Budget Forum February 2, 2018 Open Forum on Budget 2/2/18 Goals Have a common understanding of our current budget challenges Appreciate the urgency of addressing our fiscal situation See that we have a plan for immediate actions Look toward a more detailed budget plan by 2/22/18 Engage in discussion 2 1
Agenda for Today HSU s Values and Priorities Background and Context State Budget and the Economy CSU Funding and Allocations to Campuses HSU Spending per FTES CSU Peer Comparisons HSU Enrollment HSU Deficit Strategies and Immediate Steps The Path Forward: Budget Plan by 2/22/18 3 Values and Priorities 4 2
Priorities for Budget Planning Student Success Equity and Diversity Fiscal Stability and Stewardship Shared Responsibility and Accountability 5 HSU s Values Outstanding education and evidence of student learning Teaching excellence Critical inquiry and civic engagement Intellectual growth Diversity and inclusion Environmental, economic, and social responsibility Integrating our location into the learning community The University s linkages to local and regional communities and cultures Inclusive access to knowledge 6 3
Factors Impacting Financial Stability Changing higher education landscape Insufficient state funding Looming economic downturn (although still in growth phase) Increasing mandatory costs Fluctuating enrollment Continuing overspending 7 State Budget and the Economy 8 4
California Deficit History Source: 2018-19 Governor s Budget Summary California Economic Outlook Source: 2018-19 Governor s Budget Summary 5
Historical Recovery Trends Current Recovery Is Approaching Four Years Longer than Average By July 2019, will have exceeded longest period of recovery since World War 2 Source: 2017-18 Governor s May Revision (updated), 2018-19 Governor s Budget California Recession Impact $20B= -15% Source: 2018-19 Governor s Budget Summary 6
The Great Recession 13 HSU State Appropriation (CSU Memos) Undergraduate Annual Tuition Note: 2010 11 includes One Time ARRA Funding 90 7,000 80 70 60 50 78.7 76.4 76.2 18% 73.9 69.9 68.8 62.4 59.4 60.4 63.9 55.6 6,000 5,000 4,000 +97% 5,472 5,472 5,472 5,472 5,472 5,472 5,742 4,440 4,026 MILLIONS 40 30 20 3,000 2,000 2,772 3,048 10 1,000 0 Source: CSU Budget Website State Budget History: General Fund Allocations by Segment Corrections and Rehabilitation Health & Human Services Higher Education K thru 12 Education 08-09 to 18-19 % Change 14% 20% 28% 33% 2008-09 ($103.4B) $41.6 40% $10.3 10% $12.1 12% $31.1 30% 2011-12 ($85.9B) $34.3 40% $9.8 11% $10.2 12% $23.0 27% 2014-15 ($108.0B) $9.6 9% 2017-18 ($125.1B) $11.2 9% 2018-19 Gov Bud ($131.7B) $11.8 9% $45.0 42% $29.7 27% $53.5 43% $34.8 28% $55.2 42% $37.4 29% $12.6 12% $14.9 12% $15.5 12% 7
State Budget History: General Fund Higher Education Allocations by Segment University of California CA Community Colleges California State University Student Aid Commission 08-09 to 18-19 % Change 8% 40% 19% 43% $0.8 7% 2008-09 ($12.1B) $3.3 27% $3.0 24% $4.3 36% 2011-12 ($10.2B) $1.4 14% $2.4 23% $2.1 21% $3.5 34% 2014-15 ($12.6B) 2017-18 ($14.9B) 2018-19 Gov Bud ($15.5B) $1.6 13% $3.0 24% $4.3 34% $1.2 8% $3.5 24% $5.7 38% $1.2 8% $3.5 23% $6.1 39% $2.7 22% $3.4 23% $3.5 23% CSU Funding and Allocations to Campuses 16 8
2017-18 CSU Funding by Campus (in millions) HSU Portion: 2.8% $200 $180 $160 $140 Millions $120 $100 $80 $78.7 $60 $40 $20 $0 Bakersfield Channel Islands Chico Dominguez Hills East Bay Fresno Fullerton Humboldt Long Beach Los Angeles Maritime Monterey Bay Northridge Pomona Sacramento San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco San Jose San Luis Obispo San Marcos Sonoma Stanislaus Source: 2017-18 CSU Coded Memo 2017-05, July 14, 2017, http://www.calstate.edu/budget/fybudget/coded-memos/ 2017-18 CSU Resident FTES Targets 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 7,603 5,000 0 Bakersfield Channel Islands Chico Dominguez Hills East Bay Fresno Fullerton Humboldt Long Beach Los Angeles Maritime Monterey Bay Northridge Pomona Sacramento San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco San Jose San Luis Obispo San Marcos Sonoma Stanislaus Source: 2017-18 CSU Coded Memo 2017-05, July 14, 2017, http://www.calstate.edu/budget/fybudget/coded-memos/ 9
2017-18 CSU Funding by Campus per Resident FTES 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 (at 7,603 Resident FTES target) $10,346 5,000 - Bakersfield Channel Islands Chico Dominguez Hills East Bay Fresno Fullerton Humboldt Long Beach Los Angeles Maritime Monterey Bay Northridge Pomona Sacramento San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco San Jose San Luis Obispo San Marcos Sonoma Stanislaus Source: 2017-18 CSU Coded Memo 2017-05, July 14, 2017, http://www.calstate.edu/budget/fybudget/coded-memos/ 2018 19 CSU Operating Budget Trustees Request to State Governor s Budget Proposal $263 million $92 million Budget Gap $171 million Source: CSU Board of Trustees Meeting, Committee on Finance, Jan 29 31, 2018 20 10
If no change to $171m budget gap $171 million Gap $75 million Graduation Initiative $96 million $20 million Student Enrollment Growth $76 million $15 million Infrastructure Needs $61 million FIXED COST DEFICIT (compensation and mandatory costs) Source: CSU Board of Trustees Meeting, Committee on Finance, Jan 29 31, 2018 21 HSU Spending per FTES CSU Peer Comparisons 22 11
2016 17 Spending per FTES (7,000 10,500 FTES CSU Campuses) 23 $17,500 $17,000 $16,882 12% MORE THAN PEERS! $16,500 $16,000 $15,500 $15,000 $14,500 15,752 +$1,778/ FTES 14,759 14,379 15,526 Up from $1,471/FTES in 2015 16 $15,104/FTES CSU 7 10.5k FTES average (excluding HSU) $14,000 $13,500 $13,000 Bakersfield Humboldt San Marcos Sonoma Stanislaus Source: CSU Budget Website 2016 17 Spending (Cost) per Full Time Equivalent Student (FTES) 7,000 10,500 FTES Campuses* 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 $15,752 2,124 1,879 1,887 2,073 1,937 $16,882 1,776 2,168 2,297 1,725 2,063 $14,759 1,348 2,349 $14,379 1,566 1,260 1,933 1,914 1,747 1,691 $15,526 2,075 1,569 2,184 1,873 1,886 1,418 1,431 HSU s 2017 18 Budgeted Spending per FTES: $17,904 Student Financial Aid Op & Maint of Plant Institutional Support Student Services Academic Support Public Service* Research* Instruction 24 4,000 2,000 0 5,830 6,783 5,788 6,006 6,392 Bakersfield Humboldt San Marcos Sonoma Stanislaus * Smaller research and public service spending do not have itemized numbers in chart, but included in the total Source: CSU Budget Website 12
2016 17 Spending Comparison by Functional Category (FIRMS/NACUBO Code) 25 FUNCTIONAL CATEGORY HSU 7k 10.5k Campus Ave. (excl. HSU) % Higher than 7k 10.5k CSU System Ave. (excl. HSU & Maritime) % Higher than System Ave. Instruction 6,783 6,004 13% 6,131 11% Research 37 18 106% 42 12% Public Service 34 46 26% 35 3% Academic Support 2,063 1,668 24% 1,562 32% Student Services 1,725 1,846 7% 1,711 1% Institutional Support 2,297 2,083 10% 1,852 24% Op & Maint of Plant 2,168 1,682 29% 1,870 16% Student Financial Aid 1,776 1,756 1% 1,727 3% TOTAL SPENDING PER FTES 16,882 15,104 12% 14,929 13% Source: CSU Budget Website HSU Enrollment 26 13
Total Annual Resident FTES Trends FTES Enrollment 7,800 7,600 7,400 7,200 7,000 6,800 6,600 6,687 WUE* counted as Resident FTES until 2014 15 6,718 6,980 7,208 7,417 7,318 7,197 CSU Resident FTES Target: 7,603 6,910 693 FTES 6,400 6,200 6,439 6,000 5,800 2010 11 2011 12 2012 13 2013 14 2014 15 2015 16 2016 17 2017 18 Est. 2018 19 Budget *WUE: Western Undergraduate Exchange Sources: HSU IE Website, CSU Budget Website Total Annual Non Resident FTES Trends 600 500 400 572 531 WUE FTES* 441 395 355 339 316 290 600 500 400 Out of State FTES 600 500 400 International FTES 300 200 220 300 200 300 200 100 100 144 138 140 128 102 97 91 85 90 100 72 62 61 57 68 71 55 51 55 0 0 0 *WUE: Western Undergraduate Exchange Sources: HSU IE Website, CSU Budget Website 14
HSU Deficit 29 HSU Deficit History* (in millions) Annualized FTES 8,500 8,300 8,100 7,900 7,700 7,500 7,300 7,100 6,900 2010 11 2011 12 2012 13 2013 14 2014 15 2015 16 2016 17 2017 18 Budget 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 1.6 2.0 1.1 0.2 2.5 3.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 Millions 6,700 6,500 Base Deficit Colleges Shortfall Annual FTES 4.5 *NOTE: University level deficit reflected in red, year end shortfalls in academic colleges (based on current org structure) reflected in red lines w/ 2016 17 repeated in 2017 18 as an estimate; does not include Athletics deficit, or unfunded mandates/activities 2.3 4.0 Sources: HSU Budget Website, HSU IE Website, 2017 18 Budget Planning 15
HSU Deficit History and Projection (in millions) Annualized FTES 8,500 8,300 8,100 7,900 7,700 7,500 7,300 7,100 6,900 6,700 2012 13 2013 14 2014 15 2015 16 2016 17 2017 18 Budget 2.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 2.5 0.4 0.7 0.5 1.1 0.2 2.3 0.5 2018 19 Estimate 2019 20 Estimate 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.3 2.3 2.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 1.8 2.7 0.9 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 Millions 8.0 10.0 6,500 12.0 Base Deficit Colleges Shortfall Athletics Support Unfunded Compensation Tuition Decrease State Appropriation Annual FTES Sources: HSU Budget Website, HSU IE Website, 2018 19 Budget Planning HSU Deficit History and Projection (in millions) Annualized FTES 8,500 8,300 8,100 7,900 7,700 7,500 7,300 7,100 6,900 6,700 2013 14 2014 15 2015 16 2016 17 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.6 2.5 1.1 0.2 2.3 0.4 0.5 2017 18 Budget 2018 19 Estimate 2019 20 Estimate 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.8 2.7 0.9 2020 21 Estimate 3.5 1.8 2021 22 Estimate 2.7 1.8 2022 23 Estimate 1.8 1.8 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 Millions 8.0 10.0 6,500 12.0 Base Deficit Colleges Shortfall Athletics Support Unfunded Compensation Tuition Decrease State Appropriation Annual FTES Sources: HSU Budget Website, HSU IE Website, 2018 19 Budget Planning 16
Strategies and Next Steps 33 Reduction Target: $9 million FUNCTIONAL CATEGORY HSU Target Based on 17 18 Data % Higher than 7k 10.5k Campus Ave. % Higher than System Ave. $ Reduction Target % Cut (17 18 Bud w. YTD comp + overspend) Instruction 7,030 10% 8% (3,000,000) 6% Research 0% Public Service 35 29% 6% 0% Academic Support 1,880 6% 14% (1,390,000) 9% Student Services 1,882 4% 4% (740,000) 5% Institutional Support 2,557 16% 30% (2,750,000) 13% Op & Maint of Plant 1,990 12% 0% (1,120,000) 7% Student Financial Aid 1,967 6% 7% 0% TOTAL SPENDING PER FTES 17,341 8% 10% (9,000,000) 7% 34 17
Immediate Steps Implement a 5% reduction in current year operating expense budgets (nonpersonnel) No tenure line faculty position requests for fall 2019 Hiring chill: All staff and administrator hiring requests continue to be approved by Cabinet with the intent of reducing recruitments over the next 18 months Academic Programs and Office of Institutional Effectiveness (OIE) will assist the colleges in building fall 2018 and spring 2019 class schedules that align available instructional resources with student course need All General Fund travel expenditures and other expenditures of $2,000 or more must be approved by the appropriate Vice President 35 Short Term Steps Cabinet will incorporate Phase 2 feedback into the February 22 reduction plan URPC is developing a budget oversight policy Benchmark and recalibrate our spending by category (FIRMS codes) based on CSU system data Reduce an estimated 40 50 budgeted staff and administrator positions Reduce temporary faculty appointments in fall 2018 Reorganize or consolidate units and functions Identify and implement process improvements 36 18
Longer Term Steps Complete and implement Strategic Enrollment Management plan Rigorous review of all programs (administrative and academic) on campus Integrated assessment, planning, and budget process Enhanced fundraising efforts 37 The Path Forward: Budget Plan by 2/22/18 38 19