Chapter 1. Globalization and the Multinational Corporation Cambridge University Press 1-1

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Chapter 1 Globalization and the Multinational Corporation 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-1

1.1 Introduction Globalization Increasing connectivity and integration of countries and corporations and the people within them in terms of their economic, political, and social activities Multinational corporations Produce and sell goods or services in more than one nation BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China) offer a lot of opportunities for expansion International scope creates opportunities but also challenges Recent crisis 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-2

1.2 Globalization and the Growth of International Trade and Capital Flows The growth of international trade Trade liberalization so countries can specialize at production of goods for which they have a comparative advantage 1960s only 20% of countries were open By 2000, over 70% of countries were open Free Trade agreements GATT (1947) WTO (1986) Regional Trade agreements (European Union, NAFTA, ASEAN) Outsourcing Shifting of non-strategic functions to specialist firms 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-3

1.2 Globalization and the Growth of International Trade and Capital Flows The growth in trade Germany is most open, United States is least open China s trade jumped due to trade reforms Countries that border oceans tend to trade more Large countries tend to trade less than small 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-4

1.2 Globalization and the Growth of International Trade and Capital Flows Incredible growth in MNCs after WWII 37,000 MNCs in 1990 82,053 in 2010 More than 50% of international trade occurs within MNCs Globalization of financial markets Trends in financial openness Countries began to allow foreigners to invest in their markets (1980s) Creation of new asset class emerging markets New financial landscape derivatives An investment whose payoff over time is derived from the performance of underlying assets (futures, forwards ) Securitization repackaging of pools of loans or other receivables to create a new financial instrument 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-5

Exhibit 1.1 (Panel A) International Trade as a Percentage of GDP 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-6

Exhibit 1.1 (Panel B) International Trade as a Percentage of GDP 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-7

Exhibit 1.1 (Panel C) International Trade as a Percentage of GDP 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-8

1.2 Globalization and the Growth of International Trade and Capital Flows Globalization of financial markets Pros and cons of development Pro banks (and companies) could hedge against risk Cons smart financiers exploit differences in country-specific regulations and complexity of instruments created opaqueness in the financial system Global Financial Crisis 2008 2010 Started in U.S. Longest and deepest in the postwar era Scale and depth of crisis raises deep issues about the functioning of the global financial system 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-9

1.3 Multinational Corporations Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) When a company from one country buys at least 10% of a company in another country Has grown from $7.5 trillion in 2000 to $25.0 trillion in 2015 Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) play a huge role in this trend 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-10

Exhibit 1.5 Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-11

Exhibit 1.6 Cross-Border Mergers and Acquisitions, 2000 2015 (in millions of dollars) 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-12

1.4 Other Important International Players International banks International institutions International Monetary Funds (IMF) Member organization whose goal is to ensure the stability of the international monetary and financial system through surveillance and technical assistance The World Bank Member organization whose goals are development, poverty alleviation and advising IBRD middle-income countries IDA poorest countries IFC grow private sector of developing nations 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-13

International Monetary Fund The IMF monitors and regulates the international monetary system One of its main functions is to provide advice and policy recommendations to emerging markets and LDCs It also monitors the financial systems in member countries It provides loans to countries that have difficulties repaying sovereign debt It usually imposes conditions on policy goals in return for making these loans. 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-14

2018 Cambridge University Press 1-15

World Bank The World Bank borrows on international financial markets, and makes loans to middleincome and developing countries. Many loans to developing countries are at subsidized rates. There are also a number of regional lenders, or multilateral development banks, such as the Inter-American Development Bank or the Asian Development Bank A new multilateral lender sponsored by China is the Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-16

2018 Cambridge University Press 1-17

1.4 Other Important International Players Multilateral development banks Regional development banks (including World Bank and regional banks in Africa, Asia and Europe) who provide financing and grants World Trade organization (WTO) Mediates trade disputes Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Examines, devises and coordinates policies across 34 relatively wealthy nations to foster sustainable economic growth and employment, rising standards of living and financial stability Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Fosters international monetary and financial cooperation central banks central bank 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-18

World Trade Organization The WTO is a forum for negotiating international trade agreements Developed from GATT the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade. The key principle is the Most Favored Nation clause There is a WTO court for settling trade disputes The WTO vs. regional trade agreements The WTO vs. bilateral trade agreements 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-19

2018 Cambridge University Press 1-20

Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development The OECD is an organization of rich countries It coordinates economic policy and provide a forum for policy discussions 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-21

Bank for International Settlements The BIS is a forum for international financial regulation It hosted the meetings that established the Basel Accords The same building hosts the Financial Stability Board that monitors macro-financial risks in member countries The BIS also manages reserves for central banks around the world that don t have the capabilities of doing that themselves. 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-22

1.4 Other Important International Players European Union (EU) Cooperation among countries in this region and (in most cases) the adoption of the same currency to promote international business Economic and monetary union (EMU) Governments Individual investors Institutional investors Sovereign wealth funds Government-run investment pools Hedge funds Private equity funds 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-23

2018 Cambridge University Press 1-24

European Central Bank The ECB sets monetary policy for member of the European Monetary Union (EMU), and in particular, the euro area 19 countries in Europe use the euro as their currency Pros and cons of a single currency 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-25

2018 Cambridge University Press 1-26

1.5 Globalization and the MNC: Benefactor or Menace? Countries who had opened their markets to foreigners subsequently fell into crisis Benefits of openness Channels savings to most productive uses Sharing of risk beyond what is possible domestically Domestic recessions can be buffered through borrowing Cost of capital decreases Costs of openness Sometimes capital is not used wisely Foreign capital can leave quickly causing financial volatility Difficulty in taxing profits MNCs shift to avoid Capital control effectiveness decreases 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-27

Capital Mobility Much of the analysis of the textbook assumes capital flows freely across borders However, many countries have restrictions both on capital inflows and outflows. Capital inflows are foreign investments into a country loans, purchases of equity, etc. Capital outflows are domestic investments into another country Capital inflows include repatriation by domestic investors of foreign investments Capital outflows include repatriation by foreign investors of domestic investments We can get some sense of capital controls from the Fernandez et al. paper 2018 Cambridge University Press 1-28

2018 Cambridge University Press 1-29

2018 Cambridge University Press 1-30

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2018 Cambridge University Press 1-35