Shaping the Future. Morgan Stanley Emerging Companies Conference ASX:NVT. 17 June 2014

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Transcription:

Shaping the Future Morgan Stanley Emerging Companies Conference ASX:NVT 17 June 2014

Disclaimer Important Notice and Disclaimer This document has been prepared by Navitas Limited ABN 69 109 613 309 ("Navitas" or the "Company"). Information in this document should be read in conjunction with other Navitas announcements made to ASX. This document has been prepared for information purposes only and does not take into account your individual investment objectives, including the merits and risks involved in an investment in Navitas shares, or your financial situation or particular needs, and is not investment, financial product, legal, tax or accounting advice or opinion. You must not act on the basis of any matter contained in this document, but must make your own independent investigation and assessment of Navitas and its shares and obtain any professional advice you require before making any investment decision based on your investment objectives and financial circumstances. An investment in Navitas shares is subject to investment and other known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of Navitas, including possible delays in repayment and loss of income and principal invested. Navitas does not guarantee any particular rate of return or the performance of Navitas, nor does it guarantee the repayment of capital from Navitas or any particular tax treatment. All information in this document is believed to be reliable, but no representation, warranty or guarantee, express or implied, is made by Navitas, its subsidiaries or their respective directors, officers, employees or agents, nor any other person (the Beneficiaries ) as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness, reliability or correctness of the information, opinions and conclusions contained in this document (including, without limitation, any estimates, calculations, projections or forward looking statements). No action should be taken on the basis of the information, and no reliance may be placed for any purpose on the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this document. To the maximum extent permitted by law, the Beneficiaries shall have no liability, including, without limitation, any liability arising from fault or negligence, for any direct or indirect loss or damage which may be suffered by any recipient through relying on anything contained in or omitted from this document. The distribution of this document in other jurisdictions outside Australia may also be restricted by law and any such restrictions should be observed. Any failure to comply with such restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. This document does not constitute an offer, invitation, solicitation, advice or recommendation with respect to the issue, purchase or sale of any security in any jurisdiction. In particular, this document does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, securities in the United States or to any "U.S. person" (as defined in the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 ("U.S. Securities Act")). Shares in Navitas have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act, or under the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States. Accordingly, shares in Navitas may not be offered or sold, directly or indirectly, in the United States or to, or for the account or benefit of, U.S. Persons, except in a transaction exempt from, or not subject to, the registration requirements of the U.S. Securities Act and applicable U.S. state securities laws. This document may not be distributed or released in the United States or to, or for the account or benefit of, any U.S. person. All references to dollars, cents or $ in this document are to Australian currency, unless otherwise stated. 2

2014 Company Profile Navitas (ASX: NVT) is a leading global education provider offering an extensive range of educational and training services for students and professionals across Australia and around the world Market cap Annualised revenue Staff headcount Students Colleges/ schools $2.89b $795.3m ~5,500 > 80,000 115 University Programs - leading provider of 32 pathway colleges and managed campuses across Australia and in the UK, US, Canada, Singapore, Kenya, New Zealand and Sri Lanka SAE - creative media education provider delivering vocational and higher education qualifications in audio, film and multimedia via 53 colleges in Australasia, US, Europe and the Middle East Professional and English Programs provides vocational training, higher education and placement services in areas of key demand across Australia as well as providing English as a second language courses for international students and English language, settlement and work preparation programs for migrants and refugees 3

Strong record of consistent growth Track record of compound annual growth (CAGR) H1 Revenue ($m) H1 EBITDA ($m) H1 NPAT ($m) 341.8 355.4 421.9 57.1 59.9 63.2 32.6 35.4 35.1 36.1 270.2 291.4 43.4 48.4 27.5 217.4 19.0 108.0 137.2 162.2 22.0 24.9 28.5 30.4 14.1 15.1 16.5 21.5% CAGR 16.3% CAGR 14.4% CAGR 4

translating into solid returns for shareholders H1 Earnings (cps) H1 Operating cashflow (cps) 11.4 H1 Dividends (cps) 9.4 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.6 10.1 8.1 8.7 8.0 8.6 4.1 4.3 4.8 5.5 6.1 6.1 4.9 5.2 4.7 4.3 4.7 5.5 1.5 1.6 13.1% CAGR 33.7% CAGR 10.4% CAGR 5

Strong revenue growth across all segments Core Divisions perform well in 1 st half Revenue($m) H1 FY14 H1 FY13 % University Programs 243.2 203.5 20 SAE Group 68.1 55.6 22 UP 26% Professional and English Programs 108.1 94.4 15 Divisional revenue 419.4 353.5 19 SAE PEP 16% $419.4m 58% Other 2.5 1.9 32 Group revenue 421.9 355.4 19 Divisional revenue by region 7% 8% 5% 7% Australia 6% UK $419.4m 67% Europe Canada USA ROW 6

EBITDA impacted by investment for the future Core Divisions perform well in 1 st half EBITDA ($m) H1 FY14 H1 FY13 % University Programs 58.4 52.2 12 SAE Group 9.0 12.6 (29) Professional and English Programs 11.0 4.7 134 Divisional EBITDA 78.4 69.5 13 Corporate costs (15.2) (9.6) 58 Group EBITDA 63.2 59.9 6 H1 FY14 Divisional EBITDA 11% 14% $78.4m UP SAE PEP 18% 7% $69.5m H1 FY13 Divisional EBITDA 75% 75% 7

Shaping the Future University Programs 8

32 UP colleges across 8 countries United Kingdom Cambridge Hertfordshire London Plymouth Portsmouth Swansea Aberdeen Edinburgh Birmingham North America Boston Dartmouth Lowell Bowling Green Durham Vancouver Winnipeg South East Asia Singapore Africa Australia/NZ Nairobi Sri Lanka Perth Adelaide Brisbane Melbourne Sydney Christchurch Colombo 9

Profitable and highly capital efficient model Financial metrics vs Campus size 50% Strong operating leverage as student numbers increase 40% Low capital requirements % of revenue 30% 20% 10% Established Campus Royalty payments (Variable) Agent commissions (Variable) Teaching costs (Semi variable) o o leverage partner universities infrastructure and spare teaching capacity fees received in advance drives negative working capital New Campus 1,000 2,000 3,000 Campus size (# of students) Indicative EBITDA Margin Marketing & Admin costs (Semi fixed) Steady price growth as student fees linked to partner university fee structures 10

Recovery momentum continues to build University Programs Equivalent Full Time Students Units (EFTSU): Semester enrolments 11% semester 1 2014 EFTSU growth against pcp Highest UP enrolment ever 6% up on prior peak of 201001 All key regions showing good growth 11

SAE Navitas Limited Citi Australian Growth Conference 21 May 2013 ASK:NVT 12

53 campuses in 27 countries Europe United Kingdom London Glasgow Liverpool Oxford Berlin Cologne Frankfurt Bochum Munich Hamburg Leipzig Stuttgart Geneva Zurich Ljubljana Stockholm Istanbul Amsterdam Rotterdam Barcelona Madrid Vienna Brussels Paris Athens Milan North America Atlanta Los Angeles Miami Nashville New York San Francisco Chicago Mexico city Africa Cape Town Asia Singapore Jakarta Chennai Mumbai Kuala Lumpur Bangkok Australia/NZ Perth Adelaide Brisbane Byron bay Melbourne Sydney Auckland 13

Ongoing student growth 7,543 FTE* Feb 2013 9% 8,258 FTE Feb 2014 FTE growth across all regions US continues to improve following significant investment German growth driven by new Bochum campus Athens, Geneva, Amsterdam and Stockholm driving European growth *FTE Full Time Equivalent ^ Southern region includes Australia, New Zealand, Indonesia and South Africa 14

Professional and English Programs Navitas Limited Citi Australian Growth Conference 21 May 2013 ASK:NVT 15

Domestically focused with significant diversity Professional and English Programs English and Foundation Skills Careers and Learning Skills Navitas Professional Institute Training and Development Delivers government programs including the Adult Migrant English Program, Language, Literacy and Numeracy Program and the Humanitarian Settlement Service Prepares students for further learning and employment. Includes general and academic English programs as well as intern and employment programs Delivers vocational and higher education programs to build and enhance careers. Includes the Australian College of Applied Psychology, Health Skills Australia and the Navitas College of Public Safety Focuses on building capacity, core skills and employee effectiveness in the Resources sector and related industries 16

Outlook

Solid growth momentum in FY14 University Programs Continued student enrolment increases to benefit in H2 FY14 and beyond H2 FY14 growth vs pcp to exceed H1 FY14 SAE Strong revenue growth indicating improving trend Expecting stronger H2 though FY14 result will be flat, or lower, than pcp US operations expected to break even following H1 EBITDA loss of $2m Professional and English Programs Full year growth anticipated but lower H2 than pcp ACAP and English and Foundation Skills to moderate off higher comparatives Key government contracts due for renewal on 1 July 2014 18

FY14 guidance stands Corporate costs to rise as Navitas builds platform for growth will remain at ~3% of revenues Major investments in: o o Appointment of senior staff to increase capacity for ongoing growth Evolution of sales and marketing model o New systems and processes Additional costs include: o o o EVA staff incentive increases Leasing and property costs, and Unfavourable hedging charges FY14 EBITDA guidance, provided in Oct 2013 at $138m to $148m, stands FY14 results due out Monday 28 July 19

Still digesting impact of federal budget Australian federal budget heralds significant Higher Education reform Reform +/ Navitas +/ students When Extension of government subsidies to Positive Positive 1 Jan 2016 private providers (CSP s) Deregulation of domestic student fees Uncertain Negative 1 Jan 2016 25% FEE HELP loan fees removed Positive Positive 1 Jan 2016 20% VET FEE HELP loan fees removed Positive Positive 1 Jan 2016 HELP debt servicing indexed Neutral Negative 1 Jan 2016 All proposed changes are yet to pass Parliament 20

Appendix

Corporate snapshot Corporate snapshot 375.4m Shares on issue $2.89b Market Capitalisation $7.71 Share Price 30 May 2014 ASX100 NVT 52 wk range $5.32 - $7.85 Annualised dividend 19.5cps Navitas Limited Citi Australian Growth Conference 21 May 2013 ASK:NVT 22

Detailed Detailed H1 half-year P&L 5 years P&L 5 years Navitas Ltd PCP Change $000s H1 FY10 H1 FY11 H1 FY12 H1 FY13 H1 FY14 $000s Index CAGR* Operating Revenue University Programs 174,681 193,388 190,657 203,506 243,208 39,702 120% 9% SAE - - 57,063 55,594 68,130 12,536 123% n/a PEP 93,811 95,215 92,084 94,389 108,070 13,681 114% 4% C orporate & consolidation items 1,126 2,095 1,863 1,350 1,149 (201) 85% 1% Total operating revenue 269,618 290,698 341,667 354,839 420,557 65,718 119% 12% Expenses (226,220) (242,321) (284,530) (294,965) (357,346) (62,381) 121% 12% EBITDA 43,398 48,377 57,137 59,874 63,211 3,337 106% 10% Depreciation (3,302) (3,825) (6,233) (7,039) (9,634) (2,595) 137% 31% EBITA 40,096 44,552 50,904 52,835 53,577 742 101% 8% Amortisation (488) (2,603) (488) (488) (375) 113 77% -6% EBIT 39,608 41,949 50,416 52,347 53,202 855 102% 8% Net Interest (paid)/received 441 390 (4,085) (3,802) (3,509) 293 92% n/a Net profit before tax 40,049 42,339 46,331 48,545 49,693 1,148 102% 6% Income tax (12,807) (10,122) (10,938) (13,242) (13,602) (360) 103% 2% NPAT 27,242 32,217 35,393 35,303 36,091 788 102% 7% Outside equity interest 272 355 (33) (233) (11) 222 5% n/a NPAT attributable to members 27,514 32,572 35,360 35,070 36,080 1,010 103% 7% * Cumulative Annual Growth Rate from H1 FY10 to H1 FY14 Navitas Limited Citi Australian Growth Conference 21 May 2013 ASK:NVT 23