KAP INDUSTRIAL HOLDINGS LIMITED UNAUDITED RESULTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2018

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Transcription:

KAP INDUSTRIAL HOLDINGS LIMITED

INTEGRATED INTO EVERY DAY INTRODUCTION JAAP DU TOIT CHAIRMAN

AGENDA INTRODUCTION JAAP DU TOIT UNAUDITED INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE SIX STRATEGY MONTHS IMPLEMENTATION ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2016 GARY CHAPLIN DIVISIONAL HIGHLIGHTS GARY CHAPLIN FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OUTLOOK Q&A FRANS OLIVIER GARY CHAPLIN GARY CHAPLIN / FRANS OLIVIER 3

INTEGRATED INTO EVERY DAY STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION GARY CHAPLIN CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER

STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION 5

STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION FIVE-YEAR COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH AS A RESULT OF ORGANIC EXPANSION AND ACQUISITION OF COMPLEMENTARY BUSINESSES REVENUE (Rm) CAGR* 12% CORE OPERATING PROFIT (Rm) CAGR* 16% 15 000 2 000 10 000 1 500 1 000 5 000 500 0 1H14 1H15 1H16 1H17 1H18 1H19 0 1H14 1H15 1H16 1H17 1H18 1H19 HEPS (cents) CAGR* 13% OPERATING CASH FLOW # (Rm) CAGR* 19% 30 1 000 20 800 600 10 400 200 0 1H14 1H15 1H16 1H17 1H18 1H19 0 1H14 1H15 1H16 1H17 1H18 1H19 * Compound annual growth rate of continuing operations, excluding the non-recurring, non-cash impact of the Unitrans B-BBEE transaction. # Cash generated from operations 6

STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION GROUP OPERATIONAL STRUCTURE DIVERSIFIED INDUSTRIAL DIVERSIFIED CHEMICAL DIVERSIFIED LOGISTICS INTEGRATED TIMBER Integrated forestry, timber and resin manufacturing operations with primary and upgrading processes AUTOMOTIVE COMPONENTS Manufacture of vehicle retail accessories and components used in new vehicle assembly INTEGRATED BEDDING Manufacture of foam, fabrics, springs, bases and branded mattresses POLYMERS Manufacture of polyethylene terephthalate (PET), high-density polyethylene (HDPE) and polypropylene (PP) CONTRACTUAL LOGISTICS SA Provision of specialised contractual supply chain and logistics services CONTRACTUAL LOGISTICS AFRICA Provision of specialised contractual supply chain and logistics services PASSENGER TRANSPORT Provision of personnel, commuter, intercity and tourism transport services 7

STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION GROUP SEGMENTAL ANALYSIS REVENUE* OPERATING PROFIT* TOTAL ASSETS DIVERSIFIED INDUSTRIAL 30% DIVERSIFIED INDUSTRIAL 40% DIVERSIFIED INDUSTRIAL 36% DIVERSIFIED CHEMICAL 33% DIVERSIFIED CHEMICAL 32% DIVERSIFIED CHEMICAL 35% DIVERSIFIED LOGISTICS 37% DIVERSIFIED LOGISTICS 28% DIVERSIFIED LOGISTICS 29% * From continuing operations, excluding the non-recurring, non-cash impact of the Unitrans B-BBEE transaction. 8

STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION F2019 FOCUS Multiple projects embarked on and acquisitions concluded in recent years R7.8 billion invested in 24 months to 30 June 2018 Good execution record, with the exception of Safripol (Durban) expansion Focus for F2019 Final implementation of various expansion projects Final integration of various acquisitions Extraction of value from capital invested Strong cash generation 9

STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION REVENUE ANALYSIS 500 000 500 (Rm) 10% Stable 79% 15% 28% 8% Industrial Chemical 28% 9% Logistics 12% 4% 13 290 000 500 000 11 478 15% 16% 13% 500 000 500 0 1H18 Integrated Timber Automotive Components Integrated Bedding Polymers Contractual Logistics SA Contractual Logistics Africa Passenger Transport 1H19 Comparative segmental information restated for the move of the group s resin business from chemical to industrial. 10

STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION OPERATING PROFIT ANALYSIS 1% 53% 14% (Rm) Industrial Chemical Logistics 000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1 404 1H18 1% 3% Integrated Timber Automotive Components Integrated Bedding 53% Polymers (33%) Contractual Logistics SA 7% Contractual Logistics Africa (13%) Passenger Transport 1 508 1H19 From continuing operations, excluding the non-recurring, non-cash impact of the Unitrans B-BBEE transaction. Comparative segmental information restated for the move of the group s resin business from chemical to industrial. 11

Operating margin (%) STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION MARGIN ANALYSIS KAP operating profit margin reduced 90 bps to 11.3% UNAUDITED INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2016 Industrial Chemical Logistics Group 15.5% 16.8% 14.8% 10.4% 9.2% 11.0% 10.7% 10.9% 8.6% 12.3% 12.6% 12.2% 11.3% 1H17 1H18 1H19 1H17 1H18 1H19 1H17 1H18 1H19 1H17 1H18 1H19 From continuing operations, excluding the non-recurring, non-cash impact of the Unitrans B-BBEE transaction. Comparative segmental information restated for the move of the group s resin business from chemical to industrial. 12

INTEGRATED INTO EVERY DAY DIVISIONAL HIGHLIGHTS GARY CHAPLIN CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER

INTEGRATED TIMBER Recent technology upgrades and expansions operating ahead of expectation Export sales volumes increased to 17% to support increased production Value-add ratio stable at 54%, thereby protecting R/m 3 profit Successful new product launches support value-add ratio Completion of recovery operations in relation to June 2017 plantation fires November 2018 fire damage to 845 ha Material operational impact of recent fires on plantation, sawmill and pole operations Pole operations further impacted by Western Cape drought Inclusion of resin and paper; management remains with Chemical division REVENUE 15% OPERATING PROFIT 1% 14

AUTOMOTIVE COMPONENTS Industry new vehicle assembly volumes increased by 10% VW Polo and BMW X3 model introductions running well Strong volume growth supported revenue growth Continuous improvement projects and new technology implementations delayed, impacting negatively on margins Maxe operations continued to exceed expectation Autovest challenged by subdued motor retail environment Sale of loss-making canopy operation effective 1 October 2018 REVENUE 16% OPERATING PROFIT FLAT 15

INTEGRATED BEDDING Continued furniture retail focus on bedding category supports volume growth Volume growth continues to drive integrated business model Intra-division sales of foam and textiles continue to grow Black Friday orders drove higher volumes of low-margin product beyond efficient manufacturing capacity, which impacted negatively on margin Significant and rapid raw material price increases impacted negatively on margin Continued growth in independent market through Support-a-Paedic (recent acquisition) Technology and machinery upgrades continued, targeting completion for next peak trading period REVENUE 13% OPERATING PROFIT 3% 16

CHEMICAL REVENUE PET 42% HDPE 33% VOLUMES PET 42% HDPE 33% PP 25% PP 25% UF RELATED 19% UF RELATED 19% 17

CHEMICAL Commercial drivers: Import parity price of PET, HDPE and PP (driven by global supply/demand) Indexed raw material prices: ethylene, propylene, PTA, MEG and PIA Rand/US dollar exchange REVENUE 28% Commodity and currency changes during procurement to sales cycle Domestic demand for the product remains strong, with PET customer base restored Plastic converters strike impacted December sales with a resultant increase in inventory Export demand remains strong OPERATING PROFIT 53% Operational performance significantly improved in Durban Review of anti-dumping duties and import duties in progress 18

CHEMICAL PET (polyethylene terephthalate) sales volumes up 60% PET production volumes up 344% PET US dollar margins up 16% HDPE (high-density polyethylene) sales volumes down 19% HDPE production volumes flat HDPE US dollar margins up 23% PP (polypropylene) sales volumes down 6% PP production volumes down 5% PP US dollar margins up 4% Average rand/us dollar exchange of R14.18 (1H18: R13.41) 19

CONTRACTUAL LOGISTICS SOUTH AFRICA DIVERSE REVENUE BASE FOOD 31% GENERAL FREIGHT 21% REVENUE PETROLEUM 16% MINING & CEMENT 15% SPECIALISED WAREHOUSING 9% CHEMICALS 8% 45% of division sold effective 3 September 2018 in B-BBEE transaction South African operations now independently managed New executive management structure implemented effective 1 December 2018 New operational and support structure targeted for March 2019 implementation 20

CONTRACTUAL LOGISTICS SOUTH AFRICA Trading environment stable during first quarter but extremely challenging during second quarter Revenue inflated by cost recoveries (mainly fuel) Volume and margin pressure in all areas, a reflection of subdued economic activity Food business materially down due to cost recovery difficulties on major contract General Freight business performed ahead of prior period Petroleum business down mainly due to lower non-contractual, ad-hoc volumes Mining & Cement, Specialised Warehousing and Chemicals businesses stable Annualised revenue of new contracts R151 million Annualised revenue of renewals R419 million Annualised revenue of contracts lost R66 million REVENUE 9% OPERATING PROFIT* 33% * Excluding B-BBEE cost 21

CONTRACTUAL LOGISTICS AFRICA DIVERSE REVENUE BASE BOTSWANA 32% MOZAMBIQUE 20% REVENUE BY COUNTRY SWAZILAND 13% MALAWI 12% TANZANIA 8% NAMIBIA 6% REVENUE BY SECTOR PETROLEUM 57% AGRICULTURE 39% MINING 4% LESOTHO 4% MADAGASCAR 3% ZAMBIA 2% Following South African Logistics B-BBEE transaction, African operations now independently managed New executive management structure implemented effective 1 December 2018 No change to in-country operational structure 22

CONTRACTUAL LOGISTICS AFRICA Core business currently Petroleum and Agriculture Volumes and margins stable No major seasonal impacts during the period Cost escalations successfully recovered Focus on expanding operations in existing territories REVENUE 12% OPERATING PROFIT 7% 23

PASSENGER TRANSPORT Commuter operations performed well operationally but were impacted by fuel capping formula Personnel operations impacted by lower client activity, which included industrial action Mozambique personnel and Gautrain operations continue to perform well Intercity operations remain under pressure in overtraded market Tourism operation impacted by lower tourist numbers Impact of fuel price increase on operating profit R30 million COMMUTER AND PERSONNEL 53% INTERCITY 26% GAUTRAIN 10% REVENUE 4% OPERATING PROFIT 13% TOURISM 6% AFRICA 5% 24

INTEGRATED INTO EVERY DAY FINANCIAL ANALYSIS FRANS OLIVIER CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION RESULTED IN STRONG CASH GENERATION FROM OPERATIONS UNAUDITED INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2016 Results from continuing operations 1H19 1H18 Variance Revenue (Rm) 13 290 11 478 16% EBITDA before B-BBEE cost (Rm) 2 095 1 905 10% Operating profit before B-BBEE cost and capital items (Rm) 1 508 1 404 7% Core headline earnings per share (cents)* 30.1 28.3 6% Cash generated from operations (Rm) 877 479 83% Net asset value per share (cents) 462 420 10% * Excluding the non-recurring, non-cash impact of the Unitrans B-BBEE transaction. 26

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS UNITRANS B-BBEE DEAL OBJECTIVES Achieve > 51% black and > 30% black women ownership in South African logistics business Minimise dilution to shareholders Equity interest sold at market value, taking into account peer multiples Funding provided at market rates Ensure compliance with B-BBEE Commission requirements Ensure a sustainable scheme to create value for B-BBEE shareholders Ensure sustainable growth of South African logistics business 27

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS USCS TRANSACTION STRUCTURE UNAUDITED KAP Industrial INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE Holdings Ltd SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2016 Loan advancement R1 211m Shareholder loan repayment R1 211m Preference share subscription R1 211m Unitrans Holdings (Pty) Ltd FWG Pieters Trust Sakhumzi Foundation Empowerment Trust KAP Corporate Services (Pty) Ltd 55% 23% 22% Shareholder loan repayment R1 200m R620m Ordinary share subscription Unitrans Supply Chain Solutions (Pty) Ltd (USCS) R591m 28

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS INCOME STATEMENT UNAUDITED INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE SIX Continuing MONTHS operations ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2016 1H19 Rm 1H18 Rm Variance Revenue 13 290 11 478 16% EBITDA before B-BBEE cost 2 095 1 905 10% Depreciation and amortisation (587) (501) Operating profit before B-BBEE cost and capital items 1 508 1 404 7% B-BBEE cost (194) Capital items 5 (26) Operating profit 1 319 1 378 (4%) Net finance costs (366) (328) 12% Associate companies and joint ventures 17 13 Taxation (322) (297) Non-controlling interest (32) (32) Profit attributable to owners of the parent 616 734 (16%) 29

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS INCOME STATEMENT CONTINUED UNAUDITED INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE SIX Continuing MONTHS operations ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2016 1H19 Rm 1H18 Rm Variance Profit attributable to owners of the parent 616 734 (16%) Add back capital items net of taxation (2) 21 Headline earnings 614 755 (19%) Add back B-BBEE cost 194 Core headline earnings 808 755 7% Weighted average number of ordinary shares (m) 2 688 2 664 1% Headline earnings per share (cents) 22.8 28.3 (19%) Core headline earnings per share (cents) 30.1 28.3 6% 30

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS GEOGRAPHIC MARKETS REVENUE AND OPERATING PROFIT ANALYSIS Revenue* Operating profit* SOUTH AFRICA 91% REST OF AFRICA 9% SOUTH AFRICA 84% REST OF AFRICA 16% Provides diversity in markets and broader growth opportunities Provides improved margins to compensate for sovereign risk and withholding taxes where relevant * From continuing operations, excluding the non-recurring, non-cash impact of the Unitrans B-BBEE transaction. 31

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CURRENCY DRIVERS OF REVENUE AND OPERATING PROFIT Revenue* Operating profit* RAND-driven activities 63% US DOLLAR-driven activities 37% RAND-driven activities 60% US DOLLAR-driven activities 40% Dollar-driven activities impact revenue and raw material prices, therefore representing dollar margin business Provides currency diversity without the complexity of doing business in foreign jurisdictions * From continuing operations, excluding the non-recurring, non-cash impact of the Unitrans B-BBEE transaction. 32

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS BALANCE SHEET Balance sheet remains stable with quality assets 1H19 Rm 1H18 Rm Property, plant, equipment and investment property 12 662 12 384 Intangible assets 4 097 4 108 Goodwill 1 283 1 284 Biological assets 1 907 1 926 Net working capital 2 598 2 143 Other assets 292 446 Assets 22 839 22 291 Total equity 12 695 11 571 Net interest-bearing liabilities 6 687 7 460 Other liabilities 3 457 3 260 Equity and liabilities 22 839 22 291 Net asset value per share (cents) 462 420 33

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CONTINUED INVESTMENTS RESULT IN STRONG ASSET BASE OF NEW TECHNOLOGY ASSETS Capex and acquisition investments (Rm) Asset base at 31 December 2018 7 000 6 000 6 083 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 285 2 000 1 000 1 341 1 723 707 PLANT & MACHINERY 28% VEHICLES & BUSES 24% INTANGIBLE ASSETS 21% 0 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 1H19 LAND & BUILDINGS 11% BIOLOGICAL ASSETS 10% GOODWILL 6% 34

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS PLANTATION REVALUATION (Rm) 700 600 500 1 881 Normal operations 131 (93) (30) 1 889 Fire-related impact (7) (15) 1 867 400 300 200 100 0 Jun 18 Increase due to growth Decrease due to normal harvesting Decrease due to inflation differential Total prior to effect of fire Excess harvesting resulting in inventory Recovery estimate Dec 18 Harvesting completed for 2017 fire Fire damages 845 ha in November 2018 35

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS WORKING CAPITAL BREAKDOWN 1 550 (Rm) 1 350 1 150 788 133 (466) 950 2 598 750 550 2 143 350 150-50 Dec-17 Inventory Receivables Payables Dec-18 Inventory inflated by lower December 2018 sales in Polymers due to plastic converters strike 36

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CASH FLOW 1H19 Rm EBITDA before B-BBEE cost 2 095 1 905 Net revaluation of biological assets 13 56 Discontinued operations 1H18 Rm (4) (17) Other non-cash adjustments 36 30 Cash generated before working capital changes 2 140 1 974 Working capital changes (1 263) (1 495) Inventory Receivables Payables (739) (363) (116) (296) (408) (836) Cash generated from operations 877 479 Net finance charges Taxation Net dividends (369) (384) (135) (165) (647) (576) Cash flow from operating activities (274) (646) Cash conversion ratio 58% 34% 37

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CASH FLOW CONTINUED 1H19 Rm 1H18 Rm Cash flow from operating activities (274) (646) Investing activities Expansion capex Replacement capex (606) (1 144) (240) (483) (462) (486) Disposal/acquisition of investments 101 (121) Other investing activities (5) (54) Cash flow after investing activities (880) (1 790) Financing activities 37 436 Non-controlling interest (82) 51 Loans and borrowings 118 457 Bank overdraft and short-term facilities 1 (72) Movement in cash and cash equivalents (843) (1 354) 38

DEBT STRUCTURE AND CAPACITY RATIOS DEBT SERVICEABILITY RATIOS REFLECTIVE OF STRONG CASH GENERATION 31 Dec 18 31 Dec 17 Net interest-bearing debt (Rm) 6 687 7 460 Equity excluding non-controlling interest (Rm) 12 498 11 245 Gearing: net debt:equity 54% 66% Net debt to EBITDA (times) < 3.2 1.6 2.0 EBITDA interest cover (times) > 4.5 5.5 5.7 FUNDING STRUCTURE 11% 23% 11% 55% Banks and financial institutions Listed notes Unlisted notes Unutilised facility FIXED VS FLOATING INTEREST RATE FUNDING 34% Floating interest rate funding Fixed interest rate funding 66% 39

TREASURY ACTIVITY NET INTEREST-BEARING DEBT MATURITY AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2018 Rm 4 000 3 000 AVAILABLE FACILITIES CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS, NET OF OVERDRAFT DEBT REPAYMENTS 2 000 1 000 0-1 000-2 000-3 000-4 000 Dec 2018 Jun 2019 Jun 2020 Jun 2021 Jun 2022 Jun 2023 and thereafter 40

INTEGRATED INTO EVERY DAY OUTLOOK GARY CHAPLIN CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER

DIVERSIFIED INDUSTRIAL Integrated Timber PG Bison well positioned in terms of product mix, market position and manufacturing capacity/efficiency Approximately R200 million expansion projects approved for F2020 implementation Automotive Components Improved performance expected through implementation of continuous improvement projects and technology investments Approval of replacement APDP programme to create stability and support medium-term growth Integrated Bedding Volume demand remains buoyant into January/February, however on low-margin products Strategy of market share growth and continued integration to be continued Increased raw material cost recovery initiatives to be pursued 42

DIVERSIFIED CHEMICAL Polymer and raw material prices and rand/us dollar exchange remain volatile Global polymer demand remains buoyant IHS short-term forecasts appear inconsistent Focus areas for management: Selling full production volume to best advantage Shortening the procurement to sales cycle and minimising inventory in the supply chain Single polymers product offering and logistics solution Moving product mix toward higher value products Consumer sentiment towards single-use plastics to be addressed through coordinated industry initiatives 43

DIVERSIFIED LOGISTICS Contractual Logistics South Africa Environment expected to remain challenging through election period Food and Petroleum businesses: new management and structures for increased focus Management focus on improved assets utilisation, operational execution and cost reduction Contractual Logistics Africa Good operational execution expected to continue Focus on growth opportunities Passenger Transport Continued focus on operational improvements and mitigation of fuel variances Strategic review of Intercity operations 44

INTEGRATED INTO EVERY DAY Q&A GARY CHAPLIN / FRANS OLIVIER CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER / CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

THANK YOU INTEGRATED INTO EVERY DAY