Joe Kaeser, President and CEO Ralf P. Thomas, CFO. Q1 Overall performance as expected Q1 FY 2015, Analyst Call Munich, January 27, 2015

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Transcription:

Joe Kaeser, President and CEO Ralf P. Thomas, CFO Q1 Overall performance as expected

Notes and forward-looking statements This document contains statements related to our future business and financial performance and future events or developments involving Siemens that may constitute forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by words such as expect, look forward to, anticipate intend, plan, believe, seek seek, estimate estimate, will will, project or words of similar meaning. We may also make forward-looking statements in other reports, in presentations, in material delivered to shareholders and in press releases. In addition, our representatives may from time to time make oral forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on the current expectations and certain assumptions of Siemens management, of which many are beyond Siemens control. These are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and factors, including, but not limited to those described in disclosures, in particular in the chapter Risks in the Annual Report. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying expectations not occur or assumptions prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens may (negatively or positively) vary materially from those described explicitly or implicitly in the relevant forward-looking statement. Siemens neither intends, nor assumes any obligation, to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated. This document includes in IFRS not clearly defined supplemental financial measures that are or may be non-gaap financial measures. These supplemental financial measures should not be viewed in isolation or as alternatives to measures of Siemens net assets and financial positions or results of operations as presented in accordance with IFRS in its Consolidated Financial Statements. Other companies that report or describe similarly titled financial measures may calculate them differently. Due to rounding, numbers presented throughout this and other documents may not add up precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures. Page 2

Key developments Continued volatile economic and market environment below prior year (-13%) due to tough comps in large orders Moderate organic revenue growth (+3%) driven by Mobility, Wind Power and Digital Factory Industrial business margin with 10.2% within expected range Net Income of 1.1bn (-25%) and basic EPS of 1.30 burdened by factors outside Industrial Business mainly due to lower interest rate environment Strong Free Cash Flow from Industrial Business Significant progress on portfolio optimization: Closing of Rolls-Royce acquisition and divestment of BSH and Audiology, Primetals Technologies joint venture starts operation Page 3

PG: Margin decline as expected, actions in place WP: Focus on execution to strengthen profitability Power and Gas (PG) Wind Power and Renewables (WP) 3.5 +6%1) -3% 1) -44% 1) +8% 1) 3.7 2.9 2.9 2.3 1.3 1.3 1.5 m Profit & Margin Profit & Margin 536 Target m 80 margin 66 325 18.2% 11.3% 11.4% 5.0% 5.4% Target margin 11-15% 5-8% Lower margins across the businesses, higher OPEX & lower service contribution Continuing challenges resulting in price pressure and overcapacities 1) Comparable, i.e. adjusted for currency translation and portfolio effects Page 4 Sharply lower large order volume in Germany and the U.S. Increased profit contribution from service Expenses for new turbine offering ramp up x.x% Margin as reported x.x% Margin excl. severance

EM: Gradual profitability improvement BT: Solid start, CHF appreciation as short-term term impact Energy Management (EM) Building Technologies (BT) 2.6 +17% 1) +3% 1) +3% 1) +0% 1) 3.1 2.5 2.7 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.4 m Profit & Margin Profit & Margin 109 Target m 120 117 margin Target margin 43 1.7% 4.1% 4.2% 7-10% 8-11% 8.9% 8.5% 8.7% Broad based regional order growth; large HVDC-order in Canada Execution of legacy projects as planned 1) Comparable, i.e. adjusted for currency translation and portfolio effects Page 5 Order growth driven by the U.S. and the Middle East Adverse impact of significant Swiss Franc appreciation expected x.x% Margin as reported x.x% Margin excl. severance

DF: Broad based growth drives margin PD: Higher investment in opex weigh on margin Digital Factory (DF) Process Industries and Drives (PD) 2.3 +2% 1) +8% 1) -8% 1) +3% 1) 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.3 m Profit & Margin 386 463 Target margin m Profit & Margin 163 155 Target margin 17.8% 19.4% 14-20% 7.4% 6.7% 8-12% 19.8% 6.8% growth led by China and the U.S. Volume driven margin expansion on strong product and industrial software business 1) Comparable, i.e. adjusted for currency translation and portfolio effects Page 6 Lower large order volume and weaker demand from commodity related industries Higher R&D and selling expenses x.x% Margin as reported x.x% Margin excl. severance

MO: Positive mix effects drive margin expansion HC: Unfavourable mix with negative margin impact Mobility (MO) Healthcare (HC) 3.4-64%1) +15% 1) +2% 1) +2% 1) 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.8 3.0 2.7 2.9 m Profit & Margin 155 109 6.9% 8.4% Target margin m Profit & Margin 473 17.6% 413 14.5% Target margin 6-9% 15-19% 14.8% Lower order volume on tough comparables Positive mix effect from high margin business 1) Comparable, i.e. adjusted for currency translation and portfolio effects Page 7 Strong orders in Europe & US, Asia weak Unfavorable business mix in Imaging & Therapy and FX tailwinds not yet evident x.x% Margin as reported x.x% Margin excl. severance

Below Industrial Business negatively impacted by unfavourable interest rate development Below Industrial Business (Q1 FY 2015) in m 146-69 1,819 Ind. Bus. Therein: - 53m Hanau 67-156 Therein: - 97m Pensions - 59m Corp. Items SFS CMPA SRE Corp. Items & Pen. -117-131 -451 Therein: - 123m 1,106106 1,095 Treasury PPA Tax rate @29% Corp. Elim, Tre & other Tax Inc. cont. Ops -11 Disc. Net Ops. Income all in Key topics CMPA: Q1: Missing BSH equity income and impact from revaluation of Hanau obligation due to lower interest rates Q2e: Gain from BSH divestment (~ 1.4bn pre tax) and negative impact related to Unify of close to 300m Corporate Treasury: Substantial negative effect from derivatives not qualifying for hedge accounting Discontinued Operations: Q1: Loss of 56m due to Metals Technologies Q2e: Gain from divestment of Audiology (~ 1.6bn pre tax) Page 8

Outlook Fiscal 2015 Basic earnings per share (Net income) In At least 15% growth We believe that our business environment will be complex in fiscal 2015, among other things due to geopolitical tensions. 6.55 6.37 We expect revenue on an organic basis to remain flat year-over-year, and orders to exceed revenue for a book-to-bill ratio above 1. 4.74 5.08 Furthermore, we expect that gains from divestments will enable us to increase basic earnings per share (EPS) from net income by at least 15% from 6.37 in fiscal 2014. For our Industrial Business, we expect a profit margin* of 10 11%. This outlook excludes impacts from legal l and regulatory matters. FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015e *Effective with fiscal 2015, our enhanced profit definition iti excludes amortization of intangible assets acquired in business combinations. Page 9

Questions and Answers Thank you for your attention your questions, please! Page 10

Appendix Page 11

Financial Cockpit Profit Industrial Business (IB) Net Income in 20.1-13% (-11%) 18.0 Comp. (nom.) 16.6 +3% (+5%) 17.4 in 1.9-4% 1.8 in 1.5-25% 11 1.1 B-t-B 1.22 1.03 Margin 11.3% 10.2% Q1 14 Q1 15 Q1 14 Q1 15 EPS ( all-in ) ROCE ( all-in ) Capital structure 1) in -23% 15-20% 1 1.70 1.30 18.6% 12.9% 0.3x 0.6x 1) Industrial Net Debt/EBITDA; EBITDA is without the elimination of income or loss from investments accounted for using the equity method Page 12

Net Debt Bridge as of Q1 FY 2015 Operating Activities therein: Inventories net of advance payments -0.4 Trade and other receivables -0.1 Trade payables -1.1 Billings in excess +0.8 Q1 Q4 SFS Debt +19.3 +0.6 Post emp. Benefits -10.6-1.3 13 Credit guarantees -0.8-0.1 Hybrid adjustments +0.9-0.0 Fair value adj. +1.1-0.0 (hedge accounting) Adj. ind. Net Debt/ EBITDA 0.6x (Q4 FY14: 0.1x) therein a.o.: Income (C/O) +1.1 D&A & Impairments +0.6 Income taxes paid -0.3 therein a.o.: CAPEX -0.3 Change in receivables from financing activities (SFS) -0.4 Acquisition of businesses, net of cash acquired -1.5-5.6-12.0 1.1-0.8-2.3 therein a.o.: Interest paid -0.1 Share Buyback -0.7 9.8-1.3-15.4 Net Debt Q4 2014 Cash & cash equiv. 8.9bn 2) Cash flows from op. activities (w/o working capital) Working Capital 1) Cash flows from investing activities Financing topics Net Debt Q1 2015 Cash & cash equiv. 7.8bn 2) Net Debt adj. Adj. ind. Net Debt Q1 2015 1) Includes cash flows from inventories net of advanced payments received, cash flows provided by trade and other receivables, cash flows provided by trade payables and cash flows used in billings in excess of cost and in estimated earnings on uncompleted contracts and related advances 2) Including available-for-sale financial assets Page 13

SFS Key Figures Q1 FY15 Key Financial Data SFS Assets 22.7bn Profit before Tax 146m Return on Equity after tax 20.5% Operating and Investing Cash Flow - 178m Assets Liabilities and Equity 20.3 0.9 1.4 0.2 22.7 22.7 2.2 19.3 1.3 Leases & Loans 1) Equity Investments Other Assets & Inventory 2) Cash Total Assets Total Liabilities & Equity Allocated Equity Total Debt Accruals & Other Liabilities 1) Operating and finance leases, loans, asset-based lending loans, factoring and forfeiting receivables 2) Intercompany receivables, securities, (positive) fair values of derivatives, tax receivables, fixed assets, intangible assets, land and building, prepaid expenses and inventories Page 14

Underfunding for Siemens pension plans increased to -9.6 96bninQ1 Deficit for Siemens pension plans increased in Q1, mainly due to decreased discount rate assumptions. in 1) FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 Q1 FY 2015 Defined benefit obligation (DBO) on pension benefit plans -33.0-32.6-35.0-36.8 Fair value of plan assets 24.1 24.1 26.5 27.3 Funded status of pension benefits -8.9-8.5-8.5-9.6 DBO on other post-employment benefit plans (mainly unfunded) 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 Discount rate 2) 3.2% 3.4% 3.0% 2.6% Interest Income 2) 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.2 Actual return on plan assets 2) 3.2 1.3 2.9 0.8 1) All figures are reported on a continuing basis s and according to IAS 19 (revised 2011) 2) As of Q1 FY2015 figures are based on total post-employment benefits Page 15

Financial calendar January January 27, 2015 Q1 Earnings Release; Annual General Meeting February March March 11, 2015 Citi West Coast Symposium (San Francisco) March 19, 2015 Bank of America Merrill Lynch Conference (London) Page 16

Siemens Investor Relations contacts Investor Relations Internet: www.siemens.com/investorrelations Email: IR- Hotline: investorrelations@siemens.com +49 89 636-3247432474 Fax: +49 89 636-32830 Page 17