Koenig & Bauer AG at Berenberg Discovery Conference USA 26 th October 2017, New York. Mathias Dähn, CFO

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Transcription:

at Berenberg Discovery Conference USA 26 th October 2017, New York Mathias Dähn, CFO

Agenda Highlights Q2 2017 Business performance H1 2017 Guidance for 2017 and mid-term targets for 2017-2021 2

Successful Print China, interpack and METPACK trade fairs Print China sales exceeding our expectations Strong customer interest in new solution for printing 2-piece beverage cans Sales launch of CS MetalCan in 2018 following intensive field tests First MetalDecojet sold, a digital press for metal decorating Print China METPACK 3

Service initiative bearing first fruits In H1 service revenue increased from 130m to 146m y-o-y Service share of revenue expanded from 23% to 27% Customized solutions including networked printing factory (KBA 4.0) Customer-oriented web shops with many new features 4

Agenda Highlights Q2 2017 Business performance H1 2017 Guidance for 2017 and mid-term targets for 2017-2021 5

Positive Group business performance Sharp gains in orders from packaging markets and service areas Prior-year order intake slightly above H1 2017 due to large security press orders Revenue slightly below prior year due to more deliveries in H2 Strong order backlog of 621m Order intake 01.01. - 30.06. Revenue 01.01. - 30.06. Order backlog 31.12.16/30.06.17 618.8 601.9 553.9 538.9 557.5 620.5 2016 2017 Q1: 266.3 321.5 Q2: 352.5 280.4 2016 2017 Q1: 258.8 259.1 Q2: 295.1 279.8 2016 2017 Q1: 582.4 619.9 Q2: 639.8 620.5 Group figures as per IFRS in m 6

Solid Group earnings Gross profit margin of 29.6% at a high level 16.3m EBIT in H1 2017, prior-year figure of 20.7m influenced by catch-up effect in Q2 ( 4.9m) after completion of a large security project and higher revenue Positive earnings momentum with rising revenue in H2 2015 2016 H1 2016 H1 2017 Gross profit margin 26.8% 29.7% 30.7% 29.6% EBIT 35.9m 62.9m 1) 20.7m 16.3m EPS 1.62 4.98 1.05 0.93 1) adjusted for the non-recurring income Group figures as per IFRS 7

Group income statement Group figures as per IFRS in m H1 2016 H1 2017 Revenue 553.9 538.9 Cost of sales -383.6-379.5 Gross profit 170.3 159.4 Research and development costs -28.1-24.5 Distribution costs -77.3-67.9 Administrative expenses -38.3-46.0 Other operating income./. expenses -5.9-4.7 Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) 20.7 16.3 Interest result -2.9-0.4 Earnings before taxes (EBT) 17.8 15.9 Income tax -0.6-0.7 Net profit 17.2 15.2 8

Group cash flow statement Group figures as per IFRS in m H1 2016 H1 2017 Earnings before taxes 17.8 15.9 Non-cash transactions 23.8 17.8 Gross cash flow 41.6 33.7 Changes in inventories, receivables, other assets -51.4-53.8 Changes in provisions and payables -0.8 0.1 Cash flows from operating activities -10.6-20.0 Cash flows from investing activities -3.8-45.5 Free cash flow -14.4-65.5 Cash flows from financing activities -1.8-7.3 Change in funds -16.2-72.8 Effect of changes in exchange rates -1.4-1.7 Funds at beginning of period 186.3 202.0 Funds at end of period 168.7 127.5 9

Group balance sheet Assets in m 31.12.2016 30.06.2017 Non-current assets Intangible assets and property, plant and equipment 239.5 240.0 Investments/other financial receivables 15.9 48.1 Other assets 0.1 0.2 Deferred tax assets 64.9 61.2 320.4 349.5 Current assets Inventories 293.4 321.8 Trade receivables 209.0 222.6 Other financial receivables 14.2 16.2 Other assets 26.6 38.1 Securities 19.9 14.7 Cash and cash equivalents 202.0 127.5 765.1 740.9 Group figures as per IFRS 1,085.5 1,090.4 Equity and liabilities in m 31.12.2016 30.06.2017 Equity Share capital 43.0 43.0 Share premium 87.5 87.5 Reserves 206.8 224.4 Equity attrib. to non-controlling interests 0.5 0.6 337.8 355.5 Non-current liabilities Pension provisions 212.5 204.0 Other provisions 23.2 18.7 Bank loans/other financial payables 9.4 9.3 Other liabilities 1.0 1.3 Deferred tax liabilities 22.0 21.6 268.1 254.9 Current liabilities Other provisions 180.5 171.4 Trade payables 59.0 50.1 Bank loans/other financial payables 94.5 93.6 Other liabilities 145.6 164.9 479.6 480.0 1,085.5 1,090.4 10

Order intake, revenue and profit up in Sheetfed 12% rise in orders, high demand from packaging sector and Print China in May 6% more sales y-o-y, order backlog of 256m Strong profit increase to 12m due to higher revenue with better margins and lower costs Order intake 01.01. - 30.06. Revenue 01.01. - 30.06. EBIT 01.01. - 30.06. 290.8 236.3 291.7 307.8 8.6 12.1 2016 2017 Q1: 135.7 152.0 Q2: 155.1 174.3 2016 2017 Q1: 154.6 150.0 Q2: 137.1 157.8 2016 2017 Q1: 5.7 4.6 Q2: 2.9 7.5 Group figures as per IFRS in m 11

Digital & Web invests in future markets Solid order intake of 86m, good order backlog of 94m Service business and digital corrugating printing are major revenue sources EBIT influenced by KBA-Flexotecnica (- 3.1m), optimizations target speeding up growth in flexible packaging Clear earnings improvement in Digital & Web without the flexo activities Order intake 01.01. - 30.06. Revenue 01.01. - 30.06. EBIT 01.01. - 30.06. -2.7-2.8 90.1 85.7 75.5 68.3 2016 2017 Q1: 48.7 57.7 Q2: 41.4 28.0 2016 2017 Q1: 30.9 30.4 Q2: 44.6 37.9 2016 2017 Q1: -2.6-2.3 Q2: -0.1-0.5 Group figures as per IFRS in m 12

Strong EBIT margin of 7.7% in Special Gains in orders for metal, glass/hollow container decorating and coding systems Prior-year order intake and revenue above H1 2017 due to large security press orders Order backlog of 285m, promising projects in security printing Prior-year EBIT with strong catch-up effect of 4.9m from security printing Order intake 01.01. - 30.06. Revenue 01.01. - 30.06. EBIT 01.01. - 30.06. 269.5 216.3 222.9 189.2 22.1 14.6 2016 2017 Q1: 100.3 125.7 Q2: 169.2 90.6 2016 2017 Q1: 85.6 87.8 Q2: 137.3 101.4 2016 2017 Q1: 1.0 4.6 Q2: 21.1 10.0 Group figures as per IFRS in m 13

Agenda Highlights Q2 2017 Business performance H1 2017 Guidance for 2017 and mid-term targets for 2017-2021 14

Guidance and targets for 2017 Organic growth of up to 1.25bn in Group revenue EBIT margin of around 6% Further revenue and market share gains in packaging and digital printing Next growth step in service business Start of external funding of pensions liabilities to reduce longevity risks ( 65m over 5 years, in H1 2017: 32.4m) 15

Targets for 2017-2021 Revenue: target organic growth rate of 4% p.a. Profits: target 4-9% EBIT margin on Group level Resilience: reduce volatility and risks New equipment in packaging printing expected to grow at Ø 4%, 70% of revenues in packaging will give a base growth rate of Ø 2,8% Further growth to come from expanding service revenues in all divisions as well as from market share growth Evaluation of strategic options in security printing to create growth, as equipment revenue increase is limited 70m profit increase through the optimization of security printing business and growth in service business ( 20m each) together with an integrated production network and strategic purchasing ( 15m each) Depending on global macro, end markets and growth-related spending, margin base EBIT with almost no interest paid Targeted service revenue share of 30% to support earnings stability >45% equity ratio, with dividend policy of 15-35% of Group net income Net working capital target range of 20-25 % of revenue 16

Backup 17

Long-term trends Sustainable growth in packaging and industrial printing No substitution risk through digitisation Digital printing as growth option Global lift: growing global population, more people are moving to the middle class, higher per capita income Demographic change: increasing life expectancy, urbanization and shrinking average household size, higher variety of packaging sizes Home shopping: booming online shopping and deliveries, high returned-goods ratios, unboxing becomes part of the shopping and brand experience Brand acceleration: product and production cycles are getting shorter and shorter, more product variants, packaging as brand messenger Democratic change: higher prospects for prosperity due to increasing economic freedom for people across the world Personalization: people want individualized products from sneakers to wallpaper and flooring 18

Focus on profitable growth Focus 2014: restructuring and clean-up Termination or successful redesign of all loss-making businesses Comprehensive restructuring including heavy cost-cutting Introduction of strong corporate governance: accountable management, no cross-subsidies, zero tolerance for loss-makers Focus 2015-2016: increased profitability Unprecedented margin targets set at the beginning of 2015, largely achieved or exceeded already in 2016 Main strategic focus on packaging and industrial printing Focus 2017-2021: growth in all businesses Based on this solid groundwork and after a decade of revenue decline, the company will now adopt growth in all business fields as the center pillar of its endeavors All businesses should contribute to the intended growth 19

KBA is focusing on the growing packaging market Global packaging volume CAGR +4% Global GDP +3.5%, world population +1.1% to +1.5% Trend towards sophisticated packaging, booming online retail with high returned-goods ratios, smaller sizes due to more single-person households and increasing legal regulations as additional drivers 80% of growth expected from Asia Annual packaging consumption per capita in kilo 74.2 70.1 63.3 Ø 69.2 33.4 Ø 19.9 20.2 22.9 2.9 Japan USA Germany Brazil Russia India China Source: Smithers Pira 20

Biggest potential in flexible packaging, corrugated and cardboard Above-average growth on high market volumes Different growth rates in the various packaging markets Highest growth rates and market volume in flexible packaging, corrugated board and cardboard Attractive end-user industries (40% outer and transport packaging, 30% food, 10% drinks and 10% healthcare/cosmetics) CAGR growth rates 2015-2020 in % 4.4 4.3 4.2 Ø +4% 3.8 3.3 2.5 Flexible packaging Corrugated board Rigid Cardboard Glass plastics Metal Source: Smithers Pira 21

Expansion steps in cardboard and flexible packaging Cardboard packaging International market and technology leader with highly complex, tailored sheetfed presses Global market share of 45% New industrial digital sheetfed press VariJET 106 targets folding carton market Combines inkjet printing strengths with traditional inline finishing Flexible packaging Entry into the big press market 3½ years ago by acquiring Flexotecnica Sophisticated technology for film printing Global market share rose to 6% through more extensive use of KBA sales network Optimisations at KBA-Flexotecnica target speeding up growth in flexible packaging 22

Twin-track entry into future market of corrugated board Direct corrugated printing Re-entry into direct corrugated printing with the flexo presses CorruCut/CorruFlex New generation of sheetfed flexo presses for direct corrugated printing developed Analogue print processes dominate with a market share of around 95% Digital pre-prints of corrugated liners Promising partnership with HP More flexibility in formats and run lengths World s largest inkjet printing press HP T1100S with paper width of 2.8m Particularly successful after being launched in December 2015 23

Successful entry into the growing die-cutter market Flatbed and rotary die-cutters Flatbed die-cutters for heavy cardboard and corrugated making good progress Order intake, revenue, EBIT in H1 at KBA-Iberica well above expectations Internally developed inline rotary die-cutter sets benchmarks, already several sales Good growth opportunities in the die-cutter market 24

Expansion steps with new products/markets Metal decorating Global leading supplier for 3-piece cans Strong customer interest in new solution for printing 2-piece beverage cans Sales launch of CS MetalCan in 2018 following intensive field tests First MetalDecojet sold, a digital press for metal decorating Glass/hollow container decorating Entry into glass direct decoration through acquiring Kammann in summer 2013 International market leader for the direct decoration of premium glass containers for cosmetics, perfume, spirits Newly developed hybrid solutions with digital, screenprinting and hot-stamping 25

Expansion steps with new products/markets Marking and coding systems Growing KBA-Metronic offers coding and marking solutions for all industries, special focus on future markets in Asia Technologies include inkjet, laser, hot stamping, thermal transfer Newly developed betajet xenio for marking difficult surfaces and materials made from plastic, glass, metal and even silicon with a high resolution 26

Growth focus also on industrial applications / service business New applications and markets Primary focus on industrial applications such as digital decor printing of furniture, floors Visible future prospects for digital applications with huge potential, however depending on printers propensity to switch process Expand service business Integrated management of sales/service network across all Group units Targeted expansion in growth markets Asia, Africa and Latin America Expand service offerings with customized solutions High customer satisfaction as leading principle Strong customer competitiveness through tailor-made, innovative solutions with premium quality and convincing service Optimization of all relevant internal processes Improved customer loyalty with sinking complexity costs 27

Growth focus also on industrial applications Own digital platform with our KBA RotaJET Addressing a wide range of applications such as industrial, packaging, commercial and publication printing Several installations in digital decor and book printing Currently enhancing the systems for new applications in industrial and packaging printing 28

Disclaimer: The projections contained in this presentation were founded on data available at the time of issue. While management believes them to be accurate, the impact of external factors beyond its control, such as changes in the economy, exchange rates and in our industry, may give rise to a different outcome from that projected. The outlook contains no meaningful portfolio effects and influences relating to legal and official matters. It also depends on ongoing earnings growth and the absence of disruptive temporary market changes. KBA therefore accepts no liability for transactions based upon these projections. www.koenig-bauer.com