The Economist/YouGov Poll Week 18 Fieldwork: 4th-7th April 2008 Full set of tracker and topical questions on the presidential candidates Sample: 1,000 adult Americans Margin of error: +/-4% The margin of error measures only sampling variability, and does not adjust for other types of non- sampling error, such as non-response, panel participation, and misreporting. The following tables show data from The Economist/YouGov poll, which will track popular opinion ahead of America s presidential election on November 4th 2008. Polling is carried out by YouGov/Polimetrix for publication in The Economist, and on Economist.com every Thursday at www.economist.com/yougov. Topical questions are set by The Economist in consultation with YouGov/Polimetrix.
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 2 Who would you like to be the Democratic nominee for President? Base: Valid Cases 353 353 0 0 129 169 26 149 203 65 104 146 37 224 69 59 181 103 26 Hillary Clinton 157 157 0 0 49 74 14 53 105 23 44 72 18 110 15 33 91 46 9 45% 45% 0% 0% 38% 44% 56% 35% 52% 35% 43% 49% 49% 49% 21% 56% 50% 44% 35% Barack Obama 152 152 0 0 69 72 4 84 68 35 45 59 14 85 47 19 64 47 16 43% 43% 0% 0% 54% 42% 15% 56% 33% 53% 43% 40% 38% 38% 69% 33% 35% 46% 61% Not sure 43 43 0 0 11 23 7 12 30 7 15 16 5 29 7 7 27 10 1 12% 12% 0% 0% 8% 14% 29% 8% 15% 11% 14% 11% 13% 13% 10% 11% 15% 10% 4%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 3 If the next election for President were held today and the Democratic candidate were Hillary Clinton and the Republican candidate were John McCain, for whom would you vote? Base: Valid Cases 994 354 266 295 191 395 318 480 513 183 290 392 128 756 109 128 436 308 123 Hillary Clinton 428 276 13 113 148 201 40 183 245 76 135 175 41 298 72 58 207 127 40 43% 78% 5% 38% 77% 51% 12% 38% 48% 41% 47% 45% 32% 39% 66% 45% 48% 41% 33% John McCain 441 44 241 133 26 134 251 233 208 76 113 178 73 370 20 51 175 145 72 44% 13% 90% 45% 14% 34% 79% 49% 40% 42% 39% 46% 57% 49% 19% 40% 40% 47% 58% Not sure 125 34 12 49 17 60 27 64 61 31 42 38 13 89 17 20 53 36 11 13% 9% 4% 17% 9% 15% 9% 13% 12% 17% 14% 10% 10% 12% 15% 15% 12% 12% 9%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 4 If, instead, the Democratic candidate were Barack Obama and the Republican candidate were John McCain, for whom would you vote? Base: Valid Cases 994 351 267 297 191 395 319 481 513 183 290 395 126 755 110 127 436 308 123 Barack Obama 430 247 30 131 147 206 46 209 221 94 144 155 37 278 95 57 172 140 51 43% 70% 11% 44% 77% 52% 14% 43% 43% 52% 50% 39% 29% 37% 86% 44% 40% 46% 41% John McCain 433 66 222 129 23 138 244 222 211 60 106 192 76 379 6 48 191 140 59 44% 19% 83% 44% 12% 35% 76% 46% 41% 33% 37% 49% 60% 50% 6% 37% 44% 45% 48% Not sure 132 38 16 37 21 50 29 50 81 29 40 48 13 99 9 23 72 28 13 13% 11% 6% 12% 11% 13% 9% 10% 16% 16% 14% 12% 11% 13% 8% 18% 17% 9% 11%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 5 If the Democratic candidate for President in November was Hillary Clinton and the Republican candidate was John McCain, who do you think would win? Base: Valid Cases 990 352 266 293 191 394 316 479 511 183 289 390 128 755 108 126 432 310 122 Hillary Clinton would 255 165 17 51 78 115 32 113 142 39 79 111 26 174 44 37 141 64 22 probably win the election 26% 47% 7% 18% 41% 29% 10% 24% 28% 21% 27% 29% 20% 23% 41% 29% 33% 21% 18% The election would be 270 96 53 103 69 120 62 132 138 63 65 102 39 214 23 32 105 85 37 very close 27% 27% 20% 35% 36% 31% 20% 28% 27% 34% 22% 26% 31% 28% 21% 25% 24% 28% 31% John McCain would 379 66 184 113 29 132 199 209 169 58 114 150 56 305 27 46 140 135 60 probably win the election 38% 19% 69% 39% 15% 34% 63% 44% 33% 32% 40% 38% 44% 40% 25% 36% 32% 44% 50% Not sure 87 24 11 25 15 26 24 25 62 23 31 27 7 61 14 12 46 25 3 9% 7% 4% 9% 8% 7% 7% 5% 12% 12% 11% 7% 5% 8% 13% 9% 11% 8% 2%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 6 If instead the Democratic candidate was Barack Obama and the Republican candidate was John McCain, who do you think would win? Base: Valid Cases 992 353 266 294 191 396 316 481 511 183 290 391 128 755 109 127 434 310 122 Barack Obama would 373 187 42 120 118 165 63 179 194 82 122 134 35 254 68 50 155 120 41 probably win the election 38% 53% 16% 41% 62% 42% 20% 37% 38% 45% 42% 34% 27% 34% 62% 39% 36% 39% 33% The election would be 208 62 78 59 34 81 79 108 100 41 55 83 29 169 17 22 88 63 32 very close 21% 17% 29% 20% 18% 21% 25% 22% 20% 22% 19% 21% 23% 22% 16% 17% 20% 20% 27% John McCain would 310 77 134 90 27 116 149 165 145 36 79 143 51 260 10 39 133 106 43 probably win the election 31% 22% 51% 31% 14% 29% 47% 34% 28% 20% 27% 36% 40% 34% 10% 31% 31% 34% 35% Not sure 101 27 11 25 12 33 25 30 72 24 34 31 12 72 13 16 58 21 6 10% 8% 4% 9% 6% 8% 8% 6% 14% 13% 12% 8% 10% 10% 12% 12% 13% 7% 5%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 7 Which of these is the most important issue for you? Base: Valid Cases 996 355 267 295 192 396 319 481 515 181 292 394 128 757 111 127 436 310 123 The war in Iraq 122 52 22 40 27 59 23 70 52 19 30 52 23 94 17 11 48 40 18 12% 15% 8% 14% 14% 15% 7% 15% 10% 10% 10% 13% 18% 12% 15% 8% 11% 13% 15% The economy 383 148 87 120 74 169 107 186 197 73 131 136 41 281 47 55 164 124 44 38% 42% 33% 41% 39% 43% 33% 39% 38% 40% 45% 35% 32% 37% 42% 43% 38% 40% 36% Immigration 93 4 44 40 3 32 55 55 38 11 23 40 19 81 5 7 30 32 14 9% 1% 16% 14% 2% 8% 17% 11% 7% 6% 8% 10% 15% 11% 5% 6% 7% 10% 12% The Environment and 53 26 8 16 19 20 9 23 30 17 17 16 3 42 6 6 22 16 8 global warming 5% 7% 3% 5% 10% 5% 3% 5% 6% 9% 6% 4% 2% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% Terrorism 92 13 53 22 2 18 68 54 37 6 26 44 15 78 6 8 30 33 21 9% 4% 20% 8% 1% 5% 21% 11% 7% 3% 9% 11% 12% 10% 5% 6% 7% 11% 17% Gay Rights 23 8 4 6 10 5 3 17 5 11 8 4 0 18 1 3 13 5 1 2% 2% 1% 2% 5% 1% 1% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% 0% 2% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1% Education 46 23 11 10 11 19 14 18 28 14 18 14 1 29 7 10 24 11 7 5% 6% 4% 3% 6% 5% 4% 4% 5% 8% 6% 3% 1% 4% 6% 8% 5% 4% 6% Health care 114 59 19 19 35 43 17 33 81 24 31 51 9 79 14 20 58 33 8 11% 17% 7% 6% 19% 11% 5% 7% 16% 13% 10% 13% 7% 10% 13% 16% 13% 11% 7% Social Security 71 22 21 21 9 32 23 26 46 7 8 38 17 54 9 9 46 14 1 7% 6% 8% 7% 5% 8% 7% 5% 9% 4% 3% 10% 14% 7% 8% 7% 11% 4% 1%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 8 Would you say things in this country today are... Base: Valid Cases 999 355 267 297 193 396 320 483 516 183 292 396 128 760 111 127 437 311 123 Generally headed in the 140 18 91 26 8 39 86 86 54 23 40 53 23 115 11 14 44 49 27 right direction 14% 5% 34% 9% 4% 10% 27% 18% 10% 13% 14% 14% 18% 15% 10% 11% 10% 16% 22% Off on the wrong track 763 309 147 246 174 318 201 355 408 139 227 306 91 583 84 96 337 240 88 76% 87% 55% 83% 90% 80% 63% 74% 79% 76% 78% 77% 71% 77% 76% 75% 77% 77% 72% Not sure 96 27 29 24 10 39 32 42 54 20 26 36 14 62 16 18 56 22 8 10% 8% 11% 8% 5% 10% 10% 9% 10% 11% 9% 9% 11% 8% 14% 14% 13% 7% 6%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 9 Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? Base: Valid Cases 999 355 266 297 193 396 319 482 517 184 292 395 128 759 111 128 437 311 123 Strongly Approve 81 7 56 13 0 15 61 45 36 12 15 39 15 63 3 14 28 26 14 8% 2% 21% 4% 0% 4% 19% 9% 7% 6% 5% 10% 12% 8% 3% 11% 6% 8% 11% Somewhat Approve 208 14 129 59 12 57 133 113 96 33 56 81 38 182 8 18 81 74 35 21% 4% 48% 20% 6% 14% 42% 23% 18% 18% 19% 20% 29% 24% 7% 14% 19% 24% 29% Somewhat Disapprove 160 42 52 51 17 64 61 70 90 27 53 66 14 125 15 20 73 52 16 16% 12% 19% 17% 9% 16% 19% 15% 17% 15% 18% 17% 11% 16% 14% 16% 17% 17% 13% Strongly Disapprove 522 286 28 167 159 254 57 247 275 104 157 201 60 368 82 71 237 154 58 52% 81% 10% 56% 82% 64% 18% 51% 53% 57% 54% 51% 47% 49% 74% 55% 54% 50% 47% Not Sure 28 5 2 7 4 5 8 7 21 8 11 8 1 20 3 5 18 5 0 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 4% 4% 4% 2% 1% 3% 3% 4% 4% 2% 0%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 10 Overall, do you approve of the way that the Democrats in the United States Congress are handling their job? Base: Valid Cases 999 354 266 297 193 394 320 482 516 184 292 394 128 759 110 128 438 310 123 Strongly Approve 52 39 2 9 13 28 5 27 25 9 16 21 5 29 14 9 30 13 3 5% 11% 1% 3% 7% 7% 2% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 13% 7% 7% 4% 2% Somewhat Approve 255 165 24 60 91 115 35 114 142 47 85 95 28 180 39 37 108 84 27 26% 47% 9% 20% 47% 29% 11% 24% 27% 25% 29% 24% 22% 24% 35% 29% 25% 27% 22% Somewhat Disapprove 286 97 73 89 57 138 66 128 157 61 75 119 30 211 35 39 122 87 39 29% 27% 27% 30% 30% 35% 21% 27% 30% 33% 26% 30% 24% 28% 32% 31% 28% 28% 31% Strongly Disapprove 317 21 163 115 14 85 201 189 128 36 83 136 62 273 10 34 113 116 50 32% 6% 61% 39% 7% 22% 63% 39% 25% 20% 28% 35% 49% 36% 9% 27% 26% 37% 41% Not Sure 88 31 5 24 18 29 13 24 64 31 33 22 2 66 13 9 65 11 4 9% 9% 2% 8% 10% 7% 4% 5% 12% 17% 11% 6% 2% 9% 12% 7% 15% 3% 3%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 11 Do you think the value of your home will increase or decrease in the next 12 months? Base: Valid Cases 995 355 263 296 192 394 317 478 516 184 291 394 125 757 110 126 437 310 122 Increase 141 29 55 43 18 47 64 75 67 17 51 60 14 102 19 20 43 60 21 14% 8% 21% 15% 10% 12% 20% 16% 13% 9% 17% 15% 11% 14% 17% 16% 10% 19% 17% Stay about the same 415 143 129 120 74 168 144 207 208 68 102 185 60 326 42 47 157 139 72 42% 40% 49% 41% 38% 43% 45% 43% 40% 37% 35% 47% 48% 43% 38% 38% 36% 45% 59% Decrease 293 122 50 100 71 125 77 130 164 58 83 109 44 228 29 35 149 79 24 29% 34% 19% 34% 37% 32% 24% 27% 32% 31% 29% 28% 35% 30% 26% 28% 34% 26% 20% Not sure 145 61 28 33 29 54 32 67 77 42 55 41 7 101 20 23 88 32 6 15% 17% 11% 11% 15% 14% 10% 14% 15% 23% 19% 10% 6% 13% 19% 18% 20% 10% 5%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 12 Do you think your family's income will increase or decrease in the next 12 months? Base: Valid Cases 992 351 264 295 190 393 317 476 516 183 290 393 126 755 111 125 435 308 122 Increase 220 64 79 64 35 76 90 106 114 41 88 79 12 156 36 28 80 77 39 22% 18% 30% 22% 18% 19% 28% 22% 22% 22% 30% 20% 9% 21% 32% 23% 18% 25% 32% Stay about the same 545 194 146 160 108 212 173 263 281 97 148 216 84 426 51 68 245 168 63 55% 55% 55% 54% 57% 54% 54% 55% 54% 53% 51% 55% 67% 56% 46% 54% 56% 55% 51% Decrease 176 76 28 56 41 81 40 86 90 31 32 85 28 140 18 17 81 51 19 18% 22% 11% 19% 22% 21% 13% 18% 17% 17% 11% 22% 22% 18% 16% 14% 19% 17% 15% Not sure 52 17 11 16 6 24 14 20 31 15 22 13 2 34 6 12 29 11 2 5% 5% 4% 5% 3% 6% 4% 4% 6% 8% 8% 3% 2% 4% 6% 9% 7% 4% 1%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 13 How worried are you that you or someone else in your household might be out of work and looking for a job for any reason? Base: Valid Cases 990 351 262 295 191 389 318 476 514 184 290 393 122 754 109 126 435 309 122 Very worried 154 77 22 37 33 73 32 69 85 25 50 68 12 100 27 26 88 39 9 16% 22% 9% 13% 17% 19% 10% 15% 17% 13% 17% 17% 10% 13% 25% 21% 20% 13% 7% Somewhat worried 349 135 82 107 74 149 97 166 182 65 118 130 35 271 33 45 173 100 33 35% 38% 31% 36% 39% 38% 31% 35% 35% 36% 41% 33% 29% 36% 30% 36% 40% 32% 27% Not very worried at all 436 120 153 132 69 151 180 220 217 84 110 175 67 341 47 47 145 159 76 44% 34% 58% 45% 36% 39% 57% 46% 42% 46% 38% 45% 55% 45% 43% 38% 33% 52% 62% Not sure 51 19 5 19 15 17 10 21 30 10 12 20 8 42 2 7 30 10 4 5% 5% 2% 6% 8% 4% 3% 4% 6% 5% 4% 5% 7% 6% 2% 6% 7% 3% 3%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 14 Would you say Barack Obama is... Base: Valid Cases 997 354 266 297 192 395 319 481 516 184 291 395 127 758 110 128 436 311 123 Very liberal 324 47 160 107 18 105 197 193 132 41 85 138 60 281 10 33 111 117 55 33% 13% 60% 36% 9% 27% 62% 40% 26% 22% 29% 35% 47% 37% 9% 26% 25% 37% 45% Somewhat liberal 241 122 32 77 90 103 39 121 120 59 70 87 25 188 22 30 85 85 34 24% 34% 12% 26% 47% 26% 12% 25% 23% 32% 24% 22% 20% 25% 20% 24% 20% 27% 28% Moderate 204 101 28 62 47 101 41 93 111 27 70 88 20 129 42 32 91 62 26 20% 29% 10% 21% 24% 25% 13% 19% 22% 15% 24% 22% 15% 17% 38% 25% 21% 20% 21% Somewhat conservative 35 18 6 6 6 14 13 16 19 7 9 14 4 19 9 7 18 14 1 3% 5% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 2% 8% 5% 4% 4% 1% Very Conservative 21 10 8 1 7 1 10 9 12 4 6 10 1 12 6 2 17 1 3 2% 3% 3% 0% 3% 0% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 6% 2% 4% 0% 2% Not sure 172 56 33 43 25 71 19 49 123 46 52 57 18 128 20 24 114 33 4 17% 16% 12% 15% 13% 18% 6% 10% 24% 25% 18% 14% 14% 17% 18% 19% 26% 11% 3%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 15 Do you think Barack Obama... Base: Valid Cases 993 354 267 294 191 394 319 483 510 183 290 392 127 755 111 126 434 309 123 Says what he believes 432 208 61 127 126 195 74 220 212 96 145 152 38 280 90 62 169 139 55 44% 59% 23% 43% 66% 50% 23% 46% 42% 53% 50% 39% 30% 37% 81% 49% 39% 45% 44% Says what he thinks 560 146 206 167 64 198 246 262 298 86 145 240 89 475 21 64 264 169 68 people want to hear 56% 41% 77% 57% 34% 50% 77% 54% 58% 47% 50% 61% 70% 63% 19% 51% 61% 55% 56%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 16 Regardless of whether you agree with him, do you like Barack Obama as a person? Base: Valid Cases 998 355 267 296 192 395 320 482 516 184 291 395 128 758 111 128 438 310 123 Like a lot 306 161 31 96 99 148 39 158 148 67 87 124 27 193 76 36 108 103 43 31% 45% 12% 32% 51% 37% 12% 33% 29% 37% 30% 31% 22% 26% 68% 28% 25% 33% 35% Like somewhat 343 112 104 96 56 137 126 174 169 57 107 130 50 271 22 51 156 103 46 34% 32% 39% 32% 29% 35% 39% 36% 33% 31% 37% 33% 39% 36% 20% 39% 36% 33% 37% Dislike 220 55 96 61 21 65 113 113 108 38 58 91 33 193 2 25 116 65 23 22% 15% 36% 21% 11% 16% 35% 23% 21% 21% 20% 23% 26% 25% 2% 20% 27% 21% 19% Not sure 129 27 36 44 17 45 43 38 91 22 39 49 18 101 12 17 58 39 11 13% 8% 14% 15% 9% 11% 13% 8% 18% 12% 14% 13% 14% 13% 11% 13% 13% 13% 9%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 17 Would you say Hillary Clinton is... Base: Valid Cases 997 355 266 297 192 396 319 483 514 183 291 396 127 757 111 128 438 310 123 Very liberal 325 41 157 112 23 80 213 186 139 40 88 135 61 269 19 38 115 117 50 33% 12% 59% 38% 12% 20% 67% 38% 27% 22% 30% 34% 48% 35% 17% 30% 26% 38% 41% Somewhat liberal 241 103 57 77 67 113 57 125 116 47 74 94 26 195 22 24 90 82 37 24% 29% 21% 26% 35% 28% 18% 26% 23% 25% 26% 24% 20% 26% 20% 18% 21% 27% 30% Moderate 198 112 18 55 54 107 21 87 111 32 53 92 21 139 24 35 90 62 21 20% 31% 7% 19% 28% 27% 6% 18% 22% 18% 18% 23% 17% 18% 21% 28% 21% 20% 17% Somewhat conservative 70 37 10 18 21 28 12 32 39 15 25 22 8 47 15 8 40 16 9 7% 10% 4% 6% 11% 7% 4% 7% 8% 8% 8% 6% 7% 6% 14% 6% 9% 5% 8% Very Conservative 29 17 2 6 10 11 4 16 13 5 8 14 3 16 6 6 22 3 1 3% 5% 1% 2% 5% 3% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% 5% 5% 5% 1% 1% Not sure 133 46 22 28 16 57 13 38 96 44 44 38 8 91 25 17 81 28 4 13% 13% 8% 10% 8% 15% 4% 8% 19% 24% 15% 10% 6% 12% 23% 13% 19% 9% 3%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 18 Do you think Hillary Clinton... Base: Valid Cases 993 355 266 295 191 394 320 483 510 181 290 393 128 755 111 126 434 308 123 Says what she believes 309 176 35 67 79 137 54 118 191 55 90 130 34 219 37 53 165 85 25 31% 50% 13% 23% 41% 35% 17% 24% 37% 30% 31% 33% 26% 29% 33% 42% 38% 28% 20% Says what she thinks 684 179 231 228 112 256 266 365 319 127 200 262 94 536 75 73 269 223 98 people want to hear 69% 50% 87% 77% 59% 65% 83% 76% 63% 70% 69% 67% 74% 71% 67% 58% 62% 72% 80%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 19 Regardless of whether you agree with her, do you like Hillary Clinton as a person? Base: Valid Cases 997 355 267 297 191 396 320 483 514 183 291 396 127 756 111 128 438 309 123 Like a lot 215 152 8 39 71 98 21 82 133 31 59 101 23 145 36 34 109 62 19 22% 43% 3% 13% 37% 25% 7% 17% 26% 17% 20% 26% 19% 19% 32% 27% 25% 20% 15% Like somewhat 281 126 33 94 68 132 54 139 142 56 84 108 33 203 40 37 140 78 33 28% 35% 12% 32% 35% 33% 17% 29% 28% 31% 29% 27% 26% 27% 36% 29% 32% 25% 27% Dislike 442 65 213 145 41 144 232 244 198 82 119 175 65 371 26 46 164 152 67 44% 18% 80% 49% 21% 36% 72% 51% 39% 45% 41% 44% 51% 49% 23% 36% 37% 49% 55% Not sure 58 12 13 19 12 21 13 18 41 13 29 11 5 38 10 11 25 17 4 6% 3% 5% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 8% 7% 10% 3% 4% 5% 9% 9% 6% 6% 3%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 20 Would you say John McCain is... Base: Valid Cases 995 354 266 296 191 395 319 483 512 183 290 393 128 756 111 127 436 309 123 Very liberal 30 14 6 10 6 11 11 17 13 2 11 13 5 21 5 4 17 5 3 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 1% 4% 3% 4% 3% 5% 3% 4% 2% 2% Somewhat liberal 91 18 36 34 4 28 55 52 39 15 20 44 12 72 7 11 34 40 6 9% 5% 14% 11% 2% 7% 17% 11% 8% 8% 7% 11% 9% 10% 7% 9% 8% 13% 5% Moderate 213 42 83 78 21 89 97 130 83 41 66 80 26 180 13 21 77 80 38 21% 12% 31% 26% 11% 23% 30% 27% 16% 22% 23% 20% 21% 24% 12% 16% 18% 26% 31% Somewhat conservative 320 113 100 97 62 140 114 162 158 44 74 141 59 247 27 45 121 97 52 32% 32% 38% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33% 31% 24% 25% 36% 46% 33% 25% 35% 28% 31% 42% Very Conservative 151 85 19 42 69 56 21 74 77 27 51 60 13 109 23 19 56 53 20 15% 24% 7% 14% 36% 14% 7% 15% 15% 15% 18% 15% 10% 14% 21% 15% 13% 17% 16% Not sure 189 81 22 36 28 70 21 47 142 54 69 55 13 127 35 27 130 34 5 19% 23% 8% 12% 15% 18% 7% 10% 28% 29% 24% 14% 10% 17% 32% 21% 30% 11% 4%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 21 Do you think John McCain... Base: Valid Cases 988 353 264 295 190 394 318 481 507 181 289 393 124 751 110 126 434 307 123 Says what he believes 547 153 196 164 86 210 211 274 272 96 145 230 76 432 41 73 219 170 84 55% 43% 75% 56% 45% 53% 67% 57% 54% 53% 50% 59% 61% 58% 37% 58% 50% 56% 68% Says what he thinks 441 199 67 131 104 183 106 206 235 86 144 163 48 319 69 53 215 136 39 people want to hear 45% 57% 25% 44% 55% 47% 33% 43% 46% 47% 50% 41% 39% 42% 63% 42% 50% 44% 32%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 22 Regardless of whether you agree with him, do you like John McCain as a person? Base: Valid Cases 996 353 267 296 190 396 320 482 514 182 291 394 128 757 110 127 437 310 123 Like a lot 155 35 62 49 14 58 72 87 68 29 36 68 22 127 11 17 60 51 25 16% 10% 23% 17% 7% 15% 23% 18% 13% 16% 12% 17% 18% 17% 10% 14% 14% 16% 20% Like somewhat 461 138 168 138 74 191 171 231 230 75 115 197 75 373 34 54 195 151 67 46% 39% 63% 46% 39% 48% 53% 48% 45% 41% 40% 50% 59% 49% 31% 42% 45% 49% 55% Dislike 231 119 25 68 69 91 48 122 110 44 74 95 18 167 31 33 106 66 24 23% 34% 9% 23% 36% 23% 15% 25% 21% 24% 26% 24% 14% 22% 29% 26% 24% 21% 19% Not sure 148 61 12 42 33 57 29 42 106 34 66 34 13 90 33 24 76 42 7 15% 17% 5% 14% 17% 14% 9% 9% 21% 19% 23% 9% 10% 12% 30% 19% 17% 14% 6%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 23 Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following candidates for President? John McCain Base: Valid Cases 994 351 266 297 193 393 318 479 515 184 291 392 127 757 109 128 436 308 122 Very favorable 137 32 60 37 9 55 62 70 67 23 36 55 22 111 7 19 62 41 18 14% 9% 23% 12% 5% 14% 19% 15% 13% 13% 12% 14% 18% 15% 7% 15% 14% 13% 15% Somewhat favorable 392 93 152 127 48 154 161 203 189 65 98 168 61 317 35 39 157 127 64 39% 26% 57% 43% 25% 39% 51% 42% 37% 35% 34% 43% 48% 42% 32% 31% 36% 41% 52% Somewhat unfavorable 236 112 34 72 70 93 57 113 123 40 88 85 23 175 22 39 100 83 22 24% 32% 13% 24% 36% 24% 18% 24% 24% 22% 30% 22% 18% 23% 20% 30% 23% 27% 18% Very unfavorable 177 95 15 52 57 71 30 84 93 37 49 74 17 124 35 19 79 48 18 18% 27% 6% 18% 30% 18% 9% 18% 18% 20% 17% 19% 13% 16% 32% 15% 18% 16% 15% Not sure 52 20 4 9 9 20 8 9 43 19 19 10 4 30 10 12 38 9 1 5% 6% 2% 3% 5% 5% 2% 2% 8% 10% 7% 2% 3% 4% 9% 10% 9% 3% 1%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 24 Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following candidates for President? Hillary Clinton Base: Valid Cases 999 355 267 296 193 395 320 482 517 184 292 396 127 759 111 128 438 311 122 Very favorable 231 162 7 41 71 109 23 81 149 38 70 99 23 154 31 45 122 64 17 23% 46% 3% 14% 37% 28% 7% 17% 29% 21% 24% 25% 18% 20% 28% 35% 28% 21% 14% Somewhat favorable 218 108 25 68 62 104 32 107 111 37 78 80 23 152 39 28 107 64 24 22% 30% 9% 23% 32% 26% 10% 22% 21% 20% 27% 20% 18% 20% 35% 21% 24% 20% 19% Somewhat unfavorable 159 45 40 61 31 74 40 77 82 38 41 57 22 126 16 15 70 45 27 16% 13% 15% 21% 16% 19% 13% 16% 16% 21% 14% 14% 18% 17% 15% 12% 16% 15% 22% Very unfavorable 362 34 192 119 24 100 219 209 154 59 95 151 57 304 23 35 122 134 54 36% 10% 72% 40% 12% 25% 69% 43% 30% 32% 32% 38% 45% 40% 21% 27% 28% 43% 44% Not sure 30 6 2 8 6 7 6 9 22 12 9 8 2 23 2 5 18 4 0 3% 2% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4% 6% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 4% 4% 1% 0%
Economist/YouGov/Polimetrix Page 25 Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following candidates for President? Barack Obama Base: Valid Cases 999 355 266 297 193 396 319 482 517 184 292 395 128 760 111 127 437 311 123 Very favorable 286 166 16 84 103 138 26 150 136 70 91 97 27 176 75 35 107 92 39 29% 47% 6% 28% 53% 35% 8% 31% 26% 38% 31% 25% 22% 23% 67% 27% 24% 30% 31% Somewhat favorable 230 93 55 64 48 112 50 104 126 35 72 95 27 171 24 35 99 76 28 23% 26% 21% 21% 25% 28% 16% 22% 24% 19% 25% 24% 21% 22% 21% 28% 23% 24% 23% Somewhat unfavorable 147 29 53 53 19 50 65 69 77 19 45 55 28 125 6 16 65 45 16 15% 8% 20% 18% 10% 13% 20% 14% 15% 10% 15% 14% 22% 16% 5% 12% 15% 15% 13% Very unfavorable 297 59 139 83 17 84 171 149 148 47 71 136 43 258 3 36 140 92 40 30% 17% 52% 28% 9% 21% 54% 31% 29% 26% 24% 34% 33% 34% 3% 28% 32% 29% 33% Not sure 40 8 3 13 6 12 6 11 30 13 13 12 3 30 4 6 25 7 0 4% 2% 1% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 6% 7% 4% 3% 2% 4% 4% 5% 6% 2% 0%