Presentation of consolidated results. For the quarter ended 28 September 2013

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Transcription:

Presentation of consolidated results For the quarter ended 28 September 2013 1

Agenda Strategic and operational update Financial review Looking forward Jürgen Schreiber CEO Mark Bower Deputy CEO & CFO Jürgen Schreiber CEO 2

Strategic and operational update 3

Trading environment Macro backdrop Credit growth versus retail sales (1) Unsecured lending growth still slowing Apparel sales growth continues to outperform total retail sales Consumer confidence muted Different higher and lower LSM considerations ZAR volatility Interest rates remain low 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Inflation within 3-6% range Retail sales Household - unsecured credit CTF sales (1) Stats SA and Nedbank September 2013 4

Key strategic levers remain priority Comparable store growth Revamp stores and service Store optimisation Assortment: brands and improved private label Leverage loyalty programme Margin expansion Sourcing Pricing management Group efficiencies New space growth Grow existing format footprint Rollout of tested new formats Expand into rest of Africa Credit Leverage customer database to broaden financial services offering 5

Performance against strategic levers Sales growth Margin expansion (1) Retail sales Comp sales 8.6% 37.4% 6.1% 5.3% 7.4% 2.0% 2.5% 4.5% 36.9% 36.6% 36.5% 36.8% 0.4% 1.4% 0.5% 2011 2012 2013 H1:FY13 H1:FY14 2011 2012 2013 H1:FY13 H1:FY14 Credit and cash New space growth (2) Credit sales 9.5% Cash sales 4.1% 0.7% 5.5% 14.9% 3.4% 3.0% 4.7% 1.4% 2.8% 13.2% 3.3% -1.6% -4.9% 0.4% 2011 2012 2013 H1:FY13 H1:FY14 2011 2012 2013 H1:FY13 H1:FY14 Note: All FY numbers for 2011, 2012 and 2013 exclude Edgars Zimbabwe; (1) Gross profit margin; (2) Average space growth for the period 6

Highlights for Q2:FY14 Improved operational performance Improved Profitability Delivery against strategic plan Retail sales up 5.9% to R6.0 billion Cash sales growth of 17.4% Retail sales from operations outside South Africa up 25.5% Gross profit up 6.2% to R2.2 billion Pro forma adjusted EBITDA up 9.3% to R481 million Increase in average space of 5.1% Edgars refurbishment almost complete Discount divisional performance remains sound 7

Edgars division performance for Q2:FY14 Sales growth New space growth Margin expansion Retail sales growth driven by new Edgars Active and clearance activity Cash sales growth of 15.3% Refurbishment project progressing on schedule New Edgars marketing initiated in October Retail Sales 3.4% LFL 1.6% 16 new own stores in the quarter (and 4 closures) 7 Edgars Active, 3 Red Square, 1 Edgars and 1 Edgars Shoe Gallery 46 new monobranded stores, 43 due to acquisition Average 750.1m 2 466 stores Margin pressure expected to continue in the short term Operating profit down as absolute cost investment associated with change programme impacted a small quarter GP margin 38.6% 5.6% 0.3pts Main contributor Edgars still impacted by change programme 8

Capital investment key to transformation Total of R356m spent in the quarter R528 million spent for H1:FY14 R810m budgeted for FY14 Edgars refurbishment project on track Completed 61 of the 72 stores and cumulative spend of R443m at end of Q2:FY14, Q2:FY14 spend of R328m Remain on track to complete all but one of the stores before the start of the Christmas trading period Total capex cost in FY14 for 72 stores of R527m Inglot, La Senza and Accessorize acquisition effective 1 September 2013 Capex Q2:FY14 (R millions) 56 300 Expansion Refurbishment Store optimisation and people support progressing well 1 Refurbishment 2 Store optimisation 3 People support Description and key objectives Standardise store layouts Optimise space allocation Implement new fixture set and visual merchandising New product content (brands) Optimise all processes from receiving to replenishment Enhance daily store functionality Improve transaction speed and customer service Stores appropriately staffed Improved training programmes Construct store talent pipeline Deliver a refreshed, consistent and compelling theatre of shopping Drive standardisation and efficiency improvements in enabling store processes Ensure the right people with right skills are serving our customers 9

Discount division performance for Q2FY14 Sales growth New space growth Margin expansion Retail sales growth driven by cash sales of 21.5% Benefits of turnaround measures starting to come through Strong performance in ladies and menswear Sales 10.3% Space growth through 18 new stores (and 10 closures): 3 Jet 3 Jet Mart 2 Legit Average 600.5m 2 666 stores Improved GP margin as strategic initiatives continue to deliver results Operating profit increased due to cost management GP margin 32.3% LFL 5.4% 5.1% improvements and 1.0 pts leveraging impact of a small quarter Sound performance 10

Measured capital expansion programme Total of R64 million spent in the quarter R141 million spent for H1:FY14 R233 million budgeted for in FY14 Strong performance in Rest of Africa Number of stores increased to 154 from 115 in 2Q:FY13 Capex Q2:FY14 (R millions) 24 40 Expansion Refurbishment Note: African performance includes Edgars, Edgars Active, Jet and Jet Mart stores 11

CNA division performance for Q2FY14 Sales growth New space growth Margin Retail sales up 3.6% Growth in digital supportive of sales growth Sales 3.6% Space decrease in line with strategy of right sizing and store conversions Capex spend of R5m Average 89.0 m 2 194 stores Margin maintained despite unfavorable product mix Operating profit increased GP margin 30.9% LFL 1.6% R11m H1:FY14 0.4% 0.2 pts Priority is optimisation of space and product selection 12

Financial review 13

Key financial considerations for Q2:FY14 Sale of book Portion of the trade receivables book sold thus far of 93% R683 million remains classified as held-for-sale Only foreign trade receivables still to be sold (Botswana, Namibia, Botswana, Lesotho and Swaziland) Pro forma adjusted EBITDA adjusted to give effect to Absa transaction as if 100% of the book has been sold Reported numbers remain relevant Expect to sell or collect all trade receivables Events after the reporting date During October 2013 Edcon extended hedges on coupon for 317m and $250m notes to 15 March 2015 through cross currency swaps On 14 November 2013 Edcon Holdings Limited closed the offering for 425m of fixed rate senior notes due May 2019. Tender offer and redemption (to close 14 December 2014) of all outstanding floating rate senior notes due June 2015 from the proceeds of the 2019 notes 14

Statement of comprehensive income Q2:FY13 Q2:FY14 % change (R millions) H1:FY13 H1:FY14 % change 5 683 6 017 5.9 Retail sales 11 696 12 222 4.5 2 029 2 154 6.2 Gross profit 4 307 4 566 6.0 35.7 35.8 0.1pnt Gross profit margin 36.8 37.4 0.6pnt 164 259 Other income 322 502 (1 205) (1 320) Store costs (2 412) (2 615) (984) (1 116) Other operating costs (1 805) (2 254) 165 184 Income from joint operation 315 358 169 161 Trading profit 727 557 440 481 9.3 Pro forma adjusted EBITDA 1 109 1 208 8.9 15

Growth in pro forma adjusted EBITDA Q2:FY13 Q2:FY14 % change (R millions) H1:FY13 H1:FY14 % change 169 161 Trading profit 727 557 261 286 Depreciation & amortisation 533 554 2 2 Net asset write off 16 2 211 1 Profit/(Loss) before tax from discontinued operations 306 (14) 85 46 Non-recurring (income)/costs (1) (2) 112 728 496 Adjusted EBITDA 1 580 1 211 (364) (28) Net income from previous card programme (2) (609) (25) 76 13 Net income from new card programme (3) 138 22 440 481 9.3 Pro forma adjusted EBITDA 1 109 1 208 8.9 7.7% 8.0% 0.3pts Pro forma adjusted EBITDA margin 9.5% 9.9% 0.4pts 1) Relates to one off strategic initiatives in Q2:FY13 of R83m, expenses on termination of the Mastercard agreement in Q2:FY13 of R2m, costs associated with the sale of the trade receivables book in Q2:FY14 of R36m and costs associated with corporate and operational overhead reductions in Q2:FY14 of R10m 2) Pro forma income lost to Absa for the portion of the book sold including finance charges revenue, bad debts and provisions 3) Net income derived from 100% of the trade receivables including finance charges revenue, bad debts and provisions. 16

Update on cost programme (R millions) Q2:FY14 LTM pro forma adjusted EBITDA (reported) 2 859 Permanent adjustments: Corporate and operational overhead reductions 58 Renegotiation of contracts 94 LTM pro forma adjusted EBITDA (incl. adjustments) 3 011 Normalised pro forma net debt/ltm pro forma adjusted EBITDA (times) 6.7 No new cost initiatives included, but further work required Benefit of approx R74 million included in the quarter s profit 17

Cost analysis for Q2:2014 Other operating costs Good cost containment with other operating costs increasing only 4.9% Store card administration costs not in comparative but included in discontinued operations in prior year Non-recurring costs include One off strategic initiatives in Q2:FY13 of R83m Costs associated with the sale of the trade receivables book in Q2:FY14 of R36m Costs associated with corporate and operational overhead reductions in Q2:FY14 of R10m Store costs Store costs increased 9.5% Due to change programme in Edgars division Discount divisional costs well maintained Rental and manpower costs (which constitute 61.5% of store costs) increased by only 6.7% and 7.6% respectively, notwithstanding space growth % (R millions) Q2:FY13 Q2:FY14 change Other operating costs 899 943 4.9 Store card administration 127 Non-recurring (income)/costs 85 46 Total other operating costs 984 1 116 18

Credit opportunities being explored Credit management Continued evolution of collaborative relationship with Absa Ongoing review to identify and implement process improvements Electronic system shortens processing time and improves customer experience Best in class application scorecard being built Implementation post-christmas Sales growth initiatives New products to a wider range of customers 6-month interest free credit Additional facilities to top customers Connecting Edcon s marketing analytics and Absa s credit risk capability to optimise credit limits and drive spend Leverage Thank U Cross marketing to Edcon and Absa customers Long term opportunities Cross-leverage store networks Edcon storecard services at Absa ATMs and branches Additional banking and personal finance services at Edcon stores Data analytics Payments ecosystem 19

Cashflow for Q2:FY14 46 472 179 114 480 488 Working capital 386-218 55 94 Inventories Trade and other receivables Trade and other payables 827 869 9 Opening cash balance Operating activities Non recurring costs Working capital (1) Proceeds Capex & from sale investments of the book Net financing costs Tax Financing activities Closing cash balance (1) Includes R427m of capital expenditure and R61m of other investing activities 20

Capex investment for Q2:2014 Total capex breakdown (R millions) Refurbishment still the priority 5 64 21 Total capex, excluding leases, of R510m for Q2:FY14 32 stores opened (excl. 4 conversions) 64 356 Significant increase in store spend to R425m from R119m in Q2:FY13 Edgars refurbishment project costs of R328m for Q2:FY14 Edgars Discount CNA IT Edgars Zimbabwe Expecting to spend R1 175m of capex for FY14 Total cost of transformation project R527m Store capex mix (R millions) 80 345 Expansion Refurbishment 21

Liquidity and capital resources Key considerations Undrawn RCF of R2 561m R3 717m matures 31 December 2016 R250m matures on 31 March 2014 Maximum utilisation R1,464m in Q2:FY14 Proceeds from sale of the book still to come of approximately R683m Refinanced the 2015 FRN s Hedging of gross debt (R millions) Super senior secured Q2:2014 Drawn (1) Revolving credit facility in ZAR 1 406 2016 s ZAR Floating notes J+625bps 1 010 Senior secured ZAR Term loan J+700bps 3 994 2018 s Fixed rate 9.5% 8 085 2018 s $ Fixed rate 9.5% 2 463 Deferred option premium 587 Lease liabilities 294 Senior 18% 1% 32% 2015 s FRN s E+550bps 5 104 Other loans (2) 168 Gross debt 23 111 39% 11% Derivatives (1 800) Cash on hand (386) ZAR USD (hedged) Net debt 20 925 EURO (hedged) Other loans EURO (unhedged) (1) September 28, 2013 FX Rates used for translation ZAR/USD R 10.02 ZAR/EURO R13.60 (2) R165 million relates to Edgars Zimbabwe 22

Looking forward 23

Outlook Settle changes in top 72 Edgars stores including ongoing assortment improvements People and processes Inflow of new brands Enhanced private label assortments Maintain Discount division strategy and further enhance position Increased imperative to improve credit sales potential Continue to develop winning Thank U loyalty card programme Execute on space growth pipeline and vision for rest of Africa Leverage specialty store opportunities 24

Thank you For more information Our website: www.edcon.co.za Edcon contacts for more information: Executive Investor Relations and Media: Debbie Millar 011 495 4086 / dmillar@edcon.co.za 25