-year, started in Jan18. Wallmart, signed in Dec17 for ~300 GWh/year for 4 years, started in Jan18. Other customers signed during 2017 for ~800 GWh/year with average tenors ranging from 4 to 6 years. 1. Upcoming regulated auctions: According to the CNE s preliminary report, around 10 TWh will be auctioned in the next years, based on the following energy requirements: * ~5.4 TWh for 2024 ~4.2 TWh for 2026 2. Decreasing prices in the last regulated auctions in Chile: Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Energy (TWh) 4.7 12.0 1.2 12.5 2.2 Price (US$/MWh) Supply starting 126 108 79 48 33 2016/2019 2016/2019 2023 2023 2024 18

Value proposal Leading position supported by competitive strengths 1 2 3 4 5 COST EFFICIENT AND DIVERSIFIED ASSET BASE STABLE & PREDICTABLE CASH FLOWS PRUDENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT ATTRACTIVE PORTFOLIO OF GROWTH OPTIONS MAXIMIZING VALUE TO ALL OF OUR STAKEHOLDERS 19

3. Prudent financial management Stable operational results & solid metrics 1 EBITDA & EBITDA MG. (US$ million & %) 3 DEBT & NET DEBT. (US$ million) 800 EBITDA Chile EBITDA Fenix Mg EBITDA 45% 45% 45% 44% 50% 2.500 2.236 Debt Net Debt 600 400 200 21% 352 36% 56 537 582 546 54 54 639 643 40% 30% 20% 10% 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 1.894 1.700 1.440 1.061 1.710 1.660 1.635 1.174 1.043 1,061 939 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2Q18 LTM 0% 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2Q18 2 NET INCOME. (US$ million) 4 DEBT/EBITDA & NET DEBT/EBITDA. (x) 300 200 200 205 289 259 6 5 4 4,8 4,1 3,5 3,8 Debt/EBITDA Net Debt/EBITDA 100 63 82 3 2 1 2,0 2,0 2,8 1,7 2,4 2,3 1,2 1,3 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2Q18 LTM Note: All figures as of Jun18 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2Q18 20

3. Prudent financial management Stable operational results & solid metrics 1 CASH POSITION. (US$ million) 3 P/E. (X) 1.200 900 600 833 1.081 667 810 696 60 40 64 59 300 261 20 21 17 14 15 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2Q18 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2Q18 LTM 2 DIVIDEND DISTRIBUTION. (US$ million & %) 4 G-SPREAD 144A BONDS. (basis points) 300 200 100 30% 45 67% 55 50% 50% 102 100 100% 271 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 250 2024 2027 220 190 171 160 130 140 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Note: figures as of Jun18 0% 100 21

3. Prudent financial management Clean debt profile 1 DEBT PROFILE US$1,635 million US$1,281 million US$354 million 100% bonds 94% USD and 6% UF 100% Fixed rate 4.5% Interest Rate average 7.2 years average life 2 AMORTIZATION STRUCTURE. (US$ million) 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Fenix Bonds 528 528 Colbun Bonds 168 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Note: All figures as of Jun18 22

Value proposal Leading position supported by competitive strengths 1 2 3 4 5 COST EFFICIENT AND DIVERSIFIED ASSET BASE STABLE & PREDICTABLE CASH FLOWS PRUDENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT ATTRACTIVE PORTFOLIO OF GROWTH OPTIONS MAXIMIZING VALUE TO ALL OF OUR STAKEHOLDERS 23

4. Attractive portfolio of growth options Expansion considerations STRATEGY MAIN GUIDELINES 1. Increase presence in Chile and Perú 2. Expand operations to selected countries in the region (Argentina and Colombia) a. Low per capita energy consumption b. Stable regulatory frameworks c. Expected increases in economic activity and power demand 3. Diversification of technologies and locations 4. Incorporate renewable energy to our portfolio LOCAL EXPANSION 1. Pipeline of Renewable Projects a. Hydro b. Solar and wind 2. M&A Opportunities 3. Purchase energy from third parties INTERNATIONAL EXPANSION 1. Preference for assets in operation (brownfields) 2. Incorporate partners with local knowledge but maintain control 3. Investment amounts subject on maintain investment grade international ratings 24

4. Attractive portfolio of growth options Diversify our operations at a regional level COLOMBIA Competitive electricity market with stable regulatory framework Ample space to increase the per capita consumption of the country System requires reliable operators that provide security against hydrological variability OTHERS Tracking trends and business models PERÚ Leverage current platform to grow and diversify Oversupply market with prospects for growth Regulation similar to Chile ARGENTINA Slow elimination of subsidies and restoration of market dynamics Investment under attractive pricing schemes 25

4. Attractive portfolio of growth options Large pipeline of growth options HYDRO PROJECTS SAN PEDRO Los Rios Region Inst. capacity: 170 MW Gx: ~980 GWh/year Status: Preparing EIA GUAIQUIVILO MELADO La Puente y Melado, Maule Region Inst. capacity: 316 MW Gx: ~1,600 GWh/year Pre-feasibility completed LOS CUARTOS Biobío River, Maule Region Inst. capacity: 93 MW Gx: ~530 GWh/year Basic engineering EL MÉDANO San Clemente, Maule Region Inst. capacity: 6 MW Gx: ~25GWh/year Processing DEI 1 SOLAR & WIND PROJECTS HORIZONTE Tal Tal, II Region Inst. capacity :~607 MW Gx: ~1,900 GWh/year Under study SOL DE TARAPACÁ La Tirana, Tarapacá Region Inst. capacity: ~150 MW Gx: ~470 GWh/year Under study 1 DEI: declaration of environmental impact 26

Value proposal Leading position supported by competitive strengths 1 2 3 4 5 COST EFFICIENT AND DIVERSIFIED ASSET BASE STABLE & PREDICTABLE CASH FLOWS PRUDENT FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT ATTRACTIVE PORTFOLIO OF GROWTH OPTIONS MAXIMIZING VALUE TO ALL OF OUR STAKEHOLDERS 27

5. Maximizing value to all of our stakeholders Sustainability strategy SUSTAINABILITY IS OUR BUSINESS AND IT IS INTEGRATED IN ALL AREAS OF THE COMPANY Since 2015 we started publishing an Integrated Annual Report, with all the financial, social and environmental information of the Company. 28

5. Maximizing value to all of our stakeholders Adding value to all of our stakeholders STAKEHOLDER CUSTOMERS Secure, competitive and sustainable energy Long-term relationships INVESTORS Profitability and economic value WORKFORCE Quality employment Professional development CONTRACTORS Hiring local suppliers and contractors COMMUNITY Local development Constant dialogue ENVIRONMENT Excellence in environmental management 1 registered power plants under the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Note: Annual figures as of Dec17, consolidated EXAMPLES OF ADDED VALUE 16,587 GWh of energy sold US$692 million of EBITDA 100% Payout ratio 87% of total employees trained 2,970 supplier companies in Chile 61% of suppliers and contractors are SMEs in Chile US$8.5 million in social investments 19,124 people visit our power plants in 2017 382 Thousand Tons of CO 2 reduced by power plants (CDM) 1 33% of water used in hydro generation is reused in other power plants of Colbún 29

5. Maximizing value to all of our stakeholders Awards and recognitions 2018 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 Colbún listed in the Dow Jones Sustainability Index Chile Colbún listed in the Dow Jones Sustainability Index Emerging Markets Colbún listed in the ranking Best Place to Innovate Angostura power plant was chosen as a Sustainable Hydroelectricity study case Colbún obtained the first place in the Relevance category Fenix power plant was distinguished as a socially responsible company 2016 2016 2016 2016 2016 2016 Colbún is recognized for the CO2 neutral Lastarria Bellas Artes route Colbún Board s president and CEO were recognized as sustainability leaders Colbún received an international award for the reforestation of its viewpoints Colbún is recognized for its emissions management by the Environmental Ministry Rucúe and Quilleco power plants are recognized Colbún is recognized for its initiatives in favor of the quality life of its employers 30

5. Maximizing value to all of our stakeholders Colbún listed for third and second consecutive year in the DJSI Chile and DJSI MILA DJSI MILA The eligible universe is the S&P MILA Pacific Alliance Composite, which is a broad index and contains companies from Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru 42 DJSI Companies DJSI MILA DJSI Chile 63 largest Chilean companies of the S & P Global Broad Market ~40% Top companies in sustainability in each sector 29 Empresas DJSI Chile Selective ranking, Best in Class, based in S&P indexes, since 1999. Questionnaire of approx. 100 questions, evaluated by the rating agency RobecoSAM (Switzerland). Economic, environmental, social criteria and main sustainability challenges are evaluated. 31

5. Maximizing value to all of our stakeholders Highest standards of corporate governance VISION AND MISSION 1 CORPORATE GOVERNANCE STRUCTURE. 2 Personnel, managers, directors and the Board s advisory committees are responsible for enforcing Colbún s corporate governance. CORPORATE GOVERNANCE STRATEGY. Shareholders and Stakeholders Board of Directors 1 2 3 3 Main interrelated elements that promote an adequate governance of the Company and its affiliates. CORPORATE GOVERNANCE FRAMEWORK. Internal (policies and procedures) and external standards (regulations) ruling the manner in which Colbún s corporate governance is implemented. Board Committee External Auditing Directors Committee General Management and Advisory Committees Workers and Contractors CULTURE Auditors Committee Internal Auditing PROCEDURES 32

AGENDA 1. OVERVIEW 2. VALUE PROPOSAL 3. CONCLUDING REMARKS 33

Concluding remarks 1 2 3 4 5 6 Shareholders: Strong, reliable controlling group with a strategic and long-term vision of the business. Size: Leading position in Chile s power market and a relevant presence in Peru. Management: Experienced management and high standards of corporate governance. Customers: Diversified, solid and creditworthy portfolio of clients. Sustainability: Integrated in all areas of the Company. Financial: Strong metrics, conservative financial strategy and ample access to financial markets. 34

Disclaimer & Contact Information This document provides information about Colbún S.A. In no case this document constitutes a comprehensive analysis of the financial, production and sales situation of the company. To evaluate whether to purchase or sell securities of the company, the investor must conduct its own independent analysis. This presentation may contain forward-looking statements concerning Colbún's future performance and should be considered as good faith estimates by Colbún S.A. In compliance with the applicable rules, Colbún S.A. publishes on its Web Site (www.colbun.cl) and sends the financial statements of the Company and its corresponding notes to the Comisión para el Mercado Financiero, those documents should be read as a complement to this presentation. INVESTOR RELATIONS TEAM CONTACT Miguel Alarcón malarcon@colbun.cl + 56 2 2460 4394 Verónica Pubill vpubill@colbun.cl + 56 2 2460 4308 35

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