AEGON Asia. Building scale. Marc van Weede. Executive Vice President Group Strategy Analyst and Investor Conference, London, 2-3 June 2008

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Transcription:

Unlocking the global potential AEGON Asia Building scale Marc van Weede Executive Vice President Group Strategy Analyst and Investor Conference, London, 2-3 June 2008 Local knowledge. Global power. 1

Key messages o Asian businesses show strong growth o Most businesses are early stage focus now on execution o Improving financial performance priority in Taiwan o Building more infrastructure to support Asian businesses o Pursue selective entry into new markets Local knowledge. Global power. 2

Asia offers attractive growth prospects Size of bubble shows 2006 insurance density (life insurance premiums per capita) Life Insurance penetration (GWP as percent of GDP) 12 Taiwan Retirement opportunity Country where AEGON is present Other country 10 8 South Korea Hong Kong Japan 6 4 2 0 India 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Vietnam Pakistan Bangladesh Source: Sigma Accumulation and protection opportunity China Philippines Malaysia Sri Lanka Thailand Indonesia Singapore New Zealand Australia 2006 GDP per capita (USD thousands) Local knowledge. Global power. 3

Asian businesses show strong growth o Continued focus on unit-linked production o Successful introduction of variable annuity product in Taiwan o Continued geographical expansion in China now covering provinces with 300 million people o JV s in India, Japan and Taiwan operational this year o Increasing synergies between Taiwan, China, specialized businesses and start ups Sales (APE)* (EUR million) Value of new business* (EUR million) 227 289 87 117 144 2006 2007 2006 2007 2010 target * Numbers are estimated and include all Group activities in Asia Local knowledge. Global power. 4

Ambitions for Asia o Build sustainable and growing life businesses that create value and provides a meaningful contribution to growth for AEGON o value of new business 10-15% of group total in 2010 o new ventures profitable after 8-9 years o Create platforms for additional growth from o further market deregulation or consolidation o asset management and pension market development Local knowledge. Global power. 5

Diversified distribution China * Brokers 16% Group 1% Agency 24% Taiwan * Worksite marketing 5% Agency 18% Direct 5% Banks 44% Direct 15% Brokers 57% Banks 15% o o o China Recent distribution initiatives Taiwan Broaden number of direct marketing sponsors (banks, telco s, airlines) Focus on premier league brokers Leverage US wholesaling expertise to build bancassurance channels o o o JV with Taishin Broaden number of direct marketing sponsors Increasing number of worksite marketing relationships * Based on 2007 new life sales (APE) Local knowledge. Global power. 6

Asia footprint expanded AEGON- CNOOC JV AEGON Industrial JV AEGON Asia Regional HQ Hong Kong AEGON Taiwan AEGON Taishin JV Established: 2003 China Established: Q2 2008 Established: 2007 Established: 1993 Taiwan Launch: Q4 2008 Korea China Japan India Thailand Hong Kong Taiwan Singapore India AEGON Religare Asset Mngt. JV Launch: Q3 2008 AEGON Religare Life JV Launch: Q3 2008 Regional presence ADMS Established: 1999 In 7 Asian markets Transamerica Life Insurance Established: 1948 Hong Kong, Singapore Transamerica Reinsurance Established: 2000 In 5 Asian markets Japan AEGON Sony Life JV Launch: Q3 2008 Local knowledge. Global power. 7

Improving financial performance priority in Taiwan o Continued shift to unit-linked 57% of total 2007 production o Introduction of variable annuity products o All product pricing based on economic capital o Manage performance of old book New life sales (APE) (EUR million) Value of new business (EUR million) Underlying earnings before tax * (EUR million) 117 157 57 75 0.4 12 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 * Underlying = operating Local knowledge. Global power. 8

Variable annuity market in Japan a big opportunity Market o Japanese variable annuity market has taken off during the last 4 years with AuM reaching over USD 125 billion* o Variable annuity market poised for continued growth: o Annuity market small relative to overall market o Aging population and increasing dependency ratio will raise demand for retirement products o Continued low interest rate environment triggers demand for higher yielding (guaranteed) products AEGON Sony Life Insurance Co., Ltd. o 50/50 JV with Sony Life will initially develop annuity products, expected to be operational in Q3 2008 Distribution o Sony Life s Lifeplanner channel (3,500 professional advisors) o Banks and other financial institutions Implementing US best practices o AEGON USA expertise fully leveraged by sending dedicated team to Tokyo o Access to US best practices (product development, pricing, hedging, sales & marketing) * Source: Hoken Mainichi Shimbun March 2007 Local knowledge. Global power. 9

Building infrastructure to support Asian operations o Pat Baird assuming Management Board responsibility for Asia-Pacific o Otto Thoresen assuming Management Board responsibility for India o Regional office set up in Hong Kong for business development, monitoring, control and coordination o Operational support for start ups: o US variable annuity expertise supports JV with Sony in Japan o UK supports life and asset management companies in India o Implementation of common IT platform o Distribution best practices and partners shared across the region, particularly in bancassurance o Knowledge transfer through expatriate assignments Local knowledge. Global power. 10

Key messages o Asian businesses show strong growth o Most businesses are early stage focus now on execution o Improving financial performance priority in Taiwan o Building more infrastructure to support Asian businesses o Pursue selective entry into new markets Local knowledge. Global power. 11

Unlocking the global potential Q&A For questions please contact Investor Relations +31 70 344 8305 ir@aegon.com P.O. Box 85 2501 CB The Hague The Netherlands Local knowledge. Global power. 12

Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements The statements contained in this presentation that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The following are words that identify such forward-looking statements: believe, estimate, target, intend, may, expect, anticipate, predict, project, counting on, plan, continue, want, forecast, should, would, is confident, will, and similar expressions as they relate to our company. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which merely reflect company expectations at the time of writing. Actual results may differ materially from expectations conveyed in forwardlooking statements due to changes caused by various risks and uncertainties. Such risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to the following: Changes in general economic conditions, particularly in the United States, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom; Changes in the performance of financial markets, including emerging markets, such as with regard to: - The frequency and severity of defaults by issuers in our fixed income investment portfolios; and - The effects of corporate bankruptcies and/or accounting restatements on the financial markets and the resulting decline in the value of equity and debt securities we hold; The frequency and severity of insured loss events; Changes affecting mortality, morbidity and other factors that may impact the profitability of our insurance products; Changes affecting interest rate levels and continuing low or rapidly changing interest rate levels; Changes affecting currency exchange rates, in particular the EUR/USD and EUR/GBP exchange rates; Increasing levels of competition in the United States, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and emerging markets; Changes in laws and regulations, particularly those affecting our operations, the products we sell, and the attractiveness of certain products to our consumers; Regulatory changes relating to the insurance industry in the jurisdictions in which we operate; Acts of God, acts of terrorism, acts of war and pandemics; Changes in the policies of central banks and/or governments; Litigation or regulatory action that could require us to pay significant damages or change the way we do business; Customer responsiveness to both new products and distribution channels; Competitive, legal, regulatory, or tax changes that affect the distribution cost of or demand for our products; Our failure to achieve anticipated levels of earnings or operational efficiencies as well as other cost saving initiatives; and The impact our adoption of the International Financial Reporting Standards may have on our reported financial results and financial condition. Cautionary note regarding Regulation G (non-gaap measure) This presentation includes non-gaap financial measures: net underlying earnings, operating earnings before tax, value of new business and embedded value. Value of new business and embedded value are not based on IFRS, which are used to prepare and report AEGON s financial statements and should not be viewed as a substitute for IFRS financial measures. AEGON believes the non-gaap measures shown herein, together with GAAP information, provides a meaningful measure for the investment community to evaluate AEGON s business relative to the businesses of our peers. Local knowledge. Global power. 13