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Transcription:

Q3 215 Financial Results

Progress and challenges in Q3 PROGRESS Hello Kazakhstan tariff plan was well received more than 1mln customers Development of Hello Kazakhstan tariff plan with introduction of caps 33, net additions to our customer base - the first quarterly increase in subscribers since Q3 214 4 Kcell branded stores were opened, 4 more in the pipeline by the end of 215 Kcell were well prepared for currency depreciation Continued high demand for mobile handsets Increase in smartphone penetration and data usage Launch of LTE expected in 216 CHALLENGES Revenues and earnings impacted by intensified competition and macro weakness EBITDA margin declined due to the increase in interconnect expenses Q2 215 Financial Results 2

Key events of Q3 215 The Board approved terms for the purchase of the 1 percent participatory interest in KazNet Media LLP by Kcell JSC and KT- Telecom LLP (1 percent subsidiary of Kcell) where TeliaSonera is the seller. This agreement replaces the Buy and Sell MoU entered into between TeliaSonera and Kcell on 26 August 212, as disclosed in the Prospectus, as to the part related to KazNet Media. The part of the said Buy and Sell MoU, which relates to Rodnik (and Kaztranscom) remains unchanged. The Board members nominated by TeliaSonera did not participate in the decision. Nominal price of the transaction is USD 5 million plus fair market value of frequencies. The total amount of the transaction will not exceed USD 7 million. Majority shareholder TeliaSonera, which holds directly and indirectly 61.9 percent of shares in Kcell, has initiated a process to reduce its presence and over time fully withdraw from Region Eurasia The value of the national currency of Kazakhstan, the Tenge, dropped about 45 percent. The exchange rate between the Tenge and US dollar moved from 185 to 27, following the Government s decision to allow a freely floating exchange rate on 2 August 215 Q3 215 Financial Results 3

Key strategic priorities Protect Company s market leading position in the most valuable, higher ARPU customer segment through bundled offerings and exclusive retail experience Continue expanding exclusive branded store concept to convert prepaid to post-paid Explore new businesses close to the Core, the OTT products (Music, TV and Movie streaming) Expedite B2B solutions pipeline and increase revenue Improve data network quality and capacity in urban areas Q3 215 Financial Results 4

Summary of Q3 215 Net sales KZT 42,756m (49,165) DECREASE OF 13.% RELATIVE TO Q3 214 Data revenue 1,51m 13.% 14.1% 31.1% Service revenue KZT 39,612m 16.1% (47,21) 48.9% DECREASE OF 16.1% RELATIVE TO Q3 214 *excluding non-recurring items (8,812) INCREASE 14.1% RELATIVE TO Q3 214 Equipment sales 3,152m (2,116) INCREASE OF 48.9% RELATIVE TO Q3 214 11.7 pp 12.3% EBITDA* KZT 19,28m (27,624) DECREASE OF 31.1% RELATIVE TO Q3 214 EBITDA* margin 44.5% (56.2) DECLINED DUE TO AN INCREASE IN INTERCONNECT EXPENSES Net income KZT 15,112m (13,457) INCREASE OF 12.3% RELATIVE TO Q3 214 Q3 215 Financial Results 5

Summary of 9 months 215 Net sales KZT 128,82m (141,37) DECREASE OF 8.8% RELATIVE TO 9M 214 Data revenue 29,54m 8.8% 15.7% 19.9% Service revenue KZT 119,447m 13.6% (138,212) 172.1% DECREASE OF 13.6% RELATIVE TO 9M 214 *excluding non-recurring items (25,55) INCREASE 15.7% RELATIVE TO 9M 214 Equipment sales 9,381m (3,447) INCREASE OF 172.1% RELATIVE TO 9M 214 7. pp 13.% EBITDA* KZT 64,725m (8,833) DECREASE OF 19.9% RELATIVE TO 9M 214 EBITDA* margin 5.2% (57.2) DECLINED DUE TO AN INCREASE IN INTERCONNECT EXPENSES Net income KZT 39,666m (45,64) DECREASE OF 13.% RELATIVE TO 9M 214 Q3 215 Financial Results 6

Market trends Hello Kazakhstan tariff plan has resulted in a market shift Significant number of off-net minutes have resulted in a pressure on the cost base Launch of new tariffs for Kcell subscribers MTR will be reduced from KZT 8. to KZT 5. starting from 1 January 216 Introduction of MNP planned for January 216 Q3 215 Financial Results 7

Innovative Hello Kazakhstan tariff plan Amid intense competition Kcell introduced Hello Kazakhstan tariff offering pre-paid data and calls to all networks nationwide Fee/ month all-net, min Data, Gb Hello KZ 3 NATIONAL 199 KZT 199 day night 18 Hello KZ 2 NATIONAL 149 KZT 149 1 Hello KZ 1 REGIONAL 129 KZT 129 4 Targets: to secure high-value subscriber segment to reduce share of multi-sim users to drive new subscriber acquisition Q3 215 Financial Results 8

Hello Kazakhstan has become the most popular tariff plan Customer share Customer profile HELLO KZ OTHER TPs 14% ARPU 2 1 8 1 6 1 4 1 2 1 8 6 4 2 1828 854 HELLO KZ OTHER TPs MoU 6 5 4 543 3 2 1 184 Revenue share HELLO KZ OTHER TPs HELLO KZ OTHER TPs MoU off-net 2 15 1 5 16 12 25% HELLO KZ OTHER TPs MboU 3 5 3 2 5 2 3 1 5 1 5 HELLO KZ 327 OTHER TPs Q3 215 Financial Results 9

Introduction of caps to Hello Kazakhstan tariff plan on-net off-net all-net The volume of bonus minutes will be divided into 2 parts: on-net & off-net minutes Hello KZ 1-129 all-net min 18 25 11 14 1-3 months 4-6 months 129 from 7th month Hello KZ 2-149 all-net min 22 3 The amount of all-net minutes will depend on subscriber s length tenure 127 119 1-3 months 4-6 months 3 4 149 from 7th month Hello KZ 3-199 all-net min 169 159 199 1-3 months 4-6 months from 7th month Q3 215 Financial Results 1

Revenue split Revenue breakdown Q3 215 Revenue breakdown Q3 214 7% 7% Voice 8% 4% Voice 24% 62% Data VAS Other 18% 7% Data VAS Other Revenue breakdown 9m 215 Revenue breakdown 9m 214 8% 7% Voice 9% 2% Voice 23% 62% Data VAS 18% 71% Data VAS Other Other Q3 215 Financial Results 11

KZT in bln KZT in bln in bln Revenue trend Net sales Service revenue 6-13.% 6-16.1% 5 4 49,2 46,3 43,1 43, 42,8 5 4 47,2 44,2 39,8 4,1 39,6 3 3 2 2 1 1 Q3 214 Q4 214 Q1 215 Q2 215 Q3 215 Q3 214 Q4 214 Q1 215 Q2 215 Q3 215 B2B revenue 3 6,% 5,8% KZT in bln bln 2 1 2,44 2,44 2,16 2,38 2,47 5,6% 5,4% 5,2% 5,% 4,8% 4,6% Q3 214 Q4 214 Q1 215 Q2 215 Q3 215 4,4% B2B Revenue % of total revenues Q3 215 Financial Results 12

Mln GB KZT in bln KZT Data usage and revenues Smartphone penetration % Average revenue per MB 45 4 35 3 25 31. 36. 38. 41. 2 15 1 5 8. 23. 1..7.9.9.6 212 213 214 Q1 215 Q2 215 Q3 215 Q3 214 Q4 214 Q1 215 Q2 215 Q3 215 Data traffic Data revenue 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 +93.9% 16,2 1, 1,6 11,2 8,3 Q3 214 Q4 214 Q1 215 Q2 215 Q3 215 12 11 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 9,6 9,9 1,1 8,8 7,6 Q3 214 Q4 214 Q1 215 Q2 215 Q3 215 Data services % of total revenues 25,% 2,% 15,% 1,% 5,% Q3 215 Financial Results 13

KZT Operational data Minutes of usage (MOU) Blended ARPU 25 2 15 189 21 187 198 235 1 4 1 2 1 8 1,349 1,3 1,186 1,227 1,224 1 6 4 5 2 Q3 214 Q4 214 Q1 215 Q2 215 Q3 215 Q3 214 Q4 214 Q1 215 Q2 215 Q3 215 Total traffic & ARMU (KZT) 6 5,959 6,154 5,683 5 5,737 6,23 4 3 2 1 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Q3 214 Q4 214 Q1 215 Q2 215 Q3 215 Traffic mln minutes ARMU, Q3 215 Financial Results 14

Financial highlights KZT in millions, except per share data, number of shares and changes Q3 215 Q3 214 Change(%) 9M 215 9M 214 Change (%) Net sales 42,756 49,165-13.% 128,82 141,37-8.8% of which service revenue 39,612 47,21-16.1% 119,447 138,212-13.6% EBITDA* 19,28 27,624-31.1% 64,725 8,833-19.9% EBITDA margin (%) 44.5 56.2 5.2 57.2 Operating income 12,849 17,912-28.3% 45,977 58,8-21.8% Operating income* 12,849 21,551-4.4% 46,34 62,645-26.1% Net income 15,112 13,457 12.3% 39,666 45,64-13.% Earnings per share (KZT) 75.6 67.3 12.3% 198.3 228. -13.% CAPEX to sales (%) 11.5 9.5 8.4 6.3 Free cash flow 12,169 17,887 26,579 52,88 *excluding non-recurring items Q3 215 Financial Results 15

KZT in bn EBITDA performance EBITDA* development Interconnect expenses 3 25 2 15 1 5 27,6 56,2% 24,5 55,3% 52,9% 51,6% 23,8 22,2 44,5% 19, 5,% 4,% 3,% KZT in bn 1 8 6 4 2 6,6 6,1 4,2 4,8 57,4% 7,6 Q3 214 Q4 214 Q1 215 Q2 215 Q3 215 2,% Q3 214 Q4 214 Q1 215 Q2 215 Q3 215 % margin EBITDA* margin Q3 215 of 44.5% vs. 56.2% in Q3 214 EBITDA* margin 9m 215 of 5.2% vs. 57.2% in 9m 214 *excluding non-recurring items Q3 215 Financial Results 16

CAPEX-to-sales ratio Focus on network optimisation and quality CAPEX-to-sales ratio Expanding 3G population coverage Migration to convergent billing system planned for Q4 215 15% 1% 14,7% 12,2% 11,2% 11,5% 9,5% 5% % FY12 FY13 FY14 Q3 14 Q3 15 Q3 215 Financial Results 17

Dividends The AGM, which was held on 17 April 215, approved the annual dividend payment, representing 7 percent of the company s net income for the full year of 214 The AGM has also approved the payment of a Special Dividend, representing 3 percent of the Company s net income for 214 The Dividends totalled KZT 58,26 million, or KZT 291.3 per ordinary share/gdr The record date of shareholders entitled to receive the dividends was 2 April 215 The Annual Dividend was paid on 29 April 215, and the Special Dividend was paid on 8 October 215 Q3 215 Financial Results 18

Legal overview UPDATE ON DAYTIME UNLIMITED In compliance with the order on 22 July 215, the Company started refunding its Kcell brand subscribers for the period from January 212 to September 213 In accordance with an agreement reached with the Agency for Competition Protection of the Republic of Kazakhstan (the ACP ), the Company has started to refund its subscribers for the subsequent period Since Kcell brand subscribers are being refunded for services rendered, the Company's tax liabilities will be reduced Q2 215 Financial Results 19

Legal overview ADMINISTRATIVE SANCTIONS The Committee for Regulation of Natural Monopolies and Competition Protection under RK Ministry of National Economy has identified signs of violations of dominant position by the Company, namely the partial restriction of international traffic from Kazakhtelecom during the period between March 213 and December 214. In accordance with the order of the Almaty City Specialised Interdistrict Administrative Court, an administrative fine of 5 percent of monopoly gain, or KZT 252,66,251, was imposed on Kcell JSC, without confiscation of monopoly gains, under Article 159 Part 3 of the Administrative Offence Code of the Republic of Kazakhstan. The order came into force on 16 October 215. The fine has been paid in full. Q2 215 Financial Results 2

Q&A

Income statement KZT in millions, except per share data, number of shares and changes Q3 215 Q3 214 Change (%) 9m 215 9m 214 Change (%) Revenues 42,756 49,165-13. 128,82 141,37-8.8 Cost of sales -24,418-22,271 9.6-66,989-61,61 8.7 Gross profit 18,337 26,894-31.8 61,83 79,698-22.4 Selling and marketing expenses -2,347-2,851-17.7-7,171-8,973-2.1 General and administrative expenses Other operating income and expenses, net -3,28-2,62 16.4-8,946-7,851 13.9-113 -3,529 263-4,73 Operating income 12,849 17,912-28.3 45,977 58,8-21.8 Finance costs and other financial items, net 6,638-245 4,951-745 Income after financial items 19,487 17,666 1.3 5,928 58,55-12.3 Income taxes -4,375-4,21 3.9-11,262-12,451-9.6 Net income 15,112 13,457 12.3 39,666 45,64-13. Earnings per share (KZT), basic and diluted 75.5 67.3 198.3 228. Q3 215 Financial Results 22

Balance sheet KZT in millions ASSETS 3 Sep 215 31 Dec 214 Intangible assets 14,93 12,494 Property, plant and equipment 98,966 18,955 Other non-current assets 734 145 Total non-current assets 114,63 121,594 Inventories 1,637 2,336 Trade and other receivables 18,29 14,543 Cash and cash equivalents 38,958 19,52 Total current assets 58,624 36,399 Total assets 173,254 157,993 EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Share capital 33,8 33,8 Retained earnings 39,68 58,274 Total equity attributable to owners of the parent company 73,48 92,74 Deferred tax liabilities 4,932 4,442 Other long-term liabilities 1,323 1,376 Total non-current liabilities 6,255 5,818 Short-term borrowings 5,162 25,2 Trade payables and other current liabilities 43,357 35,81 Total current liabilities 93,519 6,11 Total equity and liabilities 173,254 157,993 Q3 215 Financial Results 23

Statement of cash flows KZT in millions Q3 215 Q3 214 9m 215 9m 214 Cash flow before change in working capital 15,386 22,956 52,242 68,572 Change in working capital 2,369 2,91-6,356-2,954 Cash flow from operating activities 17,755 25,47 45,886 65,618 Cash CAPEX -5,586-7,16-19,37-13,53 Free Cash Flow 12,169 17,887 26,579 52,88 Cash flow before financing activities 12,169 17,887 26,579 52,88 Cash flow from financing activities 3,3-3,8-15,482-52,112 Cash flow for the period 15,469 14,87 11,97-24 Cash and cash equivalents, opening balance 15,452 4,85 19,52 18,916 Cash flow for the period 15,469 14,87 11,97-24 Exchange rate difference 8,37-8,341 - Cash and cash equivalents, closing balance 38,958 18,892 38,958 18,892 Q3 215 Financial Results 24

Financial key ratios 3 Sep 215 31 Dec 214 Return on equity* 63.2 63.3 Return on capital employed* 84. 75.7 Equity/assets ratio 42.4 58.3 Net debt/equity ratio 13.5 6. Net debt/ebitda** rate.13.5 **Rolling 12 months **Rolling 12 months, excl. non-recurring items Q2 215 Financial Results 25

Forward looking statement Statements made in this document relating to future status or circumstances, including future performance and other trend projections are forward-looking statements. By their nature, forwardlooking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements due to many factors, many of which are outside the control of Kcell. Q3 215 Financial Results 26