First-Quarter 2009 Earnings Presentation

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Transcription:

First-Quarter 2009 Earnings Presentation Anne Mulcahy Chairman & CEO Ursula Burns President Larry Zimmerman Executive Vice President & CFO April 24, 2009

Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The words anticipate, believe, estimate, expect, intend, will, should and similar expressions, as they relate to us, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These statements reflect management s current beliefs, assumptions and expectations and are subject to a number of factors that may cause actual results to differ materially. These factors include but are not limited tothe unprecedented volatility in the global economy; the risk that unexpected costs will be incurred; the outcome of litigation and regulatory proceedings to which we may be a party; actions of competitors; changes and developments affecting our industry; quarterly or cyclical variations in financial results; development of new products and services; interest rates and cost of borrowing; our ability to protect our intellectual property rights; our ability to maintain and improve cost efficiency of operations, including savings from restructuring actions; changes in foreign currency exchange rates; changes in economic conditions, political conditions, trade protection measures, licensing requirements and tax matters in the foreign countries in which we do business; reliance on third parties for manufacturing of products and provision of services; and other factors that are set forth in the Risk Factors section, the Legal Proceedings section, the Management s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations section and other sections of our 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of new information or future events or developments, except as required by law. 2

Anne Mulcahy

Business Dynamics Q1 EPS of 5 cents In line with updated guidance provided March 20 Challenging economy significantly impacted Q1 results Pressure on hardware and supplies sales Declines in developing markets Continued negative impact from currency Conservative expectations for economy in 2009. Priorities: Drive cash generation Capture restructuring and cost/expense savings Strengthening industry leadership Expanded technology and services portfolio Launch breakthrough solid ink platform Continued focus on strong balance sheet and cash flow 4

First-Quarter Overview GAAP EPS $0.05 per share Adjusted EPS 1 $0.07, excludes $0.02 Fuji Xerox restructuring Total revenue impacted by economic environment; down 18%, 12% CC Post sale down 14%, 8%CC driven by lower supplies revenue and developing markets Equipment down 30%, 26% CC Gross margin 38.9% Impacted by transaction currency and lower supplies sales SAG percent of revenue 28.2% SAG lower by $120M driven by restructuring cost actions and currency Solid balance sheet and cash flow performance Cash from operations $22M consistent with 2008 and on track, driven by working capital Debt down $485M from Q4 2008 5 1 Adjusted Diluted EPS: see slide 21 for explanation of non-gaap measures Constant currency (CC): see slide 21 for explanation of non-gaap measures

Business Metrics Revenue Growth (17%) (9%) @ CC $1,053M Production (15%) (8%) @ CC (18%) (13%) @ CC $2,011M Office Overview Equipment down 26% at CC in Q1 Impact of global economic declines Post Sale down 8% at CC in Q1 Driven by lower supplies and paper sales Install base growth offset by page volume declines Continued inventory management in indirect channels Install activity declines in most segments $1,365M Color (33%) $361M Developing Markets Significant pressure in developing markets igen4 demand strong 6 Constant currency (CC): see slide 21 for explanation of non-gaap measures

Larry Zimmerman

Earnings (in millions, except per share data) Revenue Gross Margin R,D&E SAG SAG % of Revenue Operating Income Operating Income % of Revenue Other, net 2 Net Income Equity Loss Tax Rate GAAP EPS After Tax Adjustments Q1 09 Fuji Xerox Restructuring Adjusted Diluted EPS 1 Q1 2009 $ 3,554 38.9% $ 204 $ 1,004 28.2% $ 173 4.9% $104 $ 42 $ (10) 24.4% $ 0.05 $ 0.02 $ 0.07 Economic impact on equipment, supplies, indirect channel inventory management Mix and transaction currency Benefits from cost actions Benefits from restructuring cost actions and currency Cost improvements drive Operating Income Driven by interest expense and currency $38M Fuji Xerox lower performance, includes $22M Fuji Xerox restructuring Prior year adjusted tax rate was 20% 1 Compared to guidance of 3 to 5 cents 8 1 Adjusted Tax Rate and Adjusted Diluted EPS: see slide 21 for explanation of non-gaap measures 2 Includes net income attributable to noncontrolling interest of $7M

Cash Flow (in millions, except per share data) Net Income Depreciation and amortization Restructuring payments Inventories Accounts Receivable and Billed Portion of Finance Receivables Accounts Payable and Accrued Compensation Finance Receivables Equipment on Operating Leases Other Cash from Operations CAPEX Acquisitions Other Cash from Investing Net Debt Payments Other Cash from Financing Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents Ending Cash and Cash Equivalents Q1 2009 Q1 2008 $ 42 169 (87) (105) 167 (168) 113 (63) (46) $ 22 (65) (145) 3 $ (207) (442) (40) $ (482) (680) $ 549 $ (244)* 145 (37) (129) (28) (183) 124 (77) 481* $ 52 (71) (4) 10 $ (65) 158 (408) $ (250) (257) $ 842 FY on track for $1.3B Cash from Operations driven by working capital improvements and cost actions Inventory and Accounts Payable use of cash but improved from last year. On track for significant FY improvement. Accounts Receivable source of $167M of cash CAPEX on track for $300M FY $900M of term debt repaid, revolver balance at $749M Net $485M reduction in debt 9 *Q1 2008 net income includes an after tax charge of $491M related to a securities litigation provision. An equivalent offsetting amount was recorded in cash from operations as no litigation payments were made in Q1 2008.

Monthly Average Rate $ millions 1,600 1,200 800 400 0 Balanced Debt Maturities* Debt Ladder 2009 2010 15 yr putable notes* Translation US$ to Euro 1.60 1.55 1.50 1.45 (13)% Qtrly Mvt 1.40 1.35 1.30 US$ to Euro 1.25 1.20 Jan Mar Jun Sep 08 Dec 2011 2012 2013 2014 Currency Mar 09 Yen 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 Jan 08 2015 2016 2017 2018+ Debt repaid 1/15/09 Transaction US$ and Euro to Yen Euro US$ (23)% Qtrly Mvt (11)% Qtrly Mvt Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar 09 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% Receivables Provisions and write-offs as a % of Receivables in line with Q4 Write-offs % Receivables Bad Debt Provision% Receivables Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Capital Structure Cash flow from Operations ~$1.3B CAPEX $300M / Dividend $150M Debt reduced by over $1B $2B Credit Facility / Amended Capital markets open and available 10 *2009 assumes $439M put under private placement in Q3 (final maturity 2022) and 2010 assumes $257M put under private placements (final maturity 2023). 2009 includes 1/15/09 repayment of senior notes of approximately $900M

First-Quarter Post-Sale Revenue (in millions) Post Sale Q1 2009 $ 2,784 Growth 1 (14%) Post-sale revenue impacted primarily by lower supplies and paper sales Tight inventory management CC* Growth Post Sale at CC* (8%) Developing markets post sale down 24% MIF stable but volumes down Q1 2008 $3,237 Finance income Outsourcing 195 795 (14) (22) (0.4)% (0.7)% Q1 2009 Post Sale Key Indicators Service and rental 1,157 (42) (1.3)% Color Total Digital Paper 262 (58) (1.8)% Revenue @ CC (3)% (7)% Supplies and other 583 (109) (3.4)% MIF 27% 3% Q1 2009 $2,992 (7.6)% Pages 16% (4)% DMO 287 (93) (2.9)% 11 *Constant currency (CC): see slide 21 for explanation of non-gaap measures. 1 Actual growth - Finance income (0.9)%; Outsourcing (2.5)%; Service and rental (4.0)%; Paper (2.5)%; and Supplies and other (4.0)% MIF (Machines in Field) exclude printers, developing markets & GIS. Digital revenue excludes GIS. Pages includes estimates for developing markets, GIS and printers

Anne Mulcahy

Expectations Flow through from restructuring and cost actions $550M in savings Cash in line with full-year expectations Driven by working capital and cost actions New products and services: affordability and cost savings proposition Full-year 2009 guidance, current conditions lead to $0.50 - $0.55 Q2 2009 $0.10 - $0.12 13

Supplemental Slides

Color Performance Total Color Revenue Quarterly Color Trends $1,602M $1,365M Total Revenue (15%) (-8 @ CC) Color Revenue: % of Post Sale Q1 2007 34% Q1 2008 37% Q1 2009 39% $1,136 $1,018 Post Sale (10%) (-3% @ CC) % of Equipment % of Total Revenue 48% 37% 48% 40% 53% 42% Color Pages: Growth 29% 32% 16% $466 $348 Equipment (25%) (-19% @ CC) % of Total Pages 11% 14% 19% Q1 2008 Q1 2009 15 Constant currency: see slide 21 for explanation of non-gaap measures Color revenue excludes GIS results Color pages exclude GIS, developing markets and printers in 2007 and 2008

Production Segment Production Revenue Production Overview Q1 $1,271M $1,053M Total Revenue (17%) (-9% @ CC) Performance impacted by worsening economic environment $988 $844 Post Sale (15%) (-7% @ CC) Equipment declines driven by lower activity Lower page volumes impact post sale, but MIF growth remains positive $283 $209 Equipment (26%) (-19% @ CC) igen growth positive Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Install Growth 1 Production Monochrome Production Color Q1 2009 (29%) (6%) 16 Constant currency: see slide 21 for explanation of non-gaap measures Beginning in 2008, developing markets results are included in the results of the Production, Office and Other segments 1 Install growth includes Xerox-branded product shipments to GIS

Office Segment 17 $2,447M $1,691 $756 Office Revenue $2,011M $1,487 $524 Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Total Revenue (18%) (-13% @ CC) Post Sale (12%) (-6% @ CC) Equipment (31%) (-27%@ CC) Office Overview Q1 Performance impacted by worsening economic environment Equipment declines driven by lower activity especially through channels Segment 1 performance driven by developing markets Lower supplies sales drive post sale decline MIF growth remains positive Office B&W Copiers/MFDs Segments 1 (11-20) ppm Segments 2-5 (21-90) ppm 2 Office Color MFDs Color Printers Install Growth 1 Constant currency: see slide 21 for explanation of non-gaap measures Beginning in 2008, developing markets results are included in the results of the Production, Office and Other segments 1 Install growth includes Xerox-branded product shipments to GIS 2 Segments 2-5 (21-90) ppm includes 95 ppm, segment 6 device with an embedded controller Q1 2009 (45%) (85%) 9% (21%) (22%)

Developing Markets Developing Markets Revenue $537M $361M Total Revenue (33%) Developing Markets Overview Q1 Performance significantly impacted by worsening economic environment $380 $157 $287 $74 Post Sale (24%) Equipment (53%) Lower equipment and supplies inventory held by distributors Decline impacted by significant currency movement in Q1 Q1 2008 Q1 2009 18 Beginning in 2008, developing markets results are not reported as a separate segment, but are included within the results of the Production, Office and Other segments

Cost Action Status 2008 Restructuring 2009 Savings Objective $250M Q1 2009 Savings ~ $ 60M 2009 Incremental Cost Actions 2009 Savings Objective $300M Minimal benefit Q1 SAG: realigned marketing, HR and training infrastructure; reductions in Finance, IT Gross Margin Technical service and managed services efficiencies Site consolidation R,D&E: Integrated development and engineering $100M transportation and product cost $100M labor related savings Hiring freeze / capture attrition No salary increases Suspend US 401(k) match / equivalent actions internationally $100M travel, facilities, other non-labor 19

Appendix

Non-GAAP Financial Measures Constant Currency : To better understand trends in our business, we believe that it is helpful to adjust revenue to exclude the impact of changes in the translation of foreign currencies into U.S. dollars. We refer to this adjusted revenue as constant currency. Currencies for developing market countries (Latin America, Brazil, Middle East, India, Eurasia and Central-Eastern Europe) that we operate in are reported at actual exchange rates for both actual and constant revenue growth rates because (1) these countries historically have had volatile currency and inflationary environments and (2) our subsidiaries in these countries have historically taken pricing actions to mitigate the impact of inflation and devaluation. Management believes the constant currency measure provides investors an additional perspective on revenue trends. Currency impact can be determined as the difference between actual growth rates and constant currency growth rates. Adjusted EPS : To better understand the trends in our business, we believe that it is helpful to adjust diluted earnings per share for the first quarter 2009 to exclude the effect of the first quarter 2009 Fuji Xerox restructuring. Management believes that excluding the effects of these items enables investors to better understand and analyze the current periods results and provides a better measure of comparability given the discrete nature of these charges. A reconciliation of this non-gaap financial measure and the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP is set forth on slide 22. Adjusted Effective Tax Rate : The effective tax rate for the first quarter 2008 is discussed in this presentation using a non- GAAP financial measure that excludes the effect of charges associated with securities-related litigation matters. Management believes that it is helpful to exclude this effect to better understand, analyze and compare the prior period s income tax expense and effective tax rate to the current period amounts given the discrete nature and size of this item in the prior period. A reconciliation of this non-gaap financial measure and the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP is set forth on slide 23. Management believes that these non-gaap financial measures provide an additional means of analyzing the current periods results against the corresponding prior periods results. However, these non-gaap financial measures should be viewed in addition to, and not as a substitute for, the Company s reported results prepared in accordance with GAAP. 21

Adjusted Diluted EPS Reconciliation Q1 2009 Adjusted Diluted EPS Net Income EPS (in millions, except per share data) As Reported $ 42 $ 0.05 Adjustments: Fuji Xerox Restructuring 22 0.02 As Adjusted $ 64 $ 0.07 22

Adjusted Effective Tax Rate Reconciliation Adjusted Tax Rate (in millions) Pre-tax Incom e Q1 2008 Income Taxes Tax Rate As Reported $ (509) $ (246) 48.3% Provision for securities litigation matters 795 304 As Adjusted $ 286 $ 58 20.3% 23