Campofrio Food Group 2010 First Quarter Earnings Call

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Transcription:

Campofrio Food Group 2010 First Quarter Earnings Call May 12th, 2010 1

Disclaimer 2 This document has been prepared by Campofrio Food Group exclusively for use during the presentation of financial results of the 1st Quarter of the 2010 fiscal year. As a consequence thereof, this document may not be disclosed or published, nor used by any other person or entity, for any other reason without the express and prior written consent of Campofrio Food Group. The information and any opinions or statements made in this document have not been verified by independent third parties. In particular, the financial information included in this document regarding Campofrio Food Group, S.A. and its subsidiaries are unaudited. No express or implied warranty is made as to the impartiality, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions or statements expressed herein, which should be read in conjunction with other publicly available information. Neither Campofrio Food Group nor its subsidiaries or its affiliates assume liability of any kind, whether for negligence or any other reason, for any damage or loss arising from any use of this document or its contents. Neither this document nor any part of it constitutes a contract, nor may it be used for incorporation into or construction of any contract or agreement. This presentation may contain forward-looking statements about Campofrio Food Group. The forward-looking statements may include statements concerning Campofrio Food Group s prospects for the future, as well as other statements of beliefs, future plans, and strategies on anticipated events, financial projections and estimates and similar statements or expectations concerning matters that are not historical facts. The forwardlooking statements are subject to the risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by the statements. These risks and uncertainties include availability and prices of livestock, raw materials and supplies, livestock costs, livestock disease, food safety, product pricing, growth, the competitive environment and related market conditions, ability to make and successfully integrate acquisitions, operating efficiencies, access to capital, the cost of compliance with environmental and health standards, adverse results from ongoing litigation and action of domestic and foreign governments. Analysts and investors should not place undue reliance on those forwardlooking statements. Campofrio Food Group undertakes no obligation to publicly correct those forward-looking statements to reflect events occurred after the date of this presentation. IMPORTANT INFORMATION Neither this document nor any of the information contained herein constitutes an offer of purchase, sale or exchange, nor a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities, or a request for any vote or approval in any other jurisdiction or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities. The English language translation of the consolidated financial statements originally issued in Spanish has been prepared solely for the convenience of English speaking readers. Despite all the efforts devoted to this translation, certain omissions or approximations may subsist. Campofrio Food Group, its representatives and employees decline all responsibility in this regard. In the event of a discrepancy, the Spanishlanguage version prevails.

Agenda Highlights of the Period Environment Top Line Financials Q&A 3

Highlights of the period 4 Economic conditions still challenging in Southern Europe, improving in Northern Europe Raw Material neutral in Q1 Restoring Growth Momentum Resilient Business Model : Sustaining Margin Enhancement Strong Cash Generation

Agenda Highlights of the Period Environment Top Line Financials Q&A 5

Environment 6 Northern Europe (54% of Revenue) firming up Southern Europe (45% of Revenue) unchanged Food, a defensive sector: processed meat market growing low single-digits in all our markets Fundamentals remain supportive of stable raw material prices full year outlook Pig carcass prices down in most markets, except Spain albeit prices trending down in March Moderate 1.5% increase in Q1 meat price, April flat

Agenda Highlights of the Period Environment Top Line Financials Q&A 7

Restoring Growth Momentum Pricing / Volume evolution by Quarter - Total Processed Meat 7,0% BRANDED: 3,0% -1,0% -5,0% -2,6% -0,4% -0,5% -5,2% -1,2% -5,4% -1,8% -4,3% 0,5% -2,0% +5% -2% -9,0% -13,0% Q1 09vs08 Q2 09vs08 Q3 09vs08 Q4 09vs08 Q1 10vs09 8 %Volume %Price

Branded Market Share Strengthening Market Shares (Value) in Modern Retail Value Market Share Q1 2010 18% 28% 64% 25% Value Market Share Q4 2009 18% 25% 61% 25% Value Market Share Q1 2009 18% 29% 64% 26% 9 * Source: MAT Nielsen / IRI SFeb 2010 Value share of Branded Processed meats in Modern Retail channels

Branded Growth Drivers: Increased Effectiveness of Media Enhancement of brand awareness, values and benefits through impactful and innovative and effective communications Campofrio Spain Creation of an umbrella campaign, Campofrío Blue Helmets featuring the 5 core products. 360º media plan: TV, Magazines, Outdoor, Radio, Internet, POS, social media and PR. Record spontaneous awareness of 75% One of the most viewed ad on the internet in Spanish television Improved media planning: higher effectiveness of GRPs 10 Total Spontaneous Awareness Positive Brand Reputation GRPs SOV 1Q 2009 65% 40% 2,651 30% 1Q 2010 75% 58% 1,554 29%

Branded Growth Drivers: Increased Effectiveness of Media Groupe Aoste. Focused communications on our leader brands Aoste, Justin Bridou and Cochonou Strong media support in Q1 combining classical television and sponsorship Total Spontaneous Awareness 1Q 2009 1Q 2010 Justin Bridou Aoste Cochonou 23% 9% 14% 26% 16% 13% 11

Branded Growth Drivers: Targeted Value-Added Promotions Consumer Promotions: Attractive and aggressive in-store activity providing shoppers an added value to buy our products during these difficult times Groupe Aoste RACLETTE February Multi-brand promo self service with Entremont. 12

Branded Growth Drivers: Targeted Value-Added Promotions Broad-based promotions focused on delivering attractive price point with impactful POS materials to increase visibility in all channels Results: +24% growth in Q1 for the 1 range in sliced products in Modern Retail Reverted negative trend in Traditional channel up +3% in Q1 13

Branded Growth Drivers: Leveraging the Power of CFG Accelerating roll-out of proven concepts across our markets: Value Line in Portugal, Spanish range in France, Clean Label in Spain Pre-Sliced 200g : + 50g FREE All markets France Spanish range 14 Pre-Sliced 300g : + 75g FREE Lidl, Sonae, Pingo Doce Spain Clean Label Naturissimos

Branded Growth Drivers: Renovation & Innovation IMPERIAL Aoste Authentique Paté +85% volume Belgium: Renovation of Pâté under Aoste Authentique Portugal: Innovation targeted at growing poultry self-service segment CAMPOFRIO PORTUGAL Forno de Lenha Self Service Formats: +19% 15

Agenda Highlights of the Period Environment Top Line Financials Q&A 16

Financial Highlights RESULTS: Volume up 1,3%, Net Sales flat, Spain back to positive growth EBITDA of 34M up 28% vs PY EBITDA Margin up 177bp vs PY Net Income of 3,9M, up 3,4M vs PY CASH FLOW & NET DEBT: Positive cash flow in Q1 despite seasonality with significant improvement vs PY (+63M ) thanks to continued discipline in Working Capital and Capex Net debt stable with leverage ratio now below 3X OUTLOOK 2010: Encouraged by Q1 results, where we reversed the top-line trend while maintaining margins enhancements 17 2010 on track towards delivering our 2012 guidance

Financial Highlights Q1 Q1 Variance ( M) 2010 2009 % Volume (000 Tons) 101,1 99,7 1,3% Net Sales 430,0 431,8-0,4% EBITDA (1) 33,9 26,4 28,4% EBITDA Margin 7,9% 6,1% 177 bp Attributable Net Income 3,9 0,4 891,0% Operating Free Cash Flow (2) 6,2 (57,1) - Note: Un-audited figures Net Financial Debt (3) 416,8 472,6-11,8% Regained positive top-line momentum High productivity and synergies offsetting slightly negative pricing and mix Sustaining margin enhancement: Normalized EBITDA up 4% vs PY and + 32bp 18 (1) Normalized EBITDA 1Q09: 32,7M before restructuring (2) OFCF=Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities + Net Cash Flow from investing activities (3) NFD of 410M as of December, 31 st 2009

Working Capital and Capex WORKING CAPITAL -65% 147,8 51,9 1Q 2009 1Q 2010 Continued pressure on Working Capital: Successful stock reduction program in Spain (-10% inventories, i.e. -23 days) Improvement in Payables across the Group (+ 2 days with +10 days in Spain and +5 days in France) Managing Customer Risk CAPEX Keeping Capex under control: 8,1-34% 5,4 3M reduction vs PY On track with goal of maintaining Capex in line with depreciation in 2010 19 1Q 2009 1Q 2010

Cash Flow and Net Debt Strong Cash Generation in Q1 despite seasonality Cash From operation +63M vs PY mainly thanks to Working Capital Leverage ration below 3x EBITDA in Q1 Strong liquidity position OFCF (1) NET FINANCIAL DEBT +63M 6,2 473 1Q 2009 1Q 2010 410 417-57,1 Q1 2009 FY 2009 Q1 2010 20 (1) OFCF: Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities + Net Cash Flow from investing activities

Synergies 2009 and Q1 2010 Achieved Synergies, and 2012 Target 40M ~40 5 30 26 5 M synergies achieved in Q1, of which 4M from Sourcing. Cumulative 31M synergies since merger 20 10 0 2009 RoutetoMarket IT and F&A Manufacturing Portugal Sourcing Incr. Q1 Synergies2011 2012 2012 Planned Expected Expected Initial On track to achieve target 40 M synergies by early 2011, one year earlier than planned 21

Top-line recovery driven by Southern Europe (1) Tons (Thousand) Q1 2010 Q1 2009 % Var. Southern Europe 58,3 55,4 5,2% Northern Europe 42,0 43,0-2,4% Others 1,7 2,1 Eliminations -0,9-0,8 Total Tons 101,1 99,7 1,3% Net sales ( M) Southern Europe 193,7 190,6 1,6% Northern Europe 235,9 237,8-0,8% Others 4,9 5,4 Eliminations -4,4-1,9 Total Net sales 430,0 431,8-0,4% 22 Note: Southern Europe includes Campofrio Processed Meats, Carnes Selectas fresh meat and Portugal. Northern Europe includes France, Belgium, Holland and Germany. Intra-segment intercompany sales are eliminated from each segment.

Sustained margin enhancement in all regions EBITDA ( M) Q1 2010 Q1 2009 % Var. Southern Europe 19,7 15,6 26,2% Northern Europe 19,3 13,7 40,6% Others -5,1-2,9 Total EBITDA * 33,9 26,4 28,4% EBITDA Margin (%) Southern Europe 10,2% 8,2% 199 bp Northern Europe 8,2% 5,8% 240 bp Others n.a n.a Total EBITDA Margin 7,9% 6,1% 177 bp PY EBITDA includes 6,2M restructuring, ie 144bp (5,4M Southern Europe, 0,7M Northern Europe and 0,2M Others) Normalized EBITDA amounts to 32,7M (21,1M SE, 14,4M NE and -2,8M Others) 23

Spain Processed Meats back to growth (M ) Spain Processed Meat Q1 2010 Q1 2009 % Var. Tons (Thousand) 33,4 32,2 3,7% Net Sales 133,8 132,9 0,7% (1) EBITDA 16,7 11,2 49,1% % EBITDA Margin 12,5% 8,5% 407 bp First quarter of positive Net sales growth 8% growth of Branded volume in Retail Channel +407 bp Reported EBITDA margin, stable margin on normalized basis 24 (1) 2009 Normalized EBITDA of 16, 7M.

Spain sustaining turn-around initiated in 2009 Pricing / volume evolution by quarter 8,0% 4,0% 3,7% % Volume vs PY 0,0% -4,0% 0,4% -1,8% -2,2% -2,1% -2,9% %Price %Volume % Price vs PY -8,0% -12,0% -7,2% -8,2% -5,5% -10,3% Q1 09vs08 Q2 09vs08 Q3 09vs08 Q4 09vs08 Q1 10vs09 Total branded volume growth (at constant distribution) 9,4% 4,3% Branded Volume Growth vs. PY (Without Mercadona) -3,2% -6,4% -2,4% 25 Q1 09vs08 Q2 09vs08 Q3 09vs08 Q4 09vs08 Q1 10vs09

France sustaining significant margin gains (M ) France Q1 2010 Q1 2009 % Var. Tons (Thousand) 28,3 28,8-1,9% Net Sales 154,9 155,5-0,4% EBITDA 9,1 6,0 50,2% % EBITDA Margin 5,8% 3,9% 197 bp Efficient promotions, both in self service and deli sections, combined with good consumer acceptance of new product formats bring a spectacular growth in branded sales in Q1 (+13% volume; +7% value) Positive mix and continued productivity gains result in +197bp gain in EBITDA margin in Q1 26

Agenda Highlights of the Period Environment Top Line Financials Q&A 27

28

Back up 29

Q1 2010 P&L (M ) 1Q 2010 1Q 2009 Var 10 vs 09 Net sales 430,0 431,8 (0,4%) Operating Revenues 452,4 438,5 Operating Expenses (432,4) (426,5) 1,4% Operating profit 19,9 12,0 66,7% % Net sales 4,6% 2,8% 187 bp Net finance cost (14,6) (11,5) 27,0% Other income and expenses (0,0) (0,0) Profit Before Taxes 5,4 0,5 1007,4% Income Taxes (1,4) 0,0 Profit after Taxes from continuing operations 3,9 0,5 709,5% Profit for the year from discontinued operations 0,0 0,0 Profit for the Year 3,9 0,5 709,5% Attributable to minority interest 0,1 0,1 (19,3%) Net profit Attributable to the Parent Company 3,9 0,4 891,8% EPS 0,0 0,0 0,03 /share Depreciation & Amortization (14,0) (14,5) (3,3%) EBITDA 33,9 26,4 28,4% % Net sales 7,9% 6,1% 177 bp 30

Q1 2010 Balance Sheet (M ) FY 2009 1Q 2009 1Q 2010 Var 1Q 10 vs FY 09 Var 1Q 10 vs 1Q 09 Fixed Assets 1.240 1.243 1.232 (7,7) (10,1) Goodwill 420 420 420 (0,0) 0,0 Intangible Assets 183 182 183 0,4 1,8 PPE 564 571 554 (10,8) (17,5) Other non current assets 73 70 76 2,7 5,6 Total Working Capital 50 148 52 1,5 (95,9) Inventories 276 325 293 17,3 (32,0) Trade Debtors 180 175 132 (48,2) (42,5) (Trade Creditors) (406) (352) (373) 32,4 (21,3) Other Current Assets 55 64 65 9,9 0,9 Assets from Disc. Oper. 2 2 2 (0,0) 0,0 TOTAL ASSETS 1.347 1.456 1.351 3,8 (105,1) Total Equity 626 615 625 (1,0) 10,5 Net Financial Debt 410 473 417 6,6 (55,8) Debentures 490 236 501 10,9 264,3 Other Financial Liablities 82 294 79 (3,1) (215,3) Cash & Cash equivalents (161) (58) (163) (1,2) (104,8) Other non current liabilities 199 184 196 (2,3) 12,0 Other current liabilities 112 185 113 0,5 (71,7) TOTAL LIABILITIES 1.347 1.456 1.351 3,8 (105,1) 31

Q1 2010 Cash Flow (M ) CY 2010 CY 2009 Operating profit before changes in working capital 36,3 27,0 Working capital adjustments (10,2) (57,6) Cash flow from operating activities 26,1 (30,6) Net interest expense (4,6) (13,1) Provision and pensions payment (4,9) (4,4) Income tax paid (1,9) (1,0) Net cash flow from operating activities 14,7 (49,1) CAPEX (5,4) (8,1) All other (3,1) 0,2 Net cash flow from investing activities (8,5) (7,9) Operating Free Cash Flow 6,2 (57,1) Changes in financial liabilites (1,7) (3,3) Other payments and Own share transactions (3,4) (3,5) Net cash flow from financing activities (5,1) (6,8) 32 Net increase in cash and cash equivalents 1,2 (63,9) Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the perios 160,2 119,8 Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 161,3 55,9