Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange 14 November 2016

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Figure 1 Global Economic Data

Almarai Steady performance

Al Hammadi and Care merger: First Look

Saudi Banks Sector Banks Finance Saudi Arabia 19 November 2017 January 18, 2010

Saudi Arabian economy

SAIBOR eases marginally. Crude oil slips

Strategy report All Industries All Sectors Saudi Arabia 13 March 2017 January 18, 2010

Table 1 Key macro indicators. Source: SAMA, * Provisional

Advanced Petrochemicals Co Upgrade to OW. Raise TP to SAR61/share

Saudi Arabian economy

Saudi Arabian Economy

Market trends: August 2017 TASI in recovery mode

Saudi Arabian Economy

Saudi Arabian Economy

Saudi Banks Sector Banks Finance Saudi Arabia 19 June 2017 January 18, 2010

Saudi Arabian Mining Co (Maaden AB Equity) Continuing steady performance

Figure 1 Q results summary. Net profit 5,235 3, % 50% 5,879. Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital

Figure 1 SAFCO Q1 results Q Q Q (SAR mn) Operating profit % 375.6% 347. Operating margin 47% 8% 30% 40%

Saudi companies results preview

Saudi Arabian Telecom Sector Q key takeaways

2,864. P/E Multiple (x) 2,823 2,782 2,741 2,699

SAFCO N: Weak Q2; Stock bottoming out Buy on further correction in H2

Saudi Arabian Economy

2,853. P/E Multiple (x) 2,815 2,776 2,738 2,699

Saudi Arabian Economy

SAFCO Q3: Margin beat as Urea price increases

Saudi Arabian Economy

Petro Rabigh Shutdown marred Q2 results

2,864. P/E Multiple (x) 2,823 2,782 2,741 2,699

SABIC Overall strong performance

3,679. P/E Multiple (x) 3,641 3,603 3,565 3,528

3,744. P/E Multiple (x) 3,708 3,671 3,635 3,599

3,745. P/E Multiple (x) 3,710 3,675 3,640 3,606. UAE equity markets closed higher yesterday, lifted by gains in insurance and property sector stocks.

3,684. P/E Multiple (x) 3,611 3,539 3,466 3,394

2,864. P/E Multiple (x) 2,829 2,795 2,761 2,727

2,993. P/E Multiple (x) 2,953 2,913 2,873 2,833

2,830. P/E Multiple (x) 2,797 2,765 2,732 2,699

3,675. P/E Multiple (x) 3,604 3,533 3,462 3,391

2,584. P/E Multiple (x) 2,556 2,528 2,500 2,472

Saudi Basic Industries Corp After an upbeat Q3, expect good performance in Q4; Raise TP to SAR103/sh.

2,584. P/E Multiple (x) 2,556 2,528 2,500 2,472

3,591. P/E Multiple (x) 3,551 3,510 3,470 3,430

3,523. P/E Multiple (x) 3,482 3,442 3,401 3,360

Yansab Better than expected results

3,523. P/E Multiple (x) 3,482 3,442 3,401 3,360

3,639. P/E Multiple (x) 3,587 3,534 3,482 3,430. UAE equity markets closed higher yesterday, lifted by gains in insurance and financial sector stocks.

3,558. P/E Multiple (x) 3,511 3,463 3,415 3,367

2,612. P/E Multiple (x) 2,571 2,530 2,489 2,448

The Saudi Stock Exchange (TADAWUL) Technical Report is now available on page 2

2,558. P/E Multiple (x) 2,533 2,507 2,481 2,455

3,591. P/E Multiple (x) 3,543 3,494 3,446 3,398

Transcription:

7-Nov 8-Nov 9-Nov 10-Nov 1 Thousands 10:00 10:15 10:30 10:45 11:00 11:15 11:30 11:45 12:00 12:15 12:30 12:45 13:00 13:15 13:30 13:45 14:00 14:15 14:30 14:45 14 November 2016 TASI Index 6,663.3 7% Turnover (SAR mn) 5,728.7-12% TASI Intra Day Movement Global commentary Research Department research@alrajhi-capital.com Tel:+966 11 211 9370 6,700 6,650 6,600 6,550 6,500 6,450 Intraday TASI Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) - 8 6 4 2 Turnover (LHS, SAR bn) Previous Close TASI Index (RHS) 9,000 8,500 8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 Regional Indices Close 1D% WTD% YTD% KSA (TASI) 6,663 2.1 2.1-3.6 Qatar (DSM) 9,872-0.9-0.9-5.3 Kuw ait (KSE) 5,481-2.4 Abu Dhabi (ADSM) 4,236-1.1-1.1-1.7 Dubai (DFM) 3,233-1.3-1.3 2.6 Oman (MSM30) 5,417 0.2 Bahrain (BSE) 1,162 0.1 0.1-4.4 MSCI GCC 446-1.7 Major Commodities / Currencies Close 1D % WTD % YTD % Gold Spot $/Oz 1,216 - - 14.6 Silver Spot $/Oz 17.23-0.9-0.9 24.3 Crude Oil (Brent) 44.80 0.1 0.1-0.4 OPEC Basket 42.67 1.8 36.5 Euro 8-0.6-0.6-0.7 USD Index 99.52 0.9 JPY 107.480-0.8-0.8 11.8 Major Global Indices Close 1D % WTD % YTD % DJ Industrial 18,848 0.2 8.2 S&P 500 2,164-0.1 5.9 Nikkei 225 17,669 1.7 1.7-7.2 Hang seng 22,267-1.2-1.2 1.6 FTSE 100 6,730-1.4 7.8 CAC 40 4,489-0.9-3.2 MSCI World 1,697-0.3 2.1 MSCI EM 849-6.9 The US will begin the week by releasing retail sales data and import and export price index stats on Tuesday, while industrial production data and housing market index numbers will be published on Wednesday. Further, housing starts data, initial jobless claims stats and the CPI numbers will be out on Thursday, while the Fed Chairwoman will deliver a speech in front of the Congress on the same day. In Europe, the ECB President will deliver a speech on Monday, while the UK s CPI data, the Eurozone s trade balance stats and Germany and Eurozone s Q3 GDP stats (preliminary) and economic sentiment data will be published on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the UK s retail sales data, the Eurozone s CPI numbers and the ECB s monetary policy meeting accounts will be released on Thursday. Further, the ECB President and the German Buba President will deliver a speech on Friday. GCC markets ended the session on a mixed note on Sunday. Dubai slipped 1.3%, pulled down by Emaar Properties and DXB Entertainments, while Abu Dhabi declined 1.1%, backed by Etisalat and First Gulf Bank. Further, Qatar dropped 0.9%, led by Industries Qatar. However, Bahrain edged up 0.1%, while Kuwait and Oman ended on a flat note. Asian markets are trading on a mixed note this morning. The Nikkei 225 is trading up 1.5%, owing to better-than-expected Q3 GDP data (preliminary), while the Shanghai Composite Index is up 0.4%. However, the Hang Seng Index is trading down 1.1%, while the KOSPI is down 0.2%, due to political turmoil in South Korea. Saudi commentary Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) gained 135.26 points or 7% to close at 6,663.31. All of the fifteen sector indices closed higher. The advance decline ratio was 159/11. Trading turnover was around SAR 5.7bn. Zain Saudi CEO shrugs off Mobily provision impact on net income: Zain Saudi s net income is unlikely to be hurt by the SAR 219.5 million it was ordered by an arbitration panel to pay Etihad Etisalat Co. (Mobily) as the company has already made provisions for it, CEO said. (Argaam) Alandalus reveals updates on current projects: Alandalus Property Co. said that a plot of land allocated for its jointly owned hospital with Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Group was divided and allocated for the construction of a hospital, residential units and a commercial mall. (Argaam) Flotation of Egyptian pound to cost SPIMACO SAR 40 mln in Q4: The decision by the Egyptian government to float the country s currency will cost Saudi Pharmaceutical Industries and Medical Appliances Corporation (SPIMACO), Saudi Arabia s largest medicines producer, SAR 40 million in fourth quarter. (Argaam) Interest Rates 1M 3M 12M 3M Chg 1Y LIBOR (USD) 4 0.91 1.59 5 SAIBOR 1.96 2.20 2.54 1.18 EIBOR 0.73 1.31 1.96 0.48 Data Sources: Bloomberg Updated as of 14/Nov/2016 8:14 AM Please see penultimate page for additional important disclosures. Al Rajhi Capital (Al Rajhi) is a foreign broker-dealer unregistered in the USA. Al Rajhi research is prepared by research analysts who are not registered in the USA. Al Rajhi research is distributed in the USA pursuant to Rule 15a-6 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 solely by Rosenblatt Securities, an SEC registered and FINRA-member broker-dealer. 1

Cement Industries Building Retail Energy Transport Multi invt Hotels Media TASI Large Cap (>10% Index weight) Sectors Performance TASI Top Gainers / Losers 1 1 1 1 TASI Petrochem Banks Telecom - - Med & Gulf Ins 29 9.9 2.294 46.27 United Intl Transport 38 ` 0.781 23.62 Saudi Res and Mktg 25.20 9.8 98 14.61 Thimar 26.30 9.8 1.230 31.81 Saudi Printing & Pkg 15.50 9.7 2.175 32.68 Basic Chemical Ind 25.2-9.7 4.169 105.44 Al Babtain Pow er 27.6-2.7 0.756 27 Almarai 6-0.416 22 Al Othaim 84.7-0.9 0.293 24.79 Sabic 8-0.8 3.671 316.83 TASI Mid Cap (5-10% index weight) Sectors Performance TASI Top Index Movers / Losers (Heavy weight stocks) 1 1 1 - - - - Real Estate Agri Company Last Price Chg % Index Imp Value Trd (SAR mn) Jabal Omar 70.95 2.4 9.6 3 Banq Saudi Fr 26.78 5.4 9.0 3.12 Samba 20 3.7 8.4 2 Savola 37.86 5.4 7.9 0.87 Riyad Bank 10.81 3.7 6.2 2.94 Company Last Price Chg % Index Imp Value Trd (SAR mn) Sabic 83-0.8-4.5 316.83 Almarai 59.98 - -1.6 22 Basic Chemical Ind 25.20-9.7-0.6 105.44 Al Babtain Pow er 27.57-2.7-0.3 27 Al Othaim 84.73-0.9-0.2 24.79 TASI Small Cap (<5% index weight) Sectors Performance TASI Volume Leaders 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 3 - - -3-4 -5-6 Dar Al Arkan 5.89 5.4 112.399 647.61 Saudi Kayan 0 1.9 21.550 171.35 Alinma Bk 14.20-0.1 21.548 306.75 Saudi Paper Mfg 9.63 9.7 13.652 127.12 Zain Saudi 8.18 0.7 8.791 73 Takw een Advanced 11.70 4.5 7.877 91.32 Etihad Atheeb 3.24 4.2 6.931 22.18 Sahara Petro 10.86 2.6 4.567 48.93 Basic Chemical Ind 25.20-9.7 4.169 105.44 Saptco 13.23 1.6 4.142 58 TASI Stocks Closer to 52 Week High TASI - Stocks Closer to 52 Week Low Company Last Price 52Wk High % Diff Value Trd (SAR mn) Sanad Coop Ins 15.23 15.23 % 00 Weqaya For Takaf 19.39 19.39 % 00 NIC 16.30 16.35 0.3% 29.910 Dallah Healthcare 94.75 95.25 % 27.899 Jabal Omar 70.95 71.50 0.8% 213.581 Company Last Price 52Wk Low % Diff Value Trd (SAR mn) Sanad Coop Ins 15.23 15.23 % 00 Weqaya For Takaf 19.39 19.39 % 00 Kingdom Hold 10.68 9.80 9.0% 6.708 Saudi Vitrified 61 55.25 12.2% 24.507 Takw een Advanced 11.70 10.30 13.6% 91.323 Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 2

DSM Bank Telecom Consumer Transport Real Estate 7-Nov 8-Nov 9-Nov 10-Nov 1 ADSM Real Estate Energy Telecome Banks Fin. Industrial Consumer 7-Nov 8-Nov 9-Nov 10-Nov 1 DFM Bank Reality Investment Transport Telcom Performance of Regional markets Country Last Index Change (%) MCap Volume Turnover P/E (x) P/E (x) P/E (x) P/B (x) Div Yld Close 1D 1M YTD US$ bn mn shr US$ mn 12M 2016E 2017E Current 12M (%) Saudi Arabia 6,663 2.1 10.8-3.6 412 364 1,527 15.8 14.2 13.1 1.5 3.5 Qatar 9,872-0.9 - -5.3 125 5.8 56 14.3 12.5-1.5 4.1 Dubai 3,233-1.3-2.6 77 450 143 11.7 10.4 1.2 4.3 Abu Dhabi 4,236-1.1-1.5-1.7 112 277 94 10.9 11.1 6.3 1.3 5.8 Kuw ait 5,481 1.5-2.4 83 171 57 18.9 NA 8.5 4.3 Oman 5,417-1.2 0.2 16 4 2 10.2 8.4-8.2 5.3 Bahrain 1,162 0.1 1.2-4.4 18 3.5 1 9.4 NA NA 0.4 4.8 Dubai Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Dubai Sector Performances Dubai Top Gainers / Losers 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 Turnover (LHS, AED bn) DFMGI Index (RHS) 3,340 3,320 3,300 3,280 3,260 3,240 3,220 3,200 3,180 - - Dubai Islamic Ins 4 6.4 0.15 Amanat Holdings 0.97 4.6 235.91 Aramex 3.93 4.2 2.12 Islamic Arab Ins 0.48 3.2 30 Du 5.94 1.5 0.14 4 3 3 2 - - Shuaa Capital 1.29-8.5 11.43 Dubai Natl Ins 2.35-8.2 3 DXBI 1.98-4.4 4.12 Dubai Invest 0.45-3.5 10.20 Emaar Prop 6.50-8 Abu Dhabi Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Abu Dhabi Sector Performances Abu Dhabi Top Gainers / Losers Turnover (LHS, AED bn) ADSMI Index (RHS) 4,500 4,000 - - - - - - -7.0 Union 1.86 14.8 32 Methaq Takaful 0.85 6.3 22.512 Eshraq Propertie 7 4.9 229.776 Agthia Group 6.24 0.604 RAK Ceramics 2.50 3.3 0.152 - - - - -2 Arkan Building Mat 0.88-8.3 0.117 Intl Fish Farming 1.51-7.9 57 Aldar Prop 2.49-4.2 8.667 NBAD 8.66-2.5 0.315 Waha Capital 1.76-2.2 69 Qatar Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Qatar Sector Performances Qatar Top Gainers / Losers 1 1 1 - - - - Real Estate Agri - - - - - Med & Gulf Ins 29 9.9 2.294 46.27 United Intl Transport 38 ` 0.781 23.62 Saudi Res and Mktg 25.20 9.8 98 14.61 Thimar 26.30 9.8 1.230 31.81 Saudi Printing & Pkg 15.50 9.7 2.175 32.68 - - Basic Chemical Ind 25.2-9.7 4.169 105.44 Al Babtain Pow er 27.6-2.7 0.756 27 Almarai 6-0.416 22 Al Othaim 84.7-0.9 0.293 24.79 Sabic 8-0.8 3.671 316.83 Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 3

24-Oct 25-Oct 26-Oct 27-Oct 30-Oct BSE Banks Hotel & Tourism Industries 24-Oct 25-Oct 26-Oct 27-Oct 30-Oct 24-Oct 25-Oct 26-Oct 27-Oct 30-Oct KSE Technology Investment Industrial Real estate Bank Fin. Parallel Telecom Consumer Basic material Oil&Gas Healthcare Thousands Kuwait Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Kuwait Sector Performances Kuwait Top Gainers / Losers 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Turnover (LHS, KWD mn) KWSEIDX Index (RHS) 5,460 5,440 5,420 5,400 5,380 5,360 5,340 5,320 5,300 5,280 2.5 1.5 - - -1.5 2 GFH 116 9.4 2.431 Hets telecom 39.5 6.8 3.600 City finance 44.5 1.380 Human Soft 1780 55 Al Salam Group Hldg 45.5 5.8 11.872 - - - - Hilal Cement Co 118-7.8 04 Housing Finance 48.5-6.7 3.627 Kuw ait Fin & Invest 33-5.7 44 Ifa Hotels & Res 160-4.8 00 Al-Mazaya Hldg 110-3.5 2.566 Oman Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Oman Sector Performances Oman Top Gainers / Losers 8 4 0 Turnover (LHS, OMR mn) MSM30 Index (RHS) 5,540 5,520 5,500 5,480 5,460 5,440 5,420 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.4 - MSM 30 Bank Industry - NBO 0.227 3.2 55 Gulf Invest Svcs 0.107 1.9 0.158 Al Sharqiya Inv 0.115 1.8 0.171 Ooredoo 0.640 1.3 0.211 Al Anw ar Holding 0.164 0.6 0.830 Sembcorp 0.235-4.1 78 Bank Nizw a 78-1.3 2.459 Bank Muscat 0.410-0.325 Bahrain Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Bahrain Sector Performances Bahrain Top Gainers / Losers 9.0 7.0 - Turnover (LHS, BHD mn) BHSEASI Index (RHS) 1,152 1,150 1,148 1,146 1,144 1,142 1,140 1,138 2.5 1.5 - - -1.5 - - - - - - -1-1 -1-1 NBB 0.705 2.2 02 Ahli United Bk 0.635 0.8 0.300 BMMI 0.835 0.6 25 Bahrain Islamic Bk 0.108-6.1 0.153 Khaleeji Com Bk 55-3.5 0.170 Albaraka Banking 0.470-2.1 81 Nass Corp 0.105-0.9 0.100 Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 4

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES FOR U.S. PERSONS This research report was prepared by Al Rajhi Capital (Al Rajhi), a company authorized to engage in securities activities in Saudi Arabia. Al Rajhi is not a registered broker-dealer in the United States and, therefore, is not subject to U.S. rules regarding the preparation of research reports and the independence of research analysts. This research report is provided for distribution to major U.S. institutional investors in reliance on the exemption from registration provided by Rule 15a-6 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act ). Any U.S. recipient of this research report wishing to effect any transaction to buy or sell securities or related financial instruments based on the information provided in this research report should do so only through Rosenblatt Securities Inc, 40 Wall Street 59th Floor, New York, NY 10005, a registered broker dealer in the United States. 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Disclaimer and additional disclosures for Equity Research Disclaimer This research document has been prepared by Al Rajhi Capital Company ( Al Rajhi Capital ) of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. It has been prepared for the general use of Al Rajhi Capital s clients and may not be redistributed, retransmitted or disclosed, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of Al Rajhi Capital. Receipt and review of this research document constitute your agreement not to redistribute, retransmit, or disclose to others the contents, opinions, conclusion, or information contained in this document prior to public disclosure of such information by Al Rajhi Capital. The information contained was obtained from various public sources believed to be reliable but we do not guarantee its accuracy. 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Investors should seek financial, legal or tax advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities, other investment or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this document and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Investors should note that income from such securities or other investments, if any, may fluctuate and that the price or value of such securities and investments may rise or fall. Fluctuations in exchange rates could have adverse effects on the value of or price of, or income derived from, certain investments. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Al Rajhi Capital or its officers or one or more of its affiliates (including research analysts) may have a financial interest in securities of the issuer(s) or related investments, including long or short positions in securities, warrants, futures, options, derivatives, or other financial instruments. 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This research document is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or which would subject Al Rajhi Capital or any of its affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. Explanation of Al Rajhi Capital s rating system Al Rajhi Capital uses a three-tier rating system based on absolute upside or downside potential for all stocks under its coverage except financial stocks and those few other companies not compliant with Islamic Shariah law: "Overweight": Our target price is more than 10% above the current share price, and we expect the share price to reach the target on a 12 month time horizon. "Neutral": We expect the share price to settle at a level between 10% below the current share price and 10% above the current share price on a 12 month time horizon. "Underweight": Our target price is more than 10% below the current share price, and we expect the share price to reach the target on a 12 month time horizon. "Target price": We estimate target value per share for every stock we cover. This is normally based on widely accepted methods appropriate to the stock or sector under consideration, e.g. DCF (discounted cash flow) or SoTP (sum of the parts) analysis. Please note that the achievement of any price target may be impeded by general market and economic trends and other external factors, or if a company s profits or operating performance exceed or fall short of our expectations. Contact us Al Rajhi Capital Research Department Head Office, King Fahad Road P.O. Box 5561, Riyadh 11432 Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Email: research@alrajhi-capital.com Al Rajhi Capital is licensed by the Saudi Arabian Capital Market Authority, License No. 07068/37. 6