Puma Energy : Fourth quarter & full year 2018 results Thursday 28 th March Puma Energy

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Transcription:

Puma Energy : Fourth quarter & full year 2018 results Thursday 28 th March 2019 Puma Energy

The opportunity for Puma Energy Unique footprint, great people & strong business fundamentals in high potential markets New purpose and mission: energising communities Stronger governance + new board and board committee members New appointments to the executive committee Clear priorities for 2019 & new performance management framework Focus on operational basics: reduce leverage & maintain capital and cost discipline Clear strategic path to sustainable growth in the medium term 2

Strategic Priorities 1) Safe delivery of the business plan FY 18 EBITDA in line with expectations set in Q3 Now focused on delivering 2019 plan as first priority 2) Strategic review Immediate implementation of insights on operational performance Streamlining internal processes to create a leaner organisation 3) Portfolio review Good progress Expect to close small non-core asset divestments during 2019; more strategic adjustments of the portfolio to follow 3

Financials

2018 Market Context & Puma Response Puma Energy s margins deteriorated in 2018, due to currency devaluations in a number of markets and to higher oil price volatility 90 ICE Brent crude price (in $) 100 Currency Index Weighted by Puma Energy top 20 countries 1 80 95 70 90 60 85 50 80 40 Jan-19 Oct-18 Jul-18 Apr-18 Jan-18 Oct-17 Jul-17 Apr-17 Jan-17 Oct-16 Jul-16 Apr-16 Jan-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 75 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Actions have been maintained to mitigate the impacts Strict working capital discipline leading to higher cash conversion Selective divestments of small non-strategic assets, such as Langsat terminal in Malaysia and our operations in Peru Capex and opex reductions across the business 5 1 Top 20 countries in terms of gross margin contribution

2018 Performance Record sales volumes: 24.8 million m 3 Annual turnover: US$ 18 billion Gross profit: US$ 1,460 million EBITDA: US$ 554 million Operating cash flow: US$ 927 million Investment in infrastructure: US$ 231 million 18 additional retail stations, 13 new airports, 2 new terminals 6

Key Highlights US$ million Q4 2018 2017 % 2018 2017 % FY Sales volume (k m³) 6,450 6,070 +6% 24,824 22,794 +9% Throughput volume (k m³) 4,110 4,224-3% 15,089 16,634-9% Gross profit 363 443-18% 1,460 1,672-13% EBITDA 134 184-27% 554 740-25% Net capex 96 81 +19% 231 298-22% Cash flow from operations 129 142-9% 927 477 +95% 7 Sales volumes have continued to increase across all regions and segments Gross profit impacted by: - Unit margins at historical low levels due to FX but stabilized in Q4 vs Q3 - Currency devaluation stabilized in Angola but still price freeze - Competitive environment in Australia leading to reduced unit margins EBITDA similar to Q3 continued to be affected by unit margin impact YTD reduced net capex spending, fully financed by operating cash flows

Business Segmentation US$ million Downstream Midstream Downstream Midstream Q4 '18 Q4 '17 % Q4 '18 Q4 '17 % FY '18 FY '17 % FY '18 FY '17 % Volume (k m³) 6,411 5,868 +9% 4,149 4,426-6% 24,208 21,924 +10% 15,705 17,504-10% Gross profit 322 378-15% 41 65-37% 1,285 1,445-11% 174 227-23% Unit margin (US$/m³) 50 64-22% 10 15-33% 53 66-19% 11 13-14% 54 * 72 * -24% n/a n/a n/a 59 * 72 * -18% n/a n/a n/a EBITDA 111 146-24% 23 38-38% 462 607-24% 92 133-30% Downstream Higher volumes across all regions and segments Lower unit margins due to currency devaluations in many markets, however stable in Q4 vs Q3 Midstream Lower throughput volumes in Africa and Europe Gross profit and EBITDA impacted by lower volumes at terminals, and somewhat lower refining margins EBITDA decrease linked to lower unit margins 8 (*) Not including UK volumes and gross profit

Geographic Segmentation (1/2) Q4 18 Q4 17 FY 18 FY 17 Sales volume (k m³) 6,450 6,070 726 675 1,647 1,279 1,898 1,767 2,179 2,349 24,824 22,794 2,643 2,273 6,050 5,130 6,973 6,552 9,158 8,839 Gross profit (US$ million) 363 26 116 123 98 443 18 119 174 132 1,460 1,672 85 82 446 424 461 603 493 538 9 Europe Asia Pacific Africa Americas

Geographic Segmentation (2/2) Q4 18 Q4 17 FY 18 FY 17 184 740 EBITDA (US$ millions) 134 7 29 55 43 38 85 62 554 17 147 11 98 288 188 257 288 Net Capex* (US$ million) 96 3 41 18 34 81 6 21 31 23 231 9 68 49 105 298 47 171 67 10 (*) Capex are shown net of proceeds from the disposal of assets and investments Europe Asia Pacific Africa Americas

Investment FY 18 vs. 17 FY 18 US$ 252 million FY 17 US$ 359 million Acquisitions 21m / 8% Acquisitions 61m / 17% Organic growth 231m / 92% Organic growth* 298m / 83% 11 (*) Capex are shown net of proceeds from the disposal of assets and investments

Key Performance Indicators Q4 Q3 Q4 2018 2018 2017 Number of countries 48 49 49 Number of service stations 3,082 3,130 3,064 Number of terminals 106 105 104 Storage capacity (mil. m 3 ) 7.7 7.6 8.3 Key statistics Exited Peru and disposed of a 20% stake in Langsat terminal in Malaysia Acquired small retail networks in Lesotho and Ivory Coast Finalized the construction of terminals in Panama and Colombia Number of airports 84 83 71 Headcount 8,278 8,412 8,333 Started operations at 13 new airports, in South Africa, Mozambique, Senegal and Panama 12

Cash Flows US$ million Q4 Q3 FY 2018 2017 2018 2018 2017 Net cash flow from operations 129 142 538 927 477 Net cash flow used in investing (101) (98) (61) (248) (359) Net cash flow from financing 29 17 (428) (467) 89 Days of sales out-standing (3 rd party) 12 11 13 12 13 Days of inventory 19 25 24 20 29 Increase in operating cash flows, positively impacted by movements in working capital Investing cash flows reflect reduced capex and acquisition spending Operating cash flows have been used for interest and debt repayments Slight decrease in DSO coupled with a reduction in our DIO. 13

Capital Structure US$ million Q4 Q3 Q4 2018 2018 2017 Dec 18 capital structure Cash (644) (606) (519) Inventories (910) (1,157) (1,088) OpCo Debt 389 310 461 Senior Facilities 1,292 1,314 1,807 Net Debt / EBITDA multiple at 3.3x, in line with capital structure policy Reduced gross debt by $257m and net debt by $204m Unsecured HoldCo debt represents 88% of Group s debt Senior Notes 1,679 1,683 1,349 US$1.4bn or 41% of debt maturing within more than 5 years Total net debt 1,806 1,545 2,010 x LTM EBITDA 3.3 2.6 2.7 14

Summary of Change for the Covenant Definitions Consolidated Net Worth ( CNW ) current definition CNW new definition Existing threshold for this covenant is set at $1.5bn including the accounting Foreign currency translation reserve as per financial statements New threshold is set at $2.2bn excluding the accounting Foreign currency translation reserve Interest Cover Ratio ( ICR ) current definition ICR new definition The Interest Cover Ratio (ICR) shall not be less than 2.5x for any Measurement Period New threshold is set at 2.25x for the following periods ending: 30 June 2019 30 September 2019 31 December 2019 Thereafter ICR shall not be less than 2.5x for any Measurement Period 15

Outlook

2019 Outlook On track to deliver budget for Q1 Focused on operational basics: reducing leverage & maintaining capital and cost discipline 2019 full year operational performance budgeted to be similar to 2018 Strategic review well underway: immediate implementation of insights e.g. in retail and B2B : Good progress on portfolio review : actively working on small non-core divestments expect to close during 2019; more strategic adjustments to portfolio to follow Challenges not to be underestimated, but CEO s first 3 months confirm her initial view of Puma Energy s strong platform in fast-changing energy landscape 17

Thank you Questions & Answers 18

Appendices

Appendix 1 Maturity Profile 1,076 638 750 450 1,076 376 179 130 138 750 638 13 179 73 117 138 < 1yr > 1yr > 2yrs > 3yrs > 4yrs > 5yrs > 6yrs OpCo debt HoldCo debt US$ million Total < 1yr > 1yr > 2yrs > 3yrs > 4yrs > 5yrs > 6yrs HoldCo debt 2,971 73 117 1,076 179 138 638 750 OpCo debt 389 376 13 - - - - - Gross debt 3,360 450 130 1,076 179 138 638 750 % of Total 13% 4% 32% 5% 4% 19% 22% 20

Appendix 2 Debt Covenants Threshold Dec18 ratio Tangible net worth > $ 1.5 bn $ 1.6 bn Net debt / EBITDA < 3.5 x 3.3x Interest coverage ratio > 2.5 x 2.8x

Disclaimer These materials may contain forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of the Company. One can identify forward-looking statements by terms such as expect, believe, estimate, project, forecast anticipate, intend, will, could, may, or might, the negative of such terms or other similar expressions. These forwardlooking statements include matters that are not historical facts and statements regarding the Company s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies and the industry in which the Company operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The Company cautions you that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that the Company s actual results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies and the development of the industry in which the Company operates may differ materially from those described in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in these materials. In addition, even if the Company s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies and the development of the industry in which the Company operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in these materials, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in future periods. The Company does not intend to update these statements to reflect events and circumstances occurring after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events and expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to do so. Many factors could cause the actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements of the Company, including, among others, general economic conditions, the competitive environment, risks associated with operating in the states where the Company operates, as well as many other risks specifically related to the Company and its operations. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its shareholders, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in these materials. None of the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers or any other person accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of the contents of this presentation or otherwise arising in connection therewith. These materials contain the term EBITDA, which is an alternative measure of performance that is not required by, or presented in accordance with, requirements relating to the preparation of annual accounts according to the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). EBITDA has limitations as an analytical tool, is not a measurement of financial performance under IFRS and should not be considered as (i) an alternative to operating or net income or cash flows from operating activity, in each case determined in accordance with IFRS, (ii) an indicator of cash flow or (iii) a measure of liquidity. Moreover, other companies in the Company s industry and in other industries may calculate EBITDA differently from the way that the Company does, limiting their usefulness as comparative measures. 22