Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Revenues & Earnings Growth Rate

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Transcription:

Stock Market Briefing: Growth Rate March 2, 19 Dr. Edward Yardeni 16-972-7683 eyardeni@ Mali Quintana 48-664-1333 aquintana@ Please visit our sites at blog. thinking outside the box

Table Of Contents Table Of Contents 1-3 March 2, 19 / Growth Rates

Figure 1. S&P REVENUES PER SHARE - - - - Latest (.4) - - - -2 9 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 11 12 13 14 16 17 18 19 Source: Standard & Poor s. - -2 7 6 4 3 - - -3-4 - Figure 2. S&P OPERATING EARNINGS PER SHARE (I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv)* Latest (14.3) 9 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 11 12 13 14 16 17 18 19 7 6 4 3 - - -3-4 - * Due to extreme values, -8 s -6.2% is capped at -4% and -9 s +198.9% is capped at 6%. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv. Page 1 / March 2, 19 / Growth Rates

2 Figure 3. S&P REVENUES 2 - - - - - -2 S&P Revenues Per Share (.4) Aggregate* (3.6) 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 11 12 13 14 16 17 18 19 - - - -2 * S&P quarterly data, not per share. Revenues are derived by multiplying S&P revenues per share by the S&P divisor for each quarter. Source: Standard & Poor s. 7 Figure 4. S&P OPERATING EARNINGS (Thomson Reuters data) 7 2 2-2 -2 - S&P Operating Earnings Aggregate* (12.3) Per Share (14.3) - -7 94 9 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 11 12 13 14 16 17 18 19-7 * Earnings are derived by multiplying operating earnings per share by the S&P divisor for each quarter. Source: Standard & Poor s and I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv. Page 2 / March 2, 19 / Growth Rates

12 Figure. S&P REVENUES ANNUAL GROWTH FORECASTS* (based on analysts consensus estimates, percent, weekly) 11 12 18 8 8 6 4 2 11 (9.9) 12 (1.) 13 (1.7) 14 (3.1) (-3.7) 16 (1.9) 17 (6.4) 18 (8.9) 19 (.3) (.) 12 13 14 16 17 19 6 4 2-2 -2-4 Latest data thru 3/14/19 8 9 11 12 13 14 16 17 18 19 Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv. -4 2 Figure 6. S&P OPERATING EARNINGS ANNUAL GROWTH FORECASTS* (based on analysts consensus estimates, percent, weekly) 18 2 11 11 (14.9) 12 (6.) 13 (6.1) 14 (7.) (.) 16 (1.) 17 (11.2) 18 (23.8) 19 (3.9) (11.) 12 13 14 16 17 19 - Latest data thru 3/14/19 8 9 11 12 13 14 16 17 18 19 Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv. - Page 3 / March 2, 19 / Growth Rates

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