RESEARCH EIH Ltd. Key Indicators as on 04/09/2015 Source: Ace Equity Closing Price (`) 100.15 EPS (`) - TTM 1.94 P/E - TTM 51.67 BV per Share (`) 45.66 PB 2.19 Yield (%) 1.10 Mkt Cap (` Crore) 5724.57 Borrowing as on Mar-15 418.11 Beta 0.55 EV/Sales - TTM 4.43 EV/PBIDTA - TTM 19.56 EV/PBDT - TTM 21.55 EV/PAT - TTM 53.65 EV/Cash Profit - TTM 25.46 PBDITA ` in Crores TTM 303.95 Face Value 2 Shares Outstanding crores 57.16 Equity Share capital in ` Crores 114.32 Share holding (%) June-2015 Promoters 35.25 Institutions 16.17 Non-Institutions 48.53 GDR 0.05 BUY Best Buy - 90 Investment Highlights: Company stands to gain if GDP improves Despite the slowdown of economy, the company has managed to grow net sales by 8% CAGR & EBDITA excl OI by 11% CAGR between FY09 FY15 Improving economy leads to increase in Occupancy rates & Average Room Rate (ARR) Stock available at a discount to its Intrinsic Value as per Valuation per room basis Outperformed among its peers considering following aspects Able to sustain its margins Better Cost management Lowest leverage ratio among peers with marginal debt Location Advantage Managed to generate free cash flow from FY 2013 onwards Completion of couple of hotel projects will increase revenue from FY 2016 onwards Pg. 1
Mar-94 Mar-95 Mar-96 Mar-97 Mar-98 Mar-99 Mar-00 Mar-01 Mar-02 Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Investment Rationale: Company stands to gain if GDP improves Despite the slowdown of economy, company has managed to grow net sales by 8% CAGR & EBDITA excl OI by 11% CAGR between FY09 FY15 Improving economy leads to increase in Occupancy rates & Average Room Rate (ARR) The company has the potential to grow at a better pace as and when the economy improves which also benefits the bottomline. Growth peaked out in FY2008 due to global meltdown as top line dipped from Rs.1222.9 crores in FY2008 to Rs.912.2 crores in FY2010. ` in crores Net sales EBDITA excl OI Mar-02 399.8 46.8 Mar-03 423.9 37.8 Mar-04 478.8 69.8 Mar-05 609.1 138.1 Mar-06 811.0 279.2 Mar-07 1062.5 327.7 Mar-08 1222.9 401.1 CAGR 20% 43% Mar-09 1036.4 210.9 Mar-10 912.2 110.7 Mar-11 1251.0 272.6 Mar-12 1407.2 335.5 Mar-13 1468.5 301.7 Mar-14 1546.6 340.2 Mar-15 1668.3 388.1 CAGR 8% 11% Current occupancy level of 62% gives room for improvement as & when the economy picks up thus increasing ROCE% 40 30 20 ROCE (%) 10 0 Pg. 2
Stock available at a discount to its Intrinsic Value as per valuation per room basis As per valuation per room, the stock is available at a discount to its Intrinsic Value Particulars Rs.in cr Valuation 14709 Intrinsic Value/Share 257.3 Market Valuation 5724.6 CMP 100.1 Valuation Owned Properties Rooms Rate/room Value in ` crores Comments Mumbai 1273 8 10184 Assigning value more than Delhi Delhi 439 6 2634 As per Hotel Leela s Delhi Hotel Annual Report 14 http://goo.gl/jljwkf Bangalore 160 4 640 Average value as per other recent deals Kolkata 209 4 836 Average value as per other recent deals Udaipur 87 2.8 244 As per valuation of Lakshmi Vilas Hotel in Udaipur http://goo.gl/snngg4 Ranthambhore 25 2.8 70 Average value as per other recent deals Total Owned Rooms 2193 14608 INVESTMENTS EIH Associated Hotels Ltd. Associate Company Total Intrinsic Value 14709.1 Market Capitalization 5724.6 EIH holds 36.81% stake 101.1 As on 28/8/15 Highly Undervalued Outperformed among its peers considering following aspects Able to sustain its margins 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% EBDITA excl OI% Indian Hotel EIH Pg. 3
Note: we have excluded / Included from EBIDTA o Exceptional item, o Claims, gain on foreign exchange and incomes from non recurring every year (Others in OI) o Added Exceptional expenses (loss on foreign exchange and donation) Better management cost Company has managed to reduce its expenditures as compared to its peers Operating Exp% of Sales Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 EIH 79% 78% 81% 78% 80% Hotel Leela Venture 72% 97% 83% 80% 81% Indian Hotel 84% 84% 86% 86% 88% Lowest leveraged ratio among peers with marginal debt EIH Indian Hotels Hotel Leela Venture Debt ` in crores 418.1 5074.5 4905.0 Debt/Equity Ratio 0.18 2.34 198.32 Debt/EBIDTA 1.16 8.21-154 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Borrowings - EIH Ltd. Pg. 4
Location Advantage Location of many Hotels of EIH are placed and built in such a way that it is almost impossible to build a property of that stature in future due to lack of available space. Some of the examples like The Trident & The Oberoi in Mumbai and other leisure hotels in Rajasthan & Shimla are iconic properties which are difficult to replace or replicate. Managed to give free cash flow after FY 2013 Year ` in crores CFO Purchase of FA Sale of FA Equity Dividend Paid Interest Paid Net Cash Flow Mar-07 214.2-254.3 7.6-25.9-115.4-173.9 Mar-08 275.9-336.9 22.4-54.8-91.4-184.8 Mar-09 228.6-317.7 8.0-70.9-98.4-250.6 Mar-10 78.4-376.4 9.5-48.2-108.9-445.5 Mar-11 362.3-237.0 66.7-53.9-171.9-33.9 Mar-12 277.8-191.1 14.4-61.6-79.4-39.8 Mar-13 207.2-176.7 10.0-68.1-76.9-104.6 Mar-14 298.7-109.4 3.3-66.9-53.5 72.2 Mar-15 321.1-149.8 6.6-72.0-34.1 71.8 Completion of couple of hotel projects will increase revenue from FY 2016 onwards Luxury residential-cum-retail venture with an 18-hole golf course in UAE Oberoi-branded villas at Marrakesh (Morocco) 20-acre luxury-villas property adjoining a 400-acre forest in Chandigarh Company Profile: EIH, incorporated in 1949, is engaged in business of operating and managing luxury hotels, restaurants, management contracts and travel and tours. This Delhi-based company is a flagship company of the Oberoi group. Formerly known as East India Hotels, the name was changed to EIH on November 1, 1996. P R S Oberoi is a chairman of the company and Vikram Oberoi is a managing director of the company. Holding as on June 2015 % Promoters 35.25% Non-Promoters Reliance Industrial Investments & Holdings Ltd. 18.53% ITC Ltd. 14.98% LIC 5.67% Pg. 5
GIC 1.75% Reliance MF 1.87% Russell Credit Ltd. (100% Subsidiary of ITC Ltd) 1.15% Total Non-Promoters 43.95% Floating stock 20.8% Quarterly Results (Standalone) DESCRIPTION (` in crores) Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Gross Sales 350.77 355.65 280.91 283.42 374.67 384.08 299.38 Net Sales 350.77 355.65 280.91 283.42 374.67 384.08 299.38 Other operating income 4.18 3.95 3.21 2.66 3.71 8.65 3.04 Net Sales & Other Operating Income 354.95 359.60 284.12 286.08 378.38 392.73 302.42 Total Expenditure 255.84 280.83 243.80 258.59 271.28 286.70 262.25 Operating & Manufacturing Expenses 167.17 204.69 160.04 159.24 175.87 206.73 167.18 Employee Cost 88.67 76.14 83.76 99.35 95.41 79.97 95.07 PBIDT (Excl OI) 99.11 78.77 40.32 27.49 107.10 106.03 40.17 Other Income 0.17 6.76 8.46 9.65 0.19 6.70 6.62 Operating Profit 99.28 85.53 48.78 37.14 107.29 112.73 46.79 Interest 10.84 8.71 7.47 8.38 8.33 6.43 4.99 Exceptional Items 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.99 PBDT 88.44 76.82 41.31 28.76 98.96 106.30 52.79 Depreciation 24.70 24.36 30.51 31.73 32.78 29.06 29.13 PBT 63.74 52.46 10.80-2.97 66.18 77.24 23.66 Tax 22.72 16.02 4.39-1.66 22.56 29.33 3.80 PAT 41.02 36.44 6.41-1.31 43.62 47.91 19.86 From NAYAN M. VALA SECURITIES PVT.LTD.RESEARCH Analyst Certification We /I, Maulik Shah, MBA, Ashwini Sonawane, MMS, Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report; hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. Disclaimers and Disclosures-: Nayan M Vala Securities Pvt. Ltd. (CIN- U67120MH2005PTC152929) is a Broking Firm and a 1st batch member of The National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (NSE) since 1994. Nayan M Vala Securities Pvt. Ltd. is a corporate trading member of Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (BSE), National Stock Exchange of India Limited (NSE), MCX Stock Exchange Limited (MCX-SX). Nayan M Vala Securities Pvt. Ltd. is engaged in the business of stock broking (Institutional and retail) and depository participant. Nayan M Vala Securities Pvt. Ltd. Is now Registered as a Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, Pg. 6
2014. The Registration Number is INH000000677. NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. hereby declares that it has not defaulted with any stock exchange nor its activities were suspended by any stock exchange with whom it is registered in last five years. NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. has not been debarred from doing business by any Stock Exchange / SEBI or any other authorities; nor has its certificate of registration been cancelled by SEBI at any point of time. NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. offers research services to clients as well as prospects. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Other disclosures by Nayan M Vala Securities Pvt. Ltd. (Research Entity) and its Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 with reference to the subject company(s) covered in this report-: This document has been prepared by the Research Division of NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. and is meant for use by the recipient only as information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. It should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the same. Neither NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accepts any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The suitability or otherwise of any investments will depend upon the recipient's particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from an independent expert/advisor. NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. or its associates may have financial interest in the subject company. Research Analyst or his/her relative s financial interest in the subject company - NO NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. or its associates and Research Analyst or his/her relative s does not have any material conflict of interest in the subject company. The Research Analyst or (NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD.) have not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. or its associates does not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities of the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of Research Report. Research Analyst or his/her relatives have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities of the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of Research Report - NO NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. or its associates have received any compensation for brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months - NO NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. or its associates have received any compensation or other benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the research report. Subject Company has been the client of NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. or its associates during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and NAYAN M VALA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. may has co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months. - NO The Research Analyst has served as officer, director or employee of the subject company - NO Our salespeople, traders, and other professionals may provide oral or written market commentary or trading strategies to our clients that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed herein, and our proprietary trading and investing businesses may make investment decisions that may be inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. Pg. 7
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