ASG Macquarie Conference Presentation. May 2018

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Transcription:

ASG Macquarie Conference Presentation May 2018 1

IMPORTANT NOTICE AND DISCLAIMER This presentation contains summary information about Autosports Group Limited (ACN 614 505 261) (ASG) and its activities current as at the date of this presentation. The information in this presentation is of general background and does not purport to be complete. It should be read in conjunction with ASG s other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements filed with the Australian Securities Exchange, which are available at www.asx.com.au. This presentation is for information purposes only and is not a prospectus or product disclosure statement, financial product or investment advice or a recommendation to acquire ASG shares or other securities. It has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of individuals. Before making an investment decision, prospective investors should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to their own objectives, financial situation and needs and seek legal, financial and taxation advice appropriate to their jurisdiction. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This presentation contains forward-looking statements including statements regarding our intent, belief or current expectations with respect to ASG s business and operations. When used in this presentation, the words likely', 'estimate', 'project', 'intend', 'forecast', 'anticipate', 'believe', 'expect', 'may', 'aim', 'should', 'potential', target and similar expressions, as they relate to ASG, are intended to identify forward looking statements. Forward looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, and there is a risk that such predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward looking statements will not be achieved. A number of important factors could cause ASG s actual results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward looking statements, and many of these factors are outside ASG s control. Forward looking statements are provided as a general guide only, and should not be relied on as an indication or guarantee of future performance. As such, undue reliance should not be placed on any forward looking statement. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information, opinions and conclusions contained in this presentation (including forward-looking statements). To the maximum extent permitted by law, none of ASG and its related bodies corporate, or their respective directors, employees or agents, nor any other person accepts liability for any loss arising from the use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with it, including, without limitation, any liability from fault or negligence on the part of ASG, its related bodies corporate, or any of their respective directors, employees or agents. Financial data Readers should note that this presentation contains pro forma financial information. The pro forma financial information provided in this presentation is for illustrative purposes only and is not represented as being indicative of ASG s views on the future financial condition and/or performance of ASG. All references in this presentation to "$" are to Australian currency, unless otherwise stated. A number or figures, amounts, percentages, estimates, calculations of value and fractions in this presentation are subject to the effect of rounding. Accordingly, the actual calculation of these figures may differ from the figures set out in this presentation. 2

PRESENTING TODAY Nick Pagent Managing Director and CEO Aaron Murray CFO Group CEO since formation of the Autosports Group in 2006 22 years of motor vehicle industry experience in Australia and the UK including: Director Sales, Mercedes-Benz London North East, UK (2004-2005) Head of Business, Executive Audi, St Albans, Hertfordshire, UK (2002-2004) GM of Honda, Audi, MG Rover, Alfa Romeo at Trivett Classic Group (1997-2002.) Group CFO since 2009 after joining the group in 2007 22 years of motor vehicle industry experience gained from: Autosports Group (2007 to current) Audi Centre Parramatta (2005-2006) McMillan VW (2004-2005) Trivett Classic (1996-2004) 3

AGENDA A S G C O M P A N Y I N T R O D U C T I O N N E W V E H I C L E M A R K E T U P D A T E M A R C H Y T D 2 0 1 8 G R O W T H S T R A T E G Y 2 0 1 8 H 1 R E C A P & O U T L O O K Q & A A D D I T I O N A L I N F O R M A T I O N 4

A S G C O M P A N Y I N T R O D U C T I O N N E W V E H I C L E M A R K E T U P D A T E M A R C H Y T D 2 0 1 8 G R O W T H S T R A T E G Y 2 0 1 8 H 1 R E C A P & O U T L O O K Q & A A D D I T I O N A L I N F O R M A T I O N 5

INTRODUC TION TO ASG A S G w a s e s t a b l i s h e d i n 2 0 0 6 a n d o p e r a t e s o n e o f A u s t r a l i a ' s l a r g e s t n e t w o r k s o f l u x u r y a n d p r e s t i g e c a r d e a l e r s h i p s. ASG Brands History Established 12 years ago by founders and major shareholders, Ian Pagent and Nick Pagent Operations 34 new car dealerships 2 used car outlets 4 specialist prestige vehicle collision repair facilities Strategically located in high growth Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane markets 6 dealerships 5 dealerships 2 dealerships 2 dealerships 4 dealerships 4 dealerships # Units sold (FY2017) ~16,750 new cars ~16,800 used cars 1 dealership 1 dealership 1 dealership ASG brands Employees (April 2018) 15 luxury and prestige brands ~1350 1 dealership 2 dealerships 3 dealerships Financial scale (FY2017) FY17 Proforma Revenue $1.446B EBITDA 2017FY $55.1M 1 dealership 1 dealership 1 dealership 1 dealership 6

ASG COMPANY INTRODUC TION Consistent Industry Fundamentals Consistent and stable growth in new cars, driven by long term trends Clear and focused strategy to concentrate on the prestige and luxury segments of the market 2018FY has seen improving coverage of major metropolitan markets maximising growth while broadening the base Diversified Revenue Streams Multiple levers to drive sustainable growth new and used cars, finance, insurance, accessories, servicing, parts, panel repair Aftersales revenue streams predictable and growing 2018FY has seen continued investment in capacity improvements continuing to unlock strong Aftersales demand On Strategy mix of Organic and Inorganic Growth ASG has grown from a single dealership in 2006 to 36 new and used car dealerships and 4 specialist collision repair facilities Revenue growth has been driven, organically, supplemented by greenfields developments and targeted acquisitions Industry consolidation opportunities continue to be driven by a fragmented market and the retirement of independent owners Experienced Management Team with skin in the game Management Team that founded the business remains in place and significant shareholders Management focused on service and excellence based culture; leading to high levels of industry recognition No movement in Management since the IPO 7

C O NTINUING O PERATIONAL EXCELLENCE A S G ' s o p e r a t i o n a l e x c e l l e n c e i s r e c o g n i s e d b y i t s c u s t o m e r s a n d O E M p a r t n e r s Dealer Of The Year Awards 1 st O P E R A T I O N A L 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016 Audi Centre Parramatta 2014 Audi Centre Mosman 2017 Audi Indooroopilly 2017 Audi Sutherland 2016, 2017 Volvo Cars Sydney E X C E L L E N C E D R I V E S o OEM KPI based payments 2015, 2016 Volkswagen Five Dock 2017 Doncaster BMW 2017 MINI Garage Doncaster 2015 Mercedes-Benz Toowong 2014 Fiat Alfa Leichhardt o o Opportunity for expansion within the brand Demonstrates ASG s capacity to represent multi brands individually 2 nd 2014 2015 2016 2016, 2017 Audi Centre Parramatta Audi Five Dock Audi Centre Mosman Volvo Cars Parramatta 3 rd 2015 Audi Centre Mosman 2010 Audi Five Dock 2014, 2016 Audi Five Dock 2016 Mercedes-Benz Toowong 8

A S G C O M P A N Y I N T R O D U C T I O N N E W V E H I C L E M A R K E T U P D A T E M A R C H Y T D 2 0 1 8 G R O W T H S T R A T E G Y 2 0 1 8 H 1 R E C A P & O U T L O O K Q & A A D D I T I O N A L I N F O R M A T I O N 9

NEW VEHICLE MARKET TRENDS M ARCH Y TD 2018 Total Market is at record levels 4.4% up on March 2017 Largest markets NSW, QLD & VIC comprise 83% of the total new car market Victoria is the fastest growing market with 8.7% growth QLD grew at 5.4% and NSW by 35 units (+0.0%) SUV sales continue to grow at 42.3% of the total market up from a full year 2017 number of 39.2% Small SUV segment was up 32.8% Medium SUV segment was up 10.1% Overall the Prestige & Luxury segments continue to grow in total share Luxury and Prestige Market Share - Calendar Year 450,000 40.00% 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 35.00% 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% - 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 -% Prestige and Luxury New Motor Vehicle Sales (LHS) Market Share (RHS) Source: VFacts 10

L U X U R Y & P R E S T I G E M AR K E T U P D A T E M AR C H Y T D 2 0 1 8 A S G ' s s t r a t e g y o f c o m p e t i n g i n b o t h t h e P r e s t i g e a n d L u x u r y s e g m e n t s m e a n s w e h a v e r e s i l i e n c e w h i l s t m a i n t a i n i n g e x p o s u r e t o t h e g r o w i n g s e g m e n t s. LUXURY TOTAL PRESTIGE TOTAL Luxury Market has contracted by 4.7% during the March quarter (1507 units) Audi (+0.1%), BMW (+0.3%), Mini (+16.6%) and Volvo (+11.1%) have returned to growth Mercedes-Benz passenger cars decline of 2.5% has been offset by the growth in Mercedes-Benz Vans of 17.7% which is not measured in the luxury segmentation Prestige Market growth has been strong at 6.7% (4887 units) Growth in the Prestige Market has more than offset the decline in the Luxury Market Honda continues to grow strongly at +54.4% in the March quarter Volkswagen has maintained growth of 0.4% Source: VFacts 11

A S G C O M P A N Y I N T R O D U C T I O N N E W V E H I C L E M A R K E T U P D A T E M A R C H Y T D 2 0 1 8 G R O W T H S T R A T E G Y 2 0 1 8 H 1 R E C A P & O U T L O O K Q & A A D D I T I O N A L I N F O R M A T I O N 12

ON STRATEGY GROWTH S i n c e l i s t i n g A S G h a s p u r s u e d a c l e a r a n d f o c u s e d s t r a t e g y e v e n l y b a l a n c e d b e t w e e n a c q u i s i t i o n s, o r g a n i c a n d g r e e n f i e l d g r o w t h NOV 2016 Audi Centre Brisbane (Willims Motor Group) APR 2017 Doncaster BMW NOV 2017 Melbourne BMW APR 2018 Canterbury BMW Acquisitions Greenfields SEP 2016 Volvo Cars Mt Gravatt SEP 2017 Volvo Cars Rushcutters Bay F o c u s e d s t r a t e g y s p l i t e v e n l y b e t w e e n a c q u i s i t i o n, g r e e n f i e l d s a n d o r g a n i c g r o w t h A C Q U I S I T I O N Added 4 high quality businesses in major metropolitan markets Diversified into the Melbourne market Diversified in brand portfolio with BMW, Mini, Alpina and BMW Motorcycles (Motorrad) G R E E N F I E L D S Added 2 greenfields sites Major markets in Sydney and Brisbane Luxury brand Volvo Brands known to the Group S E R V I C E & P A R T S I N V E S T M E N T S Increased capacity in 6 service departments $6M investment 55 additional Service Bays Investing in Audi, Volvo and Volkswagen organic growth 13

ACQUISITION GROWTH BMW 2017-2018 B M W G R O W T H Prior to listing ASG did not represent the BMW Group brands of BMW & MINI D o n c a s t e r B M W BMW & MINI account for 24.5% of the Luxury Market YTD March 2018. This number is up from 22.8% of the Luxury Market at March 2017 (source Vfacts) ASG s growth with BMW Group has been in strategically important major metropolitan markets. Doncaster and Melbourne in Victoria and Canterbury in Sydney. BMW Group is well placed for the future with maximum flexibility M e l b o u r n e B M W BMW Group is in the midst of its largest ever new product roll-out including X2, X3, X4, X5, X6 and X7 SUV offerings BMW Motorcycles grew by 5.7% YTD March in a challenging Motorcycle market (source FCAI) ASG BMW acquisitions will contribute revenue in excess of $500m on an annualised basis C a n t e r b u r y B M W 14

ORGANIC GROWTH S TRATEGY GREENFIELDS W i t h t h e o p e n i n g o f t h e G o l d C o a s t M a s e r a t i & B e n t l e y s i t e s, A S G w i l l h a v e 1 3 g r e e n f i e l d s i t e s u n d e r f i v e y e a r s o l d DEALERSHIP BRANDS CATEGORY YEAR ACQUIRED / ESTABLISHED Autosports Honda Prestige CY13 greenfield Cost effective expansion. Nil goodwill Fiat Alfa Leichhardt Prestige CY13 greenfield Lamborghini Sydney Luxury CY14 greenfield Lamborghini Brisbane Luxury CY15 greenfield Volkswagen Castle Hill Prestige CY14 greenfield Evidence of preferred partner status Volkswagen Mt Gravatt Prestige CY15 greenfield Volvo Cars Sydney Luxury CY15 greenfield Volvo Cars Rushcutters Bay Luxury CY17 greenfield Autosports Brisbane Used Vehicles N/A CY16 greenfield An area of Management expertise Volkswagen Capalaba Prestige CY16 greenfield Volvo Cars Mt Gravatt Luxury CY17 greenfield Gold Coast Bentley Luxury CY18 greenfield Gold Coast Maserati Luxury CY18 greenfield 15

H O W DOES A GREENFIELDS SITE WO RK? ACQUIRE START UP YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 YEAR 4 Focus on new & Aftersales Vehicle replacement Maturity used car sales beginning to build cycle aids sales No customer One year parc only Database now at 50% Database marketing Strong database database High marketing spend Lack of aftersales absorption New branding Medium marketing spend Low aftersales absorption potential Medium marketing spend Medium aftersales absorption Repeat sales business for vehicle sales Reducing marketing spend Service plan customers maturing with high retention into High vehicle parc Low marketing spend Commence service commences high margin service plan sales Acceptable aftersales Group enterprise absorption wide systems implemented swiftly 16

O R G A N I C GROWT H U N L O C K I N G AFTERSALES D E M A N D G r o w t h i n S e r v i c e, P a r t s & C o l l i s i o n R e p a i r c o n t i n u e s t o d r i v e g r o w t h f o r A S G ASG s business model benefits from inbuilt growth in back-end revenue from a maturing service, parts and panel customer base Aftersales / Back-end income has a higher margin profile Back-end income is predictable and recurring income streams Service & Collision Repair 2018HY Revenue Growth up 34.2% Delivered investments in Audi, Volvo and Volkswagen to grow capacity in this high margin revenue centre 2018FY will see further capacity expansion at Audi Indooroopilly and Volvo Cars Sydney to help drive organic growth Further greenfields opportunities in collision repair Back-end income is insulated from market fluctuations Parts 2018HY Revenue Growth up 42.8% driven largely through Service growth Parts revenue and margin enhanced by ASG s expansion in collision repair 2018FY consolidate warehousing and trade sales facilities in Melbourne and Brisbane to improve efficiencies 17

A S G C O M P A N Y I N T R O D U C T I O N N E W V E H I C L E M A R K E T U P D A T E M A R C H Y T D 2 0 1 8 G R O W T H S T R A T E G Y 2 0 1 8 H 1 R E C A P & O U T L O O K Q & A A D D I T I O N A L I N F O R M A T I O N 18

2018FY H 1 RECAP Growth on Revenue and EBITDA driven by acquisition led growth Completed the acquisition of Melbourne BMW & Canterbury BMW increasing ASG s coverage in the brands of BMW, Mini, Alpina and BMW Motorcycles in the Melbourne and Sydney markets Diverse revenue streams contribute to growing gross margins in a challenging new car market Future growth will be underpinned by the maturing of 12 greenfields sites under 5 years old Investments in Service and Panel capacity will continue to support margin growth into the future * Comparison to pro-forma historical financials 19

ASG S OUTLOOK March quarter trading in line with expectations within the prestige and luxury segments for H2 2018FY and in line with the outlook provided in February. Anticipate conditions to remain stable through till the end of the financial year with normal seasonality Pressure in new car margins should continue to be largely offset by improvements in Service and Parts revenue Op Ex ratio to remain high through the balance of 2018FY ASG is well positioned and well capitalised to take advantage of growth opportunities Growth vs pcp will be supported by a full period from Doncaster and Melbourne BMW and a June quarter contribution from Canterbury BMW 20

A S G C O M P A N Y I N T R O D U C T I O N N E W V E H I C L E M A R K E T U P D A T E M A R C H Y T D 2 0 1 8 G R O W T H S T R A T E G Y 2 0 1 8 H 1 R E C A P & O U T L O O K Q & A A D D I T I O N A L I N F O R M A T I O N 21

A S G C O M P A N Y I N T R O D U C T I O N N E W V E H I C L E M A R K E T U P D A T E M A R C H Y T D 2 0 1 8 G R O W T H S T R A T E G Y 2 0 1 8 H 1 R E C A P & O U T L O O K Q & A A D D I T I O N A L I N F O R M A T I O N 22

2018FY H 1 RESULT DETAIL Profit & Loss Statement period ended 31 December 2017 Financial Statements 1H FY17 YTD 1H FY18 YTD +/- % New Vehicles 377,391 462,094 84,703 22.4% Used Vehicles 189,501 212,798 23,297 12.3% Finance & Insurance 11,662 12,082 420 3.6% Aftermarket 4,313 6,180 1,867 43.3% Service 33,969 45,589 11,620 34.2% Parts 33,035 47,187 14,152 42.8% Other Revenue 20,924 31,673 10,749 51.4% Total Revenue 670,795 817,603 146,808 21.9% Cost of Goods Sold (570,406) (694,255) (123,849) 21.7% Gross Profit 100,390 123,348 22,958 22.9% Operating Expenses * (75,787) (96,327) (20,540) 27.1% EBITDA 24,603 27,021 2,418 9.8% Depreciation & Amortisation (3,799) (4,080) (281) 7.4% EBIT 20,804 22,941 2,137 10.3% Floorplan & Corporate Interest (4,117) (5,454) (1,337) 32.5% NPBT 16,687 17,487 800 4.8% Income Tax Exp @30% (5,507) (5,246) 261-4.7% NPAT 11,180 12,241 1,061 9.5% Share of Profits attributable to noncontrolling interests -10.7% (140) (125) (135) NPAT distributable to S/H 11,040 12,116 1,076 9.7% Acquisition Amortisation 1,225 2,039 1,937 66.4% NPATA distributable to S/H 12,265 14,155 1,890 15.4% Gross Profit Ratio 15.0% 15.1% 0.1% Opex Ratio 11.3% 11.8% 0.5% EBITDA Ratio 3.7% 3.3% -0.4% NPBT Ratio 2.5% 2.1% -0.3% Interest Coverage Ratio X EBITDA 5.98 4.95-1.02 B A S I S O F P R E P A R A T I O N One off adjustment relating to acquisition expenses on Melbourne BMW of $0.6M 1HFY17 is pro-forma historical financial comparison K E Y O B S E R V A T I O N S Revenue $817.6m EBITDA $27.0 NPBT $17.5M NPAT $12.2M NPATA $14.2M 23

S TRONG BALANCE SHEET M A J O R M O V E M E N T S S I N C E 3 0 J U N 2 0 1 7 Additional $15.5m capital loans drawn in November 2017 to fund settlement of Melbourne BMW Additional floorplan facilities of $43.4m and $6.1m for Melbourne BMW and Volvo Cars Rushcutters Bay Interest coverage affected by acquisition of Melbourne BMW in November 2017 24

C ASH FLOW ASG typically receives payment for vehicles upon delivery to customers (either from the customer or consumer finance company) Cash typically remitted to floor plan financier within 2 days of delivery of motor vehicle Use of floor plan finance minimises investment in inventory Non-cash expenses relates to the share based payment change in relation to the component of the LTI & STI scheme Pro forma Historical Actual FY2105 FY2016 FY2017 H1 FY18 $m EBITDA 35.0 40.9 55.1 27.0 Movement in working capital (1.1) (4.7) (10.3) 5.4 Other non-cash items included in EBITDA 0 0 0.7 0.3 Operating cash flow 33.9 36.2 45.5 32.7 Floorplan interest (5.8) (6.9) (6.8) (4.4) Maintenance capital expenditure (2.5) (2.5) (0.7) (2.8) Operating cash flow after floorplan interest and maintenance capital expenditure 25.60 26.7 38.0 25.5 Cash conversion * 107.5% 99.1% 92.7% 112.7% Growth capital expenditure (3.2) (2.7) (9.0) (3.2) Net acquisitions (4.5) (3.9) (6.8) (4.5) Net cash flow before corporate financing and taxation 17.90 20.1 22.2 17.8 * Operating cash flows post floor plan financing and maintenance capital expenditure / EBIT after floorplan financing interest 25