Investor Presentation Second Quarter September 6, 2018

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Transcription:

Investor Presentation Second Quarter 2018

Disclaimer Forward-Looking Statements This presentation dated includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements, other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation, including statements concerning Duluth Holdings Inc.'s (dba Duluth Trading Company) ( Duluth Trading or the Company ) plans, objectives, goals, beliefs, business strategies, future events, business conditions, its results of operations, financial position and its business outlook, business trends and certain other information herein are forward-looking statements, including its ability to execute on its growth strategies. You can identify forward-looking statements by the use of words such as may, might, will, should, expect, plan, anticipate, could, believe, estimate, project, target, predict, intend, future, budget, goals, potential, continue, design, objective, would and other similar expressions. The forward-looking statements are not historical facts, and are based upon Duluth Trading's current expectations, beliefs, estimates, and projections, and various assumptions, many of which, by their nature, are inherently uncertain and beyond Duluth Trading's control. Duluth Trading's expectations, beliefs and projections are expressed in good faith, and Duluth Trading believes there is a reasonable basis for them. However, there can be no assurance that management's expectations, beliefs, estimates, and projections will be achieved and actual results may vary materially from what is expressed in or indicated by the forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual performance or results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements, including, among others, the risks, uncertainties, and factors set forth under Part 1, Item 1A Risk Factors in Duluth Trading s Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on March 21, 2018, and other factors as may be periodically described in Duluth Trading s subsequent filings with the SEC. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date the statements are made. Duluth Trading assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect actual results, subsequent events or circumstances or other changes affecting forwardlooking information except to the extent required by applicable securities laws. Non-GAAP Measurements Management believes that non-gaap financial measures may be useful in certain instances to provide additional meaningful comparisons between current results and results in prior operating periods. Within this presentation, reference is made to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA). See Appendix Table Reconciliation to Adjusted EBITDA, for a reconciliation of net income to EBITDA and EBITDA to Adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA is a metric used by management and frequently used by the financial community, which provides insight into an organization s operating trends and facilitates comparisons between peer companies, since interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization can differ greatly between organizations as a result of differing capital structures and tax strategies. Adjusted EBITDA excludes certain items, such as stock-based compensation. The Company provides this information to investors to assist in comparisons of past, present and future operating results and to assist in highlighting the results of on-going operations. While the Company s management believes that non-gaap measurements are useful supplemental information, such adjusted results are not intended to replace the Company s GAAP financial results and should be read in conjunction with those GAAP results. 2

Introduction to Duluth Trading Co.

Duluth Trading Co. at a Glance Workwear Heritage is the Foundation of our Authentic, Everyday Lifestyle Brand Long History of Product Innovation and Solution-Based Design Humorous and Distinctive Marketing Outstanding and Engaging Customer Experience Nationwide Omnichannel Presence with Controlled Distribution OMNI 4

Investment Highlights Rapidly growing lifestyle brand with well-established direct business Multiple revenue growth opportunities Build brand awareness to expand customer base Expand retail presence with attractive unit economics Grow women s business Broaden men s assortment Strategic investments support long-term EBITDA margin expansion Strong balance sheet Seasoned and passionate management team with meaningful equity stake 5

Sales and Adjusted EBITDA Strong track record of 20%+ revenue and Adjusted EBITDA growth Strategic investments support long-term objectives Net Sales Adjusted EBITDA 1 ($ in millions) ($ in millions) $232 $304 $376 $471 $565 $27 $34 $41 $46 $53 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 1 Adjusted to reflect the add-back of stock compensation expense. 6

Growth Strategy

Growth Strategies 1 2 3 4 Build Brand Awareness Expand Retail Presence Grow Women s Business Broaden Assortment in Select Men s Product Categories 8

Build Brand Awareness Digital Advertising Paid-for search and banner ads Social media (organic and sponsored) Targeted emails TV Advertising Strategically placed national ads Memorable, humorous ads Catalog Captivating storytelling Product layouts Local marketing Radio and cinema In-store events 9

Expand Retail Presence Identified markets with ~100 potential store locations Utilize direct segment data to determine markets with existing customer base Focus on regions with demographic that aligns with target customer Geographic diversity indicates significant white space opportunity 39 stores opened at end of second quarter Highly attractive unit economics Full Line Outlet Announced new stores $450 net sales per selling square feet in Year 1 Average 4-wall margin in mid-20 s percent Average payback < 2 years Top 3 Markets: New York, California, Texas 10

Markets Grow with New Stores & Improve Over Time Total Sales in a store market grow up to 3X with the presence of retail Direct sales growth accelerates in store markets 18 to 24 months after opening, as evidenced by the higher growth rates in older store markets Average Increase in Total Sales in New Store Markets (2013 2016) 1 Before Store Markets Grew 2.9X After Store FY17 vs FY16 2 Direct Segment YOY Sales Growth Rate Sub-Segment "A" - Markets with stores opened in 2016 and older 9% 12% Sub-Segment "B" - Markets with stores opened in 2015 and older 22% 1 Represents combined retail and direct sales in the store market. Excludes shipping revenues. 2 Excludes shipping revenues. 11

Retail Stores Attract New, More Valuable Customers Retail customers more likely to shop across channels, categories, and spend more Multi-Channel Buyers ~ 3X Higher Multi-Category Buyers ~ 2X Higher Sales Per Customer 25% Higher Retail Buyer Direct Segment Buyer Retail Buyer Direct Segment Buyer Retail Buyer Direct Segment Buyer Note: Data based on internal 12-month active buyer file. 12

Grow Women s Business Net sales increased 37% in 2017 Continued customer acquisition through marketing investments and retail presence Expand product offering to address more of her lifestyle Introduce plus sizes in Fall 2018 ($ in millions) $110 $81 $29 $44 $61 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 13

Broaden Assortments in Select Men s Categories Net sales increased 22% in 2017 Extend core products through color, fabric and size Increase penetration in spring and transitional product (rain, midweight jackets, etc.) Continue to introduce products that expand occasions for wear Expansion of closet share in subbrands Duluth-Built Business Wear Alaskan Hardgear brand 14

Financial Review

Year Ended January 28, 2018 Net Sales Gross Profit ($ in millions) Direct Retail $376 $66 $471 $141 ($ in millions) $214 $261 $310 $331 2016 (1/29/2017) 2017 (1/28/2018) 2016 (1/29/2017) Margin 56.9% 2017 (1/28/2018) 55.4% Adjusted EBITDA 1 Net Income 2 ($ in millions) ($ in millions) $41 $46 $21 $23 Margin 2016 (1/29/2017) 10.9% 2017 (1/28/2018) 2016 (1/29/2017) 2017 (1/28/2018) 9.8% Margin 5.7% 5.0% 1 Adjusted to reflect the add-back of stock compensation expense. 2 Excludes net income attributable to noncontrolling interest. 16

Three Months Ended July 29, 2018 Net Sales Gross Profit ($ in millions) ($ in millions) Direct Retail $86 $29 $111 $50 $49 $62 $58 $61 3 mos. 2017 (6/30/2017) 3 mos. 2018 (6/29/2018) 3 mos. 2017 (6/30/2017) Margin 56.7% 3 mos. 2018 (6/29/2018) 56.2% Adjusted EBITDA 1 Net Income 2 ($ in millions) ($ in millions) $13.1 $6.4 $9.5 $4.3 Margin 3 mos. 2017 (6/30/2017) 11.0% 3 mos. 2018 (6/29/2018) 3 mos. 2017 (6/30/2017) 3 mos. 2018 (6/29/2018) 11.8% Margin 5.0% 5.8% 1 Adjusted to reflect the add-back of stock compensation expense. 2 Excludes net income attributable to noncontrolling interest. 17

Six Months Ended July 29, 2018 Net Sales Gross Profit ($ in millions) Direct Retail $170 $48 $211 $84 ($ in millions) $98 $118 $121 $127 6 mos. 2017 (6/30/2017) 6 mos. 2018 (6/29/2018) 6 mos. 2017 (6/30/2017) 6 mos. 2018 (6/29/2018) Margin 57.4% 56.0% Adjusted EBITDA 1 Net Income 2 ($ in millions) ($ in millions) $12.1 $15.7 $4.6 $5.7 6 mos. 2017 (6/30/2017) 6 mos. 2018 (6/29/2018) 6 mos. 2017 (6/30/2017) 6 mos. 2018 (6/29/2018) Margin 7.1% 7.5% Margin 2.7% 2.7% 1 Adjusted to reflect the add-back of stock compensation expense. 2 Excludes net income attributable to noncontrolling interest. 18

Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity ($ in millions) As of July 29, 2018 Cash $ 2.4 Debt: SRV Term Loan 1.5 Line of Credit 35.0 Total Debt 36.5 Total Shareholders' Equity 145.3 Total Capitalization $ 181.8 Commentary $2.4 million of cash with $36.5 million of debt outstanding 1 $130 million credit facility ($80 million revolver and $50 million of term loan capacity) Fiscal 2018 expected capital expenditures, net of proceeds from finance lease obligations, of $45 million to $55 million 2 Debt to Capital ratio 20.0% 1 As of July 29, 2018, $1.5 million of such debt includes noncontrolling interest which is consolidated as a variable interest entity. 2 Fiscal 2018 capital expenditures primarily include the Company s plan to open 15 retail stores, investments in technology and infrastructure improvements. 19

FY 2018 Guidance 2017 Actual 2018 Guidance Assumptions Net Sales $471.4M $555M to $575M Direct mid-single digit growth; Retail $215M-$225M Adjusted EBITDA $46.4M $51M to $54M 10% to 16% YOY Growth EPS $0.72 $0.79 to $0.84 26% tax rate and 32.4 million shares o/s CAPEX 1 $42.8M $45M to $55M 15 new store openings in FY 2018 1 Net of proceeds from finance lease obligations. 20

Long-Term Targets 2017 Actual Long-term Goal Assumptions Net Sales $471.4M ~$1 Billion Open ~15 stores per year 50-60% retail stores / 40-50% direct 50-60% Adjusted EBITDA 9.8% Low double digits Stable gross margin Margin Rate Leverage expenses Benefits from IT / omnichannel investments CAPEX $42.8M $220M New stores and remodels Over 5 years Technology and infrastructure investments 21

Investment Highlights Rapidly growing lifestyle brand with well-established direct business Multiple revenue growth opportunities Build brand awareness to expand customer base Expand retail presence with attractive unit economics Grow women s business Broaden men s assortment Strategic investments support long-term Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion Strong balance sheet Seasoned and passionate management team with meaningful equity stake 22

Appendix

Reconciliation to Adjusted EBITDA ($ in millions) 3 Months Ended 6 Months Ended Fiscal Year Ended January January July 29, July 30, July 29, July 30, 28, 29, 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 Net Income $ 6.5 $ 4.4 $ 5.8 $ 4.8 $ 23.6 $ 21.5 (+) Depreciation & Amorization 2.8 1.7 5.1 3.3 7.3 4.7 (+) Interest Expense, net 1.2 0.4 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.2 (+) Income Tax Expense 2.2 2.7 2.0 2.9 11.9 13.5 EBITDA $ 12.7 $ 9.2 $ 14.9 $ 11.5 $ 44.8 $ 39.9 Adjustments (+) Non-Cash Stock Based Compensation Expense 0.4 0.3 0.9 0.6 1.6 1.2 Adjusted EBITDA $ 13.1 $ 9.5 $ 15.7 $ 12.1 $ 46.4 $ 41.2 ($ in millions) Forecasted Fiscal Year ended February 3, 2019 Low High Net Income $ 26.0 $ 27.5 (+) Depreciation & Amorization 10.6 11.0 (+) Interest Expense, net 4.0 4.5 (+) Income Tax Expense 9.0 10.0 EBITDA $ 49.6 $ 52.5 Adjustments (+) Non-Cash Stock Based Compensation Expense 1.5 1.5 Adjusted EBITDA $ 51.0 $ 54.0 24

Announced Store Openings Location Timing Gross Sq Ft Anchorage, AK 1 Opened 3/1/18 25,409 West Fargo, ND Opened 3/22/18 14,557 Colorado Springs, CO Opened 5/3/18 12,410 Lubbock, TX Opened 5/10/18 15,536 Denton, TX Opened 5/17/18 14,557 Portland, OR Opened 5/24/18 19,075 Columbus, OH Opened 6/7/18 14,749 Arlington, TX Opened 7/12/18 15,536 Golden, CO Q3 18 20,415 Ramsey, NJ Q3 18 13,300 Canton, OH Q3 18 14,557 Greensboro, NC 1 Q3 18 30,508 Oklahoma City, OK Q4 18 15,536 South Portland, ME Q4 18 12,964 Cary, NC Q4 18 11,164 Friendswood, TX First half 2019 16,026 Katy, TX First half 2019 16,000 Wichita, KS First half 2019 15,385 Spokane Valley, WA First half 2019 15,656 Full Line 1 Gross square footage includes space used for direct-to-customer fulfillment. Outlet Announced new stores 25