Demographic, Labor Market and Economic Trends in Oregon: Labor Supply and Workforce Development Implications Population

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Transcription:

Demographic, Labor Market and Economic Trends in Oregon: Labor Supply and Workforce Development Implications Paul E. Harrington Center for Labor Market Studies, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts Population 1

Trends in the Total Population, 1990-2000 2

Immigrant Share of Population Growth, 1990-2000 Components of Population Change, April 1 2000-July 1 2004 3

The Civilian Labor Force Trends in the Civilian Labor Force, 1990-2000 4

Trends in the Male Civilian Labor Force, 1990-2000 Trends in the Female Civilian Labor Force, 1990-2000 5

Female Share of the Growth in the Civilian Labor Force, 1990-2000 Immigrant Share of CLF Growth, 1980-90 & 1990-00 6

Labor Force Participation Rates Trends in the Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate, 1990-2000 7

Trends in the Male Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate, 1990-2000 Trends in the Female Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate, 1990-2000 8

Prime Working Age Labor Force (25-64 Years Old) Rate of Growth of the Prime Working Age (25-64) Civilian Labor Force, 1980-1990 & 1990-2000 9

Rate of Growth of the CLF, by Gender, 1980-90 & 1990-00 Trends in the 25-64 Year Old CLF in Oregon, 1990-2000 10

Labor Force Participation Rates of 25-64 Year Olds in Oregon Labor Force Participation Rates of 25-64 Year Old High School Dropouts 11

Labor Force Participation Rates of 25-64 Year Olds in Oregon, by Race Labor Force Participation Rates of 25-64 Year Olds in Oregon, by Race/Sex 12

22-34 Year Old Non-enrolled Population Labor Force Participation Rates for 22-34 Year Olds in Oregon, 1980-2000 (Non-Enrolled) 13

Labor Force Participation Rates for 22-34 Year Old Males in Oregon, 1980-2000 (Non-Enrolled) Labor Force Participation Rates for 22-34 Year Old Females in Oregon, 1980-2000 (Non-Enrolled) 14

Employment Trends Annual Average Employment, US, 1983-1988 (000) 15

Annual Average Employment, Oregon, 1983-1988 (000) Annual Average Employment, Portland PMSA, 1983-1988 (000) 16

Annual Average Employment, US, 1988-1991 (000) Annual Average Employment, Oregon, 1988-1991 (000) 17

Annual Average Employment, Portland PMSA, 1988-1991 (000) Annual Average Employment, US, 1991-2000 (000) 18

Annual Average Employment, Oregon, 1991-2000 (000) Annual Average Employment, Portland PMSA, 1991-2000 (000) 19

Annual Average Employment, US, 2000-2002 (000) Annual Average Employment, Oregon, 2000-2002 (000) 20

Annual Average Employment, Portland PMSA, 2000-2002 (000) Trends in Wage and Salary Employment in the U.S., Geographic Division, 1988-2004 by 21

Employment Change in the Northwest States 1988-2004 Trends in Wage and Salary Employment Through the Business Cycle in the Northwest and the U.S., 1988 to 2004 22

Northwest Employment by Major Industry, 1st Quarter 2001-2nd Quarter 2003 Oregon Employment by Major Industry, 1 st Quarter 2001-2 nd Quarter 2003 23

Northwest Employment by Major Industry, 2nd Quarter 2003-4th Quarter 2004 Oregon Employment by Major Industry, 2 nd Quarter 2003 4 th Quarter 2004 24

Change in Annual Average Employment, 1983-2002 Average Quarterly Employment, 2003-III to 2004-III 25

Occupational Staffing Patterns of Industries and Educational Attainment of the Workforce Occupational Staffing Patterns of Selected Industries in the U.S. 26

Occupational Staffing Patterns of Selected Industries in 2001-02 Education of Workers, by Major Occupation, U.S., 1984-85 & 2001-02 27

Education of Workers, by Major Occupation, 2001-02 Education of Workers, by Major Industry, U.S., 1984-85 & 2001-02 28

Education of Workers, by Major Industry, 2001-02 Percentage Distribution of Workers by Education, U.S. 1985-85, 2001-02 29

Percentage Distribution of Workers by Educational Attainment, 2001-02 Earnings Premium for 22-34 Year Old Non-Enrolled Persons Employed Last Year by Educational Attainment, 1980-2000 [median, 1999 dollars] 30

Earnings Premium for 22-34 Year Old Non-Enrolled Males Employed Last Year by Educational Attainment, 1980-2000 [median, 1999 dollars] Earnings Premium for 22-34 Year Old Non-Enrolled Females Employed Last Year by Educational Attainment, 1980-2000 [median, 1999 dollars] 31

Earnings Premium for 22-34 Year Old Non-Enrolled Persons Employed Full-Time Year Round Last Year by Educational Attainment, 1980-2000 [median, 1999 dollars] Earnings Premium for 22-34 Year Old Non-Enrolled Males Employed Full-Time Year Round Last Year by Educational Attainment, 1980-2000 [median, 1999 dollars] 32

Earnings Premium for 22-34 Year Old Non-Enrolled Females Employed Full-Time Year Round Last Year by Educational Attainment, 1980-2000 [median, 1999 dollars] Labor Force Participation Rates for 22-34 Year Olds in Oregon, 1980-2000 (Non-Enrolled) 33

Labor Force Participation Rates for 22-34 Year Old Males in Oregon, 1980-2000 (Non-Enrolled) Labor Force Participation Rates for 22-34 Year Old Females in Oregon, 1980-2000 (Non-Enrolled) 34

E/P Ratio for 22-34 Year Olds in Oregon, 1980-2000 E/P Ratio for 22-34 Year Old Males in Oregon, 1980-2000 35

E/P Ratio for 22-34 Year Old Females in Oregon, 1980-2000 Unemployment Rates for 22-34 Year Olds in Oregon, 1980-2000 36

Unemployment Rates for 22-34 Year Old Males in Oregon, 1980-2000 Unemployment Rates for 22-34 Year Old Females in Oregon, 1980-2000 37

Disconnected Youth Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in the U.S., 2000 38

Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Oregon, 2000 Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Portland City, 2000 39

Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Portland City North, 2000 Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Portland City East, 2000 40

Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Portland City South, 2000 Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Portland City West, 2000 41

Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Portland City Central, 2000 Labor Market Developments in Oregon Paul E. Harrington Center for Labor Market Studies Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts 42

Trends in Wage and Salary Employment in the U.S., Geographic Division, 1988-2004 by Employment Change in the Northwest States 1988-2004 43

Trends in Wage and Salary Employment Through the Business Cycle in the Northwest and the U.S., 1988 to 2004 Northwest Employment by Major Industry, 1st Quarter 2001-2nd Quarter 2003 44

Oregon Employment by Major Industry, 1 st Quarter 2001-2 nd Quarter 2003 Northwest Employment by Major Industry, 2nd Quarter 2003-4th Quarter 2004 45

Oregon Employment by Major Industry, 2 nd Quarter 2003 4 th Quarter 2004 Change in Population in the United States Divisions, 1990-2000 46

Change in Population in Northwest States, 1990-2000 Change in Population in the United States Divisions, 2000-2004 47

Change in Population in Northwest States, 2000-2004 Sources of Recent Population Changes in the U.S, by Geographic Division, 2000-2004 48

Sources of Recent Population Change in the Northwest States Household and Payroll Labor Market Developments in the Northwest, 2001-I to 2004-IV 49

Growth in the Number of Unemployed and the Unemployment Rate in the Northwest if the CPS Household Estimated are Dismissed and the CES Payroll Employment Estimates Accepted as a Measure of Aggregate Employment Change in the Northwest, 2004-IV Trends in Total Employment in the U.S. by Major Occupational Category, 2000 to 2002 (Annual Averages, Numbers in 000s) 50

Trends in Total Employment in the U.S. by Major Occupational Category, 2002 to 2004 (Annual Averages, Numbers in 000s) 51